The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Cheddar Please]

1 minute ago, excel1 said:

 

Yeah they would be belong in that tier, along with SITH. The above list is really tier 3 TBH, tier 2 would be Batman 1989, ESB, ROTJ, and Episode 1. 

Also I never got the sense ID4 had much hype at all given its reception

[Joyous Legion]

Yeah taking everything into account I would probably say Reloaded corresponds to >300M OW nowadays. Now does that guarantee DPW can do 2/3 of that? Not whatsoever. But I think people are a bit overly concerned with the R “ceiling” — the real r ceiling is like 350M or something, it’s not remotely in play here

[Relevation]

14 minutes ago, excel1 said:

Btw, ENDGAME is the most hyped film in history. Matrix 2 and is along TDK/TDKR/Spider-man 2002/Spider-man 3/TFA/Avengers/Infinity War/ID4 in that second uber elite tier, though. 

ID4?

[Migs20242]

1 minute ago, Joyous Legion said:

Yeah taking everything into account I would probably say Reloaded corresponds to >300M OW nowadays. Now does that guarantee DPW can do 2/3 of that? Not whatsoever. But I think people are a bit overly concerned with the R “ceiling” — the real r ceiling is like 350M or something, it’s not remotely in play here

Deadpool and Wolverine presales is not on the level of Infinity War and No Way Home.

[Relevation]

Just now, Relevation said:

ID4?

Oh I’m just realizing now it’s Independence Day whoops

 

4 threw me off 

[TheFlatLannister]

58 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Specifically, I was asking about the Opening Day Fan Event (i.e. for $$$) that is being hosted exclusively for MTC1 on Thur Jul 25th:

 

https://www.fandango.com/deadpool-and-wolverine-opening-day-fan-event-2024-236329/movie-overview?date=2024-07-25

 

Disney will use an Opening Night/Day Fan Event for branding purposes for when they want to have a giveaway for extra goodies or a showing an hour or so earlier or something else usually along side a hike in ATP.

 

This is not a "free" event or fan showing a couple of days earlier to drive awareness/buzz or anything like that.  Disney is 100% going to fold those into the reported totals

 

If you never track these, fair enough.  But wanted to make sure you knew what I was referring to.

 

@TheFlatLannister

 

Weird, either it's sold out or those showings are not live yet because they aren't on the main fandango page. I do see two showings once I click on the link, but both are greyed out. 

Edited Thursday at 02:52 AM by TheFlatLannister

[abracadabra1998]

Just now, TheFlatLannister said:

Weird, either it's sold out or those showings are not live yet because they aren't on the main fandango page. I do seem two showings once I click on the link, but both are greyed out. 

Probably sold out, those shows sold like gangbusters right away. 3 in the twin cities and all over 85% sold 

[Porthos]

8 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Weird, either it's sold out or those showings are not live yet because they aren't on the main fandango page. I do seem two showings once I click on the link, but both are greyed out. 

 

6 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Probably sold out, those shows sold like gangbusters right away. 3 in the twin cities and all over 85% sold 

 

My nearest one (in Brentwood - welllll out of my tracking range) is at 84% sold as well.  Wouldn't be hard to imagine them being For Real Sold Out in Orlando.

Edited Thursday at 02:52 AM by Porthos

[TheFlatLannister]

8 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Probably sold out, those shows sold like gangbusters right away. 3 in the twin cities and all over 85% sold 

Probably 280 seats per a loc here. Don't think those showings are wide enough to really move the needle much past an extra $1m or so. I don't have national data so maybe Keyser or Jat know. 

[excel1]

20 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

Also I never got the sense ID4 had much hype at all given its reception

 

huh. The buzz was insane. 

 

It opened on a Tuesday night. Despite this, it's Fri-Sun gross nearly topped the opening weekend record at the time. As a traditional 3 day opening, that's a record that probably lasts until Harry Potter in 2001. 

[Cheddar Please]

Just now, excel1 said:

 

huh. The buzz was insane. 

 

It opened on a Tuesday night. Despite this, it's Fri-Sun gross nearly topped the opening weekend record at the time. As a traditional 3 day opening, that's a record that probably lasts until Harry Potter in 2001. 

Ah you meant the original, I was under the impression you were talking about the reboot lmao 

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

A Quiet Place: Day One: 

 

Thursday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 35 Tickets

Theater 2: 22 Tickets

 

FNAF: $2.59M

The Nun 2: $5.52M

Insidious 5: $9.50M

Scream VI: $4.06M

HE: $6.69M

Nope: $4.24M

Black Phone: $4.91M

 

Still a bit wide, but I'm sticking with $4M-$6M right now

 

Friday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 19 Tickets

Theater 2: 42 Tickets

 

FNAF: $2.79M

The Nun 2: $16.50M

Insidious 5: $20.08M

Scream VI: $8.82M

HE: $5.97M

Nope: $7.16M

Black Phone: $13.39M

 

Idk, wide range. I'd level around $13M for now

A Quiet Place: Day One

 

Thursday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 55 Tickets

Theater 2: 33 Tickets

 

FNAF: $3.17M

The Nun 2: $6.06M

Insidious 5: $8.80M

Scream VI: $4.52M

HE: $6.69M

Nope: $4.05M

Black Phone: $4.31M

 

Once again, $4M-$6M is looking pretty good. Just don't know where.

 

Friday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 31 Tickets

Theater 2: 59 Tickets

 

FNAF: $3.53M

The Nun 2: $16.68M

Insidious 5: $15.31M

Scream VI: $9.27M

HE: $7.09M

Nope: $8.10M

Black Phone: $8.36M

 

Most comps are rising. Still say around $14M-$15M for now

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1

 

Thursday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 3 Tickets

Theater 2: 8 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $1.45M

KotFM: $.65M

Indy 5: $.52M

Asteroid City: $.32M

Elvis: $.60M

 

Absolutely no sales today. Dropping comp to $.6M.

 

Friday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 0 Tickets

Theater 2: 22 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $5.12M

KotFM: $2.34M

Indy 5: $2.04M

Asteroid City: $1.82M

Elvis: $1.67M

 

yikes. Going for a $1.5M-$2.5M range

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1:

 

Thursday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 3 Tickets
Theater 2: 9 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $.79M
KotFM: $.56M
Indy 5: $.51M
Asteroid City: $.24M
Elvis: $.45M
 
very low sales continue. Dropping to $.5M-$.75M

 

Friday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 2 Tickets

Theater 2: 24 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $2.66M

KotFM: $2.18M

Indy 5: $1.98M

Asteroid City: $1.58M

Elvis: $1.39M

 

Goddamn. Still going for a $1.5M-$2.25M range

[emoviefan]

41 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

huh. The buzz was insane. 

 

It opened on a Tuesday night. Despite this, it's Fri-Sun gross nearly topped the opening weekend record at the time. As a traditional 3 day opening, that's a record that probably lasts until Harry Potter in 2001. 

I went that opening Tuesday Night. It still may be one of my best theatrical experiences. The audience was hyped and ready to go from moment one. It was electric. 

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-30 Thursday: 26014/207557

T-31 Friday: 16356/271893

T-32 Saturday: 11870/284179

T-33 Sunday: 3853/282093

 

Numbers are from a few hours ago

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-29 Thursday: 26300/207557

T-30 Friday: 16569/271893

T-31 Saturday: 12091/284179

T-32 Sunday: 3930/282093

 

Numbers from a few hours ago

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Despicable Me 4

T-8 Wednesday: 2526/230098

T-9 Thursday: 745/229845

T-10 Friday: 764/235194

T-11 Saturday: 1355/238202

MTC4 Despicable Me 4

T-7 Wednesday: 3059/230098

T-8 Thursday: 980/229845

T-9 Friday: 962/235194

T-10 Saturday: 1494/238202

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 A Quiet Place Day One

T-2 Thursday: 1732/85461

T-3 Friday: 2743/142506

T-4 Saturday: 1217/157746

T-5 Sunday: 573/156530

MTC4 A Quiet Place Day One

T-1 Thursday: 2453/84274

T-2 Friday: 4215/191771

T-3 Saturday: 1877/197364

T-4 Sunday: 823/192774

[Joyous Legion]

1 hour ago, Migs20242 said:

Deadpool and Wolverine presales is not on the level of Infinity War and No Way Home.

Yeah, not even on the level of DS2. It’s going to play well below the limits of the R rating so not much need to worry what those are

[Insomnia]

Question for you guys, figured this was the best place to put it:

 

What site is more accurate for all time worldwide numbers, BOM or The Numbers? Some of these figures are drastically different. 

[keysersoze123]

On 6/23/2024 at 4:24 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1

Previews - 185739/1277875 3435488.37 7846 shows +3253

Friday - 85104/1485994 1622871.43 8272 shows +2251

 

+3 days of the sale. 

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1

Previews(T-29) - 189458/1278598 3499594.54 7852 shows +3719

Friday - 87350/1486766 1663495.89 8277 shows +2246

 

3 days plus several  hours(previews just wrapped up). Fan shows are at (26483/31032 447730.77 165 shows) which is part of previews above. I will call it out as its just MTC1. FYI DS2 started its sales on this equivalent day and already sold 231K 🙂