Weekday numbers 7-31 to 8-3

[M37]

56 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Yeah TGMs late legs are a different beast.

 

57 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

It seemed like Avatar 2 was gonna beat it for a while after it had a big lead out of the holidays but it still ended up $35m short.

 

59 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Barbie needs to amass a BIG lead before the school holidays finish to have a chance at beating it.

 

TGM's multiplier from its 3rd week was 3.76x, on par with the original Avatar and Greatest Showman, two of the most insanely leggy runs of the last 20 years (also Puss in Boots this year was 3.68x). Not much else is in that class, certainly not at this grossing scale and TGM should not be used as a comp or target - its a unicorn, and should be treated as such. An average performance is around 2x, and even big leggers like Avengers, Dark Knight & Avatar 2 all fell in the 2.8-3.0x range.

 

A $90M third week for Barbie and 3x would be about ~$680M total, and that's already going to be fairly close to the ceiling, a big stretch to even put $700M in play. Would think a similar run to Dark Knight from here, so 2.8x off that estimate $90M+3rd week would be right around $650M (meaning Jurassic World better watch out @Brainbug)

[upriser7]

I forgot that no notable movie in releasing on August 11th...holdovers should see a very good drop that weekend

[Shawn Robbins]

TMNT 10.2 (6.35 true Wed)

[kayumanggi]

 

[CJohn]

25 minutes ago, Shawn said:

TMNT 10.2 (6.35 true Wed)

50M 5 days here we go.

[M37]

To put these multiplier numbers in a more digestible context comparable to present, here is how some of the top grossing films performed from week 3 through week 10, typically before theater count drops became a limiting factor

Title	Week 3	Week 10	Avg Drop
Titanic	$45.01	$25.83	-8.8%
TGM	$78.82	$13.58	-22.2%
Avatar	$96.92	$21.18	-22.4%
NWH	$78.16	$11.20	-27.7%
Dark Knight	$64.43	$3.84	-33.2%
Avatar 2	$113.67	$9.73	-33.6%
Black Panther	$85.48	$7.19	-33.8%
Avengers	$74.66	$3.30	-36.0%
Force Awakens	$118.41	$5.20	-36.0%
Infinity War	$80.35	$2.85	-37.9%
Jurassic World	$81.46	$1.89	-41.6%
Endgame	$80.95	$3.17	-41.7%

for Endgame used through week 9 due to FFH (Drive in?) bump in week 10

 

LOL at Titanic, and NWH likely had some COVID delayed demand (and utter lack of competition) helping its run. But overall gives a decent big picture view of legs in terms of weekend/weekly holds. 

 

Expecting Barbie to fall more in the Dark Knight to Infinity War range (33 to 38% drops weekly) given how daily numbers are trending, which again would be a bit below a 3x multi from the third week gross

[CJohn]

@MCKillswitch123 MEG and Por do Sol sold out everywhere. Insane weekend ahead. Absoluty insane. Top 6 might be all over 20.000 tickets sold. Theaters struggling with space.

 

TMNT and GT are ultra wide next weekend which means Elemental and MI will have to leave some places while selling out shows.

[Dragoncaine]

20 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Fuck yeah.  Now we just need the Blue Beetle Battalion to rise up 😅

[Brainbug]

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

50M 5 days here we go.

 

Cinema is FEASTING

 

And it needs that summer fat for the coming desert that is the Fall.

[Borobudur]

Can they do a double feature between TMNT with MI7 to save MI7?

[Gavin Feng]

 

 

[vale9001]

Barbie total 685M

Barbie Karaoke's version 40M 

 

total 725

Top Gun 2 718

Edited August 3, 2023 by vale9001

[LonePirate]

49 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

Now we just need the Blue Beetle Battalion to rise up 😅

Can you really call five people a battalion?

[CJohn]

MEG 2 bigger than the first in France.

 

Silly America once again failing the real cinema.

[kayumanggi]

Mind his roundings.

[kayumanggi]

 

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

 

Hey on the bright side, it can only get better from there!

[kayumanggi]

 

[JustLurking]

5 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Hey on the bright side, it can only get better from there!