Weekend Thread 7/28-7/30 - Barbenheimer Week 2; Barbie 93M/Oppy 46.2M - Haunted Mansion & Talk to Me OW; Mansion 24.2M, Talk 10M

[kayumanggi]

2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

 

Had a tiny drop again. This is doing its own thing amidst Barbenheimer. 😂

 

 

[excel1]

1 hour ago, Arlborn said:

One could say it’s the best blockbuster casting since…. Barbie?

 

It is often hyperbolic exaggeration but yeah, Robbie and gosling casting played a massive role in Barbie release buzz exploding to the historic extent that it did. 

 

1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

 

 

Barbie saving American filmmaking in Chinese cinema 

[kayumanggi]

 

[DAJK]

Man, Mission Impossible numbers are just DEPRESSING

[Gavin Feng]

Where is my worldwide report for Barbie? Is Zaslav fucking dead after seeing those crazy numbers?

[reddevil19]

7 minutes ago, BoxOfficeFangrl said:

 

 

I'm surprised that IMAX isn't a bigger part of Oppenheimer's gross, especially domestically. The movie is enjoyable without it but the IMAX run gets the most attention.

There's only so many screens...

[M37]

9 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

What would a reasonable range for Barbie 2nd Monday look like? I was thinking something like 13-16m?

The Crawdads daily pattern comp seems to be holding fairly well, so a -57% from Sat to Mon would be right around $15M, might still be some excess demand to meet, so $15-$16M would be my range 

[WorkingonaName]

The Zazzer is probably having a mad cocaine binge RN, god bless him. 

[excel1]

24 minutes ago, MrPink said:

The OS drop for Oppenheimer is insane, really could be looking at 800m WW…

 

Nolan MUST be serious take on PEARL HARBOR or D-DAY next. My god, the European grosses for one on those films!

[TheFlatLannister]

1 hour ago, WorkingonaName said:

2024 preicts

 

1. Joker 2: $1.1B

2. Wicked: 900M

3. DM4: $850M

4. GVK: $750M

5. Deadpool 3: $750M

6. Inside Out 2: $750M

7. Dead Reckoning 2: $700M

8. Kung Fu Panda 4: $650M

9. Gladiator 2: $600M

10. IF: $500M

11. Mickey-17: $500M

 

Last 3 are complete wildcards. 

 

Deadpool 3 having no growth from the previous ones makes no sense when accounting for inflation, MCU connection, and Hugh Jackman 

[baumer]

38 minutes ago, wildphantom said:

In all seriousness I’m still looking forward to seeing Mansion. The ride is one of my all-time favourites so there’s bound to be stuff in it that’ll make it worth the trip. 
 

 

 

Not that I know your taste in film but I really enjoyed it. There's a lot of comedy in it too and there's some really good stories and sub plots and so on.

[Mr Roark]

I’m still not sold over Oppie going over $800M worldwide.

I’m waiting to see how it will perform once the Barbenheimer mania is over.

If it manages to get there it would be the most incredible achievement post COVID-19 IMO.

[John Marston]

5 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Man, Mission Impossible numbers are just DEPRESSING

 

 

think Part 2 will definitely be the last one. Hope it can go out on a high note

[kayumanggi]

 

Edited July 30, 2023 by kayumanggi

[Mr Roark]

2 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

Nolan MUST be serious take on PEARL HARBOR or D-DAY next. My god, the European grosses for one on those films!

A Nolan 007 will likely make $200M in the UK alone.

[Mau]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

Apparently, according to friends who've seen it, Haunted Mansion did try to make back some of its budget with the most egregious product placements found in recent movies...so there's that...

 

 

Oh this is so true! There are many brands mentioned 

[kayumanggi]

8 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Had a tiny drop again. This is doing its own thing amidst Barbenheimer. 😂

 

 

 

From ERC:

 

Germany saw a +36% increase, Czech Republic +16%, Belgium +14% and France +9%

[MikeQ]

Beautiful drops for both Barbie and Oppenheimer.

For Barbie, what an exceptional drop for its size - when looking at $100M Friday openers that weren't cushioned by a holiday second weekend, she is among the best, especially for today.

 

Best Second Weekend Drops for 100M+ Friday Openers without Holiday Second Weekend:

1. Top Gun: Maverick (2022): -28.9%
2. Spider-Man (2002): -37.8%
3. The Jungle Book (2016): -40.4%
4. Barbie (2023): -42.6%
5. Wonder Woman (2017): -43.3%
6. Black Panther (2018): -44.7%
7. Finding Dory (2016): -46.0%
8. Alice in Wonderland (2010): -46.0%
9. Toy Story 3 (2010): -46.2%
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (2023): -47.6%
11. Beauty and the Beast (2017): -48.3%
12. Jurassic World (2015): -49.0%*
13. The Avengers (2012): -50.3%
14. The Batman (2022): -50.4%
15. Toy Story 4 (2019): -50.6%^
16. It (2017): -51.3%
17. The Secret Life of Pets (2016): -51.3%
18. The Dark Knight (2008): -52.5%
19. Thor: Ragnarok (2017): -53.5%

 

*2nd weekend was not technically a holiday weekend, but it did benefit significantly from Father’s Day (almost flat on Sunday)

^2nd weekend wasn’t a holiday weekend for US/NA, but it was for CANADA (Canada Day weekend arguably boosted its Sunday gross)

 

If we expand this list to 60M+ openers, we see that Oppenheimer is also among the best second weekend drops for a film of its size. Notice that most of the films on the list below are animated family films and/or of an earlier era of box office when Thursday previews were not as dominant or did not exist (and therefore second weekend drops naturally weren’t as hefty). A -44% drop in this day and age, for a live-action film, is excellent. It may jump into the top 15 if its Sunday drop is overestimated, which I think could be the case.

 

Best Second Weekend Drops for 60M+ Friday Openers without Holiday Second Weekend:

1. Monsters Inc (2001): -27.2%
2. American Sniper (2014): -27.6%
3. The Incredibles (2004): - 28.7%
4. Top Gun: Maverick (2022): -28.9%
5. Zootopia (2016): -31.6%
6. Inception (2010): -32.0%
7. Finding Nemo (2003): -33.7%
8. Up (2009): -35.2%
9. The Passion of the Christ (2004): -36.5%
10. Spider-Man (2002): -37.8%
11. The Jungle Book (2016): -40.4%
12. Inside Out (2015) -42.1%
13. Mission: Impossible - Fallout (2018): -42.3%
14. Barbie (2023): -42.6%
15. The Grinch (2018): -42.9%
16. Wonder Woman (2017): -43.3%
17. Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted (2012): -43.5%
18. Cars (2006): -43.9%
19. Oppenheimer (2023): -44.0% 
20. Kung Fu Panda (2008): -44.2%

Peace,

Mike

Edited July 30, 2023 by MikeQ

[Cmasterclay]

Last night I had a dream that I went to a test screening of Napoleon and it was really bad. Felt real tbh

[John Marston]