Weekend Thread | Estimates: Avatar 19.7, Puss 11.5, M3GAN 9.8, Missing 9.3, Otto 9

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

I think PIB: TLW could be number 2 this weekend.

[kayumanggi]

 

[M37]

39 minutes ago, XXR You Ok Annie said:

Looks like a $695-725M domestic finish for A2.

 

Im curious how you’re calculating another $110M+ off a ~$21M/-35% weekend 

[JustLurking]

1 minute ago, M37 said:

 

Im curious how you’re calculating another $110M+ off a ~$21M/-35% weekend 

He already bought 50M worth of tickets for the next few weeks himself

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

3 minutes ago, M37 said:

 

Im curious how you’re calculating another $110M+ off a ~$21M/-35% weekend 

 

NWH did $105M+ off a ~$20M/-38% weekend 🤷‍♂️

[GOGODanca]

I'll take $650m, anything else is cherry on top

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

I'll take $650m, anything else is cherry on top

 

Id take it as well.

[GOGODanca]

Just now, Brainbug said:

 

Id take it as well.

A cherry of 4 million would be nice tho

[M37]

1 hour ago, XXR You Ok Annie said:

 

NWH did $105M+ off a ~$20M/-38% weekend 🤷‍♂️

Which happened after Canada reopened (delayed demand from COVID overall), and didn’t start to lose PLFs nor have a $100M opener in February
 

Holds the last couple of weeks have been solid, but not spectacular, without much in the way of direct competition. Maybe it hits a grove next week and starts clocking -10% weekly, but that would be way outrunning current rate of decline 

[Verrows]

Yeah February last year was nothing like it will be this year, even if this year it will still be a little light compared to normal years (the sheer number of releases is still small). Ant-Man is the obvious huge difference - it'll do at least double, maybe triple, its 2022 counterpart Presidents' Day opener Uncharted - and the duo of Knock at the Cabin and 80 for Brady will easily out-do Jackass Forever and Moonfall last year on the first weekend of February.

 

The news out of Warner Bros. regarding the release strategy of Magic Mike is a little concerning though. Superbowl weekend might end up being pretty similar to last weekend.

 

In terms of really late legs, March this year will also slaughter March last year. Anyway, you get the idea.

[wildphantom]

1 hour ago, GOGODanca said:

I'll take $650m, anything else is cherry on top

@Brainbug will be on top of the cake, fending off the cherries 

 

[Flip]

Puss in Boots will definitely outgross M3GAN this weekend, and I think it could outgross Otto if its jump isn't that great

[GOGODanca]

Need @Shawnor deadline to liven up the thread 

 

👀 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

1 hour ago, M37 said:

Which happened after Canada reopened (delayed demand from COVID overall), and didn’t start to lose PLFs nor have a $100M opener in February
 

Holds the last couple of weeks have been solid, but not spectacular, without much in the way of direct competition. Maybe it hits a grove next week and starts clocking -10% weekly, but that would be way outrunning current rate of decline 

 
Knock 5% off my numbers then, dream killer. 

[kayumanggi]

 

[Cooper Legion]

The real movie heading for 695-725 is in number 2 this wknd -- just gotta pull one more over OW, for the fans 

 

[Mr Roark]

1 hour ago, M37 said:

Which happened after Canada reopened (delayed demand from COVID overall), and didn’t start to lose PLFs nor have a $100M opener in February
 

Holds the last couple of weeks have been solid, but not spectacular, without much in the way of direct competition. Maybe it hits a grove next week and starts clocking -10% weekly, but that would be way outrunning current rate of decline 

I’d be tired of betting against this film…

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

7 minutes ago, Mr Roark said:

I’d be tired of betting against this film…

 

Some non-believers never learn, Brother Roark.