The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Carlangonz]

Mexico and Brazil (don't have exact data but Argentina and Chile as well) are showing the best PS this year for Barbie.

 

Watch Latino/Hispanic demo pulling another Mario. 

[Flip]

3 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

 

Barbie Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	37	117	175	100	21
Seats Added	4,350	14,991	28,886	17,738	3,088
Seats Sold	11,477	9,910	9,499	10,100	5,242
7/13/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	416	2,541	109,943	413,614	26.58%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	25	94	213	408
ATP	Gross
$16.32	$1,794,270

 

 

Barbie Blowout Party: Early Access Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days
7/13/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	108	108	19,304	20,668	93.40%
ATP	Gross
$21.16	$408,473

[MightGuy]

3 hours ago, Eric Stickell said:

Quorum Updates

Haunted Mansion T-15: 46.98% Awareness

Talk to Me T-15: 20.9% Awareness

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem T-20: 45.93% Awareness

The Meg 2: The Trench T-22: 37.57% Awareness

Gran Turismo T-29: 24.86% Awareness

The Last Voyage of the Demeter T-29: 18.41% Awareness

The Equalizer 3 T-50: 36.85% Awareness

Five Nights at Freddy's T-106: 32.28% Awareness

 

Barbie T-8: 63.87% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 94% chance of 50M, 81% chance of 60M, 62% chance of 70M, 44% chance of 100M

 

Strays T-36: 27.9% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 51% chance of 10M, 16% chance of 20M

Original - Low Awareness: 35% chance of 10M, 5% chance of 20M

Haunted Mansion matching TMNT awareness. Huh. I feel like the latter should be higher, but that's gut talking.

Edited July 14, 2023 by MightGuy

[Bob-omb]

1 hour ago, Carlangonz said:

Mexico and Brazil (don't have exact data but Argentina and Chile as well) are showing the best PS this year for Barbie.

 

Watch Latino/Hispanic demo pulling another Mario. 

Didnt Mario ended up with 22M USD AFTER having an 8M USD in thursday/friday (in mexico)? How can Barbie be higher than that considering that it will have several holdovers? Or Barbie PRESALES are being aggressively higher? 

Edited July 14, 2023 by Bob-omb

[joselowe]

2 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

So, I see that Barbie number, and it's starting to get too high for my betting blood...

 

I'll say, it's gonna do great,  But women, especially Caucasian women, are known for early prebuying...and there's still only Dolby and a split with another huge movie...I just don't think $155M for a 3 day is in the possible realm for this summer.  Spidey was $120M, and that's asking $35M more than Spidey with limited PLF...I can't see it going that high (Spidey and GOTG 3's opens would be my rough ceiling guess)...

 

I'll be so thankful if I'm wrong, but I think we might be getting a little carried away on presales without understanding the presale buyers.  I mean, if you think diverse male 13-25 year old walk ups are gonna storm the theaters on Friday to join all the Caucasian 13-45 female buyers...okay...but I think they'll be in smaller numbers.  And this is a planned "arrival" movie, since everyone is dressing up.  It's just not as great for a walkup like boys doing it for Gentleminions (and Minions 2 was only $107m with the phenomenon in play)...

As an African-American it def won't do good in my community although I did convince a friend to go to the Early Blowout screening with me next Wednesday lol, but it's not getting much buzz in the black community, but I still think the movie has potential to do well based on high turnout from white women, gay white men, Hispanic women, Asian women. Not sure how a family turnout will be considering people see aware that this film is more so directed towards adults.

[DisposedData]

1 hour ago, Carlangonz said:

Mexico and Brazil (don't have exact data but Argentina and Chile as well) are showing the best PS this year for Barbie.

 

Watch Latino/Hispanic demo pulling another Mario. 

Yeah I'm definitely expecting latinos to be the leading demo for Barbie. 

[vale9001]

I think it's just bigger and most discussed than the last animated spider man. Everyone heard about this movie at this point. Honestly i knew about the animated spider man only when It was out. 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	5206	35109	14.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

502

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

15

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

EA

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1484	1747	84.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

12

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

6

 

 

COMPS

T-7

*Excludes any EA

 

(3.059x) of RoTB

~$26.92M THUR Previews

 

(2.931x) of Fast X

~$21.98M THUR Previews

 

(1.219x) of ATSV

~$21.14M THUR Previews

 

(0.793x) of GOTG 3

~$13.88M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $20.98M THUR Previews 

 

8th straight day it increased against comps. Adding GOTG vol 3 comp for obvious reasons. Wanna know something crazy...On

T-29 Guardians comp was at 0.226x !!!!

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	5662	35109	16.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

456

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

EA

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1491	1747	85.3%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

6

 

 

COMPS

T-6

*Excludes any EA

 

(3.108x) of RoTB

~$27.3M THUR Previews

 

(3.100x) of Fast X

~$23.3M THUR Previews

 

(1.223x) of ATSV

~$21.22M THUR Previews

 

(0.813x) of GOTG 3

~$14.2M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $21.5M THUR Previews 

 

9th straight day its increased against comps. 

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, Bob-omb said:

Didnt Mario ended up with 22M USD AFTER having an 8M USD in thursday/friday (in mexico)? How can Barbie be higher than that considering that it will have several holdovers? Or Barbie PRESALES are being aggressively higher? 

Because like in several markets Mario was doing good/great but the final hours were massive. It also was a bigger 4Q so had better walk-ins from families.

 

Barbie atm does is higher but final days won't speed the same way as Mario. Not saying it'll open the same but rather that demo share may be similar from what is looking in these markets.

 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
103	2221	18783	11.8%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

200

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-7

 

(1.251x) of Fast X

~$9.37M THUR Previews

 

(0.931x) of Indy 5

~$6.7M THUR Previews

 

COMP AVG: 8.04M

 

Barbie madness is definitely rubbing off on Oppenheimer. 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
103	2528	18783	13.5%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

307

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-6

 

(1.384x) of Fast X

~$10.38M THUR Previews

 

(1.040x) of Indy 5

~$7.5M THUR Previews

 

COMP AVG: $8.94M

 

Best day since start of presales, locally 

Edited July 14, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY

 

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	1341	19452	6.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

60

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-14

 

(0.541x) of TLM

~$5.58M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	1397	19452	7.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

56

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-13

 

(0.537x) of TLM

~$5.53M THUR Previews

[ringedmortality]

5 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

(0.537x) of TLM

~$5.53M THUR Previews

 

It just keeps going lower and lower

[emoviefan]

2 hours ago, Belakor said:

I still think MI7 is going to do strong numbers this weekend. Not all people have holidays and not everyone in holidays goes to  the movie theater midweek

Been banging the drum on that for awhile. It gets ignored because it does not fit the narrative so many go with around here. 

[LegionWrex]

Does anybody know when tickets for Meg 2 go on sale?

[XXR & Friends]

4 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

Been banging the drum on that for awhile. It gets ignored because it does not fit the narrative so many go with around here. 

 

I keep seeing you talking about how everyone is "doom and gloom". What exactly is your prediction for MI7 this weekend?

[Austin]

6 minutes ago, XXR Union Solidarity said:

 

I keep seeing you talking about how everyone is "doom and gloom". What exactly is your prediction for MI7 this weekend?

I ignored that user because of how obnoxious his posts were getting, but me as someone also irritated with how doomy and gloomy it has gotten with 2 days of release, would say an optimistic $85M and pessimistic $75M. The former would be higher than Fallout's by a margin so I would be happy with that scenario. $75M or even less than $80M is getting pretty rough.

[MovieMan89]

14 minutes ago, LegionWrex said:

Does anybody know when tickets for Meg 2 go on sale?

I don’t even know when that was greenlit 

[emoviefan]

1 minute ago, XXR Union Solidarity said:

 

I keep seeing you talking about how everyone is "doom and gloom". What exactly is your prediction for MI7 this weekend?

55 -60 million right in the RN/Fallout range with the early release that would put it at 79-85 by sunday. . As I type this I see that deadline just reported the early friday estimate of 16. Could be better could be worse and it could go up with West Coast showings. I have said that i am disappointed this did not break out past the Mission norm. There are a lot of factors that have led to that so I am not going to doom and gloom about it. It is what it is. The fact that some are going as far as saying Paramount is going to order major changes to Part 2 or something is just pure idiocy. 

[MightGuy]

1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	5662	35109	16.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

456

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

EA

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
9	1491	1747	85.3%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

6

 

 

COMPS

T-6

*Excludes any EA

 

(3.108x) of RoTB

~$27.3M THUR Previews

 

(3.100x) of Fast X

~$23.3M THUR Previews

 

(1.223x) of ATSV

~$21.22M THUR Previews

 

(0.813x) of GOTG 3

~$14.2M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $21.5M THUR Previews 

 

9th straight day its increased against comps. 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, ringedmortality said:

 

It just keeps going lower and lower

 

0.05m difference is hardly worth commenting on, I feel.

 

*double checks*

 

Esp since it is up (if very very slightly) from Wed.