sfran43 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 (edited) Edited December 30, 2018 by sfran43 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 (edited) Edited December 23, 2018 by MaxAggressor 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 (edited) UK is nearly half of that 20m OS. 17 markets : 9.4m UK + 10.6m 16 markets 19 markets to come looking at the "47% of marketplace" tweet. What's it looking at...125m OS? Edited December 23, 2018 by a2k 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, a2k said: UK is nearly half of that 20m OS. 17 markets : 9.4m UK + 11.6m 16 markets 19 markets to come looking at the "47% of marketplace" tweet. What's it looking at...125 OS? MPR should have a very leggy run with holidays. The Greatest Showman managed a 10x multiplier in the UK with a similar release date. I wouldn't be surprised if MPR does something similar in what is surely to be its biggest OS market. Musicals are almost always a success in Japan, and it normally is the highest or second highest OS market for live-action musicals. MPR is also a Disney film, so that is another plus in the market. With the right push, I can see $50+ million in Japan. Australia usually follows domestic interests in films, so I think it should be good for around $25 million. The rest of the markets are harder to predict. It will probably disappoint in all other non-English speaking territories. No China release apparently, not that it matters (it would almost certainly bomb). The Greatest Showman grossed about $105 million OS minus UK, Japan, Australia, and China. I think at least $200 million OS is possible, with a chance to go over $250 million OS. 4 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 The OW in Italy is pretty good! Should be a 400M WW grosser if it does what it's supposed to do during the holidays. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 (edited) Not looking great for Marry Poppins Oh well, it'll be profitable I guess, the budget doesn't seem high. Edited December 23, 2018 by Fullbuster 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 2 hours ago, Omni said: The OW in Italy is pretty good! Should be a 400M WW grosser if it does what it's supposed to do during the holidays. Well, the budget is just $ 130M... so + 400M will be a good result Much lower than almost everyone here [including myself] was expecting, but still a good result Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 #7 OW of 2018 in UK with £8.2m three-day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimmyRiggins Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 15 hours ago, ThomasNicole said: Well, the budget is just $ 130M... so + 400M will be a good result Much lower than almost everyone here [including myself] was expecting, but still a good result Everyone was delusional about those 400 M + domestic predictions alone. It will do well, it's a musical after all, so there's a limit to how big it can be. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny G Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 15 hours ago, ThomasNicole said: Well, the budget is just $ 130M... so + 400M will be a good result Much lower than almost everyone here [including myself] was expecting, but still a good result $400M is absolutely not happening. This will do slightly better than Into the Woods, so around $250M $300M top Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaxAggressor Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 https://deadline.com/2018/12/aquaman-bumblebee-spider-man-into-the-spider-verse-mary-poppins-returns-china-global-international-box-office-1202525382/ Also strong was the start in Italy where Mary took No. 1 with $2.8M and topped fellow Blunt-starrer Into The Woods by 117%, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again by 111%, The Greatest Showman by 23% and La La Land by 19%. France’s $2M was ahead of Into The Woods, Showman and Mamma Mia 2. Germany, with $1.9M, topped Woods, La La and Showman. In both Spain ($1.4M) and Belgium ($500K), Mary Poppins Returns opened at No. 2. For a family pic, Brazil’s $500K is disappointing. Next weekend adds Mexico, along with Scandinavia and some of Asia (Mary will not be going to China as it’s just not a fit for the market). Later on, Australia, Russia, Japan and Korea chime in. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 (edited) nvm Edited December 26, 2018 by peludo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 (edited) Edited December 30, 2018 by sfran43 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 MARY POPPINS RETURNS Walt Disney Studios Disney’s sequel rose by 11% in Europe, taking advantage of the holidays and led by the UK with a $29.6M cume. Overall, the weekend brought in $28.9M from 37 markets for a $74.4M overseas cume and $173.3M globally. The UK and Italy gave Mary the No. 1 slots again. In the UK, she’s got 39% market share (triple the nearest competitor) and is 130% above the leggy The Greatest Showman, 31% over Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle and in line with The Hobbit. Italy’s $11.2M total takes Mary over La La Land’s lifetime in the market. Elsewhere, MPR saw great holds: Poland (+161%), Netherlands (+76%), France (+55%), Switzerland (+28%), Belgium (+25%), Austria (+24%), Germany (+41%) and Spain (-14%). The second Brazil weekend fell by 20% after a slow start last frame. Below the UK and Italy, France ($6.2M), Germany ($5.7M) and Spain ($5.1M) round out the Top 5. Next up are notably Australia and Russia in the coming week, followed by Japan on February 1 and Korea on February 14. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 Mary Poppins Returns has crossed $250m worldwide after a $38m session enabled the family tentpole to float up to $257.9m. A $23m session from 47 territories resulted in a $119.2m international running total. The film starring Emily Blunt has crossed $100m in Europe and finished 2018 as the tenth highest release in the UK, where it held on to number one in the third weekend and stands at $43.7m. Poppins debuted in Australia on January 1 and has taken $5m, while Russia has delivered $2.2m after four days. After the UK, Italy places second on the leaderboard on $14m, followed by France on $9.5m, Germany on $8.3m, Spain on $7.7m, then Australia, followed by Mexico on $3.4m, and Belgium on $2.1m. Source: Screen Daily Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 (edited) I think 240M OS (with 50M from Japan) and 205M DOM 445M WW (almost half of my initial prediction for the movie) Edited January 7, 2019 by PanaMovie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 I stand by my 400M projection. Post-holidays multiplier from European markets will be rather weak, and Japan won't do that much. Also, domestically it's stopping in the 180s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted January 7, 2019 Share Posted January 7, 2019 425 ww is a reasonable target. Will give strong theatrical returns considering China's portion of the gross is nill and yet the movie is looking at 3.25x the prod budget. Goes without saying that a lot of us including me had MPR doing 300-400+ dom itself. That note is perpetually attached to any post singing MPR's boxoffice praise on BOT. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 23 hours ago, a2k said: 425 ww is a reasonable target. Will give strong theatrical returns considering China's portion of the gross is nill and yet the movie is looking at 3.25x the prod budget. Goes without saying that a lot of us including me had MPR doing 300-400+ dom itself. That note is perpetually attached to any post singing MPR's boxoffice praise on BOT. Me too 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
