Weekend Thread (10/14-16) | Weekend Estimates: Halloween Ends 40.05, Smile 12.6, Lyle 7.3, Woman King 3.7, Amsterdam 2.8

[Legion Again]

Sat looks 13ish, could mean a nice Sun

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

 

 

[Krissykins]

17 minutes ago, BoxOfficeFangrl said:

 

 

What’s classed as a wide release now, is it 600? Or 800?

[cookie]

Just now, Krissykins said:

What’s classed as a wide release now, is it 600? Or 800?

600 or more theaters.

[Krissykins]

Smile already over a 3x multiplier and it’s only weekend 3. 

[grey ghost]

Bring on Black Adam, Wakanda Forever and Avatar.

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Smile already over a 3x multiplier and it’s only weekend 3. 

Could crack 6x without summer weekdays 

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

 

 

 

 

[CoolioD1]

12 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Bring on Black Adam, Wakanda Forever and Avatar.

hopefully the weekend thread for black panther 2 really pops off. we might even get to 20 pages.

Edited October 16, 2022 by CoolioD1

[BadOlCatSylvester]

The sins of the father have been paid for. Onto streaming hell you go, Michael! Say hi to Pinhead for me!

[Krissykins]

23 hours ago, Krissykins said:

$20.2m for Ends, so I’ll gusss $41.2m for the weekend. 
 

-30% Saturday

-50% Sunday 

 

Glad it stayed above $40m. It’s lucky it did. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Smile over Halloween next weekend

 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Just now, Krissykins said:

 

Glad it stayed above $40m. It’s lucky it did. 

It could still go below it with actuals.

[LegendaryBen]

1 minute ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

It could still go below it with actuals.

and not only that, it could be below $10m next weekend.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Just now, LegendaryBen said:

and not only that, it could be below $10m next weekend.

Any drop better than 80% would be shocking to me.

[Krissykins]

10 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

The sins of the father have been paid for. Onto streaming hell you go, Michael! Say hi to Pinhead for me!

Do you realise that’s the third biggest slasher film opening weekend…of all time? And the top 3 are this trilogy. 
 

Looks like it’ll beat Kills internationally then. Kills opened in a bad point for covid. Up +35% over Kills in the UK and only -20% on the 2018 film. 

Edited October 16, 2022 by Krissykins

[Krissykins]

5 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

It could still go below it with actuals.

I dunno, -36% Saturday and -40% Sunday don’t look too unreasonable in terms or overestimating. 

[Legion Again]

-40 sun way optimistic. Probably 40-40.5 though

[Eric Furiosa]

I'm not saying it'll have an amazing drop, but I don't see 80% for its second weekend at all? Like the only comparable was the 2009 Friday the 13th, which dealt with the 13th on its Friday and to an extent Valentine's Day the next day. That's some big holidays to help boost the film's opening, and it's not like Halloween will be over tomorrow. There's sure to be some people who will visit the film next week to get into the Halloween spirit. A drop in the 70s makes more sense.

[Legion Again]

Drop will be in 70s yeah. High 70s is enough to lose to smile though.