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kayumanggi

DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE

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4 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Missed Saturday Projection 

 

$46M Full Run Forecast 

Absolutely shit performance, no way going around it. With the WOM it should have done 60M. Disappointed but not surprised. 

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1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

Missed Saturday Projection 

 

$46M Full Run Forecast 

Weird that with a strong WOM its not breaking out similar to Guardians. Anyway its doing great in most places. 650m+ in OS is crazy good for a SH movie these days. 

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Just now, keysersoze123 said:

Weird that with a strong WOM its not breaking out similar to Guardians. Anyway its doing great in most places. 650m+ in OS is crazy good for a SH movie these days. 

Especially without a massive gross in China.

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from Bluebomb@KJ on HK. Another market where its not uber breakout. 

 

 

Quote

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - HK$30,043,010 (US$3,817,323) opening weekend/HK$65,484,607 total (US$8,320,602)
Thor: Love and Thunder - HK$24,670,446 (US$3,134,675) opening weekend/HK$48,568,367 (US$6,171,191)
Deadpool - HK$28,930,446 (US$3,675,958) opening weekend/HK$58,000,805 total (US$7,369,695)
Deadpool 2 - HK$26,116,168 (US$3,318,371) opening weekend/HK$54,597,460 total (US$6,937,259), 668,740 admissions

Deadpool & Wolverine broke the R-rated opening day record in Hong Kong set by Deadpool back in 2016. It made above $600,000 on Wednesday (around $630,000). It is aiming for about a 3.2m OW, which would be above Thor: Love and Thunder's opening weekend but below everything else.

Breakdown:
Wednesday - $630,000
Thursday - $375,000
Friday - $490,000
Saturday - $860,000
Sunday - $845,000
5-day opening weekend total - $3,200,000

In gross, that is decent. It has a shot to make 7m total, however, the Deadpool franchise is known to be very frontloaded. I think 6m is a lock though.


 

 

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1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

Latin America and expanding territories in Asia should be the focus of Hollywood now and not China.

 

The exponential growth phase for China BO is over, not only Hollywood is suffering from that diminishing, even local film should start feeling the contraction soon. Their population is aging where faster than any comparable economics. 

 

20 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Weird that with a strong WOM its not breaking out similar to Guardians. Anyway its doing great in most places. 650m+ in OS is crazy good for a SH movie these days. 

 

From my experience, I would say GOTG3 has a higher appeal to casual moviegoers. I heard more people talking about GOTG3 than NWH although I must say the talk for NWH is a lot more passionate. 

 

GOTG3's WOM was spreading beyond core fanbase group. The mostly standalone story without tedious interconnected map, plus an highly accessible movie about animal testing will put the movie in casual audience mouth more. So far DW's word of mouth on the street is similar to NWH, very passionate positive but they aren't as transcending. 

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China is gone case. I have started to simply ignore it.

There is something extraordinary/despicable that happened in 2022 which changed market. It was fine until then. Hollywood is faring worse than animes ffs when in 2019 those would be a blip on radar.

Re-release of Your Name did ~$12M last weekend while DP3 will barely do double of that. Back in 2019 we would be looking at near $100M weekend for DP3.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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43 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

China is gone case. I have started to simply ignore it.

There is something extraordinary/despicable that happened in 2022 which changed market. It was fine until then. Hollywood is faring worse than animes ffs when in 2019 those would be a blip on radar.

Re-release of Your Name did ~$12M last weekend while DP3 will barely do double of that. Back in 2019 we would be looking at near $100M weekend for DP3.

This year has been fairly better than last year

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57 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

There is something extraordinary/despicable that happened in 2022 which changed market. It was fine until then. Hollywood is faring worse than animes ffs when in 2019 those would be a blip on radar.

I love these changes. We have now three films over $100M in Mainland China. Something that North America can't give us

 

There will be a time.. when Hollywood films be faring lesser than Anime WW... Eagerly Waiting for that specific day ;)

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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

China is gone case. I have started to simply ignore it.

There is something extraordinary/despicable that happened in 2022 which changed market. It was fine until then. Hollywood is faring worse than animes ffs when in 2019 those would be a blip on radar.

Re-release of Your Name did ~$12M last weekend while DP3 will barely do double of that. Back in 2019 we would be looking at near $100M weekend for DP3.

US/China relationship is at nadir and I think that is pushing the chinese audience to support other international movies over hollywood. Plus domestic movies are getting better in regards to technical values and its easy to connect emotionally with movies made locally. 

 

I still expect some hollywood movie to hit 2B Yuan sometime in next 2-3 years. Not sure what it would be but it will happen. 

 

I wonder if @Olive or @Gavin Feng have something to say on this?

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12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

US/China relationship is at nadir and I think that is pushing the chinese audience to support other international movies over hollywood. Plus domestic movies are getting better in regards to technical values and its easy to connect emotionally with movies made locally. 

 

I still expect some hollywood movie to hit 2B Yuan sometime in next 2-3 years. Not sure what it would be but it will happen. 

 

I wonder if @Olive or @Gavin Feng have something to say on this?

 

 

China BO was so a big market so naturally that caught more attention but if people deep dive the figure further, one should realise the "problem" is actually wide spreading across Asia. Hollywood simply command less power that it used to enjoy.

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If People actually start supporting their Local Industry then Hollywood is never going to a dominant in Asia 

 

Lahn Mah (Thailand)

MAI (Vietnam)

Dark Mother (Cambodia)

Rewind (Philippines)

Mat Kilau (Malaysia)

Money No Enough 3 (Singapore)

Man in love (Taiwan)

KGF Chapter 2 (India)

Roundup 2 (Korea)

Twilight (Hong Kong)

Demon Slayer (Japan)

.... So on 

 

Are Post-CoVid-19 Biggest Local Blockbuster in their respective countries 

 

I think now except for Philippines.. all countries are extremely supportive of their local industry 

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34 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I still expect some hollywood movie to hit 2B Yuan sometime in next 2-3 years. Not sure what it would be but it will happen. 

Even before the shift in Chinese moviegoing, it was often random which movie would be huge in China. Case in point, Zootopia. But now that the audience is less inclined to go to Hollywood movies, I don't think these surprises will happen as often. Maybe not at all.

 

I mean if even Avatar 2 can't get to 2 billion Yuan, what can?

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