CAPTAIN MARVEL | 701.4 M overseas ● 1128.3 M worldwide

[cdsacken]

54 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I did some math, and IMO, we are heading for $695-700mn full run overseas. Coupled with $412-415mn domestically, gives $1107-1115mn worldwide.

 

Now that's number 23 of all time just above Skyfall.

 

Sounds about right. That's crazy.

 

Curious to see profitability on Aquaman vs CM. Assuming comes out ahead.

Edited April 11, 2019 by cdsacken

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, cdsacken said:

Sounds about right. That's crazy.

 

Curious to see profitability on Aquaman vs CM. Assuming comes out ahead.

CM - more profitable during theatrical and would continue to be more profitable if ancillaries followed B.O.

 

% of B.O. from Higher Domestic v Higher China

+ $30m difference in budget (on the low end)

 

 

[Cooper Legion]

6 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Sounds about right. That's crazy.

 

Curious to see profitability on Aquaman vs CM. Assuming comes out ahead.

Aquaman has a 99.9%+ chance to remain ahead worldwide.

 

Ah, misread. CM will have a higher theatrical revenue and lower costs, so it will almost definitely be more profitable.

Edited April 11, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Barnack]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

CM - more profitable during theatrical and would continue to be more profitable if ancillaries followed B.O.

 

% of B.O. from Higher Domestic v Higher China

+ $30m difference in budget (on the low end)

James Wan paycheck must be something quite giant also.

[cdsacken]

2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Aquaman has a 99.9%+ chance to remain ahead worldwide.

 

Ah, misread. CM will have a higher theatrical revenue and lower costs, so it will almost definitely be more profitable.

Yep, sorry for confusion. Aquaman also had 150 more from China. CM received more in OS- China which has a higher payout and it appears it will end up 80 million higher in DOM. Should be ahead by a decent amount.

[cdsacken]

4 minutes ago, Barnack said:

James Wan paycheck must be something quite giant also.

If it's not it's criminal. He did an amazing job!

[charlie Jatinder]

40 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Sounds about right. That's crazy.

 

Curious to see profitability on Aquaman vs CM. Assuming comes out ahead.

Obviously Captain Marvel will have bigger returns theatrically. It has $80mn lead ($44mn in rentals) in US, $30mn lead ($12mn in rentals) in OS-China but behind China by $143mn ($30mn rentals).

 

Overall Aquaman will lead by $30mn odd in gross but lag behind $25mn in studio revenue.

[cdsacken]

Just now, Charlie Jatinder said:

Obviously Captain Marvel will have bigger returns theatrically. It has $80mn lead ($44mn in rentals) in US, $30mn lead ($12mn in rentals) in OS-China but behind China by $143mn ($30mn rentals).

 

Overall Aquaman will lead by $30mn odd in gross but lag behind $25mn in studio revenue.

Yep China made a huge difference as well as DOM numbers.

[charlie Jatinder]

Now that I am thinking, Aquaman will be actually just $20mn ahead Captain Marvel not around $32mn. Aquaman since has bigger chunk in China, that includes $12mn of ticket booking charges more than Captain Marvel, that shouldn't be part of gross ideally.

[charlie Jatinder]

Captain Marvel Pakistan First Week pkr 42mn or $0.31mn. Full run shall be around pkr 63mn or $0.46mn.

 

Endgame pre-sales started and they are over the roof. A friend barely managed to get tickets for himself. Hopefully, it beat Furious 8 pkr 267mn to become biggest Hollywood film there.

 

Top 5 Hollywood films being

 

Ff8 267mn ($2.5mn)

Ff7 253mn ($2.5mn)

AIW 230mn ($2mn)

JWFK 161mn ($1.35mn)

MI:F 152mn ($1.25mn)

 

Edited April 12, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[Ent]

Quote

Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures International brass reported that Captain Marvel has amassed $669m

Source : https://www.screendaily.com/box-office/shazam-looks-to-extend-international-rule-as-hellboy-enters-fray/5138519.article

[MaxAggressor]

 

[Cooper Legion]

First time below the DOM wknd, no? We’ll see if that remains true with actuals. Looking maybe 415+695ish

Edited April 14, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[MaxAggressor]

 

[terrestrial]

7 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

First time below the DOM wknd, no? We’ll see if that remains true with actuals. Looking maybe 415+695ish

They say $8m OS for the weekend, dom got $8,626,000 as estimates

 

The last few weeks dom was always slightly over estimated, but OS a bit more underestimated. Might end with a parity

 

[cdsacken]

That's my guess as well. Not gonna buy 8.6 till I see it. Hope it true, still think 8.2 is likely which is still awesome.

Edited April 14, 2019 by cdsacken

[Cooper Legion]

3 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

They say $8m OS for the weekend, dom got $8,626,000 as estimates

 

The last few weeks dom was always slightly over estimated, but OS a bit more underestimated. Might end with a parity

 

Previously they’ve estimated Sunday DOM drops that looked too optimistic me, this one a smidge pessimistic imo. Should be 8.5-8.8, doubt OS rises enough % but it would be nice.

[cdsacken]

5 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Previously they’ve estimated Sunday DOM drops that looked too optimistic me, this one a smidge pessimistic imo. Should be 8.5-8.8, doubt OS rises enough % but it would be nice.

Wow really? Saturday number if accurate must be awesome then. 

[ZeeSoh]

On 4/7/2019 at 10:26 PM, ZeeSoh said:

 

Overall

Last week (25-31 March) - 47.714

This week (01-07 April) - 25.536

Drop - 46.48%

 

China

Last  week - 5.51

This week - 2.08

Drop - 62.25%

 

Without China

last week - 42.204

this week - 23.456

drop - 44.42%

 

Overall

Last week (01-01 April) - 25.536

This week (08-14 April) - 13.9

Drop - 45.567%

 

Without China

last week - 23.456

this week - 13.9

drop - 40.74%

 

China's run is over hence no China section for this week. A very good drop this week OS-ch. Next week should see a similarly low drop as well. Perhaps even lower as some people may go out to see it ahead of Endgame. How it holds during the week of Endgame's release is a question mark but if it doesnt completely collapse, or perhaps gets a boost, then 700 is within sight. 

[john2000]

4 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Overall

Last week (01-01 April) - 25.536

This week (08-14 April) - 13.9

Drop - 45.567%

 

Without China

last week - 23.456

this week - 13.9

drop - 40.74%

 

China's run is over hence no China section for this week. A very good drop this week OS-ch. Next week should see a similarly low drop as well. Perhaps even lower as some people may go out to see it ahead of Endgame. How it holds during the week of Endgame's release is a question mark but if it doesnt completely collapse, or perhaps gets a boost, then 700 is within sight. 

so maybe we are looking at around 35% for next week ? if i recall correctly the previous week had a drop of 45 and this week of 40 so maybe next around 35 ?