Weekend Thread | October 18-20 | 23M SMILE | 9.3M TERRIFIER

[Grand Cine]

The Continuation of Great hold continues with BeetleJuice 2 , 1,38M for Friday (-30%).

 

End of the story in the top 10 this weekend .

[John Marston]

Glad Smile recovered a a bit. Guessing looking like more of the same and Terrifier 3 opening a week before hurt it a bit. 

[M37]

2 hours ago, MightyDargon said:

Gotta start somewhere. Obviously something like Deadpool 3 or Beetlejuice 2 would be a bad place to send a message but these lovely new hyperwarp IMAX 3D Dolby whatever theaters desperately need content that's not a literal corpse like Joker 2. 3 weeks guaranteed is idiotic.

Ok, once again, IMAX is its own brand, and has final say on what plays in those auditoriums. Studios negotiate with IMAX for placement, and theaters are required to honor those contracts as part of their lease agreement having an IMAX branded auditorium. It’s also why there are no multi-screen IMAX locations, even as demand has out-run supply post-pandemic 

 

(this also is why MTCs have been working to build up their in-house PLF brands, of which AMC’s Dolby is the most successful, because they then have final say on what plays there)

[M37]

Joker’s third weekend netted over $29M

 

The sequel’s 3rd outing looks to make less than 10% of that figure 

[wattage]

Waiting on that Deadline top 10 we'll be getting later. I said 10.1-10.2 and 9.8-10 for Wild Robot and Terrifier yesterday. I think both should come out on the high end of those guesses if not a bit higher. 

Edited Saturday at 03:16 PM by wattage

[Grand Cine]

Incredible average for Anora : Deadline says 105K per locations so 630K in total. Second best average of the decade after Asteroid City

[Grand Cine]

PostTrack for Smile 2 :

 

3 Stars

Men Over 25 : 31%

Women Over 25 and Men under 25 : 24%

Women under 25 : 22%

 

55% over 25 and Men, 18-34 : 70%

 

35% Caucasian , 33% Hispanic , 15% Black , 11% Asian .

 

Comparaison for the first one : 52% Over 25 , 53% Men ; 18-34 : 73% ; 32% Caucasian , 32% Hispanic, 20% Black , 9% Asian and 8% Other

Edited Saturday at 03:15 PM by Grand Cine

[WebSurfer]

 

Hm, looks like it's pretty much dead domestically. Guess international will be what carries it from here on out.

[filmlover]

Will Joker ever see a drop less than 65%? I'm guessing no with how quickly theaters will continue to drop it.

 

Good weekend otherwise though! Smile 2 will open similar to the first one, Terrifier's drop is acceptable, The Wild Robot and Beetlejuice are hanging in there still, We Live in Time expanded well, and Anora off to an explosive start in limited release. Can never have enough weekends like this.

[Grand Cine]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Will Joker ever see a drop less than 65%? I'm guessing no with how quickly theaters will continue to drop it.

 

Good weekend otherwise though! Smile 2 will open similar to the first one, Terrifier's drop is acceptable, The Wild Robot and Beetlejuice are hanging in there still, We Live in Time expanded well, and Anora off to an explosive start in limited release. Can never have enough weekends like this.

Yes , it happens but in 12th Weekend with 70% drop ( for 141K$ with 201 locations ) 🤣. For me , the Terrifier 3 drop is great for this genre ( less than 50% drop) and even more with a new horror movie opening

[Gavin Feng]

 

[wattage]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Will Joker ever see a drop less than 65%? I'm guessing no with how quickly theaters will continue to drop it.

 

Good weekend otherwise though! Smile 2 will open similar to the first one, Terrifier's drop is acceptable, The Wild Robot and Beetlejuice are hanging in there still, We Live in Time expanded well, and Anora off to an explosive start in limited release. Can never have enough weekends like this.

To your first point: Maybe it can manage lower than that if it's hanging around in enough theaters in early November. Big if. 

 

Second point: yeah it's a nice weekend overall, ignoring the Joker sized stinker sitting in the far back corner. Hopefully next weekend is another one with the expansions to come on the smaller films and Venom coming out. 

[LonePirate]

 

If Gitesh's estimate of $300K for Anora on Friday is anywhere near actuals, it will earn closer to $1M for the weekend than $700K. Definitely an outstanding opening. The rollout will be interesting to follow if only to see if this film can transform from an arthouse caterpillar to a mainstream butterfly.

 

[JonathanMB]

8 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

 

Only the second post-COVID $100k+ PTA after Asteroid City. It has a good shot at cracking the top 10 next weekend depending on how many cities it expands to. Hoping NEON has a healthy expansion plan for November, I think it's gonna have a nice leggy run.

[HummingLemon496]

Joker will be at ~56.262M by the end of the weekend. Finish around ~58-58.5M is my guess.

 

200M WW is a coinflip at this point

Edited Saturday at 03:39 PM by HummingLemon496

[AN9815]

So does Terrifier 3 have a chance to gross more than Joker 2 domestically? Insane if you had asked anyone this question at the beginning of the year.

[Jake Gittes]

14 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

 

If Gitesh's estimate of $300K for Anora on Friday is anywhere near actuals, it will earn closer to $1M for the weekend than $700K. Definitely an outstanding opening. The rollout will be interesting to follow if only to see if this film can transform from an arthouse caterpillar to a mainstream butterfly.

 

 

These platform openings of cinephile event movies have been getting very frontloaded the past few years. Asteroid City, Poor Things and EEAAO all made over 40% of their opening weekend gross on Friday. 

[filmlover]

Number of theaters have Anora showtimes up for November 1 so looks like it's getting a pretty solid expansion of a couple hundred theaters that weekend. Seems like its best chance at making the top 5? Since it's going to be a dead weekend anyway (Here being the only truly high-profile release for that frame).

[AniNate]

Cloudy unadjusted looking like the worst-case finish for Wild Robot at this point. Next week though is when it really ought to start reaping the benefits of a lack of competition if it proves to be a factor. Cloudy dropped 40% for the week against the Where the Wild Things Are opening and then lost pretty much all its theaters when A Christmas Carol opened. I feel like logically TWR ought to be able to get closer to 135-140m.

 

[Eric is Smiling]

Still not trusting anything with We Live or Anora just yet in terms of being a breakout. But hey, at least for the latter, it should hopefully get into Neon’s top 5 all-time grossers, unless things are catastrophic. So good on it and Sean Baker. Excited to see the movie when it comes to my area.