The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Giorno]

13 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

Is that good or bad?

well i recently started tracking the 5 busiest AMC's of the 10 total i was previously tracking so i don't have comps but the marvels at (d-29) had sold 450 tickets at 10 locations and even if i split that number in half to 225, aquaman still is running ~48% or a $3.2m previews and likely even worse since the 5 theatres i no longer track either only had standard showings or very few showings 

Edited November 22, 2023 by Giorno

[HummingLemon496]

Tbh I would not be surprised by something like $3.0M previews, $15-18M weekend for Aquaman given the standard 5-6 IM. Not a single live action CBM this year has significantly outperformed initial tracking.

 

Ant-Man went from $130M+ to $106M (tanked by bad reception)

 

Shazam went from $35-40M to $30M (bad reception)

 

Guardians went from $100-120M to $118M (needed GREAT reception to just meet the range, it would've gone <$100M if it was bad)

 

Flash went from $75M+ to $55M (bad reception)

 

Blue Beetle went from $20M-ish to $25M (ok so this did overperform but it was a new D-list character not a big sequel so there was less of a rush)

 

Marvels went from $60-70M to $46M (bad reception)

 

Edited November 22, 2023 by HummingLemon496

[YachtyLogs]

23 hours ago, YachtyLogs said:

WONKA

T-24

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

5/1245 - (0.40%)

 

New sold: 0

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 9

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Another no sales day for Wonka. 

WONKA

T-23

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

5/1245 - (0.40%)

 

New sold: 0

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 9

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Wonka's been on a losing streak here. Hope it picks up soon.

[YachtyLogs]

23 hours ago, YachtyLogs said:

AQUAMAN 2

T-30

 

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

12/2861 - (0.42%)

 

New sold: 9

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 0

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Definitely better than it was but...that's not saying much. Still not much action going on over here.

AQUAMAN 2

T-29

 

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

17/2861 - (0.59%)

 

New sold: 5

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 0

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Doing the best of the three movies I'm tracking but that isn't saying much, still slow around here.

[YachtyLogs]

23 hours ago, YachtyLogs said:

MIGRATION

T-30

 

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

0/1453 - (0%)

 

New sold: 0

New showtimes: -1

Total showtimes: 15

Seats added: -244

Total sellouts: 0

 

No tickets yet, lost a show, and was downgraded to a smaller screen in a few other showings...not doin' hot here.

MIGRATION

T-29

 

Small SE Wisconsin Sample

 

0/1453 - (0%)

 

New sold: 0

New showtimes: 0

Total showtimes: 15

Seats added: 0

Total sellouts: 0

 

Lol.

[abracadabra1998]

On 11/20/2023 at 5:25 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Wish (T-1):

Average: $2.23 Million

No final numbers tomorrow, so if we take ATP into account (which I don't like doing much, adjusting comps that is, but I have no usable Tuesday comp sadly), let's go with a final prediciton of $1.75 Million, +/- 0.25. Reviews really hit this hard I think

 

On 11/20/2023 at 5:32 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Napoleon (T-1):

Average: $2.3 Million

 

The polar opposite on Wish, at least in this market. Outstanding final week and day. MI7 summer walk-ups are obviously different than this will have tomorrow, and the others should be adjusted for ATP, but I can't help but feel optimistic looking at those growth rates, especially compared to something like Killers. Let's go with $2 Million, +/- 0.2.

 

Very happy with my Wish call, like @Porthos articulated better than I ever could, it was a tricky one with the ATP, the EA influencing pace, poor comps, etc.

 

Totally whiffed on Napoleon, but let this be a lesson for me on trusting pace and growth rates more; I was betting on walk-ups being bad due to genre rather than trusting the awesome final growth rates. In addition to all that, still underperformed here a bit. Oh well, this is a happy mistake, I'm glad it's doing well!

[TheFlatLannister]

5 hours ago, ringedmortality said:

 

Can't we just celebrate something for five seconds

I don't think Napoleon having a $30M 5 day OW is anything to celebrate about. That's right about where tracking had it. @CJohn is right, theaters are dying and adult dramas having mid-tier level openings is not the answer.

Edited November 22, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[Maggie]

2 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

 adult dramas having mid-tier level openings is not the answer.

Studios don't even have faith in their offerings, they are not giving them time to expand. The Holdovers going to vod so soon is the latest example

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

GODZILLA MINUS ONE

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
148	281	30792	0.91%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

14

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-9

 

(0.499x) of Exorcist $1.42M Previews

(0.679x) of The Creator $916k Previews

Comps AVG: $1.17M

 

EA sales *separate from Thursdays previews listed above*

615 seats sold over 20 showings 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

GODZILLA MINUS ONE

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
148	287	30792	0.93%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-8

 

(0.471x) of Exorcist $1.34M Previews

(0.663x) of The Creator $895k Previews

Comps AVG: $1.11M

 

EA sales *separate from Thursdays previews listed above*

641 seats sold over 20 showings 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-30

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
173	163	32850	0.50%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-30

 

(0.976x) of Trolls 3 $1.27M Previews

Comps AVG: $1.27M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-29

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
173	173	32850	0.53%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

10

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-29

 

(0.983x) of Trolls 3 $1.28M Previews

(0.500x) of Elemental $1.20M Previews

Comps AVG: $1.24M

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-30

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
188	532	38172	1.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

65

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-30

 

(0.329x) of The Marvels $2.17M Previews

(0.351x) of Indy 5 $2.52M Previews

(0.141x) of GOTG 3 $2.48M Previews

Comps AVG: $2.39M

 

Blue beetle sold more tickets on day 2 that's wild lol.

 

No Blue Beetle comp or Flash comp until T-22. Using Indy 5 and Guardians temporarily 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-29

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	625	38536	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

93

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

3

 

COMPS

T-29

 

(0.361x) of The Marvels $2.39M Previews

(0.408x) of Indy 5 $2.94M Previews

(0.162x) of GOTG 3 $2.83M Previews

Comps AVG: $2.72M

 

A pretty great day, all things considering 

 

No Blue Beetle comp or Flash comp until T-22. Using Indy 5 and Guardians temporarily  

[Boxofficerules]

2 hours ago, Arlborn said:

It will definitely be an R-rated one, I can tell you that much.

Deadpool 3

[HummingLemon496]

Wouldn't 2.72 previews mean a 14-16.5 ish weekend?

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WONKA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-23

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
193	716	35938	2.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-23

 

(0.424x) of Indy 5 $3.06M Previews

(0.372x) of TLM $3.83M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.45M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WONKA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-22

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	736	36197	2.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-22

 

(0.433x) of Indy 5 $3.12M Previews

(0.372x) of TLM $3.83M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.48M

[Porthos]

12 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Wouldn't 2.72 previews mean a 14-16.5 ish weekend?

 

It's not going to be 2.72m, so that's a rather academic question.

[HummingLemon496]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

It's not going to be 2.72m, so that's a rather academic question.

Yeah fr I'm thinking like 3.5 ish

[SpiderByte]

28 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Deadpool 3

The joke is that Joker and Deadpool are the only superhero films scheduled for release 

[interiorgatordecorator]

10 hours ago, WorkingonaName said:

Gladiator 2 will be Barbie for men.  

 

I thought barbie was barbie for men

[MovieMan89]

Gladiator 2 will bomb epicly if there’s no compelling hook and marketing campaign lined up. It really all just depends. 

[Kon]

45 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

It's not going to be 2.72m, so that's a rather academic question.

 

Well, The Marvels taught me to never say never to a low preview.

 

Not that I really think Aquaman 2 would be so low.

Edited November 23, 2023 by Kon