Heretic Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 Probably still Rogue One, but it looks like it could be much closer than expected. FB is heading for around £50-52m, Rogue One I'd say £55-60m currently, but a lot can change. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 Also, @Heretic, never doubt my prediction powers again when it comes to UK BO 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 16, 2016 Author Share Posted December 16, 2016 £55-60m might be a bit high actually. Tonight is busy but not as busy as I thought, not even seeing many sellouts. Weird. I'd say a 4-day around £17m, and maybe £50-55m total. I hope FB manages to edge R1 out. How incredible that would be. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 4 hours ago, terrestrial said: Ian Sandwell @ian_sandwell 2 Min.Vor 2 Minuten Estimated £4m opening day for Rogue One: A Star Wars Story in the UK. should end up just over 4.1 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 It can still get to £55-60m because of Christmas holidays, I don't see huge drops happening until Mid January £17m in December is still fantastic, only TFA has done better and that was an anomaly in terms of December openings 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 2 minutes ago, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said: should end up just over 4.1 members at dom weekend thread write rather long prayers for your presence btw, Never seen something similar. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan9 Posted December 16, 2016 Share Posted December 16, 2016 I feel that number is about expected. Lots of excitement obviously, but in comparison to TFA a lot want to gauge the reaction first. I think Rogue One is great but it's not for 'everyone', and the trailers hinted as such. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Fri looking be around 3.6 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dandeak2000 Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Is that Friday number good? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 17, 2016 Author Share Posted December 17, 2016 (edited) It's okay. TFA also dropped on Friday, it was easily its lowest day of the whole 4 days because of midnights. Today should be around £4.5m. Heading for a 4-day of about £16-17m, ~ 50% drop from TFA. In dollars it'll be way more as the pound has plummeted this year since Brexit. Probably just scrape $20m, compared to TFA's $50.7m. Edited December 17, 2016 by Heretic 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 holidays should help R1 but its going to be close between FB and R1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 R! Fr-Su looking around 12.5 so about 50% of TFA 17 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 6 hours ago, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said: R! Fr-Su looking around 12.5 so about 50% of TFA That is amazing considering friday was just 3.6. So saturday must be atleast £5m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Ian Sandwell @ian_sandwell 55s55 seconds ago Rogue One: A Star Wars Story lands with estimated £16.8m debut in the UK, biggest opening of year but not biggest Fri-Sun. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice 3m3 minutes ago ROGUE ONE scored $135.5M overseas. UK ($21M) GER ($12M) OZ ($11M) FRA ($10M) JPN ($8M) RUS ($5.6M) BRZ ($5.3M) MEX ($5.1M) ESP ($4.5M) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 18, 2016 Author Share Posted December 18, 2016 Literally half of TFA. Good opening, we'll see how legs are over Christmas, but I can't see it missing £50m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 18, 2016 Author Share Posted December 18, 2016 (edited) One important thing to mention is that the vast majority of schools are still in. Most break up for Christmas holidays on Wednesday or Thursday, so weekdays won't be particularly strong until then, just business as normal. ALSO. To avoid panic next weekend when drops are huge, cinemas are closed on Christmas Day in the UK, and Christmas Eve showings end in the evening compared to late at night, so expect some massive drops. Christmas Eve is quite a weak day regardless. Rogue One for example is going to drop at LEAST 65-70% as it's essentially going from a 4-day weekend to a 1.75 day weekend. It'll recover after that and probably increase the following weekend. Edited December 18, 2016 by Heretic 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hw64 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 5 minutes ago, Heretic said: One important thing to mention is that the vast majority of schools are still in. Most break up for Christmas holidays on Wednesday or Thursday, so weekdays won't be particularly strong until then, just business as normal. ALSO. To avoid panic next weekend when drops are huge, cinemas are closed on Christmas Day in the UK, and Christmas Eve showings end in the evening compared to late at night, so expect some massive drops. Rogue One for example is going to drop at LEAST 65-70% as it's essentially going from a 4-day weekend to a 1.75 day weekend. It'll recover after that and probably increase the following weekend. All of this was the same for TFA last year though, so if we're making comparisons between the two it should be fine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 18, 2016 Author Share Posted December 18, 2016 (edited) 3 minutes ago, hw64 said: All of this was the same for TFA last year though, so if we're making comparisons between the two it should be fine. Schools were off the week after TFA opened so it'll be different there. But for the weekend yes, TFA also had Christmas eve and Christmas Day, and fell 70%, so I guess similar can be expected for RO. Edited December 18, 2016 by Heretic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 NEW BOX OFFICE THEORY POLL : DON'T HESITATE TO TELL US WHERE YOU COME FROM IN THIS THREAD -> Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
