US WEEKEND THREAD: Record 70.25 OW (highest grossing OW for an original horror)

[MCKillswitch123]

Why are people bummed that an original horror movie is doing 6M in previews? I don't care if there was potential for a lot more, it's still a fucking original horror film sold entirely on the Jordan Peele hype post-Get Out, and it's gonna nearly double GO's opening. I think that's phenomenal, actually. Say what you will about Blumhouse, but even Happy Death Day 2U - which was, by all accounts, a gigantic disappointment compared to expectations - turned a big profit at the end of the day.

 

(And as for Pet Sematary, 30's opening sounds about right, yeah.... especially if Shazam doesn't break out beyond 50-60 range.)

[Eric Loves Rey]

2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

Pet Sematary should do something like 35M with good legs and I think La Llorona does about 25M and falls off a cliff in weekend 2.

WB really screwed the pooch with La Llorona tbh. It was going to fall off a cliff no matter what, but they should have announced much earlier this took place in The Conjuring Universe instead of randomly announcing it with little fanfare (also premiering it at SXSW to a lukewarm response). With the branding, it could have at least came close to the Annabelle movies in terms of OW.

[filmlover]

April 5 is gonna be a good weekend between Shazam and Pet Sematary. Add in Dumbo, Us, and Captain Marvel still making money and the box office is officially alive again.

Edited March 22, 2019 by filmlover

[Eric Loves Rey]

Just now, filmlover said:

April 5 is gonna be a good weekend between Shazam and Pet Sematary. Add in Dumbo, Us, and Captain Marvel still making money and the box office is officially alive again.

To reference a D**ney hit

 

 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

EXCLUSIVE, writethru Friday AM after Thursday 9:05PM update: Jordan Peele’s Us is now looking forward to a $6M+ Thursday night. That beats the preview nights of The Nun ($5.4M), A Quiet Place ($4.3M), and it’s just under the midnight previews of Paranormal Activity 2 ($6.3M, 31% of its $20.1M Friday for a $40.6M three-day). There’s buzz Us might even be at $7M, but Universal hasn’t made that official yet.

[Eric Loves Rey]

Also, some demographics Deadline just posted

 

Quote

Early ComScore/Screen Engine PostTrak numbers from last night show those under 25 giving Us its best score at 85%; they turned up at 37%. Those over 25 came out at 63%. Demo turnout in order: M25+ (32%), F25+ (31%), M25- (20%), and F25- (17%). Current definite recommend is 58%. Caucasian turned up at 39%, African Americans at 30% (they enjoyed Us at 80% positive), Hispanics at 19% (82% positive) and Asian at 7%.

 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, CoolEric258 said:

To reference a D**ney hit

 

 

Aren't there rumors of a Greatest Showman sequel coming down the road lol? That thing's gonna be hhuuuuggggeeee if they make it. 

[sfran43]

 

[That One Girl]

Boom.  Mic drop.

 

74M weekend if it does 10x its previews, but there’s definitely room for it to do more

[stripe]

WOW

 

INCREDIBLE number!

 

Deadline and the awfully funny early guesses... 

Edited March 22, 2019 by stripe

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

“4+“

[filmlover]

$70M+ weekend here we go!

[That One Girl]

5 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Also, some demographics Deadline just posted

 

 

 

Seems like reception is positive and that is also skews over 25.  Both of these bode well for legs.

[Legion Again]

Fandango works after all?

[Cmasterclay]

Now that's what I'm talking about. It's still below my 8m prediction but much, much better. I predicted it would do 10x its preview for an OW of 80m, so I'll naturally lower that to 74m.

[stripe]

5 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

“4+“

 

Obviously they only threw that number thinking it would normally do more or less the same as AQP or The Nun.

 

WRONG!!!!

[That One Girl]

Following AQP:

 

7.4M

25.1M (32.5 Fri.)

32.9M

21.1M

 

86.5M OW

Edited March 22, 2019 by That One Guy

[MCKillswitch123]

Wow, it hit nearly the same Thursday preview number as Halloween, which is massive considering Halloween was a franchise entry with decades of pent up nostalgia and an opening date relatively close to its name-sake holiday. Have a feeling it will either touch or cross 200M DOM.

 

Safe to say.....

 

[Eric Loves Rey]

nvm TOG stole my thunder

Edited March 22, 2019 by CoolEric258

[Eric Loves Rey]

@That One Guy

 

If it follows A Quiet Place and generates an 86.5M OW, it would only need about 3.39x legs to pass Sixth Sense. That's in the realm of possibility, but not a certainty. It really depends on its second weekend drop and how much impact Pet Sematary has on its third weekend.