Weekend Thread | May 12 - 14 | Weekend Actuals | 62.01M GOTG III | 12.61M MARIO | 6.68M BOOK CLUB: THE NEXT CHAPTER

[ThomasNicole]

2 minutes ago, thajdikt said:

Good points. Would be nice if it goes higher. That said 54% is amazing. Would be on of the stronger MCU drops if i´m not mistaken?

Yes, on pair with Shang Chi 

[MovieMan89]

54% would be incredible for a cbm summer sequel. Anyone would be crazy to be disappointed with that. 55% was always the target that was gonna be hard to hit. 

[Valonqar]

It's not disapppointing but Deadline also never calculates Sat jumps that MCU tends to enjoy so I'd say drop will be better than 54%. 

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, Deep Wang said:

 

Why would you spend hundreds of hours in a game that you can beat in less than 2 hours?

I mean we have people here complaining about Zelda talk so I won’t go into a whole tangent, but suffice it to say open world games are intentionally designed to be played any way you want. If you want to beat the “main quest” in a hour right away(via clever techniques speed runners find)  then go ahead. You won’t have actually played the game though, which offers hundreds of hours of unique content 

[VanillaSkies]

Anyways, getting back to *box office*, Blackberry has opened wide in Canada, most theatres here are playing it. Makes sense as Research in Motion, the company that created the BlackBerry is a Canadian company. 
 

I wonder how much the weekend number will be skewed by leaning heavily on Canadian theatres.
Just here in Ottawa alone there are 7 theatres playing it. Seeing it with my sister on Sunday. That 98% on RT is looking damn good, hope it lives up to it.

[SchumacherFTW]

5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I mean we have people here complaining about Zelda talk so I won’t go into a whole tangent, but suffice it to say open world games are intentionally designed to be played any way you want. If you want to beat the “main quest” in a hour right away(via clever techniques speed runners find)  then go ahead. You won’t have actually played the game though, which offers hundreds of hours of unique content 

Given the way Deep Wang games, he knows this very intimately 😅

Anyway, we've got tonnes of data to show that giant gaming launches don't affect the box office, look at Modern Warfare 2 vs 2012 in 2009.

[XXR & Friends]

5 hours ago, XXR Metro Boomin said:

Current numbers are definitely strong. It's early of course but it's running about 140% ahead of the same time yesterday. 

 

+115% now

[eXtacy]

6 minutes ago, XXR Metro Boomin said:

 

+115% now

Night time shows should eclipse a thursday. Hopefully creeps back up to 130ish. 

[ThomasNicole]

18 minutes ago, XXR Metro Boomin said:

 

+115% now

That would be disappointing, probably enough for high 50’s but 60M would be unlikely 

 

Hopefully night shows will bring it back to 125

[ThomasNicole]

 

[ThomasNicole]

Thinking better, while +115% now it was 140% earlier so the final jump should be between those anyway

 

I suppose 120-125% is the most likely scenario, so 15.5 - 16.0 like EC said 

 

Hoping to something closer to 16 so 60M would be nearly locked 

Edited May 13, 2023 by ThomasNicole

[keysersoze123]

I will update an hour later but its lower at my end. Closer to 100-105% than otherwise. But its likely to under index a bit as I expect Canada holds to be lot superior to state side. May be @DAJK would know how its doing over there. 

[kayumanggi]

5 hours ago, I Am Eric said:

Also from the article

 

 

Always enjoy weekends like these where everybody has good holds all around (yes I know some movies are performing better than others). I would assume even with Fast X that we should see the same thing next week before Memorial Day causes chaos.

 

Great drops all around. As for GOTG III, I hope it's at least 16M for Friday.

[ThomasNicole]

100-105% jump would be the worst increase of all time for a MCU release in May [outside of IW / EG for obvious reasons] 

 

That would be insanely bad and surprising for a movie that is holding so well and that started the day so strong, let´s hope it is an under index indeed 

[filmlover]

Should end up being a very good weekend for holdovers due to nothing of note coming out. Guardians dropping less than 50% given the increasingly frontloaded nature of the MCU even with a potential Mother's Day bump would be a pleasant surprise, it's guaranteed to be in the top 5 for almost another month given how slow the marketplace will be aside from the obvious heavy-hitters. 

[keysersoze123]

Week for week its looking at 15.35 and comps with yesterday 14.5. I think its closer to 1st number. I feel Deadline is again going to be on the money. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

I will update an hour later but its lower at my end. Closer to 100-105% than otherwise. But its likely to under index a bit as I expect Canada holds to be lot superior to state side. May be @DAJK would know how its doing over there. 

Canada have smaller bumps than US on FRI, its just that bigger chains overindex during weekdays as they have bigger cinemas which hold better.

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Canada have smaller bumps than US on FRI, its just that bigger chains overindex during weekdays as they have bigger cinemas which hold better.

So Canada is all about sat/sun and discount tuesday. You are right about over indexing on weekdays though mario was a huge outlier. 

[XXR & Friends]

15 looks likely but I doubt it goes beyond 15.5

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

So Canada is all about sat/sun and discount tuesday. You are right about over indexing on weekdays though mario was a huge outlier. 

even Sat bumps are smaller. better SUN & weekdays.