Dune 2 Opening Weekend Thread [3/01/24 -3/03/24] [82.5m DOM OW]

[WorkingonaName]

2 hours ago, TJ327 said:

- Children of Men

- The Shape of Water

- Pacific Rim

A movie doesn’t need to gross a billion to be culturally impactful. Hell it doesn’t even need to be profitable initially. Blade Runner is one of the most impactful sci-fi films of all time and it BARELY limped to a small profit in the 80s.

No one cares about Shape of Water. 

[redfirebird2008]

35 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

Marvel films are not backloaded on OW

 

For many years they were. Take a look at films like Spider-Man 3 in 2007, Avengers in 2012, Iron Man 3 in 2013, Captain America: Civil War in 2016. There are plenty of others with similar performance in terms of backloaded huge opening weekends. And many of them ended up with pretty weak multipliers across their full box office run. 

 

Hell, even Avengers: Endgame had a pretty backloaded opening weekend compared to the final Harry Potter film. If Endgame had the type of "preview" frontloading of Harry Potter where the previews accounted for almost 26% of the weekend total, Endgame would have made $92 million in preview money instead of $60 million. 

Edited March 4 by redfirebird2008

[leoh]

 

Dune Part Two actuals (finally reported):

Warner Bros this Morning estimate was 1 million above the actual BO.

 

TOTAL actual opening weekend:

81,505,391

 

FRIDAY: 32,211,366

SATURDAY: 27,718,894

SUNDAY: 21,575,131

 

 

@M37 2.7x seems to be ok because Dune 2 made 27.7 million Saturday against a 10M on Thursday reported by WB.

 

@charlie Jatinder was right about Dune over performing on Saturday yet the actuals brought up something a bit lower. Dune made 27,718,894 on its first Saturday.

[KP1025]

So pretty much no change from the original weekend estimate by WB. 

[leoh]

3 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

So pretty much no change from the original weekend estimate by WB. 

basically 1 million less than what WB reported this morning.

[ThomasNicole]

47 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:

No one cares about Shape of Water. 

It’s actually one of the most succesful BP winner of the past decade, not only critically but also financially. 
 

This whole cultural impact is such a boring discussion especially when it’s about non-blockbuster movies because it’s all subjective. There’s hardly any way to measure these things. 

[redfirebird2008]

So now we have the actuals. It jumped 42% on Saturday and dropped 25% on Sunday. That Sunday number is pretty strong considering it jumped by such a huge amount on Saturday. The Sunday number was almost $1.4 million larger than the "true" Friday number. Pretty damn good. It will be interesting to watch the rest of the film's run. 

Edited March 5 by redfirebird2008

[Firepower]

That was one shady estimate.

[excel1]

20 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

The entire movie is basically action lol. And you've never been right a about what audiences think about a movie. Wrong this time too.

 

Child please. It has been a while, I will concede that, but the bolded is crazy.

 

 

19 hours ago, JustLurking said:

Holy shit man, it's ok to be in the minority opinion on disliking a film. There is no grand conspiracy of Dune haters pretending to like it to look deep. Even great films don't click with everyone, just move on to the next one.

 

The movie just came out, I threw my two cents into the active discussion about the films quality, no greater or lesser than anyone else opinion here.  

 

16 hours ago, WorkingonaName said:

Timothe chalment looks and acts like a store mannequin. 

 

A pole, stick skinny version. His fight scenes are ridiculous, Butler would have been a much better choice for Paul.

 

15 hours ago, Krissykins said:

I’m surprised with Pugh/Zendaya/Butler/Timothee doing all the press that it didn’t have bigger number of 18-24 audience. 

 

Zendaya is by far the most influential of those 4, TC a distant second, and FP/AB do not have of a fanbase. 

[excel1]

14 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

So now that we have the actuals. It jumped 37% on Saturday and dropped 22% on Sunday. That Sunday number is pretty strong considering it jumped by such a huge amount on Saturday. The Sunday number was almost $1.4 million larger than the "true" Friday number. Pretty damn good. It will be interesting to watch the rest of the film's run. 

 

This is obviously a strong IM. "THIS IS CINEMA" has become a gigantic and legitimate box office draw with the improved screen quality option available.

[M37]

Edit: typo, disregard 

Edited March 5 by M37

[leoh]

1 minute ago, M37 said:

Huh. Dune’s Sat actual is over a million below the estimate ($28.85 vs $28.7). Been some odd numbers WB reported with this one … 
 

Did get a -22% Sunday though 

sure! And Numbers for International box office were wrong as well:

 

Internationally, box office was 99,820,000 instead 100,005,000

 

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Dune-Part-Two-(2024)#tab=box-office

[MovieMagic]

59 minutes ago, leoh said:

 

Dune Part Two actuals (finally reported):

Warner Bros this Morning estimate was 1 million above the actual BO.

 

TOTAL actual opening weekend:

81,505,391

 

FRIDAY: 32,211,366

SATURDAY: 27,718,894

SUNDAY: 21,575,131

 

 

@M37 2.7x seems to be ok because Dune 2 made 27.7 million Saturday against a 10M on Thursday reported by WB.

 

@charlie Jatinder was right about Dune over performing on Saturday yet the actuals brought up something a bit lower. Dune made 27,718,894 on its first Saturday.

I’m seeing Gitesh and ERC saying the actual was  82,505,391.

 

 

[redfirebird2008]

2 minutes ago, M37 said:

Huh. Dune’s Sat actual is more than a million below the estimate ($28.85 vs $28.7). Been some odd numbers WB reported with this one… 
 

Did get a -22% Sunday though 

 

27.7 for Saturday. Not sure what happened on that 28.8 estimate. Regardless, the movie increased by 37% from true Friday. Pretty impressive jump IMHO. 

[Bob Train]

2 minutes ago, MovieMagic said:

I’m seeing Gitesh and ERC saying the actual was  82,505,391.

 

 

Likely a typo from the Numbers then. I can't see the revised estimates be off by that much.

Edited March 5 by Bob Train

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, Bob Train said:

Likely a typo from the Numbers then. I can't see the revised estimates be off by that much.

 

Pretty weird, lol

[keysersoze123]

Unlikely that Saturday could be off that much.

[leoh]

5 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Pretty weird, lol

well Paramount reported 600k wrongly on One Love opening weekend, helping it to getting 50M denied by actuals 

Edited March 5 by leoh

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, leoh said:

well Paramount reported 600k wrongly on they One Love opening weekend, helping it to getting 50M denied by actuals 

 

Paramount used some fudge in Puerto Rico to increase Transformers 2's actual number from $198M to $200M so they could brag about how it was the 2nd movie ever to get $200M in 5 days. This was after they had reported actual numbers for all 5 days, lol 

[leoh]

Just now, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Paramount used some fudge in Puerto Rico to increase Transformers 2's actual number from $198M to $200M so they could brag about how it was the 2nd movie ever to get $200M in 5 days. This was after they had reported actual numbers for all 5 days, lol 

yeah studios are always doing things like that to get the right headlines on the following they.

 

btw the international OW is also wrong. It was 99,783,744

 

warner bros was like “nah let’s make up it was 100M, we can’t miss those headlines” lol