JonathanLB Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 Go see John Wick 3. I don't care if you like it or not, really, I just want to make sure we get a John Wick 4 and since it isn't officially green lit, well, gotta see some box office results I really enjoyed 3, though. I love them all! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: At this moment, Avatar ain't locked. I am seeing a probable finish of $2.775 Billion and that can go lower as I am being optimistic a bit. However, all it needs is one weekend to correct the course. So let's hope this is that weekend and we have sub 50% drop this weekend internationally and Domestically. still disney could probably push it past avatar if it is that close, either way pass avatar or not endgame already passed even the most optimistic expactations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 (edited) 48 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: At this moment, Avatar ain't locked. I am seeing a probable finish of $2.775 Billion and that can go lower as I am being optimistic a bit, but all it needs is one weekend to correct the course. If it gets around $2750b, Disney will push it. Yes they own Avatar, but having Endgame to top it kind of feels like a no brainer at this point. I’m not worried about getting there. Btw, @baumer @a2k EDIT: Nevermind I know that you usually don’t go through the international bo threads, but correct me if I’m wrong here: BOM updated the OS numbers yesterday, 05/15: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=marvel2019.htm There are no breakdown of the numbers tho. Am I crazy for thinking these numbers often come incomplete, only to get updated with actuals usually by mondays? We know for sure that China numbers at the very least aren’t there, for example. Edited May 17, 2019 by ZattMurdock 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said: If it gets around $2750b, Disney will push it. Yes they own Avatar, but having Endgame to top it kind of feels like a no brainer at this point. I’m not worried about getting there. Btw, @baumer @a2k I know that you usually don’t go through the international bo threads, but correct me if I’m wrong here: BOM updated the OS numbers yesterday, 05/15: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=marvel2019.htm There are no breakdown of the numbers tho. Am I crazy for thinking these numbers often come incomplete, only to get updated with actuals? We know for sure that China numbers at the very least aren’t there, for example. BOM update includes China. Basically, the movie will end Thursday with 1.800B OS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 (edited) 35 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said: BOM update includes China. Basically, the movie will end Thursday with 1.800B OS. Thanks for breaking the weekdays numbers for me, mate! Edited May 17, 2019 by ZattMurdock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 27 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: At this moment, Avatar ain't locked. I am seeing a probable finish of $2.775 Billion and that can go lower as I am being optimistic a bit. However, all it needs is one weekend to correct the course. So let's hope this is that weekend and we have sub 50% drop this weekend internationally and Domestically. I think ~ 50% for both is enough. 30M DOM and 41M OS. 850M DOM + 637M China + 1.300B OS-China = 2.787B already Which markets do you see coming lower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 (edited) @nguyenkhoi282 Jatinder has a pretty good spreadsheet with his projections here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eEaG17pnLrg98zE84fWvvu_oVCucn0333xLm4QoxbEs/htmlview# Edited May 17, 2019 by ZattMurdock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 17, 2019 Author Share Posted May 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said: I think ~ 50% for both is enough. 30M DOM and 41M OS. 850M DOM + 637M China + 1.300B OS-China = 2.787B already Which markets do you see coming lower? OS-C around 1280mn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Juby said: Ha! So I was right on Monday, that Endgame will have smaller Wednesday and Thursday than Infinity War had. Ooh I didn’t realise that. 26 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: Go see John Wick 3. I don't care if you like it or not, really, I just want to make sure we get a John Wick 4 and since it isn't officially green lit, well, gotta see some box office results I really enjoyed 3, though. I love them all! I’m going tomorrow lol. I thought they planned just to leave it as a trilogy though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said: I think ~ 50% for both is enough. 30M DOM and 41M OS. 850M DOM + 637M China + 1.300B OS-China = 2.787B already Which markets do you see coming lower? You still think DOM can hit 850M ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: OS-C around 1280mn. Hm, i thought it is trending on par with IW. It'll be at 1.185M by Thursday, probably add 40M through the weekend to touch 1.225B. Infinity War added a raw amount of 73M after its 4th OS-China weekend. That takes it close to 1.300B. Do you see this weekend coming in lower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said: You still think DOM can hit 850M ???? As long as this weekend is 30-31M, i can still see it getting there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 17, 2019 Author Share Posted May 17, 2019 Actuals AEG 3.4 PDP 2.7 Hustle 0.795 Poms 0.49 7 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Actuals AEG 3.4 PDP 2.7 Hustle 0.795 Poms 0.49 Glad that the numbers stayed leveled with the estimates. Holding out hopes for sub-50% weekends for both Endgame and Pikachu, even in the wake of Wick. Edited May 17, 2019 by MCKillswitch123 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 17, 2019 Author Share Posted May 17, 2019 The best case for weekend IMO 7.66 13.79 10.10 31.55 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 16 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Actuals AEG 3.4 PDP 2.7 Hustle 0.795 Poms 0.49 Amazing that it was able to hold to $3.4m. If it’s over / under IW’s $3.4m at same period of time it’s splitting hairs at this point. I do expect this dom weekend to start holding better, especially because this year we don’t have something like Deadpool 2 against it, plus I think Canada has a holiday next Monday so that could help soft the blow of the Sunday somewhat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 17, 2019 Author Share Posted May 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said: Canada I just realised that Endgame had bigger drop last weekend in Canada than US. Of what I noticed, Canada has better legs than US. Reason IMO being Ryan Reynolds in Pikachu. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: The best case for weekend IMO 7.66 13.79 10.10 31.55 I was running some comps with IW and I actually think that $7.6-7.8m Fri would be the best case scenarios. Around 54-51% drops from last Fri. 7 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: I just realised that Endgame had bigger drop last weekend in Canada than US. Of what I noticed, Canada has better legs than US. Reason IMO being Ryan Reynolds in Pikachu. Ha Nice trivia Edited May 17, 2019 by ZattMurdock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 28 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: The best case for weekend IMO 7.66 13.79 10.10 31.55 Need 30.6M for 772M sharp. Doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andreas Posted May 17, 2019 Share Posted May 17, 2019 42 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said: Need 30.6M for 772M sharp. Doable. What would 772M mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
