BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[Aristis]

MarkG forecasts 1M (-40%) for 2nd WE and 3,7M and a lifetime of 5,25M... Might be a bit optimistic but it seems there's nothing too optimistic for this movie

 

Some actuals:

 

30th biggest OW ever:

position / WE-admissions / cinemas / average / year / title

26	1.718.673	950	1.809	02	MIB2
27	1.690.853	814	2.077	08	Quantum of Solace
28	1.682.806	982	1.714	07	Harry Potter 5
29	1.681.087	857	1.962	15	Spectre
30	1.671.661	717	2.331	19	Avengers - Endgame
31	1.670.397	754	2.215	07	Simpsons
32	1.627.277	814	1.999	17	Star Wars 8
33	1.607.782	909	1.769	11	Harry Potter 7.2
34	1.565.655	777	2.015	04	7 Zwerge
35	1.539.943	703	2.191	09	New Moon

...

80

1.075.122

700

1.536

18

Avengers - Infinity War

http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekord.htm

 

2nd Biggest April OW ever:

position / WE-admissions / cinemas / average / year / title

1	2.395.588	1.061	2.258	06	Ice Age 2
2	1.671.661	717	2.331	19	Avengers - Endgame
3	1.334.183	642	2.078	15	Fast & Furious 7
4	1.144.880	661	1.732	17	Fast & Furious 8
5	1.075.122	700	1.536	18	Avengers - Infinity War
6	1.049.479	712	1.474	00	Pokemon
7	823.733	633	1.301	11	Fast & Furious Five
8	749.797	686	1.093	17	Guardians of the Galaxy 2
9	745.709	602	1.239	07	300
10	679.800	778	874	03	Johnny English

http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekordMonat.htm#APRIL

 

3rd biggest OW ever in €:

 

1	25.345.223	15	Star Wars 7
2	19.755.398	17	Star Wars 8
3	19.223.781	19	Avengers - Endgame	24.321.864 5-days
4	17.733.509	15	Fack Ju Göhte 2
5	16.666.356	01	Harry Potter 1
6	16.636.145	12	Skyfall	18.502.953 incl. Previews
7	16.590.492	15	Spectre	18.614.747 incl. Previews
8	16.500.000	05	Harry Potter 4	estimate, 18.497.906 5-day
9	16.175.918	02	Harry Potter 2
10	15.402.670	17	Fack Ju Göhte 3

...

27

12.556.887

18

Avengers - Infinity War

http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekordBO.htm

 

5th biggest OD (admissions) and 3rd biggest OD (€):

position / admissions / € / year / OD / title / admissions i.P. before midnight

1	616.021		03	Wed	LOTR3
2	613.462		02	Wed	LOTR2
3	585.586		99	Thu	Star Wars -1
4	562.319	6.675.000	15	Thu	Star Wars 7
5	461.885	5.098.083	19	Wed	Avengers - Endgame
6	461.024		12	Thu	Skyfall	689.541
7	460.102		04	Thu	(T)Raumschiff Surprise	625.000
8	435.258	5.253.000	17	Thu	Star Wars 8
9	434.586		01	Thu	Harry Potter 1
10	426.708	2.784.216	06	Thu	POTC2	620.521
11	425.966		01	Wed	LOTR1
12	406.692		15	Thu	Fack Ju Göhte 2

...

225k / Avengers - Infinity War

http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStarttag.htm

 

Edited May 1, 2019 by Aristis

[Plunsch]

First numbers from insidekino

 

Avengers with a strong hold: 1,05 Mio (equal to IW opening weekend) 

Admissions till Sunday 3,89 mio 

[Taruseth]

45 minutes ago, Plunsch said:

First numbers from insidekino

 

Avengers with a strong hold: 1,05 Mio (equal to IW opening weekend) 

Admissions till Sunday 3,89 mio 

Wow,

1.05m Second Weekend, damn. Would mean like €12m ≈ $13.4m

IW added 2.325m after OW, that would mean 6.2m final, but I guess that 1st May already was and that Endgame might drop when the weather get's better again will prevent it from getting that far, but it at least has a chance to get to that (which would make it the highest attended movie since TFA...)

Right now I'd say realistic target is 5.7m (maybe a little lower or higher, so right around TLJ)

 

Highest 2nd Weekend in $ (Lord of the Ring movies had gigantic 2nd weekends (2&1 sold nearly as many adm. over the 2nd weekend as Endgame did on it's 5-day OW):

LotR 3: ~16m (in adm it's behin 2 &1) (those numbers seem really high)

LotR 2: ~15.9m

LotR 1: ~15.5m

Ice Age 3: $15.076m

TFA: $14.878m (after the highest OWend and OW in $)

Skyfall: $14.572m

Spectre: $13.972m

 

(Probably missed one or two) so it looks like it would be in eighth place in $. If one movie could do what LotR did now, we could have second weekends of $25m...

 

In adm. LotR 2 sold 2.08m (so nearly double)

 

I am really asking myself if any of the weekend records will ever get broken, I really doubt it.

Like HP1 for OWend, LotR 2 for 2nd Weekend, HP1 for 3rd Weekend, Titanic for 4th-15th Weekend, Dirty Dancing for 16th Weekend.

Also those movies are between 17 and 22 years old...🤣

 

 

 

[terrestrial]

InsideKino‏ @MarkGInsideKino 2h2 hours ago

More

Heute überschreitet AVENGERS - ENDGAME die 3 Mio. Besucher-Marke - der aktuelle Deutschland-Trend: http://www.insidekino.com/News.htm#Freitag_3._Mai_2019 …

Translated from German by Microsoft

Today AVENGERS-ENDGAME exceeds the 3 million visitor mark-the current German trend:

Quote

Trend:
Die Ferien sind zwar vorbei, aber die Wettervorhersage ist der Kinobranche gnädig.
Und so könnte Avengers - Endgame den ersten Trends nach am zweiten Wochenende mit etwa 1,05 Mio. Besuchern rechnen (das wäre in etwa auf dem Niveau des Starts von Infinity War, der mit 1.075.122 Besuchern loslegte). Am heutigen Freitag knackt das Fourquel die 3 Mio. Besucher-Marke, am Samstag Infinity War und bis Sonntag sollten 3,89 Mio. Besucher die Marvel-Produktion gesehen haben.
Es folgen Der Fall Collini (95T), Monsieur Claude 2 (75T), After Passion (75T) und Royal Corgi - Der Liebling der Queen (75T bis Sonntag) als bester Neuzugang.

Quote

Trend:
The holidays are over, but the weather forecast is gracious to the cinema industry.
And so Avengers - Endgame could expect the first trends after the second weekend with about 1.05 million visitors (that would be about at the level of the launch of Infinity War, which started with 1,075,122 visitors). On Friday, the Fourquel hits the 3 million visitor mark, on Saturday Infinity War and by Sunday, 3.89 million visitors should have seen the Marvel production.
This is followed by The Case Collini (95k), Monsieur Claude 2 (75k), After Passion (75k) and Royal Corgi - The Queen's Favorite (75k to Sunday) as the best newcomer.

used translation software

Edited May 3, 2019 by terrestrial

[el sid]

And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

The new releases:
 

Royal Corgi (released in 415 theaters, Wednesday start): 2.3k → 75k admissions OW in the first trend
Der Flohmarkt von Madame Claire/Le dernier vide-grenier de Claire Darling (117): 1.75k → 15k OW
The Hole in the Ground (188): 1.7k → 27.5k OW
Fighting with My Family (173, Wednesday start): 1.6k → 22.5k OW
Serenity (only 90 theaters): 1k
Das schönste Paar (49): 550

The holdovers:

Avengers: Endgame: 110k/1.4M US$ (actuals last Thursday 311k)
Der Fall Collini: 10k (12k)
Monsieur Claude 2: 8k (13k)
After: 7.5k (actuals last Thursday 20k)
Van Gogh: 3k

It's rainy today where I live (yesterday it was rather sunny) and it's predicted to stay like that the whole weekend. In other regions it looks a bit better but not much. Only the Sunday could in the northern part of Germany become better weatherwise.

Edited May 3, 2019 by el sid

[Brainbug]

Endgame looks just as busy this weekend in my theater than it dit last weekend.

[Lordmandeep]

2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Endgame looks just as busy this weekend in my theater than it dit last weekend.

Germans are like "these movies are not bad " 

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

Germans are like "these movies are not bad " 

 

Its a crazy overperformance here. To think that Infinity Wars OW was already a huge breakout last year and Endgame looks to have a good chance to outgross IW's OW in its 2nd weekend - thats kind of insane. I can only imagine that in this last year, IW and the rest of the MCU have generated a lot more Marvel fans here.

[Lordmandeep]

32 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Its a crazy overperformance here. To think that Infinity Wars OW was already a huge breakout last year and Endgame looks to have a good chance to outgross IW's OW in its 2nd weekend - thats kind of insane. I can only imagine that in this last year, IW and the rest of the MCU have generated a lot more Marvel fans here.

 

Yeah its not only in Germany...

 

I can say Thanos as a villian and the ending of IW left an impact on audiences that very very few major blockbusters ever left with people.

 

 

[Brainbug]

7 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

 

Yeah its not only in Germany...

 

I can say Thanos as a villian and the ending of IW left an impact on audiences that very very few major blockbusters ever left with people.

 

 

 

Well i believe that as well, just from my personal experience: Before watching Infinity War, the MCU formula kinda lost me, i started to find the movies too repetitive. IW changed that totally and became my favourite MCU film. I may be not planning to really continue with the MCU after Endgame, but i was never hyped as much for a Marvel movie as i was for Endgame.

[keysersoze123]

Did IW overperformance help Cap Marvel?

[Brainbug]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

Did IW overperformance help Cap Marvel?

 

Entirely possible. Though i would argue that (like in the rest of the world), beeing the MCU film right before Endgame also helped CM a lot. The character is totally unknown here in Germany so the character itself probably didnt have all that much to do with it grossing a fairly respectable amount of money (24M and counting). Beeing part of the MCU itself was imo the main driving force.

[keysersoze123]

18 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Entirely possible. Though i would argue that (like in the rest of the world), beeing the MCU film right before Endgame also helped CM a lot. The character is totally unknown here in Germany so the character itself probably didnt have all that much to do with it grossing a fairly respectable amount of money (24M and counting). Beeing part of the MCU itself was imo the main driving force.

Let us see how Black Widow does next year. She was key part of Avengers. On the other hand she is not a top tier hero or having any amazing powers. So its more of a spy movie than a atypical SH movie.

Edited May 3, 2019 by keysersoze123

[Legion Again]

@keysersoze123 might want to edit that to be a little more plot ambiguous re: Endgame

Edited May 3, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[keysersoze123]

6 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

@keysersoze123 might want to edit that to be a little more plot ambiguous re: Endgame

Thanks. Edited.

[miketheavenger]

2nd trend a Little lower for Endgame, but still fantastic.

 

#1: Endgame: 950k

#2: Collini: 100k

#3: Monsieur Claude 2: 85k

#4: After: 75k

#5: Royal Corgi: 75k

[IndustriousAngel]

Don't know about Germany but here, weather is much better than predicted ...

[el sid]

Here is no reason to worry weatherwise. Where I live (Bavaria) it's really bad, rainy and cold. According to wetter.de it only looks sunny at the coast. Tomorrow will bring a bit more sunshine though.

Reservations at my theaters look a little bit "worse" than last Saturday but really only a little bit. And I'm not even sure if they didn't add another evening showing.

[Taruseth]

17 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Let us see how Black Widow does next year. She was key part of Avengers. On the other hand she is not a top tier hero or having any amazing powers. So its more of a spy movie than a atypical SH movie.

If done right I think it being an atypical SH movie could help... (or at least it wouldn't be a big disadvantage)

[IndustriousAngel]

Final weekend estimates for Germany:

#1: Endgame - 875k admissions (-48%, everything better than 50% is excellent!)

#2: Collini - 110k (-5%)

#3: QecqoaefaBD?  - 95k (-18%)

#4: 90k and best opener: The Queen's Corgi