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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR & Friends,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted
Just now, jedijake said:

Do they ever? I know RT has a huge impact, but do social media reviews?

We have seen multiple MCU movies get a boost around social media reactions. From BW till Thor. Levels do vary. Only movie which did not benefit was Eternals but that had early reviews that took away all the hype.

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted

Prey for the Devil, counted today at 11am EST for today:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 45 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 1 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): still Sell Outs reported, I doubt it
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 8 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 10 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 41 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 59 (3 showtimes)


Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 164.

Up very modest 17% since yesterday.
Comps (all counted on Thursday of the release week for Thursday): The Invitation (775k) had 218 sold tickets,

Smile (2M) had 467,

Barbarian (850k) had 289,

The Invisible Man (1.65M) had 927

and The Forever Purge (1.3M) had 241 sold tickets.

 

So ca. 2/3 of the presales of The Invitation but Prey for the Devil had way worse jumps in the last few days. Therefore I go with sub-500k from previews.


Prey for the Devil, counted today at 11am EST for tomorrow:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 85 (9 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 10 (5 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 7 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 68 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 82 (4 showtimes)


Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 262.


Up acceptable 27% since yesterday.
Comps (all counted on Thursday for Friday): The Invitation had 204 sold tickets,

Smile had 549
Barbarian had 249,

Old had 500,

Malignant had 237,

The Invisible Man had 894

and The Conjuring 3 had 1.435 sold tickets. As I said yesterday, this comp makes PFTD look worse than it is e.g. because The Conjuring had no Thursday shows.

This film does not behave like a normal horror movie. The jumps in my theaters were really poor for that genre but it's also untypical and a good sign that the Friday presales are way better than the Thursday presales. And Halloween is coming.
With a little help of the release date I think it could reach ca. 7M OW.

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
9 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Prey for Devil T-0 Jax 5 16 19 53 1,681 3.15%
    Phx 6 16 16 43 1,726 2.49%
    Ral 7 13 6 43 1,404 3.06%
  Total   18 45 41 139 4,811 2.89%

 

Prey for the Devil T-0 comps

 - Escape Room 2 - .563x (675k)

 - Antlers - 1.18x (436k)

 - X - .623x (274k)

 - Firestarter - .939x (352k)

 - Men - .92x (389k)

 - The Invitation - .743x (576k)

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Prey for Devil 1-Hr Jax 5 16 45 98 1,681 5.83%
    Phx 6 16 23 66 1,726 3.82%
    Ral 7 13 20 63 1,404 4.49%
  Total   18 45 88 227 4,811 4.72%

 

Prey for the Devil T-1 hr comps

 - Escape Room 2 - .5x (600k)

 - Antlers - 1.195x (442k)

 - X - .662x (291k)

 - Firestarter - 1.01x (378k)

 - Men - .97x (410k)

 - The Invitation - .744x (577k)

All horror movies - 536k

All PG-13 - 461k

All movies - 484k

 

Gonna lean on the higher side of comps for this one and go with 575k for previews.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 10/25/2022 at 6:17 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 799 3301 24.20%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 526 2758 19.07%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
3660 87 32294 11.33% 15 225

 

AMCs sold 2202
Cinemarks sold 682
Regals sold 347
Harkins sold 429

 

0.524x Doctor Strange MoM T-16 (18.85M)

1.18x Batman T-16 (25.40M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 830 3301 25.14%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 544 2758 19.72%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 2 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
3869 209 32294 11.98% 15 225

 

AMCs sold 2289
Cinemarks sold 740
Regals sold 379
Harkins sold 461

 

0.836x Thor L&T T-14 (24.25M)

0.531x Doctor Strange MoM T-14 (19.12M)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 10/25/2022 at 6:21 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Megaplex

 

T-16 Thursday(99 showings): 2413(+51)/29419

0.317x Doctor Strange MoM T-16 (11.42M)

0.617x Batman T-16 (13.33M)

 

T-17 Friday(160 showings): 1380(+53)/45165

0.340x Doctor Strange MoM T-17 (18.63M)

1.08x Batman T-17 (37.97M)

 

T-18 Saturday(163 showings): 937(+39)/47913

0.414x Doctor Strange MoM T-18 (23.96M)

1.57x Batman T-18 (68.13M)

 

T-19 Sunday(140 showings): 197(+9)/42321

0.365x Doctor Strange MoM T-19 (14.21M)

1.68x Batman T-19 (57.48M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Megaplex [+2 days of sales]

 

T-14 Thursday(99 showings): 2579(+166)/29419

0.593x Thor L&T T-14 (17.20M)

0.323x Doctor Strange MoM T-14 (11.63M)

 

T-15 Friday(160 showings): 1552(+172)/45165

0.655x Thor L&T T-15 (26.56M)

0.361x Doctor Strange MoM T-15 (19.73M)

 

T-16 Saturday(163 showings): 1021(+84)/47913

0.884x Thor L&T T-16 (37.23M)

0.418x Doctor Strange MoM T-16 (24.16M)

 

T-17 Sunday(140 showings): 212(+15)/42321

0.493x Thor L&T T-17 (16.02M)

0.362x Doctor Strange MoM T-17 (14.07M)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 10/25/2022 at 6:25 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-16 Thursday(219 showings): 12029(+164)/30510 ATP: $16.11

0.770x Doctor Strange MoM T-16 (27.73M)

1.66x Batman T-16 (29.28M, Thurs only)

 

T-17 Friday(327 showings): 12944(+363)/46457 ATP: $15.74

0.978x Doctor Strange MoM T-17 (53.51M)

1.86x Batman T-17 (65.05M)

 

T-18 Saturday(330 showings): 11057(+244)/47364 ATP: $15.35

0.807x Doctor Strange MoM T-18 (46.64M)

1.83x Batman T-18 (79.09M)

 

T-19 Sunday(319 showings): 6080(+217)/45087 ATP: $15.42

0.941x Doctor Strange MoM T-19 (36.61M)

2.47x Batman T-19 (84.31M)

Black Panther Wakanda Forever Alamo Drafthouse [+2 days of sales]

 

T-14 Thursday(219 showings): 12481(+452)/30510 ATP: $16.13

1.11x Thor L&T T-14 (32.11M)

0.780x Doctor Strange MoM T-14 (28.09M)

 

T-15 Friday(327 showings): 13707(+763)/46457 ATP: $15.72

1.50x Thor L&T T-15 (61.02M)

0.983x Doctor Strange MoM T-15 (53.77M)

 

T-16 Saturday(330 showings): 11783(+726)/47364 ATP: $15.33

1.43x Thor L&T T-16 (60.09M)

0.815x Doctor Strange MoM T-16 (47.10M)

 

T-17 Sunday(319 showings): 6565(+485)/45087 ATP: $15.39

1.46x Thor L&T T-17 (47.46M)

0.54x Doctor Strange MoM T-17 (37.10M)

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misterpepp Sleeper Hit

misterpepp

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, ringedmortality said:

Hey @datpepper any leads on the mystery movie 

 

Sorry, not yet! 😖

 

I assure you I'll tag you once I hear anything. My source still hasn't received word on what the movie is, although he seems pretty confident it's not Fabelmans (For those lurking from r/boxoffice where I got "famous" for the last mystery movie after my BOT reply got shared over there, please do not post this as 100% confirmation, as I'm not ruling anything out completely just yet). The DCP file should be sent out for ingestion sometime late next week, so hopefully I'll hear something soon.

Edited by datpepper
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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
20 hours ago, Ericstein's Monster said:

Prey for the Devil Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 35 85 5224 1.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 25

 

Comp

0.332x of Escape Room 2 T-1 (398K)

1.288x of The Night House T-1 (335K)

0.988x of Antlers T-1 (366K)

0.275x of Last Night in Soho T-1 (192K)

0.272x of Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City T-1 (254K)

0.702x of X T-1 (309K)

1.133x of Firestarter T-1 (425K)

0.620x of Men T-1 (262K)

0.817x of The Invitation T-1 (633K)

0.322x of Barbarian T-1 (274K)

Prey for the Devil Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 35 185 5224 3.54%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 100

 

Comp

0.320x of Escape Room 2 (384K)

1.637x of The Night House (426K)

1.276x of Antlers (472K)

0.478x of Last Night in Soho (335K)

0.367x of Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City (343K)

0.774x of X (341K)

1.434x of Firestarter (538K)

0.749x of Men (317K)

0.633x of The Invitation (491K)

0.384x of Barbarian (326K)

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)
12 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Just curious....why do you all think Denver is tracking lower for WF than Sac and Philly?

 

@Inceptionzq knows their market better than anyone else, naturally, but...

 

1] Randomness

2] Demographic differences between the areas

3] Underperforming at key local theaters

4] Outliers happen on random samples/Just one of those things

 

Aside from that, and again not knowing the drilled down data at the theater level (which is where Inceptionzq would know much more about), probably wouldn't want to draw too many more conclusions until all pre-sales are done.  Could just be late arriving ticket purchases for whatever reason. There's a reason why I listed "randomness" above "demographic differences" after all.

Edited by Porthos
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