The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[M37]

20 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

I noticed something odd when running No Way Home, so I decided to take a look at showtimes for next weekend.

 

Full weekend

TC - 1,010

MTC1 - 193

MTC2 - 194

MTC3 - 323

Shows - 8,724

PLF - 1,799

 

Nothing out of the ordinary there.  But when I look at the breakdown...

 

Movie	TC	MTC1	MTC2	MTC3	Shows	PLF
NWH Th	942	189	177	299	1,777	484
NWH Fr	890	186	191	300	2,391	650
NWH Sa	135	0	0	33	419	0
NWH Su	869	185	188	293	2,338	665

 

What's going on Saturday??

I don’t want to speak out of turn, so I’ll just say my sources tell me it’s not exclusive to NWH, and details should be coming out no later than Monday (it’s a good thing 😉)

[Eric Prime]

Yeah, September 3rd is empty across the board at all the theaters I'm tracking. You can buy tickets for NWH or Jaws or Honk for Jesus on any other day that weekend except the 3rd. I have to assume there's some sort of protest or boycott happening, because that is super weird.

[motionpic05]

The September 3rd closure seems to be for everywhere... Regal/ AMC, etc

What's going on?

[charlie Jatinder]

50 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

I noticed something odd when running No Way Home, so I decided to take a look at showtimes for next weekend.

 

Full weekend

TC - 1,010

MTC1 - 193

MTC2 - 194

MTC3 - 323

Shows - 8,724

PLF - 1,799

 

Nothing out of the ordinary there.  But when I look at the breakdown...

 

Movie	TC	MTC1	MTC2	MTC3	Shows	PLF
NWH Th	942	189	177	299	1,777	484
NWH Fr	890	186	191	300	2,391	650
NWH Sa	135	0	0	33	419	0
NWH Su	869	185	188	293	2,338	665

 

What's going on Saturday??

MTC 1 should be a lot higher no?

[filmlover]

You can buy private watch parties for September 3 at a number of the theaters I've checked out but nothing on sale for the movies coming out that weekend that day yet. Maybe it's a glitch in the systems, who knows.

[motionpic05]

7 minutes ago, filmlover said:

You can buy private watch parties for September 3 at a number of the theaters I've checked out but nothing on sale for the movies coming out that weekend that day yet. Maybe it's a glitch in the systems, who knows.

Probably the most likely reason.

If a protest happened, it would make more sense if it was just Regal or AMC, not both.

[M37]

47 minutes ago, M37 said:

I don’t want to speak out of turn, so I’ll just say my sources tell me it’s not exclusive to NWH, and details should be coming out no later than Monday (it’s a good thing 😉)

41 minutes ago, Eric the Genie said:

I have to assume there's some sort of protest or boycott happening

19 minutes ago, motionpic05 said:

The September 3rd closure

15 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Maybe it's a glitch in the systems

 

 

The reality is I'm now on the outside of the industry looking in, which means 1) while I may "know" things from contacts, I don't usually have have access to full details and 2) last thing I want to do is get anyone in trouble for leaking not-yet-public information. So again, from what I have been told, that tickets are not currently on sale for Sat 9/3 is a GOOD THING, nothing to panic about - theaters will be open - and expect some kind of announcement in a few days

[charlie Jatinder]

Are they doing some sort of DISCOUNT day? $3-4 tix?

[filmlover]

20 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Are they doing some sort of DISCOUNT day? $3-4 tix?

With how bleak the box office is about to get now might be a good time to try and lure people in however they can.

[John2015]

How is "Honk for Jesus" doing in pre-sales? The film is getting the biggest TV marketing campaign from Focus (since "Downton Abbey 2").  and the TV spots frequently use Jordan Peele's name to sell the film.

[I love this movie]

13 hours ago, Eric the Genie said:

Three Thousand Years of Longing Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	106	3581	2.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

 

Comp

0.433x of Last Night in Soho T-2 (303K)

0.991x of Ambulance T-2 (693K)

0.286x of The Northman T-2 (387K)

0.165x of Elvis T-2 (577K)

0.736x of Beast T-2 (681K)

How do I read this? In a simple way. I don't understand the "Comp" section. 

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Are they doing some sort of DISCOUNT day? $3-4 tix?

Yep. $3 movie tix on Sep 3. National Cinema Day.

Edited August 24, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[VanillaSkies]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yep. $3 movie tix on Sep 3. National Cinema Day.

This is amazing. 
Now studios will really fight for screens that weekend cause it could be a boon. $3 tickets, sure, but packed houses at that price can still make a dent for a film like Thor or Nope that is on its last legs. 

[el sid]

The Invitation, counted today at 11am EST for Thursday, August 25:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 42 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 4 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 3 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 7 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 27 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 87 (5 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 176.
Up good 83% since Monday.
Comps (all on Wednesday for Thursday): The Forever Purge had 168 sold tickets,

The Invisible Man had 628 sold tickets

and Beast had 218 sold tickets.

The Invitation, counted today at 11am EST for Friday, August 26:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 54 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 6 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 7 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 7 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 26 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 63 (6 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 167.
Up very good 92% since Monday (but of course on a low level).
Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Friday): Ready or Not (8M OW but it started on Wednesday so I guess normally it would have reached 10M) had 186 sold tickets,

Beast (11.6M OW) had 202 sold tickets,

Malignant (5.4M OW) had 167 sold tickets,

The Night House had 72 sold tickets,

Old (16.9M OW) had 262 sold tickets

and The Invisible Man (28.2M OW) had 628 (indeed the same number).

Idk, the jumps are decent but the best comp probably is Ready or Not and its presales are a bit worse at the moment.

 

Three Thousand Years of Longing counted today at 11am EST for Thursday, August 25:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 19 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 11 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 120 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 41 (3 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 194.

Up ok 52% since Monday.
Comps (both counted on Wednesday for Thursday): The Lost City had on Wednesday for Thursday 520 sold tickets

and Mr. Malcom's List had 15 sold tickets in 4 theaters.

Cyrano had 87 sold tickets on Thursday for Thursday (= final counting).

 

Three Thousand Years of Longing counted today at 11am EST for Friday, August 26:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 8 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 16 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 4 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 78 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 31 (6 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 139.

Up also ok 48% since Monday.
Comps (both counted on Wednesday for Friday): The Lost City had 519 sold tickets

and Mr. Malcolm's List had 31 sold tickets in 4 theaters.
Cyrano had on Thursday for Friday 104 sold tickets.

 

The presales still aren't bad but the sales are very uneven (the AMC Metreon is good for more than half of the total tickets). No film with mass appeal I guess.

[abracadabra1998]

On 8/23/2022 at 12:42 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Twin Cities Thursday Previews Report:

 

Three Thousand Years of Longing (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 11 theaters	23	25	106	2881	3.68

 

Comp:

1.37x Beast: $1.27 M

 

Lost a bit of ground to Beast, but it's still selling decently here (compared to my very meager expectations).

 

The Invitation (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 11 theaters	27	1	27	3512	0.77

 

Comp:

0.35x Beast: $320k

 

Doing horribly in Minnesota so far.

 

Twin Cities Thursday Previews Report:

 

Three Thousand Years of Longing:

Day: T-1	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 12 theaters	25	24	130	2986	4.35

 

Comp:

1.2x Beast: $1.11M

 

The Invitation (T-1):

Day: T-1	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 14 theaters	37	44	71	4755	1.49

 

Comp:

0.66x Beast: $610k

 

Finally a good day for The Invitation, I see no reason for this to be pre-sales heavy but it's still a nice jump. Still don't see this crack $10 M from my numbers, but I think this will underindex in the Midwest anyway. For Three Thousand Years, meh pace.

[Krissykins]

3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yep. $3 movie tix on Sep 3. National Cinema Day.

That worked extremely well here in the UK earlier this year, and it was just one chain that did it. 
 

Sing 2 sold out every single showing at my local that day and it had already been out for 5 full weekends. 

[Porthos]

7 hours ago, I love this movie said:

How do I read this? In a simple way. I don't understand the "Comp" section. 

 

Second post in this thread has a good overview on how to read comps.

 

 

 

(Of course I am slightly biased here )

[Issac Newton]

Film	Distributor	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, August 28	Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	% Change from Last Wknd
The Invitation	Sony / TriStar Pictures	$9,000,000	$9,000,000	~3,000	NEW
Beast	Universal Pictures	$6,400,000	$22,200,000	~3,743	-45%
Bullet Train	Sony Pictures	$5,700,000	$78,400,000	~3,300	-29%
Top Gun: Maverick	Paramount Pictures	$5,500,000	$692,400,000	~2,800	-7%
DC League of Super-Pets	Warner Bros. Pictures	$5,000,000	$75,400,000	~3,100	-12%
Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero	Sony & Crunchyroll	$4,800,000	$31,600,000	~2,900	-77%
Thor: Love and Thunder	Disney & Marvel Studios	$3,400,000	$337,500,000	~2,500	-16%
Minions: The Rise of Gru	Universal & Illumination Animation	$3,300,000	$355,800,000	~2,500	-11%
Three Thousand Years of Longing	United Artists Releasing & MGM	$3,000,000	$3,000,000	~2,500	NEW
Where the Crawdads Sing	Sony 3000 Pictures	$2,600,000	$82,300,000	~2,200	-19%

[filmlover]

Variety:

 

Box Office: The Invitation, Three Hundred Years of Longing to Open - Variety

 

The Invitation: $7M

[filmlover]

With the box office looking to be boring the next few weeks, I decided to check the holiday schedule after Shazam's delay and this is what December looks like now:

 

2: Violent Night

9: House Party

14-16: Avatar, A Man Called Otto, wide expansion for Spoiler Alert

21-Christmas Day: Puss in Boots, I Wanna Dance with Somebody, wide expansion for Women Talking, wide expansion for Empire of Light? (I assume Searchlight will be bowing it in limited on the 9th), Babylon in limited (expands everywhere January 6).

 

Honestly, this looks much more manageable than last Christmas (where in addition to Spider-Man you also had Matrix 4, Sing 2, West Side Story, etc. fighting for screen space) and many Decembers before. Month is clearly set up for Avatar domination with other movies looking to work as viable counterprogramming.