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Weekend Thread: Hunter Killer - $420K preview

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2 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Everyone, myself included, often makes the mistake of judging, based on paper, what will be the bigger hit but we all know that box office doesn't work that way. It's unpredictable. On paper, the A Space Epic Drama from the director of La La Land starring Ryan Gosling and a buzzed about young actress for an award winning show should have been a bigger hit than yet another remake of A Star is Born starring an actor directing his first film and an unusual pop star in her first lead film role. And yet here we are, living in a world where the opposite happened. The on paper sure thing project didn't work out. 

 

We all thought Venom would under perform as well and well it's done great. Box office is fun to follow because of these unpredictable occurrences. 

A Star Is Born is a modern update of a proven commercially successful formula. First Man is a biopic, a genre that could bore people.

In terms of star power, Bradley Cooper + Lady Gaga > Ryan Gosling + Claire Foy.

 

 

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Wonder how Indivisible is doing, considering how it is Moviepass's favorite new movie of the week. 

 

As for Hunter Killer, the low gross doesn't surprise. You can only make so many awful movie like Uncle's Facebook page...i mean London is Dead and Geostorm before people get tired of you. 

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13 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Can You Ever Forgive Me? is making very little noise in limited release so far, forgot it was even out. Weird for a very well reviewed movie that will probably deliver two very credible Oscar noms.

It's numbers so far are solid and FoxS will probably slowly roll it out to take advantage of Awards season.   A  drama that's strongest hook are the performances doesn't necessarily drive B.O.  Look at The Room & Still Alice (the later which opened during awards frenzy) that garnered Best Actress wins.  This so far is doing as well or better than those.

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3 hours ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

There is no quiet period. Box office is a year around contest now. It has done better than anybody thought it would. It has out performed all reasonable  expectations.

 

You're right for the most part, but Crazy Rich Asians for example benefited greatly from almost no competition. 

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1 hour ago, Neucentro said:

A Star Is Born is a modern update of a proven commercially successful formula. First Man is a biopic, a genre that could bore people.

In terms of star power, Bradley Cooper + Lady Gaga > Ryan Gosling + Claire Foy.

 

 

It's revisionist history to call it a guaranteed smash hit. Nobody was saying that before. People were making fun of the project for years and even spreading nasty rumors about how it was a disaster quality wise. Of course those rumors come with all WB movies now because people are so butt hurt about a few comic book movies sucking but still the rumors were out there.

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1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

It's numbers so far are solid and FoxS will probably slowly roll it out to take advantage of Awards season.   A  drama that's strongest hook are the performances doesn't necessarily drive B.O.  Look at The Room & Still Alice (the later which opened during awards frenzy) that garnered Best Actress wins.  This so far is doing as well or better than those.

Yes. Well-deserved Best Actress win.

 

 

 

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4 hours ago, La Binoche said:

What can we expect for Halloween on Oct 31? 

History shows it’s never that busy, people are out doing other stuff. Buuut it’s midweek this year and the film IS Halloween so maybe a nice bump followed by a massive Thursday drop. 

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I mean Suspiria kinda stacked the PTA deck by only being released in two theaters. Usually it is 4 for something like this. It is the best PTA though. Where is it going, absolutely fucking nowhere. You can't even play that movie on Long Island let alone a place like Omaha. It is strictly for a subset of the art house crowd and pretty much no one else. I am seeing asap.

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Solid hold for Halloween (given how big the opening was) and a great drop A Star is Born (which will definitely pass $200M if it comes close enough). In fact, there were pretty good drops for everything, perhaps unsurprising given that the openers were greeted with mostly disinterest (although Mid90s did fine considering the reviews were good but not that strong and there wasn't a hook to the movie beyond being Jonah Hill's directorial debut). Can You Ever Forgive Me? had a great expansion and should continue to post solid numbers, while Beautiful Boy is looking to stall between $3-4M. Suspiria posted a highly impressive PTA (though to be fair, it was in only 2 theaters and the LA location had in person Q&A appearances from Guadagnino/Johnson/Swinton after a few showtimes over the weekend which helped boost the numbers), but obviously it's DOA the moment it goes into 250 theaters next week.

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