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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am comping with Mario and how crazy final few days were for it. 

 

Final 6 days including walkups for Mario. Mario did 35m OD. Its currently at 1/3 the today with pace at slightly above half. I was just extrapolating if it maintains that through out. But final day walkups could be like 80% of mario. Then it can get around 23-25m OD

 

12,420
15,148
24,752
41,912
85,290
2330,00

Maybe MI7 could be a good comp , ok it's not a family movie but it opened in Wednesday and made 78M 5 Days .

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9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

MI7 opened on discount tuesday with significant early shows on Sunday and Monday. So I dont think they are comparable. 

Ok and Ninja Turtles is too low . Maybe the last two days could be compare at IO2 but DM4 has discount Tuesday the last final day to boost so it's really complicated to compare . Even with Mario which had excellent jump in the finish line ( and incredible boost for the Friday ) and i don't know if DM4 could replicate this.

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44 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:

Ok and Ninja Turtles is too low . Maybe the last two days could be compare at IO2 but DM4 has discount Tuesday the last final day to boost so it's really complicated to compare . Even with Mario which had excellent jump in the finish line ( and incredible boost for the Friday ) and i don't know if DM4 could replicate this.

My concern comparing even with Inside Out2 is that Inside Out 2 had significant Previews also soaking up the demand while DM4 is almost all OD(it has 75 midnight shows where I am tracking and its not a midnight movie for sure). That is why I am comping with Mario which had similar release and once you hit the release day the fact that Mario was more fan driven should not matter. 

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I count roughly 60-80 tickets sold for each of those showings.

 

Did overestimate Bikeriders based on that theater so not sure if I should read much into it. Valley View and Cuyahoga Falls have each sold roughly 50 total for the rest of the day.

 

 

Edited by AniNate
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20 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Horizon 1-Hr Jax 5 16 34 170 1,501 11.33%
    Phx 6 17 11 90 1,921 4.69%
    Ral 8 18 49 151 1,428 10.57%
  Total   19 51 94 411 4,850 8.47%
Quiet Place 3 1-Hr Jax 6 60 427 1,065 9,942 10.71%
    Phx 7 55 264 982 8,453 11.62%
    Ral 9 59 333 833 7,967 10.46%
  Total   22 174 1,024 2,880 26,362 10.92%

 

Really solid final day.  Should clear 6m pretty easily and honestly 7m wouldn't surprise me.   At the risk of causing overreactions and disappointment, I'll go with 6.8m for my prediction

 

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d5e3e2e-386d2b73-c603-41e3-975a-1ef865f6

 

 

 

Xyv4YU.gif

 

WELL DONE, @katnisscinnaplex!!! 👍 

(and, I'd say, the Tracking Team overall, almost all of us captured the movement if not the exact number)

((can't find my usual copy of the Brave Bullseye gif, so this will have to do))

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Chicago Alamo Theater

 

A Quiet Place: Day 1 Sold Amount Percent Sold
Friday 175 309 56.6%
Saturday 153 309 49.5%
Sunday (Chicago Pride) 48 309 15.5%
MaXXXine Sold Amount Percent Sold
Wednesday EA 65 65 100.0%
Friday 159 401 39.7%
Saturday 100 401 24.9%
Sunday 80 401 20.0%
Longlegs Sold Amount Percent Sold
Thursday 94 204 46.1%
Friday 55 204 27.0%
Saturday 40 204 19.6%
Sunday 18 204 8.8%
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On 6/23/2024 at 8:50 PM, Flip said:

Twisters (T-25)

 

14 showtimes/48 tix sold (+2)

 

still hasn’t reached AQP’s first day of sales yet. Sold 2 tickets in the last 5 days.

Twisters (T-20) 5 days of sales

 

14 showtimes/59 tix sold (+11)

 


still hasn’t reached AQP’s first day of sales yet, but I think it’s slowly starting to accelerate

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On 6/25/2024 at 11:24 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 5955/39634 91217.99 347 shows 

OD(7/5) - 6484/150838 92004.22 1554 shows

 

Its have not a typical release. i see early shows across multiple days depending on the TC. No previews and its releasing next friday. Early numbers are at least way stronger than what we are seeing for say Horizon this week 🙂 Not sure what to expect @charlie Jatinder

Maxxxine MTC1

Early shows(7/3) - 7917/39650 120221.99 348 shows +1962

OD(7/5) - 8886/153870 126404.22 1595 shows +2402

 

3 days plus update. Its doing ok. @charlie Jatinder

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On 6/26/2024 at 8:14 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

ORLANDO

 

Deadpool x Wolverine 

 

Thursday 

 

T-30

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

226

7281

42042

17.3%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE T-65

2333

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-30

(1.941x) of GOTG$33.96M


Hit the 7k target I set a few weeks ago. Amazing growth considering we still have 4 weeks left. I'm sticking with a way too early $35M+ number 

ORLANDO

 

Deadpool x Wolverine 

 

Thursday 

 

T-27

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

226

7962

42042

18.9%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

71

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-27

(1.987x) of GOTG$34.76M


Next target is 8.5k tickets sold by T-20 to keep up pace with mid $30Ms

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Gonna be curious to see if there is a bump today/tomorrow for DP3 given the increased promotion (new poster yesterday, new teaser today).  Might not be that much new footage on the teaser, but what there was is the type that should drive discussion/interest.

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49 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Gonna be curious to see if there is a bump today/tomorrow for DP3 given the increased promotion (new poster yesterday, new teaser today).  Might not be that much new footage on the teaser, but what there was is the type that should drive discussion/interest.

Have poster/teaser ever had significant bumps. I think there is one more trailer for this right. We haven't had any that says its the "final trailer". That should help with the bump. Then the cast/crew will go on late night talk shows and that should help up the ante. Reviews/Reactions are too late. That is just final few days which anyway would be at high levels. 

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18 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-28 Thursday: 26525/207557

T-29 Friday: 16797/271893

T-30 Saturday: 12297/284179

T-31 Sunday: 4016/282093

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-27 Thursday: 26796/207530

T-28 Friday: 17165/273353

T-29 Saturday: 12601/286142

T-30 Sunday: 4110/284048

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On 6/26/2024 at 9:05 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1

Previews(T-29) - 189458/1278598 3499594.54 7852 shows +3719

Friday - 87350/1486766 1663495.89 8277 shows +2246

 

3 days plus several  hours(previews just wrapped up). Fan shows are at (26483/31032 447730.77 165 shows) which is part of previews above. I will call it out as its just MTC1. FYI DS2 started its sales on this equivalent day and already sold 231K 🙂 

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-27) - 192508/1279358 3551300.44 7857 shows +3050

 

may be there was a small bump today. I will look at Friday once a week or so. Its moving slower anyway for now. 

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