The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Joyous Legion]

5 hours ago, filmlover said:

I can't be the only one who has to do a double take as to whether the movie being tracked is Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire or Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire right? 

Predicting G:Empire to open with 40-60M

[Porthos]

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	120	18388	18828	440	2.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

440

 

Assorted Day 1 Comps

	%		Sold Day 1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA	103.29		426	426		0/142	21387/21813	1.95%		4494	9.79%		8.87m
Wick 4	91.48		481	481		0/82	11915/12396	3.88%		5448	8.08%		8.14m
AtSV	43.18		1019	1019		0/124	17505/18524	5.50%		9744	4.52%		7.49m
FNAF	68.86		639	639		0/52	6623/7262	8.80%		6466	6.80%		7.09m
BOSS	181.07		243	243		0/77	12063/12306	1.97%		2701	16.29%		10.41m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Assorted T-15 Comps

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA T-15	51.58		65	853		0/146	21214/22067	3.87%		4494	9.79%		3.92m
Wick 4 T-15	40.48		64	1087		0/88	12243/13330	8.15%		5448	8.08%		3.60m
Fast X T-15	46.41		42	948		0/178	26762/27710	3.42%		4122	10.67%		3.48m
AtSV T-15	23.26		71	1892		0/123	18027/19919	9.50%		9744	4.52%		4.03m
FNAF T-15	24.51		85	1795		0/102	13476/15271	11.75%		6466	6.80%		2.52m

 

Regal:         99/7318  [1.35% sold]
Matinee:       6/2085  [0.29% | 1.36% of all tickets sold]
3D:              32/4642  [0.69% | 7.27% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Yeah, pretty much what we were thinking this afternoon.  Threw in a ton of T-15 comps *NOT* because they are indicative, but to show how much of a hatchet things will take whenever I shift to T-x (prob after D3 or so). Be interesting to note the rise of them over the next couple of days.

 

Not much else to add.  Fairly good start.  Now it's just a matter of how the 1,500 meter run goes (16 days of pre-sales is not exactly a sprint, but it sure isn't a marathon, either).

 

...

 

Also, because I know folks will ask: 

GxK D1 = 0.91904x Dune 2 THURSDAY ONLY D1 SALES [9.19m*]

* Yes, I know.**

** Also, I don't care.

Edited March 14 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

5 minutes ago, Legion Again said:

Predicting G:Empire to open with 40-60M

Will be funny when you are wrong for both.

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-9, Thursday previews,

 

Total Sales: 58

New Sales: 2

Growth: 4%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 22

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.6

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 5/6

Early Evening: 49/8

Late Evening: 4/8

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 44/10
IMAX:3/4
VIP: 11/5

4DX: 0/3

 

Comps

0.324x HG:BoSS for $1.9M

0.624x Madame Web for $3.8M 

0.841x Aquaman 2 for $3.8M

0.106x Dune 2 for $1.1M

0.147x The Marvels for $1.0M

1.318x Wonka for $5.4M

Average: $2.7M

 

This is starting to fade pretty fast. Two days of comps falling pretty significantly.

 

For added showtimes, it got a lot of showtimes in the one theatre where it didn't get showtimes initially, where it got three screens at 3 shows each, but it got nothing else at any other location. Those went up last night with no sales. Maybe those pick up in tje days ahead, but this needs something to show some life.

 

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-8, Thursday previews,

 

Total Sales: 63

New Sales: 5

Growth: 9%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 22

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.9

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 5/6

Early Evening: 54/8

Late Evening: 4/8

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 44/10
IMAX:6/4
VIP: 13/5

4DX: 0/3

 

Comps

0.326x HG:BoSS for $1.9M

0.516x Madame Web for $3.8M 

0.778x Aquaman 2 for $3.5M

0.110x Dune 2 for $1.1M

0.156x The Marvels for $1.0M

1.370x Wonka for $5.4M

Average: $2.6M

Still very anemic. It's already behind GxK in raw sales despite coming out a week earlier and having been on sale for weeks.

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Monkey Man, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), D2, T-23, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 8

New Sales: 4

Growth: 100%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 2

Showtimes: 4

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.0

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 4/2

Late Evening: 4/2

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 8/2
Regular: 0/2

 

The initial reactions didn't do too much. This will probably only see activity as we get closer. I was hoping the word of mouth would help a bit.

 

Monkey Man, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), D3, T-22, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 8

New Sales: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 2

Showtimes: 4

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.0

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 4/2

Late Evening: 4/2

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 8/2
Regular: 0/2

 

Zero sales day. 

[Joyous Legion]

10 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Will be funny when you are wrong for both.

Naa G:empire is avg so I’m safe   
 

Spoiler

Am thinking maybe like 35&65 yeah

 

[vafrow]

21 hours ago, vafrow said:

The Fall Guy, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), D1, T-51, Thursday previews and Wednesday EA

 

Total Sales: 2

New Sales: NA

Growth: NA

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 12

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.2

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 2/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

 

Dolby: 2/6

IMAX: 0/4

4DX: 0/2

 

D1 Comp:

0.500x Kung Fu Panda 4 for $1.9M

 

EA sales

Total: 0

Showtimes: 5

Theatres: 4

 

Not enough activity to make any declaration. I was going to throw in Wonka, but it started with zero sales.

 

Maybe the early reactions from last night helps drive some sales, but I think this will be a movie to really struggle. Will probably post follow ups for a few days before shifting weekly.

 

EA sales also make this additionally annoying to track and comp.

 

The Fall Guy, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), D2, T-50, Thursday previews and Wednesday EA

 

Total Sales: 2

New Sales: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 12

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.2

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 2/6

Late Evening: 0/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

 

Dolby: 2/6

IMAX: 0/4

4DX: 0/2

 

EA sales

Total: 0

Showtimes: 5

Theatres: 4

 

D2 Comps (against previews+EA)

0.137x Kung Fu Panda 4 for $1.3M

4.00x Wonka for $14M

 

Still not dealing with numbers big enough to be useful. I combined the EA and previews for comps. At this stage, it's not really useful to separate it.

[vafrow]

8 hours ago, vafrow said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, western GTA (Southern Ontario), D1 (hour 8), T-15, Thursday Previews 

 

Total Sales: 51

New Sales: NA

Growth: NA

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 3.0

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 2/3

Early Evening: 27/7

Late Evening: 22/7

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 2/1

Dolby 3D: 22/6
VIP: 11/4

4DX: 14/3

IMAX: 2/3

 

Comps (against full D1)

1.085x HG: BoSS for $6.2M

2.833x  Madame Web for $17.1M

2.318x Aquaman 2 for $10.4M

3.188x GB:FE for ???

Average: $11.3M

 

I thought I'd do a partial day pull, largely just to set up the template to make things easier tomorrow.

 

Comps are against a full D1, so they'll all improve by early morning pull.

 

I know Aquaman isn't going to be an effective comp for others, but it had a short cycle here, so I think it's going to be a good one for me.

 

Ghostbusters isn't too relevant, other than I thought these two would be closer a month ago. With GxK flying out of the gate, I think it's going to further dampen enthusiasm for Ghostbusters.

 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, western GTA (Southern Ontario), D1 (hour 18, T-15, Thursday Previews 

 

Total Sales: 68

New Sales: 17

Growth: 33%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 4.0

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 4/3

Early Evening: 39/7

Late Evening: 25/7

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 2/1

Dolby 3D: 33/6
VIP: 15/4

4DX: 14/3

IMAX: 4/3

 

Comps (D1)

1.447x HG: BoSS for $8.3M

2.833x  Madame Web for $22.9M

3.091x Aquaman 2 for $13.9M

4.250x GB:FE for ???

Average: $15.0M

Continued it's strong trend .

 

I didn't include it as a comp because of too many differences, but it actually matched One Love in total D1 sales. That had an 8 day run, and grew steadily each day. 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	120	18388	18828	440	2.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

440

 

Assorted Day 1 Comps

	%		Sold Day 1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA	103.29		426	426		0/142	21387/21813	1.95%		4494	9.79%		8.87m
Wick 4	91.48		481	481		0/82	11915/12396	3.88%		5448	8.08%		8.14m
AtSV	43.18		1019	1019		0/124	17505/18524	5.50%		9744	4.52%		7.49m
FNAF	68.86		639	639		0/52	6623/7262	8.80%		6466	6.80%		7.09m
BOSS	181.07		243	243		0/77	12063/12306	1.97%		2701	16.29%		10.41m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Assorted T-15 Comps

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA T-15	51.58		65	853		0/146	21214/22067	3.87%		4494	9.79%		3.92m
Wick 4 T-15	40.48		64	1087		0/88	12243/13330	8.15%		5448	8.08%		3.60m
Fast X T-15	46.41		42	948		0/178	26762/27710	3.42%		4122	10.67%		3.48m
AtSV T-15	23.26		71	1892		0/123	18027/19919	9.50%		9744	4.52%		4.03m
FNAF T-15	24.51		85	1795		0/102	13476/15271	11.75%		6466	6.80%		2.52m

 

Regal:         99/7318  [1.35% sold]
Matinee:       6/2085  [0.29% | 1.36% of all tickets sold]
3D:              32/4642  [0.69% | 7.27% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Yeah, pretty much what we were thinking this afternoon.  Threw in a ton of T-15 comps *NOT* because they are indicative, but to show how much of a hatchet things will take whenever I shift to T-x (prob after D3 or so). Be interesting to note the rise of them over the next couple of days.

 

Not much else to add.  Fairly good start.  Now it's just a matter of how the 1,500 meter run goes (16 days of pre-sales is not exactly a sprint, but it sure isn't a marathon, either).

 

...

 

Also, because I know folks will ask: 

GxK D1 = 0.91904x Dune 2 THURSDAY ONLY D1 SALES [9.19m*]

* Yes, I know.**

** Also, I don't care.

 

Oh, yeah, forgot to add.

 

Seen a few stray references to how soon GxK will catch up with GBFE, so....

 

GxK D1    = 2.00000x GBFE [???m] [420/210]

GxK T-15 = 1.00478x GBFE [???m] [420/418]

 

It's... already caught GBFE on T-x counter, and I suspect it ain't gonna take long for it to catch it overall (GBFE is currently sitting at 623 tickets sold).

[charlie Jatinder]

Sacramento sales more than MiniTC2, which means it is over-indexing. Make sense though because California has spring breaks that week.

[Brainbug]

This is a better start so far for GxK than i hoped for. I want to believe it can keep this early momentum but i still think it will slow down in the coming days.

[vafrow]

Can someone remind me again what the typical holiday schedule is in the US for Easter weekend. In Canada, Good Friday is universally off. Most public sector institutions get Easter Monday off, with schools usually closed.

 

I understand it's less prevalent in the US though, where Monday is generally a regular day, unless schools are on Spring break. And even Friday isn't universally a holiday.

[TwoMisfits]

So, the Ghostbusters folks are reading this thread...and might be worried about being forgotten.

 

3rd Atom/TMobile deal of the year - Ghostbusters - $5 tickets, available starting next Tuesday, 3/19.  Expect a slight slowdown in presales from now til then, and then a bigger "walk up" and last minute buyer through the weekend...

 

2024 Atom/TMobile $5 ticket deals

Beekeeper

Marley

Ghostbusters

 

(Edit to Add - and 6 free months of Apple TV again...so I'll be a subscriber for the 3rd time...maybe I'll watch more this time - I did the 2nd time vs the 1st time)...

 

Edited March 14 by TwoMisfits

[charlie Jatinder]

11 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

So, the Ghostbusters folks are reading this thread...and might be worried about being forgotten.

 

3rd Atom/TMobile deal of the year - Ghostbusters - $5 tickets, available starting next Tuesday, 3/19.  Expect a slight slowdown in presales from now til then, and then a bigger "walk up" and last minute buyer through the weekend...

 

2024 Atom/TMobile $5 ticket deals

Beekeeper

Marley

Ghostbusters

 

(Edit to Add - and 6 free months of Apple TV again...so I'll be a subscriber for the 3rd time...maybe I'll watch more this time - I did the 2nd time vs the 1st time)...

 

Normally that offer come just before release. Why so much earlier this time?

[TwoMisfits]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Normally that offer come just before release. Why so much earlier this time?

 

It is just before release (it's always Tuesday before) - it's actually announced later than usual.  Usually, most films announce 2 weeks prior to the deal, not 5 days before, so this one might have been a little last minutes after the 2 big opens...

[el sid]

Monkey Man, counted yesterday (after 1 or 2 days?) for Thursday, April 4. 22 days left.

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 27 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 29 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 1 (1 showtime)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 1 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 101 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 93 (4 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 252.

Comps (all films counted for Thursday): M3gan (2.75M from previews) had after 1-2 days 57 sold tickets
and The Exorcist 2 (2.9M) had after 1 day 171 and after 2 days 268 sold tickets.
The Beekeeper (2.4M) had on Monday of the release week 207 sold tickets (19 days left for MM).
Amsterdam (550k) had also on Monday of the release week 184 sold tickets (= 19 days left).
Dungeons and Dragons (4.1M) had again on Monday of the release week 724 sold tickets (19 days left).
Argylle (1.7M) had with 23 days left 125 sold tickets.
And Silent Night (250k) finally (= on Thursday for Thursday) had 150 sold tickets.

 

A nice start in my theaters! Today I will look at its presales for Friday.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/13/2024 at 9:00 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
American Soc	T-1	Jax	5	13	6	16	1,258	1.27%
		Phx	5	13	0	12	1,285	0.93%
		Ral	6	16	6	12	1,480	0.81%
	Total		16	42	12	40	4,023	0.99%
Arthur the King	T-1	Jax	5	22	7	28	2,460	1.14%
		Phx	6	19	10	50	2,376	2.10%
		Ral	8	24	4	30	2,311	1.30%
	Total		19	65	21	108	7,147	1.51%
Love Lies	T-1	Jax	4	10	9	23	710	3.24%
		Phx	6	16	9	72	1,191	6.05%
		Ral	7	19	4	27	1,794	1.51%
	Total		17	45	22	122	3,695	3.30%
One Life	T-1	Jax	4	10	4	9	662	1.36%
		Phx	2	5	3	12	448	2.68%
		Ral	4	12	-1	4	834	0.48%
	Total		10	27	6	25	1,944	1.29%

 

Arthur T-1 comps

 - Peter Rabbit - 1.01x (908k)

 - Dog - 1.08x (1.36m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .234x (631k)

 - Stillwater - 2.3x (643k)

 - Otto (expansion) - .745x (473k)

 - King Richard (OD) - .324x (629k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 759k 

 

I wouldn't be surprised if this came in on the high end with good walkups.  The Otto comp worries me a little but the first two are promising.  

 

Love Lies T-1 comps

 - Last Night in Soho - .847x (635k)

 - Ambulance - .931x (652k)

 - Bones & All - 1.77x (610k)

 - Men - .946x (400k)

 - X - .897x (395k)

Size adjusted comps - 521k

 

American Society T-1 comps

 - Easter Sunday - .377x (189k)

 - Joy Ride - .519x (468k)

 - House Party - .889x

 - Vengeance - .635x

 - Family Camp - .727x

 

One Life T-1 comps

 - Joe Bell - 4.167x

 - She Said - .833x (133k)

 - Golda - .532x

 - Stillwater - .532x (149k)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
American Soc	T-0	Jax	5	13	8	24	1,258	1.91%
		Phx	6	14	7	19	1,348	1.41%
		Ral	6	16	5	17	1,480	1.15%
	Total		17	43	20	60	4,086	1.47%
Arthur the King	T-0	Jax	5	22	19	47	2,460	1.91%
		Phx	7	22	5	55	2,560	2.15%
		Ral	8	24	13	43	2,311	1.86%
	Total		20	68	37	145	7,331	1.98%
Love Lies	T-0	Jax	5	12	13	36	792	4.55%
		Phx	7	17	30	102	1,200	8.50%
		Ral	7	19	9	36	1,794	2.01%
	Total		19	48	52	174	3,786	4.60%
One Life	T-0	Jax	4	10	5	14	662	2.11%
		Phx	2	5	4	16	448	3.57%
		Ral	4	12	2	6	834	0.72%
	Total		10	27	11	36	1,944	1.85%

 

Arthur T-0 comps

 - Peter Rabbit - .56x (506k)

 - Dog (total) - .358x (451k)*

 - Jungle Cruise - .213x (574k)

 - Stillwater - 2.16x (606k)

 - Otto (expansion) - .553x (351k)

 - King Richard (OD) - .232x (450k)

 - Uncharted - .115x (426k)

 - Father Stu - .65x (358k)

 - Devotion - .801x (493k)

 - Marry Me - .829x (435k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 476k

Growth model forecast - 397k

 

*Adjusted Dog comp to include EA sales since the gross wasn't reported separately.

 

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Arthur the King	215.22%	39.13%	-	34.26%
Peter Rabbit: The Runaway	196.55%	50.57%	-	141.12%
Dog (Total)	-	-	-	-
Jungle Cruise	185.36%	28.03%	29.07%	47.62%
Stillwater	157.69%	42.31%	-	42.55%
King Richard (Fri)	328.08%	-	-	87.69%
Uncharted	86.09%	21.45%	24.11%	34.69%
Father Stu	-	-	-	62.77%
Otto	269.01%	32.39%	-	80.69%
Devotion	135.06%	49.35%	-	79.21%

 

Love Lies T-0 comps

 - Last Night in Soho - .978x (733k)

 - Ambulance - 1.03x (721k)

 - Bones & All - 1.83x (632k)

 - Men - 1.152x (487k)

 - X - .78x (343k)

 - Amsterdam - 1.01x (553k)

 - Firestarter - 1.176x (441k)

Size adjusted comps - 521k

Growth model forecast - 427k

 

American Society T-0 comps

 - Easter Sunday - .48x (240k)

 - Joy Ride (Total) - .205x (226k)*

 - House Party - .984x

 - Vengeance - .659x

 - Family Camp - 1.034x

 

Size adjusted comps - 253k

Growth model forecast - 269k

 

*Adjusted Joy Ride to include EA sales and gross

 

One Life T-0 comps

 - Joe Bell - 6x

 - She Said - .923x (148k)

 - Golda - .554x

 - Stillwater - .537x (150k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 147k

Growth model forecast - 108k

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 3/13/2024 at 9:03 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Ghostbusters: FE	T-8	Jax	5	56	7	129	8,681	1.49%
		Phx	6	53	23	152	9,018	1.69%
		Ral	8	46	1	147	6,480	2.27%
	Total		19	155	31	428	24,179	1.77%

 

T-8 comps

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - 1.054x (3.27m)

 - Shazam 2 - .879x (2.99m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.251x (5.13m)

 - NTTD (Total) - .562x (3.54m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .61x (3.41m)

 - MI:7 (Total) - .431x (3.79m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - .781x (3.51m)

 - Uncharted - .979x (3.62m)

 - Indiana Jones - .494x (3.55m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 3.73m

 

Kinda surprising how small this range is.

 

A couple other movies that may be comps, but I'm not committing to the model yet

 - Nope - .865x (5.53m)

 - Morbius - .584x (3.33m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Ghostbusters: FE	T-7	Jax	6	61	22	151	9,040	1.67%
		Phx	6	53	12	164	9,018	1.82%
		Ral	8	48	15	162	6,936	2.34%
	Total		20	162	49	477	24,994	1.91%

 

T-7 comps

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - 1.089x (3.38m)

 - Shazam 2 - .962x (3.27m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.205x (4.94m)

 - NTTD (Total) - .541x (3.41m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .596x (3.34m)

 - MI:7 (Total) - .432x (3.81m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - .807x (3.63m)

 - Uncharted - 1x (3.7m)

 - Indiana Jones - .527x (3.79m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 3.76m

 

A couple other movies that may be comps, but I'm not committing to the model yet

 - Nope - .907x (5.8m)

 - Morbius - .608x (3.47m)

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Godzilla x Kong	T-14	Jax	5	53	121	121	9,702	1.25%
		Phx	6	35	153	153	5,619	2.72%
		Ral	8	55	102	102	7,740	1.32%
	Total		19	143	376	376	23,061	1.63%

 

Day 1 comps

 - JW3 (Total) - .378x (6.81m)

 - TG2 - .361x (6.97m)

 - Black Adam - 1.225x (9.31m)

 - Shazam 2 - 2.765x (9.4m)

 - TMNT (Total) - 1.249x (7m)

 - Ghostbusters: FE - 1.825x

 - Ghostbusters: Afterlife - 1.614x (6.7m)

 - F9 - 1.382x (9.81m)

 

Pretty good range of 6.5m - 10m

[M37]

3 hours ago, vafrow said:

Can someone remind me again what the typical holiday schedule is in the US for Easter weekend. In Canada, Good Friday is universally off. Most public sector institutions get Easter Monday off, with schools usually closed.

 

I understand it's less prevalent in the US though, where Monday is generally a regular day, unless schools are on Spring break. And even Friday isn't universally a holiday.

Over the years, more school districts have come on board with making Easter a 4-day break (while fewer are coordinating Spring Break directly around it). I was going to estimate that ~75%-80% of schools are off on Good Friday and around ~40-50% for Monday (with fewer businesses for each day)

 

... and then found that Deadline (via ComScore) reported exactly 80% Fri and 40% Mon for Mario last year in April, and 73% Fri (couldn't find Monday) for Fantastic Beasts the year before. The last year a similar calendar set-up (late March Good Fri, 2018/Ready Player One) also had a reported 80% off Friday, and looking at the Mon/Tue daily numbers, probably a lower portion of Monday off

 

So not on level of the 3 big holidays (Christmas, Thanksgiving, July 4th), but probably the next in line in terms of impact on school & business closures