Weekdays Thread (8/8-11) | Top Gun goes sub-1M after 75 days. Tom Cruise lost all his money now :(

[ringedmortality]

Jolie sends her regards

[The Dark Alfred]

Another brilliant sub 20 weekly hold for TGM on its locked flight to 700m. I'm going away for a festival, so no more daily reports from me until Monday, folks. The top 4 remains the same all week. Wednesday drop will tell us if TGM can keep the streak going. AVATAR had an obscene good week, increased every single day! TITANIC obviously another monster, still in its peak of its run, still three weeks away from the '98 Oscar ceremony. As of E.T., it also spent 80 days above 1m. TGM more likely to challenge E.T. for third place on Thu, but realistically it will come 4th. As of now take anything above 1m really. For the record E.T.'s 11th Thursday was $1,054,930.

 

Biggest domestic 11th Tuesday:

Mar  2, 2010   AVATAR                                $1,485,577      2,456   $604         $709,304,322

Aug 24, 1982  E.T.                                         $1,365,181     1,771    $770        $218,440,634

Mar  3, 1998   TITANIC                                $1,288,344     3,035    $424        $429,334,497

Aug  9, 2022   TOP GUN: MAVERICK        $1,215,382     2,760   $440         $664,758,251

 

Edited August 10, 2022 by The Dark Alfred

[CaptNathanBrittles]

TOP GUN: MAVERICK HIGHWAY TO $700M DAY 75

 

BLACK PANTHER: $24.5m ahead

TOP GUN 2 GAIN: +$0.7m

 

CURRENT SEA LEVEL: $673.5m

LOCK ON BOGEY: $691.85m

AVERAGE (LAST 48 DAYS): $684.61m (+0.02% YD)

[Ryan Reynolds]

1 hour ago, Tokugennumataka said:

BOP is projecting $6.8M (-3%) and $673.6M cume for TGM. Looking back at how few blockbusters performed in near identical timeframe, nearly all of them make around 4.5-6x that weekend and this is without penciling in a huge Labor Day bump at all. Mav should do better than that. So, should that hold come to fruition, it's safe to say that $700M is an absolute lock for TGM. Should be trying for 720-730M imo. 

3% drop is way too low, likely 10-15% drop 

[LonePirate]

TGM needs to drop less than 17.7% on Wednesday to stay above $1M. During its run, it has only dropped more than that one time. On July 27, it dropped 19.7%. It has dropped less that 17.7% on every other Wednesday. It will be close.

[Flip]

Following last week's drops for Maverick, it should just barely stay above $1M on Thursday (which had Bullet Train previews to compete with)

Edited August 10, 2022 by Flip

[Flip]

15 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

3% drop is way too low, likely 10-15% drop 

Last weekend it dropped 17% with the new competition of Bullet Train, this week the competition is much weaker and it will be getting PLFs back, a miniscule decrease is not out of the question, I'd say around a 6% decrease.

[Jiffy]

17 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

TGM needs to drop less than 17.7% on Wednesday to stay above $1M. During its run, it has only dropped more than that one time. On July 27, it dropped 19.7%. It has dropped less that 17.7% on every other Wednesday. It will be close.

Unfortunately that drop came after it also increased 15% on that Tuesday (which was its second biggest Tuesday increase to-date). Will be quite close either way.

[M37]

27 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

TGM needs to drop less than 17.7% on Wednesday to stay above $1M. During its run, it has only dropped more than that one time. On July 27, it dropped 19.7%. It has dropped less that 17.7% on every other Wednesday. It will be close.

Yeah, but it also had the second highest Tue increase of its run, so higher peak from which to fall - the July 27th Wed you mentioned was also following a +15% Tue 

 

Better to compare Wed to Mon, but agree it’s going to very close …

[Eric Duncan]

Sorry if this was already reported

 

		Movie Title	Distributor	Gross	%YD	%LW	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days In Release
1	(1)	Bullet Train	Sony Pictures	$3,851,738	+43%		4,357	$884	$36,572,866	5
2	(2)	DC League of Super Pets	Warner Bros.	$2,139,435	+41%	-42%	4,332	$494	$48,613,157	12
3	(4)	Minions: The Rise of Gru	Universal	$1,388,785	+27%	-35%	3,188	$436	$337,056,160	40
4	(3)	Nope	Universal	$1,263,300	+16%	-52%	3,016	$419	$100,324,075	19
5	(5)	Top Gun: Maverick	Paramount Pi…	$1,215,382	+15%	-15%	2,760	$440	$664,758,251	75
6	(6)	Thor: Love and Thunder	Walt Disney	$1,203,009	+20%	-40%	3,400	$354	$318,374,278	33
7	(7)	Where the Crawdads Sing	Sony Pictures	$1,110,516	+40%	-35%	3,164	$351	$66,551,498	26
8	(9)	Easter Sunday	Universal	$750,975	+39%		3,175	$237	$6,738,660	5
9	(8)	Elvis	Warner Bros.	$710,103	+28%	-34%	2,411	$295	$137,723,576	47
10	(10)	The Black Phone	Universal	$227,210	+4%	-41%	1,197	$190	$86,389,470	47
11	(11)	Jurassic World: Dominion	Universal	$189,635	+24%	-45%	1,232	$154	$372,208,170	61
12	(13)	Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris	Focus Features	$134,020	+45%	-44%	669	$200	$8,293,580	26
13	(12)	Vengeance	Focus Features	$126,875	+36%	-54%	1,003	$126	$3,503,760	12
-	(-)	Paws of Fury: The Legend …	Paramount Pi…	$47,015	+60%	-75%	497	$95	$17,645,759	26
-	(-)	Lightyear	Walt Disney	$13,462	-14%	-69%	280	$48	$118,141,729	54
-	(-)	A Love Song	Bleecker Street	$3,343	+35%	+136%	18	$186	$47,269	12
-	(-)	Doctor Strange in the Mul…	Walt Disney	$898	-34%	-64%	45	$20	$411,329,527	96
		17		$14,375,701

[CaptNathanBrittles]

LIGHTYEAR one of two movies to drop. 🤣

[The Dark Alfred]

60% increase for PAWS OF FURY lol Paramount should shift a few bucks from its Wed towards TGM.

[Krissykins]

Nope now over $100m. It’s falling quickly though. I’m sure someone floated the idea of a 3.5x multiplier. That was never happening. 

[The Dark Alfred]

Solid numbers for NOPE. It's always great for a horror to pass 100m. It will hit 120m that was expected after it's opening. This was never gonna reach GET OUT and US numbers.

[Krissykins]

9 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said:

Solid numbers for NOPE. It's always great for a horror to pass 100m. It will hit 120m that was expected after it's opening. This was never gonna reach GET OUT and US numbers.

It’s always nice to have a horror over $100m.

 

But it looks like it could fall below Minions, Thor and Top Gun today. We’ll see though. 
 

Can’t wait to finally see the film tomorrow. Still spoiler free thankfully. 

[setna]

14 hours ago, Tokugennumataka said:

BOP is projecting $6.8M (-3%) and $673.6M cume for TGM. Looking back at how few blockbusters performed in near identical timeframe, nearly all of them make around 4.5-6x that weekend and this is without penciling in a huge Labor Day bump at all. Mav should do better than that. So, should that hold come to fruition, it's safe to say that $700M is an absolute lock for TGM. Should be trying for 720-730M imo. 

I´d love TGM will touch this 700 M, but i think is still soon to say is locked.  I remember Titanic or Frozen that had a surprisingly bad drop and needed some extra help to get 600 and 400, and for now is more than 30 M away, that is a big number to achieve, i think we have to be patient and if reaches 690 on labour day, then locked will be almost done.

Edited August 11, 2022 by setna

[The Dark Alfred]

I'm hoping it hits 700m by LD. Either way if it comes a bit short, Paramount will re-release it. They are milking TITANIC for the hundredth time, not gonna let there other golden goose TGM miss out on a benchmark.

[setna]

40 minutes ago, The Dark Alfred said:

I'm hoping it hits 700m by LD. Either way if it comes a bit short, Paramount will re-release it. They are milking TITANIC for the hundredth time, not gonna let there other golden goose TGM miss out on a benchmark.

Heyyy, you said you´re in a festival!!
The truth is you can´t live without us, hahaha  :)))

[M37]

15 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Nope now over $100m. It’s falling quickly though. I’m sure someone floated the idea of a 3.5x multiplier. That was never happening. 

Falling quickly because it was a little PLF heavy and lost those shows - and probably some audience too - to BT, hence the -26% last Thursday 

 

Should land in 0.9-1.0M range this Thursday, set stage for low 40% - if not under - drop for the upcoming weekend, settling into a decent groove for the foreseeable future 

[CaptNathanBrittles]

1 hour ago, The Dark Alfred said:

I'm hoping it hits 700m by LD. Either way if it comes a bit short, Paramount will re-release it. They are milking TITANIC for the hundredth time, not gonna let there other golden goose TGM miss out on a benchmark.

 

I'm surprised they haven't given big re-releases to SAVING PRIVATE RYAN or FORREST GUMP. They could make some good bank.