emoviefan Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Just watched the skit. LOL. 100 million OW confirmed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ando Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 That skit is some solid free marketing. Nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaltyPistola Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 No Doritos tie-in 🥶Movie is looking like a flop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Not that I ever truly doubted, but I'm slowly getting sucked into the hype on this one. - The goodwill from the first movie (in its initial release and streaming) - No HBO Max or piracy this time - The increased star power of Timothee Chalamet (and Zendaya) - The fact that February is a barren desert for new releases 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 53 minutes ago, JWR said: Not that I ever truly doubted, but I'm slowly getting sucked into the hype on this one. - The goodwill from the first movie (in its initial release and streaming) - No HBO Max or piracy this time - The increased star power of Timothee Chalamet (and Zendaya) - The fact that February is a barren desert for new releases I was trying to decide if just saying $102M DOM OW would make me a nut...decided it might:)... In hype factors, you also forget the build toward Dune in Feb - there is now both the rerelease of the original and the rerelease of the remake hitting theaters in Feb, both being hyped before this hits... It's gonna be a boulder rolling downhill and picking up steam - it's the movie event to start 2024. If I hadn't blown Color Purple so badly (another movie, like Dune 2, out of my wheelhouse), I'd be WAY more confident. But I am at least confident enough that everyone is thinking too low ($50 OW as even in the possible range - nah) to let Shawn know to come on board and start thinking higher than he is... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 (edited) 21 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: I was trying to decide if just saying $102M DOM OW would make me a nut...decided it might:)... In hype factors, you also forget the build toward Dune in Feb - there is now both the rerelease of the original and the rerelease of the remake hitting theaters in Feb, both being hyped before this hits... It's gonna be a boulder rolling downhill and picking up steam - it's the movie event to start 2024. If I hadn't blown Color Purple so badly (another movie, like Dune 2, out of my wheelhouse), I'd be WAY more confident. But I am at least confident enough that everyone is thinking too low ($50 OW as even in the possible range - nah) to let Shawn know to come on board and start thinking higher than he is... That, too. People who maybe missed out on the initial hype now have the chance to discover it. The first movie is going to be fresh on their minds, which will help going into the coming weeks. I think anywhere between $55-100M OW is possible here. Edited February 5 by JWR 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Viral skit. Nolan compares it to ESB. Yep, 100M+ OW is happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warmaster506 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 100+ is happening. I just need to get one of the popcorn buckets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Last Man Standing Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 This may be the best solution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Worked really well for American Sniper and Breaking Dawn: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Last Man Standing Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 4 hours ago, Valonqar said: Viral skit. Nolan compares it to ESB. Yep, 100M+ OW is happening. $67-$71M 🤷♂️ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WittyUsername Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I’ve been saying that the only real way to handle Alia would be to make her CGI. The character is supposed to be creepy and off-putting anyway, so it should work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 35 minutes ago, M37 said: $67-$71M 🤷♂️ You're too low. Sometimes, tracking is gonna be on point. I don't think this is one of those times:). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ando Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, M37 said: $67-$71M 🤷♂️ This seems about right. Maybe it can inch up a bit higher after good reviews and more marketing/Superbowl. But I would be very happy with that opening. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wild Eric Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 28 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: You're too low. Sometimes, tracking is gonna be on point. I don't think this is one of those times:). Nah. I trust M37 with my life and I can't be disappointed. Not for my baby. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 (edited) 56 minutes ago, WittyUsername said: I’ve been saying that the only real way to handle Alia would be to make her CGI. The character is supposed to be creepy and off-putting anyway, so it should work. She's only creepy because she's an adult mind in a child's body but otherwise she was very sad that everyone was scared of her. Most tragic character in Atreides saga later on (Children of Dune). 😢 Edited February 5 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WittyUsername Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 4 minutes ago, Valonqar said: She's only creepy because she's an adult mind in a child's body but otherwise she was very sad that everyone was scared of her. Most tragic character in Atreides saga later on (Children of Dune). 😢 Isn’t she 2-4 years old in the first book? A literal toddler who talks and behaves like a grown adult would definitely approach uncanny valley territory, so they might as well embrace the weirdness of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 (edited) Based on data so far, yeah, 70M is the likely number for OW It doesn’t really have that much competition, it’s more action heavy than the first movie and should get great reception all around, so i think it can get 200M DOM with this opening. Edited February 5 by ThomasNicole Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMC Theaters Enjoyer Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 70M has been what I’ve been expecting for a while. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...