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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR & Friends,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
On 6/15/2023 at 8:41 PM, across the Jat verse said:

Mission: Impossible 7 MiniTC2 T-28

Walmart - around 112 (18 showings)
EA - 190/4044 (12 showings) $3159
TUE - 174/55577 (204 showings) $2658

Low start.

Mission: Impossible 7 MiniTC2 T-21

 

EA - 370/4044 (12 showings) $6119
TUE - 459/55575 (204 showings) $6636

 

Comps (without Walmart)

1.08x Transformers - $9.5M (with Walmart $11.5M-ish)

0.66x Indy 5

 

 

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
On 6/9/2023 at 7:21 PM, across the Jat verse said:

Indy 5 MiniTC2 T-21

 

Previews - 1252/52748 (186 showings) $18,152
 

Comps

1.30x Fast X - $9.8M

1.63x Transformers 6 - $14.5M

~0.55x Jurassic World 3 - $10M

Indy 5 MiniTC2 T-9

 

Previews - 1878/54944 (197 showings) $26651

 

Comps

1.33x Fast X - $9.95M

1.24x Transformers 6 - $10.9M

~0.45x Jurassic World 3 - $8.1M

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vafrow Box Office Gold

vafrow

Posted
Posted

Barbie tickets starting to show up on Cineplex, both EA and regular showings from Thursday onwards.

 

The EA showings I saw have decent sales, but no near sellouts except for one downtown one. They seemed to pick smaller auditoriums, so, I think they're really pushing to have these sellout and build some FOMO among fans.

 

The regular preview showings are only just coming online, so no activity yet. But, seem to be getting the non IMAX PLFs.

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

I looked at the movies that have had the most similar growth rates over the past few days and was a little surprised by what I found.  I wouldn't normally use any of these as comps, but I'm wondering if this could be more predictive for previews.

 

No Hard Feelings - Similar growth pattern comps

 - Old - 1.089x (1.63m)

 - Reminiscence - 3.014x (2.05m)

 - King Richard - .661x (1.28m)

 - Space Jam - .101x (1.32m)

 - Boss Baby 2 - 1.257x (1.65m)

 - The Invitation - 2.095x (1.62m)

 

Size adjusted average - 1.59m

 

I'll see if this has any predictive power going forward and maybe incorporate it into my predictions.

 

Asteroid City - Similar growth pattern comps

 - Last Night in Soho - 2.264x (1.7m)

 - Massive Talent - 2.335x (1.63m)

 - Easter Sunday - 4.208x (2.1m)

 - Last Duel - 5.247x (1.84m)

 - Nope - .327x (2.09m)

 - Bullet Train - .602x (2.02m)

 

Size adjusted average - 1.93m

Star Wars GIF

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted

Quorum Updates

Asteroid City T-2: 28.69% Awareness

Last Voyage of the Demeter T-51: 16.83% Awareness

A Haunting in Venice T-86: 16.54% Awareness

Saw X T-128: 34.17% Awareness

 

No Hard Feelings T-2: 40.24% Awareness

Final Awareness: 88% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 20M

Original - Low Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 20M

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny T-9: 59% Awareness

Final Awareness: 47% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 18% chance of 90M, 12% chance of 100M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 50% chance of 50M

 

Barbie T-30: 54.36% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 92% chance of 50M, 69% chance of 60M, 61% chance of 70M, 38% chance of 100M

 

Strays T-58: 27.99% Awareness

T-60 Awareness: 56% chance of 10M, 27% chance of 20M

Original - Low Awareness: 36% chance of 10M

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GOGODanca Box Office Gold

GOGODanca

Posted
Posted

Ruby Gilman (D-8):       13 tickets sold (9 locs)

Indiana Jones (D-8):     502 tickets sold (10 locs)/ +20 YD

 

MI7 EA (D-19):                 303 tickets sold (7 locs)/+13 YD

MI7 Pv (D-20):                 395 tickets sold (10 locs)/+12 YD

 

Oppenheimer: (D-29):  596 tickets sold (10 locs)/+26 YD

 

 

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted
On 6/20/2023 at 1:17 PM, keysersoze123 said:

MI7 MTC1

Monday - 15285/53058 329998.59 216 shows +805

Tuesday - 21289/561811 412443.87 2738 shows +1329

 

Not sure if this can be called as "reaction boost". Sales beyond tuesday are anemic as well. 

 

 

MI7 MTC1

Monday - 15913/53456 342674.81 217 shows +628

Tuesday - 22540/564318 435910.86 2756 shos +1251

 

I guess this is going to get interesting only in the final week if its going to be excessively walkup driven. I guess comps could be JWD. But even that was at higher level but pace was lower as PS started way earlier. So let us see how things comp in the final week. 

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/20/2023 at 3:25 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 205 2338 8.77%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 236 1195 19.75%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
904 43 19924 4.54% 13 101

 

0.698 The Flash T-9 6.77M
0.292 Avatar 2 T-9 4.96M
0.377 JW Dominion T-9 6.79M
1.936 Ghostbusters T-9 8.71M
1.368 NTTD T-9 8.52M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 212 2337 9.07%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 240 1195 20.08%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
932 28 19794 4.71% 13 100

 

0.688 The Flash T-8 6.68M
0.281 Avatar 2 T-8 4.77M
0.366 JW Dominion T-8 6.59M
1.831 Ghostbusters T-8 8.24M
1.165 NTTD T-8 7.26M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/20/2023 at 3:27 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-9 Thursday 123 Showings 5237 +134 19601 ATP: 15.65
1.869 The Flash T-9 18.13M
1.055 Avatar 2 T-9 17.94M
1.002 JW Dominion T-9 18.04M
2.373 Ghostbusters T-9 10.68M

 

T-10 Friday 160 Showings 4715 +161 26756 ATP: 15.44
2.437 The Flash T-10 36.06M
0.716 Avatar 2 T-10 25.93M
0.891 JW Dominion T-10 37.04M
2.408 Ghostbusters T-10 29.26M

 

T-11 Saturday 161 Showings 4561 +97 27035 ATP: 14.75
2.618 The Flash T-11 41.11M
0.609 Avatar 2 T-11 26.98M
0.887 JW Dominion T-11 41.58M
2.315 Ghostbusters T-11 38.06M

 

T-12 Sunday 140 Showings 2683 +127 23717 ATP: 14.38
3.516 The Flash T-12 54.50M
0.586 Avatar 2 T-12 21.42M
1.003 JW Dominion T-12 38.73M
2.907 Ghostbusters T-12 31.74M

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alamo Drafthouse

T-8 Thursday 138 Showings 5482 +245 21429 ATP: 15.63
1.862 The Flash T-8 18.06M
1.027 Avatar 2 T-8 17.46M
2.319 Ghostbusters T-8 10.44M

 

T-9 Friday 171 Showings 4894 +179 27587 ATP: 15.43
2.355 The Flash T-9 34.86M
0.697 Avatar 2 T-9 25.23M
2.312 Ghostbusters T-9 28.09M

 

T-10 Saturday 172 Showings 4760 +199 27866 ATP: 14.75
2.528 The Flash T-10 39.69M
0.591 Avatar 2 T-10 26.21M
2.250 Ghostbusters T-10 36.98M

 

T-11 Sunday 150 Showings 2825 +142 24498 ATP: 14.38
3.404 The Flash T-11 52.76M
0.560 Avatar 2 T-11 20.46M
2.814 Ghostbusters T-11 30.73M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/20/2023 at 3:28 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-9 Thursday 145 Showings 1098 +38 22306

 

T-10 Friday 232 Showings 807 +68 35289

 

T-11 Saturday 234 Showings 422 +23 35627

 

T-12 Sunday 229 Showings 173 +17 34624

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-8 Thursday 145 Showings 1132 +34 22310
0.823 The Flash T-8 7.98M

 

T-9 Friday 232 Showings 862 +55 35286
0.991 The Flash T-9 14.66M

 

T-10 Saturday 234 Showings 464 +42 35627
0.732 The Flash T-10 11.49M

 

T-11 Sunday 229 Showings 199 +26 34620
0.708 The Flash T-11 10.98M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/20/2023 at 3:29 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 102 2035 5.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 149 1519 9.81%

 

Sunday: 42

Monday: 326(+12)

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
458 18 22029 2.08% 23 108

 

1.370 Indiana Jones T-21
0.551 JW Dominion T-21 9.93M

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 103 2035 5.06%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 172 1519 11.32%

 

Sunday: 42

Monday: 344(+18)

Tuesday:

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
488 30 22059 2.21% 13 108

 

1.428 Indiana Jones T-20  
0.528 Avatar 2 T-20 8.98M
0.567 JW Dominion T-20 10.21M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/20/2023 at 3:31 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Alamo Drafthouse

T-21 Tuesday 112 Showings 1337 +73 18491 ATP: 8.73
0.348 Indiana Jones T-21
0.375 JW Dominion T-21 6.74M

 

T-22 Wednesday 113 Showings 431 +47 19201 ATP: 17.51

 

T-23 Thursday 117 Showings 454 +33 19704 ATP: 16.21

 

T-24 Friday 117 Showings 821 +44 19765 ATP: 16.59
0.264 Indiana Jones T-24
0.294 JW Dominion T-24 12.23M

 

T-25 Saturday 123 Showings 946 +66 20842 ATP: 16.20
0.314 Indiana Jones T-25
0.328 JW Dominion T-25 15.38M

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Alamo Drafthouse

T-20 Tuesday 113 Showings 1424 +87 18667 ATP: 8.77
0.366 Indiana Jones T-20  
0.547 Avatar 2 T-20 9.30M
0.383 JW Dominion T-20 6.90M

 

T-21 Wednesday 116 Showings 467 +36 19615 ATP: 17.44

 

T-22 Thursday 123 Showings 483 +29 20331 ATP: 16.22

 

T-23 Friday 121 Showings 861 +40 20165 ATP: 16.66
0.277 Indiana Jones T-23  
0.351 Avatar 2 T-23 12.69M
0.295 JW Dominion T-23 12.28M

 

T-24 Saturday 123 Showings 986 +40 20842 ATP: 16.22
0.317 Indiana Jones T-24  
0.354 Avatar 2 T-24 15.71M
0.329 JW Dominion T-24 15.43M
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