The Marvels | November 10, 2023 | Abandon All Hope Ye Who Enter

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

5 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

 

I NEVER SAID IT WAS OPENING TO $40M!!! I’ve been clear about my $75M-$95M OW prediction for about two months. As someone who thought the Flash was going to blow past $100M, a CBM underperforming big time just wouldn’t shock me anymore. 

Too late r/boxoffice found this.

[ChipDerby]

22 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

Because one person mentioned it as a possibility I know who in here is gonna be like "You all said it was gonna open to $40 million!" and act like it's a win no matter what happens opening weekend.

 

Well then don't say stupid shit.

[HummingLemon496]

THE MARVELS $120M OW TRUST THE PROCESS!!!!

[CoolioD1]

That was the empire city move. to take the absolute lowest number someone mentioned and be like "all of you morons thought it was gonna open to this. Only I the absolute genius thought it would open higher and I was right". Have noticed multiple here adopting this one when it suits them.

[Mr Terrific]

Just now, CoolioD1 said:

That was the empire city move. to take the absolute lowest number someone mentioned and be like "all of you morons thought it was gonna open to this. Only I the absolute genius thought it would open higher and I was right". Have noticed multiple here adopting this one when it suits them.

Who?

[HummingLemon496]

MCU has a floor. This would need Morbius level reviews to open to fuckin $40 million lmaooo. 

Edited October 9, 2023 by HummingLemon496

[Eric is Quiet]

Moderation

 

Okay, we're done here. A lot of you are desperately twisting FlatLannister's words around, he has specifically stated he thinks 40M is only a tiny, miniscule chance, and it isn't funny anymore. Continue this conversation further and you will see a threadban.

[Valonqar]

46 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

I don't see how $40m can happen given the MCU fanbase. The only way I could see that happening is if they release reviews early and they are Quantumania tier, but I don't think reviews will be anywhere near that bad.

 

A more realistic low-tier would be Black Adam range, so in the $60m-$70m range. If reviews and WOM are good I see $80m-$90m.

 

Exactly. I don't know if some fans go overboard with lowballing to claim incredible overperformance later or are just joking but it's mathematically improbable to lose that many fans in such a short time since both QM and Vol 3 opened with over 100M. I think it's fair to expect that kind of opening for TM. 

 

 

[HummingLemon496]

Edited October 9, 2023 by HummingLemon496

[Maggie]

When do presales start?

[HummingLemon496]

1 minute ago, Maggie said:

When do presales start?

On Tuesday

 

I'm high on Marvels 120m ow

[Bob Train]

2 minutes ago, Maggie said:

When do presales start?

Tomorrow. I am hoping for maximum chaos. A few meltdowns would be nice. Gonna be a fun day.

[Maggie]

80M seems reasonable for OW imo.

[PlatnumRoyce]

$80M OW predictions sound bad and seem like an implicit vindication of stronger versions of Endgame hype hypothesis. People really aren't expecting stuff above "baseline for good, non breakout MCU origin story?"  

 

We'll see if people still say that in a day or two but I don't see a way to spin the lower range of numbers people are floating. 

Edited October 9, 2023 by PlatnumRoyce

[Liiviig 1998]

At this rate with some of the predictions I'm seeing here 75m will be considered "ok"   due to lowered expectations  esp if presales tommorrow start off weak(sub 14m)  when In reality it would be like 50% drop  off from the original and just not good at all.

[Arlborn]

9 minutes ago, PlatnumRoyce said:

$80M OW predictions sound bad and seem like an implicit vindication of stronger versions of Endgame hype hypothesis. People really aren't expecting stuff above "baseline for good, non breakout MCU origin story?"  

 

We'll see if people still say that in a day or two but I don't see a way to spin the lower range of numbers people are floating. 

I think there's some of that in these predictions, but a lot of what I gather from this thread is that people really got burned by MCU  with Quantumania and somehow see Captain Marvel 2 as a similar deal while they saw GOG3 as its own thing, kinda? That's the vibe I'm getting anyway.

 

The only way I see it getting numbers as low as that are if reviews and WOM vindicates people who think this will have similar quality to Quantumania.

[HummingLemon496]

Remember when Doctor Strange did $90 million in its opening DAY? This will be lucky to do that in its opening weekend. 

[Zakiyyah6]

I just can't imagine The Marvels opening with less than 100M. It's not that I think every Marvel movie will do that, I just expect this particular film to. Do I think it opens with 153.4M like the first film? Heck, no but 100-110M opening weekend? Sure. The total depends on word of mouth. I'm thinking like 110M with a 250-300M finish.

[ZattMurdock]

Something something MCU fatigue, delusional fanboys, fight for true cinema.

 

 

https://x.com/deadline/status/1711476620824121588?s=61&t=IxAPf6aOIGwNVv2fD812oQ

 

https://deadline.com/2023/10/loki-season-2-premiere-viewership-disney-1235568080/

[Rocketracoon]

Feel like the short runtime will actually help The Marvels with the GA feeling it will open at like $100-110 million