The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[SchumacherFTW]

1 hour ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

still bad/sad, when Avatar special edition did 4 million in 800 theaters it was out of the top 10 domestic ow

Very different theatrical environment though

[TwoMisfits]

6 hours ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

ticket sales look great tomorrow, lots of screenings 80% full for weeks old movies , considering this was advertised for less than a week its insane

 

As I've said all year, families are very price sensitive, since they buy multiple tickets at a time.  You find the right price, they will be there for movies.

 

It's why leaving them out of the movie subscription model has been and still is crazy.

 

[John2015]

4 hours ago, A Star is Delayed said:

Honk for Jesus, Save your Money.

This film got bad Cinemascore rating because it is not a mainstream film, not because it is a bad film.

 

Many Focus Features films got bad CInemascore rating.  like "The American" got D-, "Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind" got B-.

Edited September 3, 2022 by John2015

[M37]

17 hours ago, M37 said:

With that said, am expecting essentially a super-sized Discount Tuesday effect, where family and senior/adult movies (Pets, Minions, Thor, TGM, Crawdads, etc) are the biggest beneficiaries.

Having some time this morning, decided to do a tracking pull to see if this expectation is holding up. Had originally planned to do a full count of the Tampa/St Pete market ... but there were way too may ticket sales to do that manually. So instead decided to just focus on the AMC Veterans 24, by far the most presale heavy location in the market, and with enough screens to play just about everything. For reasons I don't understand, they chose not to run extended hours for Cinema Day, with the first show not starting until 1PM.  Anyway, results are here, as of 9AM, sorted by total sales:

 

Title	# Shows	Capacity	# Sold	% Sold
Bullet Train	8	639	516	80.8%
Top Gun Maverick	4	552	373	67.6%
No Way Home (Dolby)	3	705	332	47.1%
Super Pets*	3	309	309	100.0%
Invitation	4	460	277	60.2%
Dragonball	4	648	209	32.3%
Jaws (IMAX)	4	1552	201	13.0%
Thor	4	196	179	91.3%
Beast	4	232	165	71.1%
Minions	4	160	153	95.6%
Elvis	3	147	123	83.7%
Nope	4	196	103	52.6%
Honk For Jesus	4	308	95	30.8%
Crawdads	2	104	91	87.5%
Gigi & Nate	4	147	90	61.2%
Orphan First Kill	3	156	88	56.4%
Breaking	4	164	83	50.6%
3000 Years	4	172	75	43.6%
Black Phone	2	104	73	70.2%
Jaws (3D)	3	207	67	32.4%
No Way Home	3	156	62	39.7%
E.T.	2	98	60	61.2%
Bodies	2	98	53	54.1%
The Fall	2	98	47	48.0%
Jurassic: Dominion	1	52	37	71.2%
Mack & Rita	2	98	37	37.8%
Easter Sunday	1	49	24	49.0%
TOTAL	88	7807	3922	50.2%
TOTAL (exl IMAX)	84	6255	3721	59.5%

 

*Super Pets is already marked as sold out for the entire day and couldn't be counted, but I'm pretty sure I figured out which auditorium it has for the 3 shows

 

Looking at both total sales and capacity, it does appear we're getting a similar effect as Discount Tuesday, with the added bonus that PLF shows are grabbing a lot of seats at the $3 price point, which makes sense given they typically still have an upcharge on Tuesdays. And yes, you are reading that correctly: 60% of all seats (excluding the IMAX) have already been sold as of 9am for this location. Good luck to them ...

 

Between lack of extended hours (not just this location, unfortunately) and supply constraints vs potential demand in auditorium assignments - Super Pets for example is blowing up everywhere but in a lot of small/medium auditoriums - the lack of efficiency in the market as compared to a single tentpole opener like NWH or even Thor likely means we don't reach $20M gross / 7M admits for today. But 6M+ is still probably on the table

Edited September 3, 2022 by M37

[Old Spice]

Yikes, that Jaws % sold number. Pets, Thor, and Minions could have made good use of that space.

 

Similar situation here in Salt Lake, though Pets has benefitted from a lot of screen additions over the past 48 hours. The number I will be reporting in about 90 minutes is pretty bonkers.

 

[Old Spice]

1 hour ago, John2015 said:

This film got bad Cinemascore rating because it is not a mainstream film, not because it is a bad film.

 

Many Focus Features films got bad CInemascore rating.  like "The American" got D-, "Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind" got B-.

When I saw Eternal Sunshine in the theater years ago, people who'd been expecting another Ace Ventura turn from Jim Carrey started to head for the exits about 40 minutes in, and all told probably two dozen- over half the crowd-  just got up and left. I'd never experienced that at a movie before.

 

It remains in my all-time Top 5.

[M37]

10 minutes ago, A Star is Delayed said:

Yikes, that Jaws % sold number. Pets, Thor, and Minions could have made good use of that space.

IMAX is a fixed auditorium with high seat count, and Jaws had a pre-scheduled near exclusive, so not much to be done. But other locations that have something else in IMAX for a show - like TGM - are seeing much healthier sales vs capacity 

[filmlover]

Just saw that Barbarian is in only 2,200 theaters next week, yep it's a dump. Guessing Brahmastra: Part One will end up in the lead since the PTA will presumably be strong across its 750 theaters.

[charlie Jatinder]

Checking few titles in Harkins at 6:45PM

 

NWH - 11,462/42,998 - May be $1.8-2M

Bullet Train - 17,779/34,306 - Woah. May be $2.5-3M

Minions - 13,472/20,362 - May be $1.5-1.7M

Super Pets - 23,283/34,341 - LOL. $3-3.5M
Thor - 6,603/11,772 - May be $1M

Nope - 3,596/6,548 - May be $0.6M

Top Gun - 15,660/34,603 - May be $2.5-2.7M

Crawdads - 4,659/9,224 - May be $0.7-0.8M

Beast - 11,737/23,208 - May be $2M

Invitation - 10,746/22,546 - May be $2M

 

Full day $25M possible. That will be around 8M admits, best day since Post CoVID.

Edited September 4, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

SAT Finals in Harkins

 

NWH - 13,594/42,996 - $1.9-2M seems like
Super Pets - 24,041/34,341 - $3.5M+

Top Gun - 16,583/34,603 - $2.6M

Bullet Train - 19,712/34,304 - $3M

[DAJK]

I second Charlie. At least in Canada, far and away the strongest day attendance-wise post COVID. I may be wrong, and if anyone has stats to disprove me, but it may be best attendance here since... Endgame OW? Lion King and Rise of Skywalker are close, but even if one of their days are ahead of today attendance-wise, it's CLOSE.

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

SAT Finals in Harkins

 

NWH - 13,594/42,996 - $1.9-2M seems like
Super Pets - 24,041/34,341 - $3.5M+

Top Gun - 16,583/34,603 - $2.6M

Bullet Train - 19,712/34,304 - $3M

Ok, one thing I forget was that as every cinema was selling $3, the chains which have higher ATP generally will be under indexing, like AMC. And something like Harkins, Marcus would over index. So all of these numbers shall be lower. By how much, need to see. 

 

Super Pets seems like overindexed a lot in Harkins. Nos. I am seeing point towards $2.5-2.75M. Similarily BT. Top Gun seems about right. Also NWH.

[Cooper Legion]

Looks like maybe just 7M admits then? Cutting it close to dec 18.

[Cooper Legion]

As far as some pre-covid days:

Xmas

TROS Sat

F2 Sat 

TLK Sat

Endgame 2nd Sat

CM Sat

 

Various other 2019 days

 

Edited September 4, 2022 by Legion By Night

[charlie Jatinder]

40 minutes ago, Legion By Night said:

Looks like maybe just 7M admits then? Cutting it close to dec 18.

Probably around 6.5M

[Grebacio]

4 hours ago, Legion By Night said:

As far as some pre-covid days:

Xmas

TROS Sat

F2 Sat 

TLK Sat

Endgame 2nd Sat

CM Sat

 

Various other 2019 days

 

What's F2?

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

What's F2?

Frozen 2.

[Cooper Legion]

5 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

What's F2?

2fast2furious

[SchumacherFTW]

17 hours ago, Grebacio said:

What's F2?

The feeder series to F1

[Goldenhour36]

On 9/3/2022 at 2:01 AM, Goldenhour36 said:

Barbarian (Tracking Day 1) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 59/672 (3 Showings) 

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 39 Tickets sold, 13.88% of seats (281) are sold  

10:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 4 Tickets sold, 1.42% of seats (281) are sold 

8:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 16 Tickets sold, 14.55% of seats (110) are sold 

 

 

Friday- 34/1564 (8 Showings) 

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

1:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 5 Tickets sold, 1.78% of seats (281) are sold 

4:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 4 Tickets sold, 1.42% of seats (281) are sold 

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 15 Tickets sold, 5.34% of seats (281) are sold 

10:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 2 Tickets sold, 0.71% of seats (281) are sold 

12:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 4 Tickets sold, 3.64% of seats (110) are sold 

3:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 2 Tickets sold, 1.82% of seats (110) are sold 

6:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (110) are sold 

9:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 2 Tickets sold, 1.82% of seats (110) are sold 

 

 

Total: 93 Tickets sold, 4.16% of seats (2236) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 944 Tickets sold, 37.50% of seats (2517) were sold (x0.099) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 1): 801 Tickets sold, 32.46% of seats (2468) were sold (x0.116) 

Fall (Tracking Day 1): 30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) were sold (x3.100) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

No Showings Yet 

 

SUM Total: 

93 Tickets sold, 4.16% of seats (2236) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 1): 945 Tickets sold, 14.57% of seats (6085) were sold (x0.098) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 1): 821 Tickets sold, 3.97% of seats (7073) were sold (x0.113) 

Fall (Tracking Day 1): 30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) were sold (x3.100) 

 

 

 

 

 

Missed Tracking Day 2 

 

Barbarian (Tracking Day 3) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 66/672 (3 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 42 Tickets sold, 14.95% of seats (281) are sold (3 New Tickets, 7.69% Increase) 

10:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 8 Tickets sold, 2.85% of seats (281) are sold (4 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

8:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 16 Tickets sold, 14.55% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

 

 

Friday- 54/1564 (8 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

1:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 6 Tickets sold, 2.14% of seats (281) are sold (1 New Ticket, 20% Increase) 

4:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 6 Tickets sold, 2.14% of seats (281) are sold (2 New Tickets, 50% Increase) 

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 26 Tickets sold, 9.25% of seats (281) are sold (11 New Tickets, 136.36% Increase) 

10:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 4 Tickets sold, 1.42% of seats (281) are sold (2 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

12:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 4 Tickets sold, 3.64% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

3:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 6 Tickets sold, 5.45% of seats (110) are sold (4 New Tickets, 200% Increase) 

6:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

9:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 2 Tickets sold, 1.82% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

 

 

Total: 120 Tickets sold, 5.37% of seats (2236) are sold (27 New Tickets, 29.03% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 3): 1039 Tickets sold 41.28% of seats (2517) were sold (x0.115) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 3):  940 Tickets sold, 38.09% of seats (2468) were sold (x0.128) 

Fall (Tracking Day 3): 41 Tickets sold, 7.61% of seats (539) were sold (x2.927) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet  

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

No Showings Yet 

 

SUM Total: 

120 Tickets sold, 5.37% of seats (2236) are sold (27 New Tickets, 29.03% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 3): 1041 Tickets sold, 16.05% of seats (6485) were sold (x0.115) ($2,246,949) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 3): 961 Tickets sold, 13.59% of seats (7073) were sold (x0.125) ($1,605,296) 

Fall (Tracking Day 3): 41 Tickets sold, 7.61% of seats (539) were sold (x2.927) ($2,713,560) 

 

                                                   

Edited September 5, 2022 by Goldenhour36