Thrylos 7 Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 2 hours ago, Fake said: JW Wednesday is down only 17-18% from Monday, which is decent. 60M weekend is possible. Thu: 11M (-9%) Fri: 18M (+63.6%) Sat: 24M (+33.3%) Sun: 18.5M (-23%) Wknd: 60M+, 380M finish. TI2 number is also decent and weekend looks to come in at 50M. Thu: 9.7M (-3%) Fri: 15M (+55%) Sat: 20M (+33.3%) Sun: 15.5M (-22.5%) Wknd: 50M+, 570M finish. Curious to see which one of the two is ahead next weekend, as I expect both to gross around 30M. Well it’s not like it had an impressive Monday to begin with. I agree with the rest , it seems that the ceiling for this is slowly lowering from 400 million to something like 380 million but maybe next week’s holiday will help it. I2 seems to be catching up , if the numbers hold (12 something million vs. 10 million). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 -69.5% drop from Sunday JW 1 dropped -65.4%.. I would say 3x multiplier is now probably dead. Let's see if it can get a sub 60% weekend hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 51 minutes ago, RealLyre said: -69.5% drop from Sunday JW 1 dropped -65.4%.. I would say 3x multiplier is now probably dead. Let's see if it can get a sub 60% weekend hold oh, so now it's dead? I hope it does 2.67-2.68x so we can start a fudge prayer circle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Some other Wednesday numbers Movie Gross % Change Theaters Total Gross Days - (3) Ocean’s 8 $1,535,000 -23% 3,656 $105,202,086 20 - (4) Tag $1,175,000 -22% 3,382 $34,188,753 13 - (6) Hereditary $561,027 -20% 2,002 $36,660,659 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said: It’s basically going to be an O/U 60% drop this weekend. Even with no real competition and the start of the holiday week, I'm thinking it's over...so many ways to see it cheap last weekend, and I haven't seen any such deals for this weekend (plus I have seen T Mobile Atom deals for all movies starting July 3, so what's waiting 3 days:)... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: Even with no real competition and the start of the holiday week, I'm thinking it's over...so many ways to see it cheap last weekend, and I haven't seen any such deals for this weekend (plus I have seen T Mobile Atom deals for all movies starting July 3, so what's waiting 3 days:)... Agreed. I have it dropping 60-61% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spatulashack Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 (edited) Fallen Kingdom with 12.3m is a Tuesday to Wednesday drop of 33%. I'd argue that's better than expected given the huge Tuesday. Wonder Woman: 35% drop from first Tuesday (14.3) to Wednesday (9.3). Deadpool 2: 35.2% drop from first Tuesday (12.4) to Wednesday (8.03) Thor: Ragnarok: 43% drop from first Tuesday (10.8) to Wednesday (6.1) Someone explain to me how a 33% drop on a Wednesday for FW is "ugly"? Edited June 28, 2018 by spatulashack 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La Binoche Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, sfran43 said: Good hold. Higher Wed than Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 12.267m Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom earned another $12.267 million on its sixth day of release, dropping a hearty 33% from its surprisingly robust Tuesday. https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2018/06/28/box-office-jurassic-world-fallen-kingdom-incredibles-chris-pratt-brad-bird-bryce-dallas-howard-disney-pixar/#3e2187ad3034 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 193.4 after Wed 11 Thu (-10.3%) gives 204.4 57 2nd weekend (-61.5%) gives 261.4 cume JW1 added 2.35x it's 2nd weekend to it's cume. But that weekend was inflated by FD Sunday. Can see 2.25x the 2nd weekend for JW2: 261.4 + 2.25*57 = 390 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 23 minutes ago, a2k said: 193.4 after Wed 11 Thu (-10.3%) gives 204.4 57 2nd weekend (-61.5%) gives 261.4 cume JW1 added 2.35x it's 2nd weekend to it's cume. But that weekend was inflated by FD Sunday. Can see 2.25x the 2nd weekend for JW2: 261.4 + 2.25*57 = 390 Is $390M dom enough for $1.2B WW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 28, 2018 Author Share Posted June 28, 2018 I put ugly in the headline because anything over 30% drop does look ugly. I realize other films have suffered the same fate on their first Wednesday, that doesn't mean their drops weren't ugly as well. I'm not hating on JWFK at all. I hope it makes it to 400 mill and to 1.2 bill. I just think the drop looks ugly. Bu I took it out of the title. I didn't mean to offend anyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 28, 2018 Author Share Posted June 28, 2018 10 minutes ago, RealLyre said: Is $390M dom enough for $1.2B WW I think so. It's holding well in China and it is having some good legs in some international territories. It also has Japan left to open in July and the last one did 70 million there. So imho, 1.2 is still possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 (edited) 20 minutes ago, RealLyre said: Is $390M dom enough for $1.2B WW 390 dom + 245 china = 635 needs 565 os-china. japan could do 45-50? then needs 515-520 os-china-japan. certainly possible. if it does 390 dom don't think it will go below 1175 ww. edit: china has a shot at 255-260. things will be clear in 3-4 days. so 245 is the least it should do. Edited June 28, 2018 by a2k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Watched fallen kingdom again last night. Still pretty enjoyable 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 28, 2018 Author Share Posted June 28, 2018 18 minutes ago, a2k said: 390 dom + 245 china = 635 needs 565 os-china. japan could do 45-50? then needs 515-520 os-china-japan. certainly possible. if it does 390 dom don't think it will go below 1175 ww. edit: china has a shot at 255-260. things will be clear in 3-4 days. so 245 is the least it should do. Japan could do 70-80. The first did 70 and the Asian markets have been very strong so far. So I think 50-60 is a bit low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 1 minute ago, baumer said: Japan could do 70-80. The first did 70 and the Asian markets have been very strong so far. So I think 50-60 is a bit low. that would be great and would make 1200 likely even with 380 dom. china should also make it to 250 (Even got it's run extended). 380 dom + 70 japan + 250 china + 500 rest of os = 1200 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 If FK reaches 1.2B, is that going to be better/worse/same drop as TLJ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Valonqar said: If FK reaches 1.2B, is that going to be better/worse/same drop as TLJ? I think a bit better. Since TLJ couldn’t rely on China and it failed there anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
