February 3rd to 5th, 2023 Weekend Thread | Estimates: Cabin 14.2, Brady 12.5, Avatar 10.8, Puss 7.95, BTS 6.3

[JimmyB]

Deadline has the total weekend's box office at $81m.

Box Office Pro has the total weekend box office coming in around $68.8M.

The Number has the projected Top Ten $69.7M.

 

Any idea why Box Office Pro total weekend box office would be lower? 

 

[misterpepp]

39 minutes ago, JimmyB said:

Deadline has the total weekend's box office at $81m.

Box Office Pro has the total weekend box office coming in around $68.8M.

The Number has the projected Top Ten $69.7M.

 

Any idea why Box Office Pro total weekend box office would be lower? 

 

Some movies don’t seem to be included on The-Numbers and such yet. Nothing for Women Talking, Fear, Amazing Maurice, Wandering Earth 2, etc.

[TheFlatLannister]

4 hours ago, poweranimals said:

Wow. People really don't have any faith in Shazam, huh? I don't understand why it would come in that low when the first one even made more than that and it was one of the few DCEU movies people enjoyed.

The second trailer changed a lot of prediction, from what I can tell on r/boxoffice 

 

It looked too generic and appeared to lack the charisma of the first film...Albeit, trailers are deceptive, but not a great marketing sign.

[GOGODanca]

The views to likes ratio on the 2nd trailer is atrocious last I checked: 20m to 51k

[Flip]

The Way of Water should fall behind Avatar's dailies on Friday, but if it overperforms by a lot then it will fall behind on Saturday

[TheFlatLannister]

1 hour ago, GOGODanca said:

The views to likes ratio on the 2nd trailer is atrocious last I checked: 20m to 51k

The first trailer has 17M views with 208K likes 

 

Compare that to Quantumania: 

1st trailer 28M views 997K likes

2nd trailer 22M views 564K likes 

[John Marston]

Black Panther 2 is flopping in China it looks like

 

 

[dignam]

1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:

The second trailer changed a lot of prediction, from what I can tell on r/boxoffice 

 

It looked too generic and appeared to lack the charisma of the first film...Albeit, trailers are deceptive, but not a great marketing sign.

 

The biggest problem i have with shazam is that everyone of his friends has now powers. The coolest and best thing about shazam 1, billy was the only with powers (most of the time). The power up the friends got at the end, should have been temporally. But this permanent power up all of them got, killed it for me. There is nothing unique about billy anymore. I have zero desire to see it at the cinema, maybe when its on bluray or hbo.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[TheFlatLannister]

35 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Black Panther 2 is flopping in China it looks like

 

 

First one wasn't received very well either...I believe it had a 6.0

$15M is a fine result considering a 3 month late release 

 

Ant-Man 3 will be the real test

Edited February 6, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[Issac Newton]

Weekend Studio Estimates for February 3 - February 5, 2023

 

Rank	Film	Distributor	Weekend Gross	Locations	Location Average	%Change	Total Gross	TG ÷ OW	Week
1	Knock at the Cabin	Universal	$14,200,000	3,643	$3,898	NEW	$14,200,000	1.000	1
2	80 For Brady	Paramount	$12,500,000	3,912	$3,195	NEW	$12,500,000	1.000	1
3	Avatar: The Way of Water	Disney / 20th Century	$10,800,000	3,310	$3,263	-32.4%	$636,420,442	4.746	8
4	Puss in Boots: The Last Wish	Universal / DreamWorks Anim.	$7,950,000	3,290	$2,416	-24.3%	$151,292,670	12.172	7
5	BTS: Yet to Come in Cinemas	Trafalgar Releasing	$5,100,000	1,114	$4,578	NEW	$7,800,000	1.529	1
6	A Man Called Otto	Sony / Columbia	$4,175,000	3,407	$1,225	-37.2%	$53,003,403	4.132	6
7	M3GAN	Universal	$3,800,000	2,835	$1,340	-39.3%	$87,597,375	2.879	5
8	Missing	Sony / Screen Gems	$3,725,000	2,565	$1,452	-34.3%	$23,017,094	2.514	3
9	The Chosen Season 3: Finale	Fathom Events / Angel Studios	$3,641,538	1,979	$1,840	NEW	$5,308,245	1.458	1
10	Pathaan	Yash Raj Films	$2,709,905	683	$3,968	-60.6%	$14,287,848	2.076	2
11	Plane	Lionsgate	$2,210,000	2,203	$1,003	-42.1%	$28,880,732	2.813	4
12	The Amazing Maurice	Viva Pictures	$1,444,000	1,546	$934	NEW	$1,444,000	1.000	1
	Infinity Pool	NEON	$900,000	1,750	$514	-64.2%	$4,332,078	1.723	2
	Everything Everywhere All At Once	A24	$528,928	935	$566	-46.5%	$72,015,067	11.640	46
	The Whale	A24	$421,934	1,015	$416	-56.7%	$15,763,762	10.400	9
	Living	Sony Pictures Classics	$341,362	410	$833	-35.4%	$1,630,018	3.084	7
	The Fabelmans	Universal	$275,000	1,054	$261	-62.7%	$16,652,605	7.365	13
	Black Panther: Wakanda Forever	Disney	$218,000	430	$507	-71.2%	$453,469,600	2.501	13
	Maybe I Do	Vertical Entertainment	$210,000	389	$540	-61.5%	$1,003,242	1.837	2
	Left Behind: Rise of the Antichrist	Fathom Events	$195,697	352	$556	-92.3%	$3,532,410	1.384	2
	Close	A24	$118,071	20	$5,904	+92.4%	$202,493	1.715	2
	The Banshees of Inisherin	Disney / Searchlight	$100,000	410	$244	-71.6%	$10,139,521	4.929	16
	TÁR	Focus	$90,000	439	$205	-48.8%	$6,336,660	6.045	18
	Skinamarink	IFC Films / Shudder	$36,000	62	$581	-73.1%	$1,984,760	2.424	4
	Violent Night	Universal	$31,000	71	$437	+121.5%	$49,763,780	3.700	10
	Aftersun	A24	$27,539	25	$1,102	-38.5%	$1,465,118	10.659	16
	Full Time	Music Box Films	$2,139	1	$2,139	NEW	$2,139	1.000	1

[grim22]

5 hours ago, Eric Crowe said:

 

LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Still the funniest bit of trivia about EGOT is that it's named because of Philip Michael Thomas from Miami Vice. He wore a necklace with EGOT on it and said in a 1984 interview that he hoped to win all 4 in the next 5 years. He was never nominated for a single one.

 

The reason it's EGOT is also because of the order in which he saw himself winning them. Emmy because he was on Miami Vice, Grammy because he dabbled in music as well, Oscar is the next logical step when becoming a movie star from a TV star and finally Tony because Broadway is harder to get into but who will say no to an Oscar winner. That's why it's EGOT instead of the more easy to pronounce and logical GOTE.

[grim22]

 

[filmlover]

Demo breakdown from Deadline for 80 for Brady:

 

Quote

Finals demos on 80 for Brady, 82% over 25, 73% over 35, 65% over 45, and a whopping 49% over 55. Diversity demos were 78% Caucasian, 12% Hispanic and Latino, 4% Black and 3% Asian. Women repped 68% of the audience.

 

Nothing out there for Knock at the Cabin.

[Ronin46]

With such an older skewing movie it should leg it out quite well. Knock will not I guess with such bad WOM and might struggle to get much past 35M. Maybe 40M for Brady.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1 hour ago, Ronin46 said:

With such an older skewing movie it should leg it out quite well. Knock will not I guess with such bad WOM and might struggle to get much past 35M. Maybe 40M for Brady.

Brady will do well over 40million. 

 

 

[SchumacherFTW]

4 hours ago, grim22 said:

Still the funniest bit of trivia about EGOT is that it's named because of Philip Michael Thomas from Miami Vice. He wore a necklace with EGOT on it and said in a 1984 interview that he hoped to win all 4 in the next 5 years. He was never nominated for a single one.

 

The reason it's EGOT is also because of the order in which he saw himself winning them. Emmy because he was on Miami Vice, Grammy because he dabbled in music as well, Oscar is the next logical step when becoming a movie star from a TV star and finally Tony because Broadway is harder to get into but who will say no to an Oscar winner. That's why it's EGOT instead of the more easy to pronounce and logical GOTE.

I learned about it from Tracy Jordan

[JustLurking]

12 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said:

The TITANIC vs A2 domestic battle will be fun. Hopefully the quality movie will prevail in the US in the end. WW don't think TITANIC re-release can match A2, but would love to be proven wrong.

You are exhausting man. This film lives rent free in your head.

[Hiccup23]

9 hours ago, filmlover said:

Demo breakdown from Deadline for 80 for Brady:

 

 

Nothing out there for Knock at the Cabin.

 

Knock at the Cabin

 

Caucasian: 39%

Hispanic: 28%

Asian/Other: 17%

Black: 16%

 

Male: 59%

Female: 41%

 

18-34: 64%

[titanic2187]

The Sunday hold doesn't look like much better than a without NFL Sunday.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited February 6, 2023 by titanic2187

[titanic2187]

 

 

 

Good Sunday hold after that crazy Saturday bump.