The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Thor Love and Thunder Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

810

3809

21.27%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

776

4985

15.57%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3665	195	37793	9.70%	15	233

 

AMCs sold	2656
Cinemarks sold	472
Regals sold	296
Harkins sold	241

 

0.329x NWH Day 3 (16.46M)

 

Unfortunately no Doctor Strange or Batman comps today. But it looks like Thor should be really close to the daily increase of Doctor Strange now. The two day increase was 316 for DS, so Thor needs to sell 121 over the next 24 hours to match that. But even if it doesn't, it'll be really close and looking good.

Thor Love and Thunder Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

837

3809

21.97%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

806

4985

16.17%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3823	158	37793	10.12%	15	233

 

AMCs sold	2741
Cinemarks sold	508
Regals sold	315
Harkins sold	259

 

0.660x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (23.75M)

1.26x Batman Day 4 (27.24M)

0.327x NWH Day 4 (16.36M)

 

The two day pace of Thor is outpacing Doctor Strange here. Bodes well if it can keep it up. Next time I count, which won't be for several days, I'll go to the T-X comps

Edited June 17, 2022 by Inceptionzq
Crossed wires and was thinking Thor and not DS was the one with the longer sales period…

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 minute ago, Inceptionzq said:

The two day pace of Thor is outpacing Doctor Strange here.

 

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Thor Love and Thunder Megaplex

 

T-21 Thursday(190 showings): 3267(+209)/47563

0.202x NWH Day 3 (10.10M)

 

T-22 Friday(258 showings): 1606(+141)/67683

0.151x NWH Day 3 (10.88M)

 

T-23 Saturday(264 showings): 773(+77)/69227

0.156x NWH Day 3 (11.52M)

 

T-24 Sunday(253 showings): 212(+21)/68879

0.223x NWH Day 3 (14.32M)

Thor Love and Thunder Megaplex

 

T-20 Thursday(190 showings): 3421(+154)/47563

0.582x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (20.94M)

0.905x Batman Day 4 (19.54M)

0.205x NWH Day 4 (10.27M)

 

T-21 Friday(258 showings): 1721(+115)/67683

0.626x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (34.23M)

1.49x Batman Day 4 (52.29M)

0.150x NWH Day 4 (10.79M)

 

T-22 Saturday(264 showings): 828(+55)/69227

0.599x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (34.64M)

1.47x Batman Day 4 (63.40M)

0.152x NWH Day 4 (11.20M)

 

T-23 Sunday(253 showings): 255(+43)/68879

0.773x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (30.05M)

2.38x Batman Day 4 (81.36M)

0.236x NWH Day 4 (15.14M)

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Thor Love and Thunder Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-21 Thursday(158 showings): 9359(+101)/24113 ATP: $15.29

0.410x NWH Day 3 (20.50M)

 

T-22 Friday(215 showings): 6795(+271)/32768 ATP: $15.40

0.366x NWH Day 3 (26.34M)

 

T-23 Saturday(223 showings): 6029(+189)/34207 ATP: $14.67

0.375x NWH Day 3 (27.69M)

 

T-24 Sunday(205 showings): 2864(+93)/31606 ATP: $14.28

0.400x NWH Day 3 (25.65M)

 

Really weak increases here. Hopefully just a fluke

Thor Love and Thunder Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-20 Thursday(158 showings): 9925(+566)/24113 ATP: $15.27

0.741x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (26.67M)

1.39x Batman Day 4 (24.50M)

0.423x NWH Day 4 (21.16M)

 

T-21 Friday(215 showings): 7301(+506)/32768 ATP: $15.36

0.700x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (38.30M)

1.08x Batman Day 4 (37.90M)

0.378x NWH Day 4 (27.17M)

 

T-22 Saturday(223 showings): 6596(+567)/34207 ATP: $14.67

0.636x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (36.80M)

1.16x Batman Day 4 (50.26M)

0.380x NWH Day 4 (28.07M)

 

T-23 Sunday(205 showings): 3208(+344)/31606 ATP: $14.23

0.757x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (29.46)

1.40x Batman Day 4 (47.78M)

0.402x NWH Day 4 (25.78M)

 

Yeah seems to have been a fluke yesterday or something was wrong with some showings(though there seemed to be no noticeable errors when I checked the data). 

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/16/2022 at 3:09 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Lightyear Megaplex

 

T-1 Friday(290 showings): 2404(+672)/66239

1.10x Ghostbusters T-1 (13.35M)

 

T-2 Saturday(294 showings): 1816(+370)/65722

1.07x Ghostbusters T-2 (17.66M)

 

T-3 Sunday(282 showings): 550(+168)/65514

1.25x Ghostbusters T-3 (13.62M)

Lightyear Megaplex

 

T-1 Saturday(294 showings): 2641(+825)/65722

1.12x Ghostbusters T-1 (18.43M)

1.10x Lightyear Friday T-1

 

T-2 Sunday(282 showings): 862(+312)/65514

1.50x Ghostbusters T-2 (16.40M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/16/2022 at 3:04 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Lightyear Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-1 Friday(311 showings): 6249(+1424)/37706

1.04x Ghostbusters T-1 (12.68M)

 

T-2 Saturday(335 showings): 4943(+918)/39670

0.857x Ghostbusters T-2 (14.08M)

 

T-3 Sunday(290 showings): 4090(+850)/36040

1.45x Ghostbusters T-3 (15.83M)

Lightyear Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-1 Saturday(335 showings): 7352(+2409)/40235

0.966x Ghostbusters T-1 (15.87M)

1.18x Lightyear Friday T-1

 

T-2 Sunday(290 showings): 5568(+1478)/36270

1.48x Ghostbusters T-2 (16.18M)

[filmlover]

Re: the Elvis/Black Phone projection, the numbers now are probably closer to what they'll be making ($50M+ opening for Elvis felt like a possibility a few weeks ago but it just doesn't feel like it's gonna happen). That said, both are being set for solid runs at least.

 

Gotta admit at first was amused by the "covering all the bases" ($48-85M) early total projection for Crawdads but such is the unpredictable nature of book adaptations (like Broadway adaptations, they tend to go either way, with the misses being more notable than the hits). However, a number around the middle of that of $60-70M total would actually be a really strong result for a drama with zero star power and a minor highlight in a tentpole-dominated summer.

Edited June 18, 2022 by filmlover

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Cinemark has added the XD showtimes for Elvis finally today. No fan event yet but the 310 XD on 24th has sold 4 tickets which isn't bad here 

[ZackM]

Removing my first Thor tracking because I found some issues with it.

Edited June 19, 2022 by ZackM
Removed bad data.

[Eric Prime]

On 6/16/2022 at 12:47 AM, Eric Lightyear said:

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	120	118	26275	0.45%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 9

 

Comp

0.245x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-15 (1.53M)

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	120	144	26275	0.55%

 

Total Seats Sold the Past Two Days: 26

 

Comp

0.266x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-13 (1.66M)

 

Yeah I forgot to get my charts up last time. Whoops! But I still recorded yesterday and today seperately, and better late then never.

[Eric Prime]

On 6/16/2022 at 12:51 AM, Eric Lightyear said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	184	4218	34283	12.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 120

 

Comp

0.507x of Doctor Strange 2 T-22 (18.26M)

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	184	4587	34283	13.38%

 

Total Seats Sold the Past Two Days: 369

 

Comp

1.147x of The Batman T-20 (24.78M)

0.527x of Doctor Strange 2 T-20 (18.99M)

[Eric Prime]

On 6/16/2022 at 12:55 AM, Eric Lightyear said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-36 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	108	11053	0.98%

 

Total Seats LOST Today: -1

 

I forgot to publish this last night, but it sold nothing yesterday and...lost one ticket today. Preeeeeeeeeety boring.

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-34 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	120	11053	1.09%

 

Total Seats Sold the Past Two Days: 12

[charlie Jatinder]

22 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

minions: The Rise of Gru Harkins T-14 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
292	75,707	453	0.60%	$5,389	$11.90

 

Comps

0.497x Shang Chi T-14 days - $4.22M

 

Not a good comp considering Shang Chi is a CBM but it under-indexed here sort of, so may be it cancel outs. BUT... being $4.2M comp with a CBM is a really great number. Minions just like Lightyear will over-index here. 

 

The first number I had for Lightyear is T-8 days, so that will be a good comp. Lightyear was 747 including EA. Minions can surely add that much in next 6 days and will likely have more walkins than Lightyear. So $5M+ previews are certainly possible.

Minions: The Rise of Gru Harkins T-13 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
292	75,707	497	0.66%	$5,898	$11.87

 

Comps

0.444x Shang Chi T-13 days - $3.78M

 

Hmm. That's bit more relieving because $4.2M against a CBM this far out looked too big. Added 44 since yday. Can def catch with Lightyear T-8 days. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Elvis Harkins T-6 Days

 

Day	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Early Access	7	2,283	1,019	44.63%	$15,478	$15.19
Thursday	99	23,679	509	2.15%	$5,664	$11.13
Total	106	25,962	1,528	5.89%	$21,142	$13.84

 

Comps

0.66x Shang Chi T-6 Days - $5.60M (THU only $1.88M)

1.51x The Suicide Squad T-6 Days (California only) - $6.21M (THU only $1.34M)

 

Big early access screenings which have deflated THU in the chain. The pace is quite strong as well, added 400 in last 2 days.

[THUNDER BIRD]

Chances of Minnions outdoing Lightyear? 

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	24811	25197	386	1.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

12

 

T-14 Comp

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	122.54		40	315		0/108	16380/16695	1.89%		9196	4.20%		5.51m
Sonic 2	76.59		44	504		0/76	11162/11666	4.32%		5847	6.60%		4.79m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:        40/5129  [0.78% sold]
Matinee:    22/2080  [1.06% | 5.70% of all tickets sold]

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	24778	25197	419	1.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

33

 

T-13 Comp

	%		Sold T-13	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	115.11		49	364		0/108	16331/16695	2.18%		9196	4.56%		5.18m
Sonic 2	75.91		48	552		0/80	11703/12255	4.50%		5847	7.17%		4.74m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:         47/5129  [0.92% sold]
Matinee:    22/2080  [1.06% | 5.25% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-21 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	26309	31600	5291	16.74%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

231

 

Day 4 Comps  

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	33.53		511	15779		0/298	20647/36426	43.32%		28183	18.77%		16.77m
Batman	150.40		126	3518		0/248	28780/32298	10.89%		11757	45.00%		32.49m
MoM	65.26		285	8107		0/329	32809/40916	19.81%		21117	25.06%		23.50m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-21 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-21	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Batman	183.65		2406	2881		0/248	29316/32197	8.95%		11757	45.00%		39.67m
MoM	57.93		187	9134		0/329	31774/40908	22.33%		21117	25.06%		20.85m

 

T-21 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-21	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	258.82		94	1865		0/105	16753/18618	10.02%		9196	57.54%		35.77m
L&T (adj)			203	4827		0/188	21476/26303	18.35%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  L&T (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

Regal:        485/4831  [10.04% sold]
Matinee:    232/2566  [9.04% | 4.38% of all tickets sold]

 

---

 

Switching over to T-x comps, as flawed as they'll be, exclusively starting tomorrow..

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	26075	31600	5525	17.48%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

234

 

T-20 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Batman	170.79		354	3235		0/248	29063/32298	10.02%		11757	46.99%		36.89m
MoM	59.63		132	9266		0/329	31642/40908	22.65%		21117	26.16%		21.47m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

 

T-20 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	259.94		77	1942		0/105	16676/18618	10.43%		9196	60.08%		35.93m
L&T (adj)			221	5048		0/188	21255/26303	19.19%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  L&T (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:         506/4831  [10.47% sold]
Matinee:    240/2566  [9.35% | 4.34% of all tickets sold]

[charlie Jatinder]

31 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Batman - 36.89m

STOP THE COUNT

Edited June 18, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/17/2022 at 12:49 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-21 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
416	104,985	7,850	7.48%	$105,309	$13.42

 

Really solid day. Added 401 new sales. 9K need 1150 in 4 days. Still tough but may be it will do it. If it actually do that, will be almost matching DSitMoM daily pace for next 4 days, which is really strong as in theory Thor/DSitMoM will keep increasing, so we may actually see Thor going over DSitMoM daily pace at some point of time.

 

But this is better done than just saying now.

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-20 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
416	104,985	8,248	7.86%	$110,322	$13.38

 

Another good day. Added 398 new sales. 9K need 752 in 3 days now. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-6	Jax	6	16	9	43	1,959	2.19%
		Phx	5	13	8	45	2,108	2.13%
		Ral	7	18	0	47	1,933	2.43%
	Total		18	47	17	135	6,000	2.25%
Black Phone (EA)	T-5	Jax	1	1	0	0	194	0.00%
		Ral	2	2	4	18	306	5.88%
	Total		3	3	4	18	500	3.60%
Elvis	T-6	Jax	7	27	2	132	4,689	2.82%
		Phx	6	16	6	118	2,103	5.61%
		Ral	8	20	6	113	2,074	5.45%
	Total		21	63	14	363	8,866	4.09%
Elvis (EA)	T-5	Jax	2	2	5	90	403	22.33%
	Total		2	2	5	90	403	22.33%
Minions 2	T-13	Jax	6	101	6	80	16,556	0.48%
		Phx	6	66	-2	96	12,191	0.79%
		Ral	8	52	15	111	6,699	1.66%
	Total		20	219	19	287	35,446	0.81%
Nope	T-34	Jax	7	51	5	40	8,591	0.47%
		Phx	6	20	-2	60	4,344	1.38%
		Ral	8	25	-2	48	3,411	1.41%
	Total		21	96	1	148	16,346	0.91%
Thor 4	T-20	Jax	7	112	57	1,184	17,265	6.86%
		Phx	6	111	69	1,609	18,041	8.92%
		Ral	8	61	67	1,395	8,164	17.09%
	Total		21	284	193	4,188	43,470	9.63%

 

Black Phone (Thu) T-6 comps

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - Morbius - .161x (918k)

 - Suicide Squad - .318x (1.3m)

 - Halloween Kills - missed

 

Elvis (Thu) T-6 comps

 - No Time to Die - missed

 - F9 - .362x (2.47m)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - FB3 - .278x (1.67m)

 

Minions 2 T-13 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .797x (3.97m)

 - FB3 - .486x (2.91m)

 

Not even gonna try for Nope.  The earliest horror I tracked was Black Phone that had 24 tickets sold in its first day.  Historically horror is not heavy on presales so I normally wait until the week before release to start tracking.  I'll keep it in the updates but probably no comps for a few weeks at least.

 

Thor 4 T-20 comps

 - Dr. Strange 2 - .483x (17.38m)

 - Batman - 2.27x (39.97m)

 - Black Widow - 2.93x (38.69m)

 - JW3 - 1.97x (35.44m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-5	Jax	6	16	0	43	1,959	2.19%
		Phx	5	13	16	61	2,108	2.89%
		Ral	7	17	6	53	1,842	2.88%
	Total		18	46	22	157	5,909	2.66%
Black Phone (EA)	T-4	Jax	1	1	2	2	194	1.03%
		Ral	2	2	1	19	306	6.21%
	Total		3	3	3	21	500	4.20%
Elvis	T-5	Jax	7	27	28	160	4,689	3.41%
		Phx	6	16	4	122	2,103	5.80%
		Ral	8	19	22	135	1,983	6.81%
	Total		21	62	54	417	8,775	4.75%
Elvis (EA)	T-4	Jax	1	1	16	94	403	26.30%
Minions 2	T-12	Jax	6	101	4	84	16,556	0.51%
		Phx	6	66	8	104	12,191	0.85%
		Ral	8	52	8	119	6,699	1.78%
	Total		20	219	20	307	35,446	0.87%
Nope	T-33	Jax	7	51	0	40	8,591	0.47%
		Phx	6	20	2	62	4,344	1.43%
		Ral	8	25	1	49	3,411	1.44%
	Total		21	96	3	151	16,346	0.92%
Thor 4	T-19	Jax	7	112	36	1,220	17,265	7.07%
		Phx	6	111	80	1,689	18,041	9.36%
		Ral	8	63	71	1,466	8,326	17.61%
	Total		21	286	187	4,375	43,632	10.03%

 

Black Phone (Thu) T-5 comps

 - Candyman - 1.495x (2.84m)

 - Firestarter - 4.76x (1.78m)

 - Resident Evil (Tue) - 2.15x (2.01m)

 - Halloween Kills - missed

 

FINALLY some horror comps.  I think these will come down a bit until the last few days, but I could be wrong.

 

Elvis (Thu) T-5 comps

 - Dear Evan Hansen - 6.62x (3.97m)

 - F9 - .366x (2.6m)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - Lost City - 1.96x (4.89m)

 

I'm struggling for comps here.  Thinking it'll rely heavily on an older demo, but I don't have many of those.  Downton would be good but two full days of previews screws that up as a comp.

 

Minions 2 T-12 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .812x (4.04m)

 - FB3 - .464x (2.78m)

 - Ghostbusters (Thu) - .74x (3.07m)

 - Shang-Chi - .404x (3.56m)

Spoiler

Boss Baby 2 - 76.75x (100.54m)

 

Nope T-33 comp

 - JW-D - .098x (1.77m)

 

It's something I guess

 

Thor 4 T-19 comps

 - Dr. Strange 2 - missed

 - Batman - missed

 - Black Widow - 2.88x (38.02m)

 - JW3 - 1.99x (35.88m)

Edited June 18, 2022 by katnisscinnaplex