The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Ryan C]

4 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

BEETLEJUICE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-31 *First few hours

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
593	2723	124858	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-31

(1.713x) of Twisters $13.87M

(0.874x) of Dune 2 $8.13M

 

🚨Breakout alert🚨

 

I'm gonna track this one later tonight, but more than 2,700 seats sold already? 

 

Warner Bros. could really have another early September breakout in the veins of 2017's It. 

[Relevation]

9 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

BEETLEJUICE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-31 *First few hours

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
593	2723	124858	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-31

(1.713x) of Twisters $13.87M

(0.874x) of Dune 2 $8.13M

 

🚨Breakout alert🚨

So if it has trash walkups then it’ll still open to a great $75-80M+ depending on EA

 

And if it has huge explosive walkups then ohhhhhh mai gawd (14 THU + 4 EA x Equalizer 3 IM = 161.3!!!)

[Flip]

28 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont know I want to go that far. Whatever I can see, the sales are solid albeit not spectacular. After all its not a huge fanbase driven movie. So I would wait until we see a trend of huge breakout. Maverick couple of years ago looked like a huge breakout on day 1. This is not close but its not a fair comp for sure. 

Maybe over indexing near me then

[excel1]

Keaton deserves it after last years Flash embarrassment 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/2/2024 at 7:11 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

IT ENDS WITH US 

 

Thursday 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
384	3627	74950	4.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

425

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-6

(1.275x) of Bad Boys $7.52M

(2.400x) of Fall Guy $5.52M

Comps AVG: $6.52M

25% decrease to account for ATP/PLF: $4.89M

 

lol what the hell

FLORIDA 

IT ENDS WITH US 

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
384	4994	74950	4.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

425

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(1.267x) of Bad Boys $7.47M

(2.713x) of Fall Guy $6.24M

Comps AVG: $6.86M

25% decrease to account for ATP/PLF: $5.15M

 

Still looking strong. Would bet this ends up frontloaded so I'm not sure it hits $50M OW

[TheFlatLannister]

Not going to update Borderlands numbers because they are outright embarrassing 

[Mojoguy]

3 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Not going to update Borderlands numbers because they are outright embarrassing 

Borderlands over or under Furiosa?

[lorddemaxus]

3 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Borderlands over or under Furiosa?

Under furiosa OW

[TheFlatLannister]

5 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Borderlands over or under Furiosa?

Way under. It's not even half of what Furiosa was at T-3

[misterpepp]

I've been informed by a close source of mine that the Interstellar IMAX re-release that was planned for this fall has likely been cancelled outside of a very select group of venues. There's some drama going on behind-the-scenes over this that I won't divulge the details of. Let's just say that someone in particular is really upset and leave it at that.

 

Anyway, tentative ticket sale date for Transformers One is August 27.

 

Also, AMC will be bringing back The Batman to their Dolby screens on August 28. This will include a sneak peek of The Penguin.

Edited August 6 by misterpepp

[emoviefan]

2 hours ago, Ryan C said:

 

I'm gonna track this one later tonight, but more than 2,700 seats sold already? 

 

Warner Bros. could really have another early September breakout in the veins of 2017's It. 

Do not drop the ball/shit the bed Tim. Please.

[abracadabra1998]

22 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

It Ends With Us (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 23 theaters	75	542	1236	7262	17.02
Wednesday EA: 9 theaters	12	187	761	1214	62.69
TOTALS:	87	729	1997	8476	23.56

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		385	196	31.15
Other chains:		851	346	68.85

 

Thursday comps:

2.55x Wonka: $8.92 Million (17 theaters)

0.88x Hunger Games BoSS: $5.08 Million (17 theaters)

0.24x Barbie: $5.01 Million (17 theaters)

1.95x Don't Worry Darling: $6.06 Million (12 theaters)

 

EA comps:

0.57x Dune Part 2: $1.15 Million

 

Combined THU + EA Comp:

2.25x Mean Girls (w/ EA): $7.3 Million (17 theaters)

 

Killing it, with an ATP adjustment probably looking at around $5ish Million combined for now

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

It Ends With Us (T-3):

Day: T-3, T-2	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 23 theaters	102	280	1516	9719	15.6
Wednesday EA: 9 theaters	14	89	850	1518	55.99
TOTALS:	116	369	2366	11237	21.06

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		496	111	32.72
Other chains:		1020	169	67.28

 

Thursday comps:

0.91x Hunger Games BoSS: $5.21 Million (17 theaters)

0.22x Barbie: $4.72 Million (17 theaters)

1.89x Don't Worry Darling: $5.87 Million (12 theaters)

 

EA comps:

0.75x Unsung Hero: $900k

 

Combined THU + EA Comp:

2.08x Mean Girls (w/ EA): $6.75 Million (17 theaters)

 

Still holding back on most EA comps because the occupancy rate for this is so high, so capacity will be a real issue. Unsung Hero kinda meets that criteria too, so probably thinking a little over $1 Million for EA unless theaters add a ton of showtimes. 

[abracadabra1998]

22 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Borderlands (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	94	69	207	12457	1.66

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		66	22	31.88
MTC1:		69	27	33.33
Other chains:		138	42	66.67

 

Comps:

0.23x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $1.5 Million

2.27x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $1.93 Million

0.67x Argyle: $1.13 Million (17 theaters)

0.57x Blue Beetle: $1.89 Million (17 theaters)

2.01x Expend4bles: $1.51 Million (17 theaters)

 

No bueno

 

Cuckoo (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 13 theaters	24	28	74	1697	4.36

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		66	27	89.19
Other chains:		8	1	10.81

 

Comps:

0.19x Longlegs: $565k

0.94x Abigail: $935k

1.89x Immaculate: $1.04 Million (17 theaters)

0.91x Lisa Frankenstein: $635k (17 theaters)

0.72x Thanksgiving: $725k (17 theaters)

0.63x Talk To Me: $785k (17 theaters)

 

Still looking like it's heading to under a million previews

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Borderlands (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	90	28	235	11994	1.96

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		79	13	33.62
MTC1:		87	18	37.02
Other chains:		148	10	62.98

 

Comps:

0.42x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $2.11 Million

2.06x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $1.75 Million

0.66x Argyle: $1.12 Million (17 theaters)

0.32x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $1.42 Million (17 theaters)

0.52x Blue Beetle: $1.71 Million (17 theaters)

1.95x Expend4bles: $1.46 Million (17 theaters)

 

Still heading for around $1.5 Million it looks like.

 

Cuckoo (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 13 theaters	24	27	101	1671	6.04

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		82	16	81.19
Other chains:		19	11	18.81

 

Comps:

0.18x Longlegs: $545k

0.98x Abigail: $980k

1.76x Immaculate: $965k (17 theaters)

0.99x Lisa Frankenstein: $690k (17 theaters)

0.83x Thanksgiving: $835k (17 theaters)

0.64x Talk To Me: $800k (17 theaters)

[Eric the Marxist]

Quorum Updates

Blink Twice T-18: 26.41% Awareness, 41.27% Interest

Bagman T-46: 19.33% Awareness, 41.83% Interest

Venom: The Last Dance T-81: 45.11% Awareness, 53.27% Interest

Moana 2 T-114: 49.17% Awareness, 51.44% Interest

 

Borderlands T-4: 40.17% Awareness, 46% Interest

Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M

Medium Awareness: 77% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

Medium Interest: 55% chance of 10M

 

Cuckoo T-4: 22.17% Awareness, 44.5% Interest

Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 37% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M

 

It Ends with Us T-4: 32.28% Awareness, 44.67% Interest

Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M

Low Awareness: 27% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M

Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M, 2% chance of 20M

 

Alien: Romulus T-11: 43.49% Awareness, 49.11% Interest

Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M, 48% chance of 20M, 26% chance of 30M, 17% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 83% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 40M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M

Horror Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 13% chance of 20M, 4% chance of 30M

 

Killer's Game T-39: 18.68% Awareness, 41.81% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 12% chance of 10M

T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M

Low Interest: 29% chance of 10M

 

Speak No Evil T-39: 24.94% Awareness, 47.61% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 53% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 63% chance of 10M

T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M

Horror Interest: 67% chance of 10M

[lorddemaxus]

1 hour ago, misterpepp said:

I've been informed by a close source of mine that the Interstellar IMAX re-release that was planned for this fall has likely been cancelled outside of a very select group of venues. There's some drama going on behind-the-scenes over this that I won't divulge the details of. Let's just say that someone in particular is really upset and leave it at that.

Are the select group of venues just ones that have IMAX 70mm capabilities?

[Flip]

On 8/3/2024 at 10:41 PM, Flip said:

It Ends With Us Previews (T-5)

 

13 showtimes/241 tickets sold (+31)

 

1.26x Trap Previews (T-5) [2.77m]

Missed AQP D1 Previews (T-5) []

Missed Bad Boys 4 (T-5) []
Missed The Watchers (T-5) []

It Ends With Us Previews (T-3) 2 days of sales

 

15 showtimes/447 tickets sold (+206)

 

1.85x Trap Previews (T-3) [4.07m]

1.35x AQP D1 Previews (T-3) [9.18m]

2.07x Bad Boys 4 (T-3) [12.1m]
6.12x The Watchers (T-3) [6.12m]
 

INSANE growth over the past two days. Heading for 5-6m previews. The Bad Boys comp will drop (could be even at T-0)

[misterpepp]

13 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Are the select group of venues just ones that have IMAX 70mm capabilities?

 

No, even the majority of those won't be playing it. The only locations that will play it are ones that had already been holding onto a 70mm print over these years.

 

I don't know how much more I should say. The 70mm prints are part of the problem, in fact. Let's just say that I've heard some higher-ups made a big oopsie that's made a very influential person angry.

[abracadabra1998]

Minnesota Previews:

 

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (T-31, Day 1):

Day: T-31, T-30	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 24 theaters	170	159	159	29250	0.54
WEDNESDAY SEP 4 EA: 15 theaters	18	38	38	3848	0.99
TOTALS:	188	197	197	33098	0.6

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		109	109	68.55
MTC1:		74	74	46.54
Other chains:		85	85	53.46

 

Day 1 Comps:

2.81x Fall Guy: $8.87 Million

0.51x Godzilla x Kong: $4.65 Million

0.84x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $3.97 Million (17 theaters)

1.97x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $8.88 Million (17 theaters)

 

Pretty good, but I really don't know what kind of path this will take: frontloaded (Ghostbusters) or not

[crazymoviekid]

It Ends With Us

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 98 Tickets

Theater 2: 127 Tickets

 

Anyone But You: $6.90M

Beyonce: $5.93M

Barbie: $6.14M

Dont Worry Darling: $8.75M

Crawdads: $23.52M

 

Great start. $6M+ looks about right

[crazymoviekid]

Borderlands 

 

Thursday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 0 Tickets

Theater 2: 7 Tickets

 

Fall Guy: $1.29M

Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $1.97M

Argylle: $1.32M

Gran Turismo: $.61M

65: $1.23M

 

Not looking too hot. $1.25M-$1.5M