The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Mojoguy]

17 minutes ago, Flip said:

I think just a five day. Also, it’s getting much more support than Inside Out 2, which currently has 16 showtimes for opening Friday whereas DM4 is getting 22 showtimes for Wednesday opening day

Movies theaters know DM4 will be the biggest animated movie of the year...

[TwoMisfits]

47 minutes ago, Flip said:

I think just a five day. Also, it’s getting much more support than Inside Out 2, which currently has 16 showtimes for opening Friday whereas DM4 is getting 22 showtimes for Wednesday opening day

 

Not my Cinemarks - they are continuing the summer "put up or shut up" for presales with 2 screens and 12 showings at each for DM4 (1 has 1 PLF screen, so 1/2 the showings at one are PLF)...

Edited June 4 by TwoMisfits

[keysersoze123]

On 6/2/2024 at 3:03 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC1

Previews -  21387/620105 407798.37 3177 shows

Friday - 21163/1031657 379048.49 5297 shows

 

I think upcoming week pace is going to tell the tale. Not too happy with late social media reactions/reviews for this movie. That hinders any chance of early boost. 

Inside Out 2 MTC1

Previews - 25019/623680 473646.09 3208 shows +3632

Friday - 25863/1032380 460739.91 5304 shows +4700 

 

+2 days of data. I expect presales to accelerate even more this week and of course leading up to final week. 

[TheFlatLannister]

21 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

Bad Boys

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
572	3943	113054	3.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

454

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

COMPS

T-3

(1.147x) of Apes $5.73M 

(2.142x) of Fall Guy $4.93M 
Comps AVG: $5.33M 

 

Comps still converging around $5M

FLORIDA 

Bad Boys

 

Thursday 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
697	5272	134902	3.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1329

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

125

 

COMPS

T-2

(1.263x) of Apes $6.31M 

(2.507x) of Fall Guy $5.77M 
Comps AVG: $6.04M 

 

Excellent day. Really starting to accelerate. Thinking $6M previews could happen

Edited June 4 by TheFlatLannister

[PrinceRico]

21 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

Bad Boys

 

Thursday 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
697	5272	134902	3.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1329

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

125

 

COMPS

T-2

(1.263x) of Apes $6.31M 

(2.507x) of Fall Guy $5.77M 
Comps AVG: $6.04M 

 

Excellent day. Really starting to accelerate. Thinking $6M previews could happen

Could it be a review bump or is it to early to tell

[keysersoze123]

So DM4 has no previews. just opening on Wednesday. Interesting indeed. Mario would be good comp. 

[babz06]

9 minutes ago, PrinceRico said:

Could it be a review bump or is it to early to tell

Florida especially South Florida is a good market for this film. So that could be playing a role. 

[filmlover]

Yeah, the Bad Boys movies take place and are mostly filmed around the Miami area, so they are a major draw in the surrounding Florida markets. It's going to do gangbusters here.

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, PrinceRico said:

Could it be a review bump or is it to early to tell

 

$5 Atom tickets went live at 5am today...

[Kon]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

$5 Atom tickets went live at 5am today...

That could explain the increase of tickets bought.

[Flip]

23 hours ago, Flip said:

Inside Out 2 (T-10)

12 showtimes/192 tix sold (+9)

 

273 tickets sold for Friday.

 

Bad Boys 4 (T-3)

 

18 showtimes/216 tix sold (+37)

 

.708x Furiosa T-3 (NYC area would tilt to Furiosa more so it’s not a great comp but the only one I have)

 

Watchers (T-3)

 

8 showtimes/73 tix sold (+23)

 

A Quiet Place (T-24)

 

12 showtimes/109 tix sold (+8)

Inside Out 2 (T-9)

12 showtimes/199 tix sold (+7)

 

Bad Boys 4 (T-2)

 

21 showtimes/334 tix sold (+118)

 

1.18x Furiosa T-2 (last day I took Furiosa so no more comps) great jump.

 

Watchers (T-2)

 

8 showtimes/88 tix sold (+15) Less sold than yesterday

 

A Quiet Place (T-23

 

12 showtimes/108 tix sold (-1)

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	152	48	305	24120	1.26

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		214	25	70.16
MTC1:		178	28	58.36
Alamo:		15	4	4.92
Other chains:		112	16	36.72

 

Comps: 

0.55x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $2.73 Million

0.57x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $2.55 Million (17 theaters)

3.49x Expend4bles: $2.62 Million (17 theaters)

0.93x Blue Beetle: $3.06 Million (17 theaters)

1.9x The Equalizer 3: $7.21 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $3.63 Million

 

Not a great update, dropped against most comps.

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	171	160	465	27078	1.72

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		304	90	65.38
MTC1:		262	84	56.34
Alamo:		24	9	5.16
Other chains:		179	67	38.49

 

Comps: 

0.64x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $3.2 Million

0.73x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $3.3 Million (17 theaters)

4.49x Expend4bles: $3.37 Million (17 theaters)

1.19x Blue Beetle: $3.92 Million (17 theaters)

1.78x The Equalizer 3: $6.77 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $4.11 Million

 

REALLY good update, every comp went up significantly, save for Equalizer 3 which was already a really high comp to begin with. Hopefully keep showing signs of converging. I would still lean more heavily on Equalizer; not in the sense that I expect it to go that high (I for sure do not), but it's the only comp that most mirrors that this movie's target audience. And I cannot overstate it, this state's demographics are overwhelmingly NOT the target audience for it

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Watchers (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	100	27	100	11805	0.85

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		8	-1	8
MTC1:		59	21	59
Alamo:		16	2	16
Other chains:		25	4	25

 

Comps: 

0.97x Abigail: $970k

1.19x Imaginary: $860k (17 theaters)

1.37x Last Voyage of Demeter: $1.03 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $955k

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Watchers (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	121	26	126	14274	0.88

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		11	3	8.73
MTC1:		79	20	62.7
Alamo:		18	2	14.29
Other chains:		29	4	23.02

 

Comps: 

0.95x Abigail: $945k

1.27x Imaginary: $920k (17 theaters)

1.18x Last Voyage of Demeter: $880k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $915k

 

At this rate I would not be surprised with anything between $800k-1 Million at this point.

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

Bad Boys: Ride or Die

 

Thursday Comp: 

 

Theater 1: 14 Tickets

Theater 2: 17 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $5.17M

Equalizer III: $6.20M

T:RotB: $4.06M

Fast X: $3.14M

JW4: $2.79M

Creed III: $3.05M

 

This boy better explode in walk-ups cause we have $4M-$6M for now, but it could go lower. 

Bad Boys: Ride or Die

 

Thursday Comp: 

 

Theater 1: 18 Tickets

Theater 2: 23 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $5.13M

Equalizer III: $4.21M

T:RotB: $4.33M

Fast X: $3.31M

JW4: $2.83M

Creed III: $2.62M

 

Decent day. Strong in between $4M-$5.5M.

 

Friday Comp: 

 

Theater 1: 57 Tickets

Theater 2: 33 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $19.73M

Equalizer III: $13.87M

T:RotB: $12.13M

Fast X: $13.58M

JW4: $11.77M

Creed III: $9.14M

 

Finally a healthy opening, looking around $12M-$14M unless there's a much needed surge.

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

The Watchers: 

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 1 Ticket
Theater 2: 6 Tickets

 

Tarot: $.83M
Abigail: $1.75M
Night Swim: $2.54M
The Boogeyman: $5.25M
Knock at the Cabin: $1.05M

 

Wide range, but I'll be safe at $1M-$2M for now

The Watchers: 

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 2 Tickets

Theater 2: 9 Tickets

 

Tarot: $.98M

Abigail: $1.57M

Night Swim: $1.77M

The Boogeyman: $4.13M

Knock at the Cabin: $1.27M

 

Getting tighter to $1.25M-$1.5M.

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 3 Tickets
Theater 2: 7 Tickets

 

Tarot: $6.12M
Abigail: $5.06M
Night Swim: $4.22M
The Boogeyman: $7.48M
Knock at the Cabin: $1.89M

 

Aiming best between $4M-$6M for now

[YM!]

Quick and Dirty SE Wisconsin Sample Update:

 

Inside Out 2 at T-9 is showing the momentum I was referring to jumping 50% from the T-12 total of 38 to 57. That’s pretty good for a kids movie but only one theater has been flat. PLF is the preferred format for IO2. With our data so far, thinking around $7-8.5m previews for this one.

 

Bad Boys Ride or Die on T-2 is massively overindexing in SE Wisconsin which makes sense due to close proximity to Milwaukee with 199 tickets sold and 356 tickets with EA. Only soft theater is North Shore but that theater skews the less diverse. 2D and PLF show a decent share without EA and is looking about 36% ahead of Furiosa which would put it about 4.8M previews but doesn’t have the same PLF skew as Furiosa. I feel really good about 5m previews, maybe even 5.5-6m.

 

The Watchers looks like a nonstarter with only 17 tickets and five screens across four theaters. Previews start at 11 am for Majeetic for some reason. Around O/U 1M previews is my guess.

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Bad Boys 4 MTC1

Early Shows - 2911/9869 65213.41 46 shows +680

Previews(T-3) - 27199/578347 502199.87 2950 shows +4103

Friday - 26313/899872 471710.91 4668 shows +5074

 

I think it was a good day. In line with what I expected. let us see how rest of the week goes. 

Bad Boys 4 MTC1

Early Shows - 4449/9869 98687.09 46 shows +1538

Previews(T-2) - 37928/616266 691034.13 3238 shows +10729

Friday - 40836/1032027 724787.28 5539 shows +14523

 

I know its TMo/Atom effect but its still very impressive. Probably hitting 100k+ at this point. Can its OW go over last movie? 

Edited June 5 by keysersoze123

[Rorschach]

23 hours ago, Rorschach said:

Bad Boys: Ride or Die (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 43/2,565 (1.7% sold)

3 IMAX showings: 3/1,164

3 XD showings: 18/714

5 2D showings: 22/687

 

Comps:

The Fall Guy (w/o EA): $6.74 mil

Apes (w/o EA): $3.16 mil

Furiosa: $2.69 mil

Average: $4.2 mil

 

Friday: 37/4,375 (0.8% sold)

5 IMAX showings: 2/1,940

5 XD showings: 10/1,190

9 2D showings: 25/1,245

 

Comps:

The Fall Guy: $9.04 mil

Apes: $6.33 mil

Furiosa: $4.23 mil

Average: $6.53 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 80/6,940 (1.2% sold)

 

Comps:

The Fall Guy (w/o EA): $17.21 mil

Apes (w/o EA): $10.35 mil

Furiosa: $7.14 mil

Average: $11.57 mil

Bad Boys: Ride or Die (Tuesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 61/2,565 (2.4% sold) [+18]

3 IMAX showings: 3/1,164

3 XD showings: 18/714

5 2D showings: 40/687

 

Comps:

The Fall Guy (w/o EA): $4.1 mil

Apes (w/o EA): $3.86 mil

Furiosa: $3.19 mil

Average: $3.72 mil

 

Friday: 65/4,375 (1.5% sold) [+28]

5 IMAX showings: 6/1,940

5 XD showings: 21/1,190

9 2D showings: 38/1,245

 

Comps:

The Fall Guy: $8.66 mil

Apes: $8.16 mil

Furiosa: $5.24 mil

Average: $7.35 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 126/6,940 (1.8% sold) [+46]

 

Comps:

The Fall Guy (w/o EA): $13.55 mil

Apes (w/o EA): $12.77 mil

Furiosa: $8.58 mil

Average: $11.63 mil

 

Not too bad. The Fall Guy's averages dropped heavily from yesterday, whereas Apes and Furiosa each rose, which canceled things out. Would like to see some notable growth tomorrow, though.

[Rorschach]

23 hours ago, Rorschach said:

The Watchers (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

7 2D showings: 13/513 (2.5% sold)

 

Comps:

Tarot: $775k

Strangers: $1.95 mil

Average: $1.36 mil

 

Friday:

11 2D showings: 12/792 (1.5% sold)

 

Comps:

Tarot: $3.15 mil

Strangers: $2.03 mil

Average: $2.59 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 25/1,305 (1.9% sold)

 

Comps:

Tarot: $3.36 mil

Strangers: $4.11 mil

Average: $3.74 mil

The Watchers (Tuesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

7 2D showings: 17/513 (3.3% sold) [+4]

 

Comps:

Tarot: $715k

Strangers: $756k

Average: $736k

 

Friday:

11 2D showings: 16/792 (2% sold) [+4]

 

Comps:

Tarot: $2.26 mil

Strangers: $1.69 mil

Average: $1.98 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 33/1,305 (2.5% sold) [+8]

 

Comps:

Tarot: $2.81 mil

Strangers: $2.63 mil

Average: $2.72 mil

 

Man, horror films have been in a real rut this year, haven't they?

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-52 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	29210	33630	4420	13.14%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

58

 

Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps)

		Final Sold	% of Final		$ So Far
MoM		21117	20.93%		7.54m
L&T		16962	26.06%		7.56m
BP2		16800	26.31%		7.37m
AM3		10475	42.20%		7.38m
GOTG3		10750	41.12%		7.20m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      936/12927  [7.24% sold]
Matinee:    NOT YET COMPILED
3D:            413/6802  [6.07% | 9.34% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2418/11538  [20.96% | 54.71% of all tickets sold]

===========

CM EQUIV       56 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    56 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-51 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	29145	33630	4485	13.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

65

 

Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps)

		Final Sold	% of Final		$ So Far
MoM		21117	21.24%		7.65m
L&T		16962	26.44%		7.67m
BP2		16800	26.70%		7.48m
AM3		10475	42.82%		7.49m
GOTG3		10750	41.72%		7.30m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       951/12927  [7.36% sold]
Matinee:    NOT YET COMPILED
3D:             415/6802  [6.10% | 9.25% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2444/11538  [21.18% | 54.49% of all tickets sold]

===============

CM EQUIV          55 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV      62 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking