The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[filmlover]

8 hours ago, M37 said:

The next confirmed IMAX show is Evangelion, which is only a limited engagement on select days starting Nov 30

Must be a one or two night thing because Violent Night is getting an IMAX release (and presumably holding onto those screens until Avatar) on December 2.

[Eric is Quiet]

22 hours ago, Eric Carey said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	250	9127	44218	20.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 471

 

Comp

0.480x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-6 (24.01M)

1.474x of The Batman T-6 (31.83M)

0.738x of Doctor Strange 2 T-6 (26.56M)

1.289x of Thor 4 T-6 (37.37M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	255	9467	44580	21.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 340

 

Comp

0.482x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-5 (24.09M)

1.453x of The Batman T-5 (31.39M)

0.747x of Doctor Strange 2 T-5 (26.9M)

1.295x of Thor 4 T-5 (37.55M)

[ZackM]

On 11/4/2022 at 11:37 PM, ZackM said:

 

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	59	39	111	162	65
Seats Added	6,892	2,844	11,934	18,043	5,573
Seats Sold	10,457	8,960	9,058	7,115	5,555
11/4/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	439	7,816	240,433	1,197,130	20.08%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	38	178	459	823
ATP
$16.77
Black Panther Double Feature Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days
11/4/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	92	97	8,216	22,354	36.75%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	4	11	22	34
ATP
$17.55

 

 

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Comps
	Thor: Love & Thunder		Dr. Strange MoM
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0
T-0
T-1
T-2
T-3
T-4
T-5
T-6	$27.0	$26.9	$23.1	$23.4
T-7	$26.9	$26.8	$22.8	$23.2
T-8	$26.8	$26.7	$22.7	$23.1
T-9	$26.6	$26.4	$22.5	$22.9
T-10	$26.4	$26.3	$22.5	$22.9
T-11	$26.4	$26.3	$22.3	$22.7
T-12	$26.6	$26.5	$22.2	$22.7
T-13	$26.7	$26.6	$22.0	$22.5
T-14	$26.9	$26.8	$21.7	$22.2
T-15	$26.7	$26.6	$21.3	$21.8
T-16	$26.8	$26.7	$21.2	$21.7
T-17	$26.9	$26.8	$21.2	$21.6
T-18	$27.2	$27.1	$21.4	$21.8

 

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	17	59	39	111	162
Seats Added	1,388	6,892	2,844	11,934	18,043
Seats Sold	10,642	10,457	8,960	9,058	7,115
11/5/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	439	7,833	251,075	1,198,518	20.95%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	42	195	501	881
ATP
$16.72
Black Panther Double Feature Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days
11/5/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	92	97	8,405	22,354	37.60%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	6	11	24	35
ATP
$17.55

 

 

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Comps
	Thor: Love & Thunder		Dr. Strange MoM
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0
T-0
T-1
T-2
T-3
T-4
T-5	$27.3	$27.1	$23.4	$23.7
T-6	$27.0	$26.9	$23.1	$23.4
T-7	$26.9	$26.8	$22.8	$23.2
T-8	$26.8	$26.7	$22.7	$23.1
T-9	$26.6	$26.4	$22.5	$22.9
T-10	$26.4	$26.3	$22.5	$22.9
T-11	$26.4	$26.3	$22.3	$22.7
T-12	$26.6	$26.5	$22.2	$22.7
T-13	$26.7	$26.6	$22.0	$22.5
T-14	$26.9	$26.8	$21.7	$22.2
T-15	$26.7	$26.6	$21.3	$21.8
T-16	$26.8	$26.7	$21.2	$21.7
T-17	$26.9	$26.8	$21.2	$21.6
T-18	$27.2	$27.1	$21.4	$21.8

 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-6 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	2	308	29023	38127	9104	23.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

395

 

T-6 Comp

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	69.69		506	13063		0/353	29617/42680	30.61%		21117	43.11%		25.09m
L&T	105.04		393	8667		0/249	24865/33532	25.85%		16962	53.67%		30.46m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     2211/12453  [17.75% sold]
Matinee:    449/4318  [10.40% | 4.93% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-5 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	2	307	28444	37960	9516	25.07%

 

Total Showings Removed Today	1
Total Seats Removed Today	167
Total Seats Sold Today	412

 

T-5 Comp

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	70.44		446	13509		0/353	29171/42680	31.65%		21117	45.06%		25.36m
L&T	106.10		302	8969		0/251	24732/33701	26.61%		16962	56.10%		30.77m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     2335/12453  [18.75% sold]
Matinee:      486/4151  [11.71% | 5.11% of all tickets sold]

[keysersoze123]

Wakanda Forever MTC2 previews - 156280/803226 2265355.55 5712 shows +7342

 

About 26 hours of data from yesterday's update. 

[Nikostar]

How huge will the walk ups be and how huge will the review bump be. Also don't movies with heavy urban appeal normally see huge sales in it's final week? WK will have a huge turnout from the older African American audience who are not normal marvel fans. With Friday being a holiday this could be big.

Edited November 6, 2022 by Nikostar

[VENOM]

10 minutes ago, Nikostar said:

How huge will the walk ups be and how huge will the review bump be. Also don't movies with heavy urban appeal normally see huge sales in it's final week? WK will have a huge turnout from the older African American audience who are not normal marvel fans. With Friday being a holiday this could be big.

The “not normal marvel fans” didn’t show up for Black Adam.. But let’s say you’re right what number OW since you’re confident?

[Nikostar]

3 minutes ago, VENOM said:

The “not normal marvel fans” didn’t show up for Black Adam.. But let’s say you’re right what number OW since you’re confident?

Of course they didn't. Black Adam is DC.

[VENOM]

2 minutes ago, Nikostar said:

Of course they didn't. Black Adam is DC.

So what’s a “not normal marvel fan”? Doesn’t that mean they don’t care about marvel vs dc? 
 

You still haven’t given your prediction yet

Edited November 6, 2022 by VENOM

[Nikostar]

7 minutes ago, VENOM said:

So what’s a “not normal marvel fan”? Doesn’t that mean they don’t care about marvel vs dc? 
 

You still haven’t given your prediction yet

The not normal marvel fan is somebody who probably haven't seen any marvel before Black Panther and since Black Panther. The original had a huge turn out of older African Americans audience. Many thought BP was a great movie but it did not make 700 million off of marvel fans and repeat viewing alone.  My prediction for the film is 190-200 OW. 

Edited November 6, 2022 by Nikostar

[Krissykins]

Would it be a first for an MCU sequel if it opened to less than the first one? 

[Grebacio]

14 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Would it be a first for an MCU sequel if it opened to less than the first one? 

No. Age of Ultron opened with less than Avengers

[jedijake]

14 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Would it be a first for an MCU sequel if it opened to less than the first one? 

Avengers $207 m--->Age of Ultron $192 m

 

[Eric is Quiet]

The Far From Home erasure smh

 

(this is a joke btw, please don't yell at me)

[Krissykins]

11 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

No. Age of Ultron opened with less than Avengers

 

10 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Avengers $207 m--->Age of Ultron $192 m

 

Ah sorry, solo character I should’ve said. But I just seen Eric’s post lol. It’s complicated I guess.
 

$200m+ would be fantastic. 

[XXR & Friends]

2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

 

Ah sorry, solo character I should’ve said. But I just seen Eric’s post lol. It’s complicated I guess.
 

$200m+ would be fantastic. 

 

Yea FFH opened on a Tuesday so it technically counts but then of course we all know it doesn't.

WF will be close to BP. AM3 should fairly easily clear AM2. GOTG3 should clear GOTG2. The Marvels may fall under CM but it's too hard to tell right now. Even with inflation, I'd be shocked if Cap 4 didn't fall from Cap 3 but then again does that really count? 

[Joyous Legion]

Yeah I'm probably counting NWO as a first entry. 

[CJohn]

31 minutes ago, K'uk'ulkan XXR said:

 

Yea FFH opened on a Tuesday so it technically counts but then of course we all know it doesn't.

WF will be close to BP. AM3 should fairly easily clear AM2. GOTG3 should clear GOTG2. The Marvels may fall under CM but it's too hard to tell right now. Even with inflation, I'd be shocked if Cap 4 didn't fall from Cap 3 but then again does that really count? 

NWO should be compared to The Winter Soldier. Civil War is an Avengers movie in all but name.

[jedijake]

1 hour ago, K'uk'ulkan XXR said:

 

Yea FFH opened on a Tuesday so it technically counts but then of course we all know it doesn't.

WF will be close to BP. AM3 should fairly easily clear AM2. GOTG3 should clear GOTG2. The Marvels may fall under CM but it's too hard to tell right now. Even with inflation, I'd be shocked if Cap 4 didn't fall from Cap 3 but then again does that really count? 

Cap3 was a unique situation because it was, for all intents and purposes, a follow up to AOU. But yet you can't call it a direct drop from that one. Very unique indeed.

[Eric is Quiet]

22 hours ago, Eric Carey said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	255	9467	44580	21.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 340

 

Comp

0.482x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-5 (24.09M)

1.453x of The Batman T-5 (31.39M)

0.747x of Doctor Strange 2 T-5 (26.9M)

1.295x of Thor 4 T-5 (37.55M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	255	9963	44580	22.35%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 496

 

Comp

0.489x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-4 (24.45M)

1.437x of The Batman T-4 (31.05M)

0.742x of Doctor Strange 2 T-4 (26.73M)

1.289x of Thor 4 T-4 (37.39M)