The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[misterpepp]

Top Gun Maverick back in theaters again on Sep 8

 

Star Trek '09 back on the same date

 

The Matrix and Lego Movie return on Sep 15, Get Out and The Dark Knight are back on Sep 22.

 

Might be an AMC exclusive series?

Edited August 28, 2023 by datpepper

[abracadabra1998]

On 8/27/2023 at 3:42 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Equalizer 3 (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	83	19	113	15100	0.75

 

Comps:

1.19x The Woman King- $2.03 Million

1.55x Gran Turismo- $2.17 Million

0.48x Blue Beetle- $1.58 Million

 

A mish-mash of not so great comps that mostly point to around 2 million at the moment.

 

Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 (T-11):

Day: T-11	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 14 theaters	28	13	18	2978	0.6

 

Comps (Just Thursday):

0.82x Strays- $900k

0.72x Joy Ride- $792k

 

I imagine demand these last few days has been way more concentrated on National Cinema Day than both of these, so we'll see if they accelerate now.

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Equalizer 3 (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	84	34	147	15332	0.96

 

Comps:

1.31x The Woman King- $2.23 Million (I noticed a mistake in my spreadsheet for The Woman King, stupid young me. Actual comp from yesterday was 1.37x= 2.33 Million)

 

1.65x Gran Turismo- $2.31 Million

0.49x Blue Beetle- $1.61 Million

 

Also looked at (because I'm personally interested in the movie hehe):

 

Bottoms Expansion (T-3):

 

Day: T-11	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 3 theaters	10	115	115	864	13.31

 

Comp:

0.38x Asteroid City- $422k

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/27/2023 at 6:14 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	154	22768	0.68%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.433x) of Strays

~$357k THUR Previews

 

(1.027x) of Ruby Gilman

~$744k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $550k

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	161	22768	0.71%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.452x) of Strays

~$373k THUR Previews

 

(1.081x) of Ruby Gilman

~$783k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $578k

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/27/2023 at 6:18 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	543	30629	1.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

46

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(0.294x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.06M THUR Previews

 

(0.269x) of Fast X

~$2.02M THUR Previews

 

(1.512x) of Gran Turismo

~$2.12M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $2.07M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	609	30629	2.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

61

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(0.311x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.17M THUR Previews

 

(0.276x) of Fast X

~$2.07M THUR Previews

 

(1.299x) of Gran Turismo

~$1.82M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $2.02M

[eman92]

On 8/27/2023 at 1:02 PM, Boxofficerules said:

Is Saw X getting IMAX?

On the Saw reddit page the director wrote that they're trying to secure IMAX for Oct 6th weekend since Kraven had the IMAX exclusive for that week and has relocated. So either The Creator will have IMAX for 2 weeks, or they'll give some IMAX to Saw X that weekend, all depends on how well Saw X performs. 

 

I'm expecting Dolby to go to Paw Patrol, so looks like Saw X may have no PLF opening weekend. Not desirable but for a horror movie it's not as important. 

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, datpepper said:

Top Gun Maverick back in theaters again on Sep 8

 

Star Trek '09 back on the same date

 

The Matrix and Lego Movie return on Sep 15, Get Out and The Dark Knight are back on Sep 22.

 

Might be an AMC exclusive series?

lol studios are starting to realize that the fall has become so barren thanks to the strikes.

 

4 hours ago, eman92 said:

On the Saw reddit page the director wrote that they're trying to secure IMAX for Oct 6th weekend since Kraven had the IMAX exclusive for that week and has relocated. So either The Creator will have IMAX for 2 weeks, or they'll give some IMAX to Saw X that weekend, all depends on how well Saw X performs. 

 

I'm expecting Dolby to go to Paw Patrol, so looks like Saw X may have no PLF opening weekend. Not desirable but for a horror movie it's not as important. 

The Creator is getting Dolby that weekend too. Likely going to get a solid two weeks in the large formats before The Exorcist takes over them given that the movie has been touting itself as a "see it on the biggest screen possible" experience.

[keysersoze123]

Equalizer 3 MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 18933/464633 327170.25 2340 shows

Friday - 16159/720367 264602.85 3561 shows

 

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-3	Jax	5	46	28	156	8,308	1.88%
		Phx	6	32	6	92	6,700	1.37%
		Ral	8	43	18	125	6,981	1.79%
	Total		19	121	52	373	21,989	1.70%

 

Equalizer 3 T-3 comps 

 - Matrix 4 - missed

 - F9 - .258x (1.83m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .598x (2.75m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.21x (3.2m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - missed

 - Creed III - .481x (2.62m)

 - Gran Turismo (Thu) - 2.33x (3.26m)

 - Meg 2 - 1.673x (5.35m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 3.07m

 

Equalizer pace chart

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Equalizer 3	48.02%	38.89%	31.17%	16.20%
Matrix 4 (Wed)		21.74%
F9: The Fast Saga	38.96%	17.08%	18.63%	16.68%
Bullet Train + EA	44.78%	29.23%	27.21%	18.86%
Knock at the Cabin	32.03%	22.66%		16.55%
Black Phone + EA		25.32%	19.21%
Creed III Total	55.51%	32.67%
Gran Turismo	53.85%	81.73%	15.79%	30.08%

Meg 2

112.38%

18.62%

 

Pretty much in line with comps for yesterday (other than GT which had a terrible start because of EA).  Meg 2 comp is still coming down - hopefully they start to align closer to final.

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-2	Jax	5	46	10	166	8,308	2.00%
		Phx	6	32	31	123	6,700	1.84%
		Ral	8	43	39	164	6,981	2.35%
	Total		19	121	80	453	21,989	2.06%

 

Equalizer 3 T-2 comps 

 - Matrix 4 - .162x (1.03m)

 - F9 - .262x (1.86m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .579x (2.66m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.23x (3.24m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - 1.01x (3.03m)

 - Creed III - .483x (2.63m)

 - Gran Turismo (Thu) - 2.1x (2.94m)

 - Meg 2 - 1.515x (4.85m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 2.9m

 

Equalizer pace chart

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Equalizer 3	61.79%	30.36%	40.00%	21.45%
Matrix 4 (Wed)			23.09%
F9: The Fast Saga	51.75%	21.05%	17.22%	19.48%
Bullet Train + EA	66.24%	32.91%	19.62%	25.48%
Knock at the Cabin	46.04%	25.18%		20.12%
Black Phone + EA	70.99%	27.48%
Creed III Total	65.84%	30.80%		20.75%
Gran Turismo	84.62%	76.07%		35.00%
Meg 2	118.25%	64.96%		34.08%

 

Creed/Bullet Train look to be the closest comps across the different periods.  Both are comping to around 2.65m

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding	T-10	Jax	5	13	0	22	1,351	1.63%
		Phx	6	16	3	20	1,490	1.34%
		Ral	6	15	2	12	1,673	0.72%
	Total		17	44	5	54	4,514	1.20%

 

Greek Wedding T-10 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .643x (643k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .386x (490k)

 - Joy Ride (Total) - .964x (1.06m)

 - Strays (Total) - .9x (990k)

 - Barbie (Total) - .022x (484k)

 

Size adjusted average - 830k

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding 3	T-9	Jax	5	13	5	27	1,351	2.00%
		Phx	6	16	4	24	1,490	1.61%
		Ral	6	15	3	15	1,673	0.90%
	Total		17	44	12	66	4,514	1.46%

 

Greek Wedding T-9 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .786x (786k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .357x (453k)

 - Joy Ride (Total) - 1.065x (1.17m)

 - Strays (Total) - 1x (1.1m)

 - Barbie (Total) - .023x (502k)

 

Size adjusted average - 904k

 

1m should be in play.  Pretty good early sales for a comedy

[vafrow]

On 8/28/2023 at 6:48 AM, vafrow said:

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-4, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  307

New Sales: 22

Growth from yesterday: 8%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 1.748

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.621x Blue Beetle for $2.1M

1.395x Gran Turismo for $2.0M

 

There seemed to be no immediate effect from nNCD. Both comps dropping.

 

Hopefully it shows strong down the stretch. It's going to need 30-40% jumps or more to keep pace this week.

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-3, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  431

New Sales: 124

Growth from yesterday: 40%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 2.644

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.737x Blue Beetle for $2.4M

1.275x Gran Turismo for $1.8M

 

That's the 40% growth I was hoping for. What's funny is that it still lost ground against GT, which had 56% growth at the same point in time.

 

Still, good to see sales increase.

[Tinalera]

21 hours ago, datpepper said:

Top Gun Maverick back in theaters again on Sep 8

 

Star Trek '09 back on the same date

 

The Matrix and Lego Movie return on Sep 15, Get Out and The Dark Knight are back on Sep 22.

 

Might be an AMC exclusive series?

I admit Im interested to see what the theatres are going to do with the gap of films as more get pushed to 24.

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/28/2023 at 6:24 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	161	22768	0.71%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.452x) of Strays

~$373k THUR Previews

 

(1.081x) of Ruby Gilman

~$783k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $578k

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	145	22768	0.64%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-9

 

(0.407x) of Strays

~$336k THUR Previews

 

(0.954x) of Ruby Gilman

~$691k THUR Previews

 

(0.771x) of Asteroid City

~$848k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $625k

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/28/2023 at 6:30 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	609	30629	2.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

61

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

 

(0.311x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.17M THUR Previews

 

(0.276x) of Fast X

~$2.07M THUR Previews

 

(1.299x) of Gran Turismo

~$1.82M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $2.02M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
194	720	34211	2.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

111

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.314x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.34M THUR Previews

 

(0.289x) of Fast X

~$2.17M THUR Previews

 

(1.387x) of Gran Turismo

~$1.94M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $2.15M

 

Increased against all comps today

[ringedmortality]

No Haunting in Venice numbers?

[abracadabra1998]

On 8/28/2023 at 5:23 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Equalizer 3 (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	84	34	147	15332	0.96

 

Comps:

1.31x The Woman King- $2.23 Million (I noticed a mistake in my spreadsheet for The Woman King, stupid young me. Actual comp from yesterday was 1.37x= 2.33 Million)

 

1.65x Gran Turismo- $2.31 Million

0.49x Blue Beetle- $1.61 Million

 

Also looked at (because I'm personally interested in the movie hehe):

 

Bottoms Expansion (T-3):

 

Day: T-11	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 3 theaters	10	115	115	864	13.31

 

Comp:

0.38x Asteroid City- $422k

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Equalizer 3 (T-2):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 20 theaters	116	63	210	18569	1.28

 

Comps:

The Woman King- Missed

1.64x Gran Turismo- $2.3 Million

0.58x Blue Beetle- $1.93 Million

 

Nice bump today, over $2 million is my expectation at the moment.

 

Bottoms (Expansion, T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 8 theaters	24	29	144	2279	6.71

 

Comp:

0.32x Asteroid City- $358k (Large margin for error here, I'm having to adjust since I was tracking less theaters back then, including the local Alamo theater that is responsible for most of the sales here)

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Equalizer 3 MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 18933/464633 327170.25 2340 shows

Friday - 16159/720367 264602.85 3561 shows

 

 

Equalizer 3 MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 25238/495340 432564.46 2562 shows

Friday - 23683/802876 386493.89 4157 shows

 

Not bad at at all. Expecting this to hit 60K+. Low 3s previews. 

[mredblood]

Any news for The Nun 2 ticket selling

[el sid]

2 hours ago, mredblood said:

Any news for The Nun 2 ticket selling

It was said here that the tickets go on sale today. I will look later if it's true.

 

Edit: So far it says "available soon". So probably available in a few hours or at the latest tomorrow.

Edited August 30, 2023 by el sid

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-3, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  431

New Sales: 124

Growth from yesterday: 40%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 2.644

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.737x Blue Beetle for $2.4M

1.275x Gran Turismo for $1.8M

 

That's the 40% growth I was hoping for. What's funny is that it still lost ground against GT, which had 56% growth at the same point in time.

 

Still, good to see sales increase.

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-2, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  570

New Sales: 139

Growth from yesterday: 32%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 3.497

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.757x Blue Beetle for $2.5M

1.275x Gran Turismo for $1.8M

 

Another solid growth day. Still, the range is still fairly large and not converging. Final number can be anywhere within there.

[vafrow]

3 hours ago, mredblood said:

Any news for The Nun 2 ticket selling

 

It went up yesterday here in my region (southern Ontario). 

 

Not sure if I'll do any tracking on it though. Doing a quick check, sales are sparse so far.