The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[motionpic05]

Lightyear seems to have minimal buzz

Edited June 13, 2022 by motionpic05

[Eric the Minion]

Just now, motionpic05 said:

So... what would happen with films already completed?

Will Bullet Train other upcoming films with large gun roles be impacted?

 

https://twitter.com/IndieWire/status/1536443287908794370?s=20&t=PY5zpSwoI5hZW1vo_6AZXw

It's not gonna lead to a thing. Nobody cares about this.

[CJohn]

29 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

I disagree. I think its unlikely that Dominion beats it, but its no 0% chance. All that needs to happen is a Lightyear underperfomance and judging by the early tracking numbers, thats not totally out of the question.

 

Id give it like a 10% chance honestly.

It is more than 10%. JW3 is winning imo. 65M should be enough to ensure a victory. Tracking, pre-sales and buzz are soft for Lightyear.

[filmlover]

Lightyear's 6:00 Wednesday shows are on track to fill up near me. Should add a nice number to Thursday's previews.

[ringedmortality]

12 minutes ago, Eric Lightyear said:

It's not gonna lead to a thing. Nobody cares about this.

People saying media leads to violence has been a thing since forever.

[YM!]

The goal for Lightyear should be a preview number around Sonic 2. I think that’s likely the best comparison for it (Sonic 2 also had EA too)

[keysersoze123]

7 minutes ago, YourMother said:

The goal for Lightyear should be a preview number around Sonic 2. I think that’s likely the best comparison for it (Sonic 2 also had EA too)

Based on MTC1 I dont see Lightyear having any issues beating Sonic for sure. It should not even be close. 

[Hilpkioy]

Won't be surprised if Thor opens under DSMoM. DSMoM felt like an event film almost like CA: Civil War so people rushed out to see it. Thor could have better legs though.

[XXR & Friends]

2 minutes ago, Hilpkioy said:

Won't be surprised if Thor opens under DSMoM.

 

That's not in question. It will definitely open under MOM. 

[TwoMisfits]

So, I'm back home and I see that TMobile is offering a one day TMobile ATOM BOGO deal for tomorrow only purchases/views (aka, you will purchase and see the movie 6/14).  That should help Jurassic's Tuesday and further weaken Lightyear's prospects, b/c if this brings in families tomorrow, I doubt they are back again this weekend... 

[LegendaryBen]

2 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

So, I'm back home and I see that TMobile is offering a one day TMobile ATOM BOGO deal for tomorrow only purchases/views (aka, you will purchase and see the movie 6/14).  That should help Jurassic's Tuesday and further weaken Lightyear's prospects, b/c if this brings in families tomorrow, I doubt they are back again this weekend... 

Premium showings are excluded, but still an awesome deal. Here's to hoping for a strong Tuesday for TGM.

[filmlover]

Just now, TwoMisfits said:

So, I'm back home and I see that TMobile is offering a one day TMobile ATOM BOGO deal for tomorrow only purchases/views (aka, you will purchase and see the movie 6/14).  That should help Jurassic's Tuesday and further weaken Lightyear's prospects, b/c if this brings in families tomorrow, I doubt they are back again this weekend... 

It's a holiday (two of them) on Sunday. Movies that are largely male-targeted (which is pretty much everything out right now except Downton Abbey) will especially benefit from the Father's Day bump.

[TwoMisfits]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It's a holiday (two of them) on Sunday. Movies that are largely male-targeted (which is pretty much everything out right now except Downton Abbey) will especially benefit from the Father's Day bump.

 

True, but $12 for a family of 4 to see a movie all in at a cheap Tuesday theater is gonna make it hard for a lot of them to swallow another movie within 5 days that costs $12+/person or $50+ minimum just for the tickets...since I just traveled, I just got reacquainted with how damn expensive gas, food, and fun is right now!

[krla]

59 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

I just HAD to innocently check Thor presales....

 

Thor4

Southwest Ontario and Toronto combined Taken June 13

 

So yea after seeing the amount of seats and stuff I said nope not doing two separate sections for 2 separate days. Will prolly condense the other counts starting tomorrow save what little sanity I have left....ha....hahahahaha

 

I had to double check the numbers of Thurs BOFFO numbers for Thurs. I did find one major error but all else seems to check out....people must not want spoilers I guess.

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	18	113	3656	21586	25242	14.48
Fri	18	154	1682	32435	34117	4.93

 

I don't track, but I popped on to look at my local Cineplex in Medicine Hat, and was shocked at how anemic this place is. For Thor (just copying your table with my 'data' lol) 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	1	6	8	1204	1212	0.66
Fri	1	8	6	1610	1616	0.37

 

Half the shows are 3D, not a single ticket sold for them. Minions has 5 tickets sold on it's thursday, nothing else (those are all 3d since there are only 3d showings, no regular). Lightyear has 2 tickets sold on thursday, 4 friday, and 4 saturday. The only 3d tickets sold are the thursday ones, since they have no regular screenings that day. 

 

Meanwhile Elvis is 3/12/4/2 for its opening TFSS. 21 tickets sold for its opening weekend, while Minions, Lightyear, and Thor have a COMBINED 29. lol 

[ZackM]

 

23 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

 

 

 

Just to make sure I have some Lightyear data to reference in the future:

 

 

Lightyear Alpha Chain Early Access Screening: The Andy Experience: T-3 days
6/12/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	151	152	2,729	33,571	8.13%
ATP
$22.43

 

 

Lightyear Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days
	Last Day
Showings Added	3,038
Seats Added	495,612
Seats Sold	26,720
6/12/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	420	3,038	26,720	495,612	5.39%
ATP
$17.04

 

 

Lightyear Alpha Chain Early Access Screening: The Andy Experience: T-2 days
6/13/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	151	152	3,594	33,571	10.71%
ATP
$22.35

 

 

Lightyear Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago
Showings Added	247	3,038
Seats Added	26,039	495,612
Seats Sold	5,856	26,720
6/13/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	421	3,285	32,576	521,651	6.24%
ATP
$16.79

 

[titanic2187]

3 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

True, but $12 for a family of 4 to see a movie all in at a cheap Tuesday theater is gonna make it hard for a lot of them to swallow another movie within 5 days that costs $12+/person or $50+ minimum just for the tickets...since I just traveled, I just got reacquainted with how damn expensive gas, food, and fun is right now!

Or, this give family extra saving and now they no longer need to choose between JWD and LY? 

[Eric the Minion]

On 6/13/2022 at 12:15 AM, Eric Lightyear said:

Lightyear Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	103	508	19476	2.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 92

 

Comp

3.409x of Jungle Cruise T-4 (9.2M)

3.528x of Encanto T-4 (5.29M)

0.437x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-4 (2.73M)

Lightyear Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	650	20093	3.23%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 142

 

Comp

3.631x of Jungle Cruise T-3 (9.8M)

3.846x of Encanto T-3 (5.77M)

0.466x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-3 (2.91M)

[Eric the Minion]

On 6/13/2022 at 12:18 AM, Eric Lightyear said:

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	120	69	26275	0.26%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

0.169x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-18 (1.06M)

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	120	89	26275	0.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.200x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-17 (1.25M)

[Eric the Minion]

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-24 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	184	3689	34283	10.76%

 

Comp

0.327x of Spider-Man: No Way Home's First Day of Sales (16.38M)

1.023x of The Batman's First Day of Sales (22.1M)

0.599x of Doctor Strange 2's First Day of Sales (21.55M)

0.464x of Doctor Strange 2 T-24 (16.7M)

[Eric the Minion]

On 6/13/2022 at 12:19 AM, Eric Lightyear said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-39 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	97	11053	0.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-38 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	109	11053	0.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 12