The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric Prime]

On 10/21/2022 at 12:43 AM, Eric Adam said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	6013	42932	14.01%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 169

 

Comp

1.668x of The Batman T-21 (36.03M)

0.705x of Doctor Strange 2 T-21 (25.38M)

1.366x of Thor 4 T-21 (39.63M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	6135	42932	14.29%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 122

 

Comp

1.534x of The Batman T-20 (33.15M)

0.705x of Doctor Strange 2 T-20 (25.4M)

1.337x of Thor 4 T-20 (38.79M)

[ZackM]

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago
Showings Added	6	18	9	17
Seats Added	2,004	1,658	1,530	1,536
Seats Sold	1,725	3,380	2,470	2,587
10/22/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	439	7,325	167,348	1,145,889	14.60%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	17	77	262	450
ATP
$17.23
Black Panther Double Feature Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days
10/22/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	92	93	6,260	22,048	28.39%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	2	6	10	24
ATP
$17.60

Edited October 23, 2022 by ZackM

[Eric Prime]

14 hours ago, Eric Adam said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	6135	42932	14.29%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 122

 

Comp

1.534x of The Batman T-20 (33.15M)

0.705x of Doctor Strange 2 T-20 (25.4M)

1.337x of Thor 4 T-20 (38.79M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	6187	42932	14.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 52

 

Comp

1.466x of The Batman T-19 (31.67M)

0.702x of Doctor Strange 2 T-19 (25.26M)

1.319x of Thor 4 T-19 (38.26M)

[cmbbox2390]

I wonder how BPWF's presales are doing in Atlanta. The first one's biggest market besides LA and NY I think.

[Porthos]

On 10/22/2022 at 1:21 AM, Porthos said:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-20 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	1	294	30810	37022	6212	16.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

114

 

T-20 Comp

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.04		132	9266		0/329	31642/40908	22.65%		21117	29.42%		24.13m
L&T	112.43		234	5525		0/228	26075/31600	17.48%		16962	36.62%		32.61m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1450/11833  [12.25% sold]
Matinee:    296/4102  [7.22% | 4.76% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-19 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	1	294	30708	37022	6314	17.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

102

 

T-19 Comp

	%		Sold T-19	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	66.75		193	9459		0/329	31449/40908	23.12%		21117	29.90%		24.03m
L&T	111.16		155	5680		0/228	25920/31600	17.97%		16962	37.22%		32.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1484/11833  [12.54% sold]
Matinee:    308/4102  [7.51% | 4.88% of all tickets sold]

[jedijake]

28-33 million seems to be a consistent overall average comp for BPWF in larger venues. Can we suspect the previews will be in that range?

Edited October 23, 2022 by jedijake

[filmlover]

Tickets for The Menu are now on sale, not sure if that's been mentioned.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Wakanda Forever Marcus Theaters (T-19)

 

Thursday:

Showtimes: 885

Seats Sold: 16086/126192

 

Friday:

Showtimes: 1489

Seats Sold: 14122/211210

 

First numbers I had for Thor 4 were T-17 when it had 18867 sold for Thursday and 11835 sold for Friday. 

[keysersoze123]

On 10/21/2022 at 4:00 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Wakanda forever MTC2 previews - 75787/591395 1110898.70 4296 shows

 

It sold 4484 tickets in 3 days. Thor at equivalent day(but in the morning) was about 6% higher. But it was in its initial week of presales and at much greater pace. it sold another 10599 tickets in 4 days. Black panther would sell probably half that number. Let us wait for social media reactions to see if its able to pace above thor. 

 

 

 

Wakanda forever MTC2 previews - 78537/592631 1151434.16 4302 shows

 

This is day and half of data. 

[Factcheck]

53 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Wakanda forever MTC2 previews - 78537/592631 1151434.16 4302 shows

 

This is day and half of data. 

.

Edited October 23, 2022 by Factcheck

[charlie Jatinder]

Black Panther Harkins T-19 Days

 

THU - 7,967/94,798 (383 showings) $97,276

FRI - 6,126/170,088 (694 showings) $71,982

SAT - 4,390/165,290  (691 showings) - $48,787

 

THU is behind Thor 4 at the moment though FRI and SAT are ahead. Nothing worthwhile to read yet though other than whatever we come to conclude on first day of sales.

[Eric Prime]

22 hours ago, Eric Adam said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	6187	42932	14.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 52

 

Comp

1.466x of The Batman T-19 (31.67M)

0.702x of Doctor Strange 2 T-19 (25.26M)

1.319x of Thor 4 T-19 (38.26M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	6265	42932	14.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 78

 

Comp

1.437x of The Batman T-18 (31.04M)

0.700x of Doctor Strange 2 T-18 (25.21M)

1.305x of Thor 4 T-18 (37.84M)

[ZackM]

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	1	6	18	9	17
Seats Added	54	2,004	1,658	1,530	1,536
Seats Sold	2,539	1,725	3,380	2,470	2,587
10/23/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	439	7,326	169,887	1,145,943	14.83%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	18	79	268	464
ATP
$17.21
Black Panther Double Feature Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days
10/23/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	92	93	6,313	22,048	28.63%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	2	6	10	23
ATP
$17.60

 

First comps:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Comps
	Thor: Love & Thunder		Dr. Strange MoM
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0
T-0
T-1
T-2
T-3
T-4
T-5
T-6
T-7
T-8
T-9
T-10
T-11
T-12
T-13
T-14
T-15
T-16
T-17
T-18	$27.2	$27.1	$21.4	$21.8

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-19 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	1	294	30708	37022	6314	17.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

102

 

T-19 Comp

	%		Sold T-19	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	66.75		193	9459		0/329	31449/40908	23.12%		21117	29.90%		24.03m
L&T	111.16		155	5680		0/228	25920/31600	17.97%		16962	37.22%		32.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1484/11833  [12.54% sold]
Matinee:    308/4102  [7.51% | 4.88% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-18 days and counting

 

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	1	294	30596	37024	6428	17.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

114

 

T-18 Comp

	%		Sold T-18	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	66.72		176	9635		0/329	31273/40908	23.55%		21117	30.44%		24.02m
L&T	109.39		196	5876		0/228	25724/31600	18.59%		16962	37.90%		31.72m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1519/11835  [12.83% sold]
Matinee:    312/4103  [7.60% | 4.85% of all tickets sold]

[keysersoze123]

Wakanda Forever MTC2

Previews - 80219/592940 1175665.35 4302 shows

Friday - 61511/897498 850159.39 6639 shows

 

its about 10% behind thor at similar point and about 60% of daily pace. 

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

Tar T-4: 12.61% Awareness, 4.29 Interest

Till T-4: 26.42%, 5.54

Strange World T-30: 25.73%, 5.16

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish T-58: 49.56%, 5.75

A Man Called Otto T-81: 17.99%, 5.1

Magic Mike's Last Dance T-109: 27.48%, 5.19

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 T-193: 51.71%, 6.75

Elemental T-235: 25.31%, 5.64

 

Prey for the Devil T-4: 26.93% Awareness, 5.45 Interest

Comps (All Final): Don't Breathe 2 w/ 30.47% Awareness & 4.94 Interest, The Night House w/ 18.09% & 5.17, Candyman w/ 38.61% & 4.67, The Black Phone w/ 40% & 5.94

*Note that Prey for the Devil's Final numbers are subject to change*

 

Final General Awareness: 5% chance of double-digit opening

General Interest: 69% chance of double-digit opening

Horror Awareness: 12.5% chance of double-digit opening

Horror Interest: 60% chance of double-digit opening

 

One Piece Film: Red T-11: 21.02% Awareness, 4.7 Interest

*Note that One Piece Film: Red's Final numbers are subject to change*

 

Final General Awareness: 5% chance of double-digit opening

General Interest: 24% chance of double-digit opening

[el sid]

In all shortness:

Prey for the Devil had today 115 sold tickets for Thursday.

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): The Forever Purge had 104 sold tickets,

Smile had 213,

The Invitation had 96

and Barbarian had 156 sold tickets.

 

And for Friday it had today 149 sold tickets.

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Friday): The Conjuring III had 641 sold tickets,

Old had 150 sold tickets,

Smile had 229,

The Invitation 87,

Malignant 100,

The Invisible Man 323

and Barbarian had 70 sold tickets.

For Sunday (before Halloween) it had today 69 sold tickets.

Ok presales so far but it still needs good jumps in the next few days.

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/21/2022 at 4:36 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

749

3301

22.69%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

486

2758

17.62%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3385	80	32294	10.48%	15	225

 

AMCs sold	2054
Cinemarks sold	634
Regals sold	318
Harkins sold	379

 

0.885x Thor L&T T-20 (25.68M)

0.522x Doctor Strange 2 T-20 (18.80M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

777

3301

23.54%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

508

2758

18.42%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 3 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3573	188	32294	11.06%	15	225

 

AMCs sold	2148
Cinemarks sold	673
Regals sold	336
Harkins sold	416

 

0.522x Doctor Strange 2 T-17 (18.79M)

1.18x Batman T-17 (25.46M)

Edited October 24, 2022 by Inceptionzq

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/21/2022 at 4:44 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Megaplex

 

T-20 Thursday(99 showings): 2222(+56)/29419

0.650x Thor L&T T-20 (18.84M)

0.324x Doctor Strange MoM T-20 (11.65M)

 

T-21 Friday(160 showings): 1234(+37)/45165

0.717x Thor L&T T-21 (29.07M)

0.360x Doctor Strange MoM T-21 (19.72M)

 

T-22 Saturday(163 showings): 734(+28)/47913

0.886x Thor L&T T-22 (37.31M)

0.396x Doctor Strange MoM T-22 (22.89M)

 

T-23 Sunday(140 showings): 155(+9)/42321

0.608x Thor L&T T-23 (19.75M)

0.348x Doctor Strange MoM T-23 (13.52M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Megaplex [+3 days of sales]

 

T-17 Thursday(99 showings): 2362(+140)/29419

0.319x Doctor Strange MoM T-17 (11.50M)

0.625x Batman T-17 (13.49M)

 

T-18 Friday(160 showings): 1327(+93)/45165

0.344x Doctor Strange MoM T-18 (18.80M)

1.15x Batman T-18 (40.32M)

 

T-19 Saturday(163 showings): 898(+164)/47913

0.419x Doctor Strange MoM T-19 (24.21M)

1.51x Batman T-19 (65.29M)

 

T-20 Sunday(140 showings): 188(+33)/42321

0.361x Doctor Strange MoM T-20 (14.03M)

1.61x Batman T-20 (54.86M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 10/21/2022 at 4:58 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-20 Thursday(219 showings): 11339(+217)/30510 ATP: $16.10

1.15x Thor L&T T-20 (33.23M)

0.773x Doctor Strange MoM T-20 (27.84M)

 

T-21 Friday(327 showings): 11723(+350)/46457 ATP: $15.75

1.61x Thor L&T T-21 (65.11M)

0.979x Doctor Strange MoM T-21 (53.57M)

 

T-22 Saturday(330 showings): 9962(+306)/47364 ATP: $15.40

1.51x Thor L&T T-22 (63.60M)

0.819x Doctor Strange MoM T-22 (47.32M)

 

T-23 Sunday(319 showings): 5316(+200)/45087 ATP: $15.44

1.66x Thor L&T T-23 (53.86M)

0.975x Doctor Strange MoM T-23 (37.93M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse [+3 days of sales]

 

T-17 Thursday(219 showings): 11865(+526)/30510 ATP: $16.10

0.773x Doctor Strange MoM T-17 (27.81M)

1.66x Batman T-17 (29.29M, Thurs only)

 

T-18 Friday(327 showings): 12581(+858)/46457 ATP: $15.75

0.975x Doctor Strange MoM T-18 (53.38M)

1.87x Batman T-18 (65.30M)

 

T-19 Saturday(330 showings): 10813(+851)/47364 ATP: $15.35

0.814x Doctor Strange MoM T-19 (47.03M)

1.90x Batman T-19 (82.40M)

 

T-20 Sunday(319 showings): 5863(+547)/45087 ATP: $15.46

0.945x Doctor Strange MoM T-20 (36.74M)

2.56x Batman T-20 (87.33M)