jack-jack INCREDIBLES 2 Weekend |🏆| ACTUALS: 182.7M OW | O8 19M, Tag 14.9M, Solo 10M, DP2 8.7M, IW 5.4M

[Barnack]

6 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

Has anyone seen Tag? I am debating about going tonight. 

Far from perfect or even good, but it achieved mediocrity and the really good ending made it worth it imo.

[Cap]

4 hours ago, Barnack said:

Far from perfect or even good, but it achieved mediocrity and the really good ending made it worth it imo.

So that sounds like, if you're bored, and have MoviePass, and live five minutes from the theater, it's good.  I am/have all of those.  Hmm.  Will think about it. Thank you!

Edited June 17, 2018 by captainwondyful
Typo

[Empire]

13 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

Has anyone seen Tag? I am debating about going tonight. 

I saw it last night and I thought it was pretty funny. 

[MovieMan89]

The 50% drop predictions for I2 are gonna be fun when next weekend happens. Not with this kind of WOM.

[dxmatrixdt]

53 + 52 + 45 = 150 + 18.5 = 168.5

 

53 + 56 + 50 = 159 + 18.5 = 177.5

[Rebeccas]

1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

The 50% drop predictions for I2 are gonna be fun when next weekend happens. Not with this kind of WOM.

Isn't it losing its large formats to JW2 though? I feel like even stellar WOM might have its limits when that happens.

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, Rebeccas said:

Isn't it losing its large formats to JW2 though? I feel like even stellar WOM might have its limits when that happens.

It’s an animated movie in the summer and all indications are WOM is going through the roof. I don’t care if it loses all PLF next weekend, drop will be sub 50%. 

[Mango]

The Incredibles 2 is going to have a better Father’s Day hold than past Pixar releases. Most animated films skew slightly female but I’ll be surprised if I2 isn’t a big Father’s Day outing. I doubt it’ll make some crazy ass Man of Steel hold but it can probably manage a a comfortable sub-10% drop especially with more spillover.

[Cap]

45 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

It’s an animated movie in the summer and all indications are WOM is going through the roof. I don’t care if it loses all PLF next weekend, drop will be sub 50%. 

I looked up all the Pixar second week drops.  9 out of 19 films fall in the 40s.  Only 4 have gone over 50%: Cars 2 and Cars 3, The Good Dino, and Toy Story 2.

 

So, yeah, I think history is on the side of a sub 50% drop.  Which means JWFK could be facing a 90M hold.

 

I would say -46%.  That is exactly what Dory and Toy Story 3 dropped, and those are both the only 100M+ comps.

 

Full Chart:

 

Title	Release Date	OW	2nd Week % Drop
Monsters, Inc.	11/2/2001	62.5M	-27.20%
The Incredibles	11/5/2004	70.4M	-28.70%
Toy Story *	11/22/1995	29.1M	-30.80%
Finding Nemo	5/30/2003	70.2M	-33.70%
Up	5/29/2009	68.1M	-35.20%
Ratatouille	6/29/2007	47.0M	-38.30%
Inside Out	6/19/2015	90.4M	-42.10%
Cars	6/9/2006	60.1M	-43.90%
Monsters U	6/21/2013	82.4M	-44.70%
Coco	11/22/2017	50.8M	-45.80%
Finding Dory	6/17/2016	135.0M	-46.00%
Toy Story 3	6/18/2010	110.3M	-46.20%
A Bug Life's *	11/20/1998	33.2M	-48.40%
Wall-E	6/27/2008	63.0M	-48.50%
Brave	6/22/2012	66.3M	-48.60%
Toy Story 2 *	11/26/1999	57.3M	-51.60%
Cars 3	6/17/2017	53.6M	-55.20%
Cars 2	6/24/2011	66.1M	-60.30%
Good Dinosaur	11/25/2015	39.1M	-60.90%

 

* Incidates the movie opened limited in one theater.  Used first Wide Release (2nd Weekend) and 3rd Weekend for drop.

Edited June 17, 2018 by captainwondyful

[Joyous Legion]

FD and TS3 were both also opening with Father’s Day bump, and (iirc) lost their PLF screens the next weekend. Same as I2.    

 

Differences from I2 are that I2 has a better cinemascore (good for drop) and a higher absolute number (bad for drop).   

 

About 46% is exactly what I’m expecting so far, which could land it in the 95-100 range.

[Impact]

I nearly missed the movie-since I got tickets for YESTERDAY instead of today. Thankfully they traded them in and I was able to see it without paying again (I missed most of the short before it and have no clue what was going on-something about a sweet roll, that is all I got)

[YM!]

Incredibles 2 is Pixar’s best sequel except for maybe TS3. I had a blast, it’s almost as good as the first. The characters are lovingly done, the action is infinitely better than the first, the writing and humor are excellent. This will have solid WOM for sure. Kids and adults will love this.

 

On a side note, both trailers for Grinch, Robin and HT3 got the best reception and my showing was mainly adults (Dragon 3 and Ralph 2 were also strong and TTG had some chuckles). I’m extremely confident in the latter two. 

 

Saying it one time for y’all, Robin is doing $300M+, and HT3 is doing $180M+.

Edited June 17, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

What a slow weekend thread for a record-crushing film. For a weekend that is as impressive as this, I'm somewhat surprised.

Edited June 17, 2018 by Jayhawk

[MikeQ]

9 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

What a slow weekend thread for a record-crushing film. For a weekend that is as impressive as this, I'm somewhat surprised.

It is because we haven't had any real early numbers or continual updates to discuss. We didn't even get any early Thursday preview numbers from Deadline until Friday morning, and our gods have forsaken us this weekend.

 

Dear @Rthanos, why has thou forsaken us on the biggest weekend of the summer? ❤️ An offering: 

 

 

Peace,

Mike

 

Edited June 17, 2018 by MikeQ

[WrathOfHan]

10 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

What a slow weekend thread for a record-crushing film. For a weekend that is as impressive as this, I'm somewhat surprised.

Not enough controversey

[YM!]

I can’t believe it’s Pixar (B- or lower)

20.) Cars 2 D

19.) The Good Dinosaur C-

18.) Monsters University C+

17.) Brave B-

 

B level Pixar

 

16.) A Bug’s Life B

15.) Finding Dory B

14.) Cars B

 

Das is Good

 

13.) Wall-E B+

12.) Toy Story B+

11.) Cars 3 A-

 

 

Cream of The Crop

 

10.) Toy Story 2 A

9.) Monsters Inc. A

8.) Incredibles 2 A

7.) Toy Story 3 A+

6.) Up A+

5.) Finding Nemo A+

4.) Inside Out A+

3.) The Incredibles A+

2.) Ratatouille A+

1.) Coco A+

[Rebeccas]

13 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

What a slow weekend thread for a record-crushing film. For a weekend that is as impressive as this, I'm somewhat surprised.

No RTH or EC updates. sad.

[SoSaysI]

15 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

What a slow weekend thread for a record-crushing film. For a weekend that is as impressive as this, I'm somewhat surprised.

Somehow despite Incredibles 2 absolutely killing it we have had very few updates or actual numbers to discuss.  

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Man that's sad that @Rthanos isn't here, but he's probably living real life. It's a truly incredible (ha) weekend for I2 though, didn't want to sound like trolling there, just surprised how slow it's been around here.

Edited June 17, 2018 by Jayhawk

[Asyulus]

1.) The Incredibles 2

2.) The Incredibles

3.) Toy Story 3

4.) Inside Out

5.) Coco

6.) Finding Dory

7.) Up

8.) Ratatouille

9.) Toy Story 2

10.) WALL-E

11.) Cars

12.) Finding Nemo

13.) Cars 2

14.) Cars 3

15.) Toy Story

16.) Brave