The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[DAJK]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

How is Eras tour pre-sales looking?

Fantastic lol

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FRIDAY

 

TAYLOR SWIFT: THE ERA TOUR

 

T-37

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
202	10334	36394	28.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

19

 

COMPS

T-0

 

No good comps this far out so I'll just compare to T-0 since volume is already absurdly high 

previews: 

(0.770x) of Barbie ~$16.24M FRIDAY for TET

(0.956x) of GOTG3~$16.72M FRIDAY for TET

(0.925x) of ATSV~$16.05M FRIDAY for TET

(1.543x) of TLM~$15.89M FRIDAY for TET

 

COMP AVG: $16.26M

Adjusted 30% up for ATP $21.14M

 

2 showing disappeared so its hard to gauge  pace. *3 more sellouts today

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FRIDAY

 

TAYLOR SWIFT: THE ERA TOUR

 

T-36

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
202	10247	36394	28.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

19

 

COMPS

T-0

 

No good comps this far out so I'll just compare to T-0 since volume is already absurdly high 

previews: 

(0.763x) of Barbie ~$16.10M FRIDAY for TET

(0.948x) of GOTG3~$16.58M FRIDAY for TET

(0.917x) of ATSV~$15.91M FRIDAY for TET

(1.530x) of TLM~$15.76M FRIDAY for TET

 

COMP AVG: $16.09M

Adjusted 30% up for ATP $20.92M

 

Sales are acting funny here...Still going down but refunds aren't possible. I'll check the scraper later today to make sure everything is working correctly 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 9/6/2023 at 6:17 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THE EXORCIST: BELIEVER

 

Thursday Previews 

T-29

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
145	275	25529	1.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

119

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-29

 

(0.287x) of Oppenheimer ~$3.01M THUR Previews

 

I have no horror comps this far out so i'll just use oppy for now

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THE EXORCIST: BELIEVER

 

Thursday Previews 

T-28

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
145	299	25529	1.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

24

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-28

 

(0.297x) of Oppenheimer ~$3.12M THUR Previews

 

I have no horror comps this far out so i'll just use oppy for now

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

the 4pm dolby for Nun 2 was less than half full.

 

The 1230 IMAX for Jawan was at least 75% and probably had more seats than the opening imax showing of Pathaan

[TheFlatLannister]

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville

THE CREATOR

 

Thursday Previews 

T-21

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
133	200	27361	0.73%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-21

 

(0.193x) of Haunted Mansion ~$599k THUR Previews

 

(0.190x) of RoTB ~$1.67M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.13M

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

when are SAX tickets on sale and im assuming no plf?

 

Saw used to be a luxuriously consistent and profitable franchise and this seemed like it had potential to return to that status but idk.. lionsgate is also a disaster rn

[TheFlatLannister]

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

A HAUNTING IN VENICE

 

Thursday Previews 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
133	264	26936	0.98%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-7

 

(1.985x) of Talk to Me ~$2.47M THUR Previews

 

(1.808x) of Boogeyman ~$1.99M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $2.23M THUR Previews 

[etphonehome]

what are everyone's final predictions for My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3? I'm seeing a pretty big range 8-13M

[eman92]

1 hour ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

when are SAX tickets on sale and im assuming no plf?

 

Saw used to be a luxuriously consistent and profitable franchise and this seemed like it had potential to return to that status but idk.. lionsgate is also a disaster rn

September 20th they go on sale, similar to The Nun II, 9 days out. My guess is PLF will all be going to The Creator. At first I thought Saw X had potential, but Lionsgate does seem to be asleep at the wheel with their advertising. Haven't seen 1 tv or online ad for the movie and it comes out in 3 weeks. 

 

I still think it can do solidly but the advertising needs to pick up. It had potential but with Taylor Swift coming in and bumping up Exorcist, that won't help Saw X in its 2nd weekend.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

Taking a peek at Nun sales at my ex-AMC and am seeing a similar story as other have mentioned here. Not looking too hot, doesn’t even seem like any showings have sold 1/4 of their seats.

[vafrow]

On 9/5/2023 at 9:22 PM, vafrow said:

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, southern Ontario, T-38 (9 pm pull)

 

Total sales:  20,852

New Sales: 1069

Growth from Monday morning: 5%

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  214

Tickets per showtime: 97.4

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

 

Sales perked up a bit today, but, I also think I undercounted last time, so, the jump may be a bit overstated. Still, it seems reasonable that sales would increase today as people settle in after the long weekend.

 

 

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, southern Ontario, T-36 (9 pm pull)

 

Total sales:  21,306

New Sales: 184

Growth from Tuesday: 1%

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  214

Tickets per showtime: 97.4

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

 

Back to very tepid growth. 1% over two full days.

 

You really feel that this needs some level of promotion for things to pick up again.

[TheFlatLannister]

43 minutes ago, vafrow said:

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, southern Ontario, T-36 (9 pm pull)

 

Total sales:  21,306

New Sales: 184

Growth from Tuesday: 1%

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  214

Tickets per showtime: 97.4

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

 

Back to very tepid growth. 1% over two full days.

 

You really feel that this needs some level of promotion for things to pick up again.

Yeah growth has been meh for the past few days, but volume is already so high its still in great shape. 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, vafrow said:

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, southern Ontario, T-36 (9 pm pull)

 

Back to very tepid growth. 1% over two full days.

 

You really feel that this needs some level of promotion for things to pick up again.

 

Tempted to put in the "First Time" meme here, but I can't actually recall if you've tracked a long(-ish) movie before.

 

This is a film that had a massive fan rush plus it's over five weeks away.  It's gonna be in the bottom of the "U" curve/be in the marathon stage of sales for a while.  Subject to random spikes due to various promotions, naturally.

 

To put it a different way, this is completely normal, IMO. Plus, as @TheFlatLannister implied, at the base it's at even a 1% growth is pretty damn good since it's already so big.

 

Like, TET "only" grew around 2% locally, but IMO again, that's really really good!

[abracadabra1998]

19 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

I've been working off $825k for Strays Thu only as per below (thank you @Shawn)

 

Been struggling for a while to find the Joy Ride split myself, not sure it was ever reported unfortunately. From memory the Wednesday sneaks were expanded wider than usual (plus it had Saturday sneaks also) so my estimate is closer to a 50/50 total sneaks/Thu split but that's purely conjecture.

 

Gotcha, thanks! Off that number, 1.76x means $1.45 Million at T-1, which does look better for BFGW3. We shall see.

 

This reminds me of something @M37 had mentioned, do we know what the gross for the blow-out Wednesday EA was?

[abracadabra1998]

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

A Haunting in Venice (T-7):

Day: T-7, T-6	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 16 theaters	33	60	60	5349	1.12
Wednesday EA: theaters	2	7	7	508	1.38
TOTALS:	35	67	67	5857	1.14

 

Don't know about comps for this one, not sure if it'll behave as a horror. They're certainly trying to market it as such.

 

The Creator (T-21):

Day: T-21, T-20	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 16 theaters	21	36	36	3850	0.94
Wednesday EA: 2 theaters	2	2	2	586	0.34
TOTALS:	23	38	38	4436	0.86

 

Comp:

0.35x Haunted Mansion- $1.09 Million

 

Not many good comps I have this far out.

 

The Exorcist: Believer

Day: T-28	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 15 theaters	43	53	53	7873	0.67

 

Def don't have horror comps from this far out.

 

Y'all I PROMISE I will have better comps. Mostly wanted to get these set up

Edited September 8, 2023 by abracadabra1998

[Porthos]

18 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

The Creator (T-21):

Day: T-21	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 9 theaters	21	36	36	3850	0.94

 

Comp:

0.46x Haunted Mansion- $1.43 Million

 

Including EA on Wed (if you have it in your area)?

[abracadabra1998]

 

9 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Including EA on Wed (if you have it in your area)?

 

Oh shoot! Thanks for the heads up, had completely missed that. Just a couple of theaters for now but I'm sure more will be added. I had also messed up my comp...

 

**Timothee Chalamet in Call Me By Your Name voice** I'm a mess

[TheFlatLannister]

On 9/3/2023 at 5:21 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Saturday sales 

ORLANDO-GAINSVILLE-DAYTONA 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
353	9718	67293	15.1%

 

SELLOUTS

3

 

2015 seats sold in the past 4 days

67 Showings added

 

1.007x ahead of Friday sales.

  

Sales seem very spread out over the weekend. 

Saturday sales 

ORLANDO-GAINSVILLE-DAYTONA 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
369	10640	70468	15.1%

 

SELLOUTS

3

 

922 seats sold in the past 4 days

16 Showings added

 

1.038x ahead of Friday sales.

  

Edited September 8, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Nun 2 MTC1 previews - 26050/414373 501351.44 2260 shows +7674

 

Ok pace for T-1. Thinking 50-52K finish. Most likely finishing in ~2.7m previews.

Nun 2 MTC1 previews final - 53736/414741 988885.66 2267 shows

 

it did slightly better than what I anticipated. I am going with ~3m previews.

 

Jawan MTC1 Thursday final - 27052/105819 394650.48 669 shows

 

8% higher than Pathan OD but that opened on a Wednesday. @across the Jat verse could project the opening day anyway.

[XXR & Friends]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

Tempted to put in the "First Time" meme here, but I can't actually recall if you've tracked a long(-ish) movie before.

 

This is a film that had a massive fan rush plus it's over five weeks away.  It's gonna be in the bottom of the "U" curve/be in the marathon stage of sales for a while.  Subject to random spikes due to various promotions, naturally.

 

To put it a different way, this is completely normal, IMO. Plus, as @TheFlatLannister implied, at the base it's at even a 1% growth is pretty damn good since it's already so big.

 

Like, TET "only" grew around 2% locally, but IMO again, that's really really good!

 

It's also important to remember this is getting no traditional promotion (as of yet, at least). It's going to move on the power of Taylor's social media and she hasn't said shit since the first day 🤣