The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[TalismanRing]

NYC Regal, Local,  (5:30pm)

 

DR STRANGE 2 (Tues/5.2.22/22 screens)

224/774 (3D)
609/920 (RPX)
925/4017 (2D)

Total = 1758/ 5751

 

COMPS

Don't have any good Tues Comps

 

Eternals: $57m

AEG:  $26.7m (Monday) /  $21.73m (Wed)

SM:NWH:  $32.77 (Monday) / $25.15m (Wed)

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

CORRECTION

 

Top Gun: Maverick has now passed Jurassic World: Dominion's first day of sales locally!

 

===

 

Just got done setting up my sheets and as of a few minutes ago, it was sitting at 889/35597 (2.50% sold).

 

For comparison, F9 sold 393 tickets in its entire first day and JW sold 715.

 

Not strictly apples to apples for more reasons than I care to list, but... yeah.  Seems there was something of a fan rush for this flick.  See how many more tickets it sells today/rest of the pre-sale run.

 

NB: Tue sales aren't even all that large locally at 185/2477.  A decent chunk, yes; but not overwhelmingly so.

Best comp may be NTTD

[Brainbug]

I dont always know how to interpret these numbers, but these sales for Dominion look solid in the context of the movie not beeing out for another month i think? @Inceptionzq?

Edited May 3, 2022 by Brainbug the Dinosaur

[Porthos]

9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Best comp may be NTTD

 

Was already planning on using it along with maaaaaybe Dune.  

 

Thinking F9, JW:D, NTTD, and maybe Dune should give a nice rounded picture.

 

(FWIW, it's already at 3.2x NTTD's first day, but slightly complicated there as I didn't catch a couple of early access showings until Day 3 of the track [those showings only had 81 tickets sold by the time I caught them on Day 3, so nbd IMO])

Edited May 3, 2022 by Porthos

[ThomasNicole]

Top Gun seems like a winner, nice seeing doing well on presales.

 

Hopefully the surge in covid cases these past days and the new subvariants won´t impact the movie, since a considerable part of it´s audience is older people.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Awesome start, I've been on the Top Gun train and even more confident now. 

[Brainbug]

9 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

Awesome start, I've been on the Top Gun train and even more confident now. 

 

Im at the stage where i can see a 90M+ 3-Day and i really hope it happens. Memorial Day Weekend didnt deserve the kind of films it had to endure in the 2010s.

[Menor the Destroyer]

9 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

Im at the stage where i can see a 90M+ 3-Day and i really hope it happens. Memorial Day Weekend didnt deserve the kind of films it had to endure in the 2010s.

90 is rookie numbers. I've been at 110 and so no reason to back down now. 

Edited May 3, 2022 by Menor Reborn

[XXR & Friends]

5 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

90 is rookie numbers. I've been at 110 and so no reason to back down now. 

110 is for peasants. I’ve been at 125 since I started writing this comment. 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1946

3886

50.08%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1565

3859

40.55%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
10812	820	42457	25.47%	15	302

 

AMCs sold	5925
Cinemarks sold	1897
Regals sold	1740
Harkins sold	1250

 

1.98x Batman T-3 (42.69M)

0.660x NWH T-3 (33.02M)

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2082

4434

46.96%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1650

4478

36.85%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
11871	1059	43728	27.15%	15	326

 

AMCs sold	6322
Cinemarks sold	2108
Regals sold	2029
Harkins sold	1412

 

1.90x Batman T-2 (41.02M)

0.674x NWH T-2 (33.69M)

[BruiseCruise]

Paramount about to get hit #4 by May

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-3 Thursday(207 showings): 12812(+1144)/49305

1.98x Batman T-3 (42.74M)

0.560x NWH T-3 (28.00M)

 

T-4 Friday(310 showings): 8875(+1084)/76922

2.11x Batman T-4 (73.89M)

0.487x NWH T-4 (35.02M)

 

T-5 Saturday(298 showings): 5684(+1000)/71940

2.49x Batman T-5 (107.56M)

0.470x NWH T-5 (34.73M)

 

T-6 Sunday(277 showings): 1542(+241)/67700

2.83x Batman T-6 (96.59M)

0.526x NWH T-6 (33.79M)

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-2 Thursday(233 showings): 14085(+1273)/53813

1.87x Batman T-2 (40.35M)

0.582x NWH T-2 (29.10M)

 

T-3 Friday(335 showings): 10422(+1547)/81372

1.99x Batman T-3 (69.52M)

0.518x NWH T-3 (37.28M)

 

T-4 Saturday(329 showings): 6801(+1117)/79373

2.29x Batman T-4 (98.96M)

0.499x NWH T-4 (36.84M)

 

T-5 Sunday(318 showings): 1750(+208)/77168

2.42x Batman T-5 (82.63M)

0.517x NWH T-5 (33.13M)

[Maggie]

1 minute ago, BruiseCruise said:

Paramount about to get hit #4 by May

Why did they fire Jim Gianoplos????

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-3 Thursday(280 showings): 23187(+1269)/38307 ATP: $15.17

1.66x Batman T-3 (35.87M)

0.812x NWH T-3 (40.60M)

 

T-4 Friday(364 showings): 22137(+1639)/50659 ATP: $14.91

1.45x Batman T-4 (50.81M)

0.814x NWH T-4 (58.53M)

 

T-5 Saturday(369 showings): 23540(+1667)/51910 ATP: $14.43

1.45x Batman T-5 (62.73M)

0.841x NWH T-5 (62.15M)

 

T-6 Sunday(331 showings): 13690(+1262)/46838 ATP: $14.26

1.64x Batman T-6 (56.11M)

0.837x NWH T-6 (53.75M)

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-2 Thursday(365 showings): 25693(+2506)/45813 ATP: $15.10

1.61x Batman T-2 (34.69M)

0.871x NWH T-2 (43.55M)

 

T-3 Friday(528 showings): 25866(+3729)/66460 ATP: $14.80

1.39x Batman T-3 (48.51M)

 

T-4 Saturday(537 showings): 27411(+3871)/68116 ATP: $14.40

1.40x Batman T-4 (60.58M)

 

T-5 Sunday(473 showings): 15878(+2188)/60772 ATP: $14.16

1.55x Batman T-5 (52.77M)

0.921x NWH T-5 (59.08M)

 

No NWH comps for Friday and Saturday. The scrapper wasn't working for those days.

[Tinalera]

58 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Was already planning on using it along with maaaaaybe Dune.  

 

Thinking F9, JW:D, NTTD, and maybe Dune should give a nice rounded picture.

 

(FWIW, it's already at 3.2x NTTD's first day, but slightly complicated there as I didn't catch a couple of early access showings until Day 3 of the track [those showings only had 81 tickets sold by the time I caught them on Day 3, so nbd IMO])

Presales have hit Cineplex so I guess I start another count tomorrow....

[Inceptionzq]

1 hour ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

I dont always know how to interpret these numbers, but these sales for Dominion look solid in the context of the movie not beeing out for another month i think? @Inceptionzq?

Yeah they look good to me. The tickets are spread really well across the weekend so far, which I think is a good sign. And in Denver, even if it only averaged like 15 tickets per day for the next 3 weeks, the F9 Thursday comp would be 23.12M. I think it can average a little better than that too.

[Grebacio]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

Was already planning on using it along with maaaaaybe Dune.  

 

Thinking F9, JW:D, NTTD, and maybe Dune should give a nice rounded picture.

 

(FWIW, it's already at 3.2x NTTD's first day, but slightly complicated there as I didn't catch a couple of early access showings until Day 3 of the track [those showings only had 81 tickets sold by the time I caught them on Day 3, so nbd IMO])

I'd use F9, NTTD, GB:Afterlife, and maaaaybe The Batman?

[Menor the Destroyer]

31 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-2 Thursday(365 showings): 25693(+2506)/45813 ATP: $15.10

1.61x Batman T-2 (34.69M)

0.871x NWH T-2 (43.55M)

 

T-3 Friday(528 showings): 25866(+3729)/66460 ATP: $14.80

1.39x Batman T-3 (48.51M)

 

T-4 Saturday(537 showings): 27411(+3871)/68116 ATP: $14.40

1.40x Batman T-4 (60.58M)

 

T-5 Sunday(473 showings): 15878(+2188)/60772 ATP: $14.16

1.55x Batman T-5 (52.77M)

0.921x NWH T-5 (59.08M)

 

No NWH comps for Friday and Saturday. The scrapper wasn't working for those days.

Drafthouse is weirdly insane for this movie, wtf

[misterpepp]

43 minutes ago, BruiseCruise said:

Paramount about to get hit #4 by May

 

Won't this be 5? Scream, Jackass, Lost City, Sonic, and Top Gun?

[Porthos]

14 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

I'd use F9, NTTD, GB:Afterlife, and maaaaybe The Batman?

 

If I use a CBM, I'm actually leaning a bit more toward Black Widow for not very interesting reasons.  Mostly pre-sale window length and not quite the same level of up-front sales as some more recent CBMs.