The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Inceptionzq]

On 4/8/2023 at 9:48 AM, Inceptionzq said:

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 Drafthouse

 

T-27 Thursday(229 showings): 6902(+343)/33618 ATP: $15.75

 

T-28 Friday(337 showings): 4774(+347)/50022 ATP: $15.71

 

T-29 Saturday(349 showings): 5427(+439)/51794 ATP: $14.90

 

T-30 Sunday(323 showings): 2459(+224)/47784 ATP: $14.34

 

Data from yesterday evening

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 Drafthouse [+3 days of sales]

 

T-24 Thursday(229 showings): 7406(+504)/33618 ATP: $15.72

0.920x Ant-Man 3 T-24 (16.10M)

0.698x Black Panther WF T-24 (19.55M)

 

T-25 Friday(337 showings): 5343(+569)/50022 ATP: $15.69

0.920x Ant-Man 3 T-25 (26.62M)

0.500x Black Panther WF T-25 (28.12M)

 

T-26 Saturday(349 showings): 6089(+662)/51794 ATP: $14.90

1.08x Ant-Man 3 T-26 (36.47M)

0.681x Black Panther WF T-26 (38.25M)

 

T-27 Sunday(323 showings): 2871(+412)/47784 ATP: $14.23

1.25x Ant-Man 3 T-27 (32.10M)

0.622x Black Panther WF T-27 (25.45M)

[Boxofficerules]

Any numbers or anything for Evil Dead Rise?

[THUNDER BIRD]

13 hours ago, Brainbug said:

 

GOTG Vol 3 would wish to perform like Fallen Kingdom at this point

Would wish to perform like Dominion at this point.

Edited April 11, 2023 by THUNDER BIRD

[romeross]

Any numbers for THE POPE'S EXORCIST?

[Porthos]

On 4/10/2023 at 2:36 AM, Porthos said:

 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-25 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	206	26983	29671	2688	9.06%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

43

 

T-25 Comps:

	%		Sold T-25	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	32.27		224	8331		0/329	32585/40916	20.36%		21117	12.73%		11.62m
BP2	47.84		121	5619		1/294	31400/37019	15.18%		16800	16.00%		13.39m
AM3	74.15		97	3625		0/235	28901/32526	11.14%		10475	25.66%		12.98m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of GOTG3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      477/11075  [4.31% sold]
Matinee:     81/3555  [2.28% | 3.01% of all tickets sold]
3D:            275/5522  [4.98% | 10.23% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-24 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	206	26876	29671	2795	9.42%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

107

 

T-24 Comps:

	%		Sold T-24	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	32.56		253	8584		0/329	32332/40916	20.98%		21117	13.24%		11.72m
L&T	67.17		4161	4161		0/228	27442/31603	13.17%		16962	16.48%		19.48m
BP2	48.97		89	5708		1/294	31311/37019	15.42%		16800	16.64%		13.71m
AM3	75.17		93	3718		0/235	28808/32526	11.43%		10475	26.68%		13.16m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of GOTG3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      494/11075  [4.46% sold]
Matinee:      81/3555  [2.28% | 2.90% of all tickets sold]
3D:            295/5522  [5.34% | 10.55% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

@Menor Reborn was right; I should have accounted for Easter Sunday yesterday, though I do think the local total was low even when accounting for that.  But brain fart on my part regardless. 

 

Nice bounce back day today, though it's only more or less back to where it was on Saturday (BP2 comp did inch up, ftr).  Which I suppose reinforces Menor's point about shitty pace.

 

Let's see if there is a slight bump the next couple of days ala post-4th of July or if this was just a one day course correction.

[Porthos]

On 4/10/2023 at 2:37 AM, Issac Newton said:

@Porthos, Can you run a script for Suzume if possible

 

 

No scripts on my end, so I have to do it all manually.

 

Did take a very quick look-see, but the problem is I don't have anything to comp it to.  I almost never track anime (last one I did was Demon Slayer the Movie and that was a casual track that I didn't save, regardless) and I'm not even sure what genre would be good to cross check it against.  Mostly since I don't know its pre-sale pattern locally (i.e. how frontloaded/backloaded it might be or how various genres of anime do in Sacramento compared to the rest of the DOM market).

 

Has sold 391/4968 tickets [7.87% sold] for Thursday shows as of about 45 minutes ago.  If folks want to try to give me a film or genre to comp it against, I can try to finesse something and let you know when I log-in in the morning. 

 

But not many sales, regardless (though, again, not knowing how anime in general does locally does make this an exercise in guesswork and thus probably not all that helpful)

Edited April 11, 2023 by Porthos

[TwoMisfits]

1st local set for the weekend.

 

Mario is looking to have a very good 2nd weekend set wise - it keeps ALL 5 screens it started with at the end of presales (before showings were swiped as days went) last weekend and all PLF except a very late 3d show tossed to a foreign film NOT named Suzume.  So, it's 25 showings total - 13 PLF, 12 not.

 

In other news, the theater is opening a BUNCH of movies, so holdovers got killed (b/c Mario didn't).  Mafia Mama, Renfield, Suzume, The Pope's Exorcist, and Shaakuntalam (the one PLF show) all get 1 screen, so that's 10 screens used.

 

So, here's the holdovers left...

 

Air - 1.50 screens

DnD - 1.25 screens

JW3 - 1 screen

Jesus - .25 screens (it gets the early on Air)

 

That's it for holdovers - they got the Spring Break run last week, and no more (DnD may now FINALLY have a chance - this theater must hope so!) - so, drops are Creed III, Scream VI, and Shazam - aka, all the early March movies...

 

 

Edited April 11, 2023 by TwoMisfits

[TwoMisfits]

So, 1st female and family oriented T-Mobile deal coming in late April (and this one with a lot of warning vs Air's one week notice).

 

Are You There, God?  It's Me, Margaret will be getting the $5 any ticket (including PLF) on April 25.

 

As we've seen, these deals have increased last minute tracking and then weekend performance (and even leg performance) thanks to WOM.  But those were for all guy-focused movies.  Should be interesting to see what kinda effect we have for this movie, which I assumed was pretty much DOA, after the Mario juggernaut took all the family money this weekend.

 

2023 TMobile deal movies

Plane

Creed 3

Wick 4

Air

AYTGIMM (I can't write it again, we need an acronym or something:)

[ringedmortality]

42 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Should be interesting to see what kinda effect we have for this movie, which I assumed was pretty much DOA, after the Mario juggernaut took all the family money this weekend.

This isn’t aimed at families though, more like the Crawdads crowd

[Tinalera]

https://www.cbr.com/gotg-3-smash-box-office-record-predict/

 

Article about it compares to previous GOTG installments-my note of interest was that it will be the longest GOTG at almost 2 and a half hours. Be interesting to see how that plays into how the theatres assign their movie times

Edited April 11, 2023 by Tinalera

[TwoMisfits]

13 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

This isn’t aimed at families though, more like the Crawdads crowd

 

I don't this so - I just went back to watch the ARTGIMM trailer, and this trailer is played so straight to the book, and the book (at least in my childhood) was an 8-12 year old female read book...I really think this is going for 8-88 female and skews way younger than Crawdads material...

Edited April 11, 2023 by TwoMisfits

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol 3

MTC1 Wed - 3291/17472 152550.00 58 shows

MTC1 Thursday - 85458/1139416 1537595.20 6981 shows +1062

MTC1 Friday - 43683/1265855 808565.59 6854 shows +1396

 

Sunday's sales normally suck but these are levels I have not see for past 4 MCU sequels. Let us see if it recovers on Monday. 

Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol 3

MTC1 Wed - 3378/17472 156615.00 58 shows

MTC1 Thursday(T-24) - 87188/1147517 1567251.16 7014 shows +1730

MTC1 Friday - 45387/1269091 838167.45 6872 shows +1704

 

I guess it kind of recovered. Still the pace is anemic compared to previous MCU sequels. 

Edited April 11, 2023 by keysersoze123

[el sid]

GotG3, counted today for Friday, May 5. 24 days to go.

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 327 (13 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 263 (20 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 41 (19 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 9 (8 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 14 (12 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 419 (22 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 457 (29 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.530.

Up modest 18% since last Wednesday.
Comps (all films counted for Friday): TSS (8M true Friday) had with 20 days left 585 sold tickets,
Uncharted (11.7M) had with 16 days left 276 sold tickets
and SC (20.7M) had on Tuesday of the release week (= 21 days left for GotG3 to overtake) 2.672 sold tickets.
Not as bad as elsewhere but also no big jump or buzz so far.

Tomorrow I take a closer look at Renfield and The Pope's Exorcist. But from what I saw today both films had quite good Thursday presales to my surprise, especially Renfield.
The Pope's Exorcist was in front of Prey for the Devil and Renfield had ca. 2x the presales of Massive Talent at the same time. I really wonder if this continues...

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

Interested to see how Renfield and Pope’s Exorcist do this weekend since they’re targeting similar demographics, as well as other adult/genre holdovers like John Wick and Air.

Edited April 11, 2023 by AMC Theaters Enjoyer

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
You There (EA)	T-8	Jax	3	3	1	1	199	0.50%
		Phx	1	1	2	2	41	4.88%
		Ral	6	6	26	26	552	4.71%
	T-8 Total		10	10	29	29	792	3.66%
Evil Dead Rise	T-9	Jax	5	15	36	36	2,533	1.42%
		Phx	5	8	76	76	1,524	4.99%
		Ral	7	14	56	56	1,636	3.42%
	T-9 Total		17	37	168	168	5,693	2.95%
Guardians 3	T-23	Jax	5	98	679	679	15,754	4.31%
		Phx	4	82	449	449	12,270	3.66%
		Ral	11	159	1,011	1,011	21,622	4.68%
	T-23 Tot		19	339	2,139	2,139	49,646	4.31%
Mafia Mamma	T-2	Jax	5	8	9	9	671	1.34%
		Phx	5	8	6	6	603	1.00%
		Ral	6	11	9	9	626	1.44%
	T-2 Total		16	27	24	24	1,900	1.26%
Mafia Ma (EA)	T-0	Jax	2	2	27	27	216	12.50%
		Phx	4	4	45	45	433	10.39%
		Ral	1	1	16	16	42	38.10%
	T-0 Total		7	7	88	88	691	12.74%
Nefarious	T-2	Jax	4	13	10	10	818	1.22%
		Phx	3	10	30	30	1,177	2.55%
		Ral	1	3	9	9	219	4.11%
	T-2 Total		8	26	49	49	2,214	2.21%
Renfield	T-2	Jax	5	12	34	34	1,295	2.63%
		Phx	6	14	75	75	1,638	4.58%
		Ral	8	23	50	50	2,597	1.93%
	T-2 Total		19	49	159	159	5,530	2.88%
Renfield (EA)	T-1	Jax	1	1	18	18	81	22.22%
		Ral	1	1	8	8	84	9.52%
	T-1 Total		2	2	26	26	165	15.76%
LotR RotK (Re)	T-2	Jax	6	8	377	377	962	39.19%
		Phx	4	5	305	305	363	84.02%
		Ral	5	6	529	529	823	64.28%
	T-2 Total		15	19	1,211	1,211	2,148	56.38%
Suzume	T-2	Jax	4	11	49	49	1,725	2.84%
		Phx	6	17	106	106	2,169	4.89%
		Ral	7	20	120	120	1,155	10.39%
	T-2 Total		17	48	275	275	5,049	5.45%
Sweetwater	T-2	Jax	3	6	0	0	386	0.00%
		Phx	4	8	3	3	1,568	0.19%
		Ral	5	13	2	2	1,174	0.17%
	T-2 Total		12	27	5	5	3,128	0.16%
The Covenant	T-9	Jax	5	8	1	1	970	0.10%
		Phx	4	6	0	0	988	0.00%
		Ral	5	8	11	11	972	1.13%
	T-9 Total		14	22	12	12	2,930	0.41%
Pope's Exorcist	T-2	Jax	5	13	16	16	1,369	1.17%
		Phx	6	14	33	33	1,219	2.71%
		Ral	7	19	43	43	1,644	2.62%
	T-2 Total		18	46	92	92	4,232	2.17%

 

Looks like there will be plenty to see coming up. 

 

Mafia Mamma (Total) T-2 comps

 - Last Night in Soho (Total) - .767x (575k)

 - The Menu (Total) - .353x (353k)

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - .099x (448k)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .143x (658k)

 

Nefarious T-2 comps

 - Ambulance - .544x (381k)

 - Bones and All - .907x (313k)

 - Missing - .803x (610k)

 - Reminiscence (OD) - 1.065x (724k)

 

The Pope's Exorcist T-2 comps

 - Antlers - 1.533x (567k)

 - Firestarter - 1.034x (388k)

 - Men - .979x (414k)

 - X - 1.034x (455k)

 

Renfield (Total) T-2 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - .413x (1.24m)

 - Candyman - .907x (1.72m)

 - Resident Evil - 1.331x (1.24m)

 

Suzume T-2 comps

 - Slime - 3.056x (764k)

 - One Piece - .395x (669k)

 - JJK 0 - .203x (586k)

 - Dragon Ball Z - .223x (961k)

 

Evil Dead Rise T-9 comps

 - Scream VI - .224x (1.28m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .949x (2.85m)

 - Nope - .357x (2.28m)

 - Halloween Ends - .435x (2.35m)

 

Guardians 3 T-23 comps

 - Ant-Man 3 - .739x (12.94m)

 - Black Widow - 1.97x (26m)

 - Doctor Strange 2 - .268x (9.64m)

 - Thor 4 - .634x (18.38m)

[Eric Burnett]

The Pope's Exorcist Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	28	48	3477	1.38%

 

Comp - T-3

0.648x of X (285K)

1.171x of Firestarter (439K)

0.762x of Men (322K)

0.857x of The Invitation (664K)

0.578x of Barbarian (492K)

1.000x of Prey for the Devil (660K)

[TwoMisfits]

Posting just so this isn't another movie that does well that no one say coming, like the Chosen group's movie...

 

A for Adley: Lost in the Movies is releasing at my local Cinemarks for morning shows on April 21's weekend.  This is apparently a Youtuber's animated creation and their 1st movie and it looks targeted at 1-7 year olds.  Supposedly, this Youtuber has 4.5M fans...I have NO IDEA if this will make $10 or $1M, but after missing His Only Son, well, I figured I'd try not to miss another movie in the same month...

Edited April 11, 2023 by TwoMisfits

[Eric Burnett]

Renfield Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	42	154	4540	3.39%

 

Comp - T-3

0.414x of The Black Phone (1.24M)

1.855x of Barbarian (1.58M)

0.484x of Smile (968K)

1.000x of Violent Night (1.1M)

0.794x of M3GAN (2.18M)

0.601x of Knock at the Cabin (872K)

0.706x of Cocaine Bear (1.41M)

 

All told, not too bad. Could go for mid-teens with this.

[Eric Burnett]

On 4/9/2023 at 10:15 PM, Eric is Gay for Bowser said:

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-25 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	221	2638	39919	6.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 42

 

Comp - T-25

2.496x of Black Widow (32.94M)

0.339x of Doctor Strange 2 (12.22M)

0.482x of Black Panther 2 (13.51M)

0.810x of Ant-Man 3 (14.18M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-24 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	221	2699	39919	6.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 61

 

Comp - T-24

2.287x of Black Widow (30.19M)

3.547x of Eternals (33.69M)

0.339x of Doctor Strange 2 (12.22M)

0.732x of Thor 4 (21.22M)

0.482x of Black Panther 2 (13.5M)

0.809x of Ant-Man 3 (14.17M) 

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

GOTG Vol3 MTC2 Thursday - 47153/587654 677864.01 3735 shows

 

2 days of data

GOTG Vol3 MTC2 Thursday - 49044/587674 703531.51 3733 shows

 

Definite boost today compared to yesterday. Still well behind Ant 3. Somewhere equivalent(couple of days ahead) data for Ant is below. Both MTC1/2 are tracking similar percentage(slightly below 3/4th) compared to Ant. Good news is the week beyond were really meh for Ant 3. Let us see how Guardians behave well into its 2nd week of presales. 

 

  

On 1/26/2023 at 3:43 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania MTC2 previews - 71888/636602 1058339.75 4081 shows. 

 

Almost 4 days of data. its chugging along really good at this point.