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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

By Cap, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR & Friends,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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rehpyc Indie Sensation

rehpyc

Posted
Posted

Yesterday's sales came in at 20% higher than the previous day, 1% below the 21% my earlier T-4 - T-0 scale out had them. Not including EAs, this still puts true Thursday on my end around 5 - 5.5M.

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted
50 minutes ago, rehpyc said:

Yesterday's sales came in at 20% higher than the previous day, 1% below the 21% my earlier T-4 - T-0 scale out had them. Not including EAs, this still puts true Thursday on my end around 5 - 5.5M.

As Charlie had put, EA shows are taking away thursday sales. Final day jump will be much better than norm as there wont be the EA issue. Even tomorrow I am expecting less impact from EA as there are limited walkup potential for EA shows in most markets. 

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misterpepp Sleeper Hit

misterpepp

Posted
Posted
On 6/3/2023 at 11:24 PM, across the Jat verse said:

MI7 14 JUN tix. 2PM TUE previews. Wonder if previews do discount tix.


Don’t know if this is known yet or not:
 

There will be Walmart-hosted early screenings on July 9, possibly Walmart+ exclusive.

 

Public early access shows on July 10, nicknamed “Mission Monday”

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YSLDC Sleeper Hit

YSLDC

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, Phoenix22 said:

Yeah it looks like The Flash previews are trending slightly higher from $11M to $13M - $16M, reviews impact in 26 minutes. 

 

After reviews let's hope 17m-20m for previews 

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Eric the Minion Global Phenomenon

Eric the Minion

Posted
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7 minutes ago, datpepper said:


Don’t know if this is known yet or not:
 

There will be Walmart-hosted early screenings on July 9, possibly Walmart+ exclusive.

 

Public early access shows on July 10, nicknamed “Mission Monday”

Bro fuck that 🤣 

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Cmasterclay Global Phenomenon

Cmasterclay

Posted
Posted
On 5/30/2023 at 9:53 AM, Cmasterclay said:

Flash will have great reviews based on....mildly positive reactions from bloggers at CinemaCon? I'm still borderline convinced it's going rotten.

Claystradamus rides again!

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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

Posted
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21 minutes ago, datpepper said:


Don’t know if this is known yet or not:
 

There will be Walmart-hosted early screenings on July 9, possibly Walmart+ exclusive.

 

Public early access shows on July 10, nicknamed “Mission Monday”

 

So, MI 7 is taking all PLFs for evening starting Sunday, and then rolling it all up into one 5 day weekend.  Yeah, this might be the biggest summer OW...

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rehpyc Indie Sensation

rehpyc

Posted
Posted

For RoTB and its final Thursday sales, are you all thinking a muted (i.e. JWD ~113%), mid (i.e. JW4 ~150%) or high (i.e. BA & FX ~170%)? Runtime and preshow start are similar to BA & FX for overall show counts potential.

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GOGODanca Box Office Gold

GOGODanca

Posted
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13 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

So, MI 7 is taking all PLFs for evening starting Sunday, and then rolling it all up into one 5 day weekend.  Yeah, this might be the biggest summer OW...

Wed and Thu won't count for OW since thats OD, just like with Mario, if anything the official OW will be deflated a lot

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cookie Global Phenomenon

cookie

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, datpepper said:


Don’t know if this is known yet or not:
 

There will be Walmart-hosted early screenings on July 9, possibly Walmart+ exclusive.

 

Public early access shows on July 10, nicknamed “Mission Monday”

This is Man of Steel all over again lmao

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Krissykins Global Phenomenon

Krissykins

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, datpepper said:


Don’t know if this is known yet or not:
 

There will be Walmart-hosted early screenings on July 9, possibly Walmart+ exclusive.

 

Public early access shows on July 10, nicknamed “Mission Monday”

Lol this sounds very Tom Cruise.

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Austin Sleeper Hit

Austin

Posted
Posted (edited)
37 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

Wed and Thu won't count for OW since thats OD, just like with Mario, if anything the official OW will be deflated a lot

Will there be any viable comps for MI7 then: A mid July (or just summer release) 5-day OW with inflated OD sales due to special deals? I feel this one is going to be weird to track.

Edited by Austin
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 270 3271 8.25%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 205 1705 12.02%

 

Wednesday: 638(+92)

Thursday:

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1042 147 18750 5.56% 13 108

 

1.544 Fast X T-3 11.58M
1.292 Black Adam T-3 9.82M
0.439 JW Dominion T-3 7.90M

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 286 3169 9.02%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 234 1750 13.37%

 

Wednesday: 732(+94)

Thursday:

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
1190 148 20312 5.86% 13 119

 

1.496 Fast X T-2 11.22M
1.206 Black Adam T-2 9.16M
0.438 JW Dominion T-2 7.88M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts Alamo Drafthouse

T-3 Thursday 127 Showings 1725 +312 18064 ATP: 14.97
0.585 Fast X T-3 4.39M
0.522 Black Adam T-3 3.96M
0.203 JW Dominion T-3 3.65M

 

T-4 Friday 145 Showings 1583 +376 20963 ATP: 14.60
0.519 Fast X T-4 10.65M
0.491 Black Adam T-4 9.37M
0.171 JW Dominion T-4 7.09M

 

T-5 Saturday 140 Showings 1193 +245 21363 ATP: 14.22
0.561 Fast X T-5 12.61M
0.397 Black Adam T-5 9.40M
0.130 JW Dominion T-5 6.10M

 

T-6 Sunday 124 Showings 571 +108 19428 ATP: 13.16
0.710 Fast X T-6 11.72M
0.513 Black Adam T-6 8.52M
0.112 JW Dominion T-6 4.31M

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts Alamo Drafthouse

T-2 Thursday 159 Showings 2134 +409 21215 ATP: 14.48
0.599 Fast X T-2 4.49M
0.522 Black Adam T-2 3.97M
0.217 JW Dominion T-2 3.91M

 

T-3 Friday 199 Showings 2100 +517 26060 ATP: 14.55
0.535 Fast X T-3 10.98M
0.497 Black Adam T-3 9.49M
0.180 JW Dominion T-3 7.50M

 

T-4 Saturday 197 Showings 1525 +332 25845 ATP: 14.07
0.586 Fast X T-4 13.18M
0.403 Black Adam T-4 9.55M
0.133 JW Dominion T-4 6.23M

 

T-5 Sunday 179 Showings 741 +170 23662 ATP: 13.27
0.692 Fast X T-5 11.42M
0.515 Black Adam T-5 8.55M
0.119 JW Dominion T-5 4.58M
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