JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[LPLC]

What are you expecting for Demon Slayer for this week end ? Around $20M again ?

[Cooper Legion]

I think it can hit 25, but that’s a bit aggressive. 22-23 if you’re feeling more conservative.

[Cooper Legion]

Has WorldofKJ been down today for anybody else?

[charlie Jatinder]

Seems like 150k usual locations. That will give 215k overall. 

 

In gross around -55% last week. 

 

Unless ofcourse there's an error.

[charlie Jatinder]

WTF. That much wrong. 268k outta nowhere.

Week 0 - ¥1.269Bn

Week 1 - ¥6.444Bn

Week 2 - ¥5.455Bn (-15.4%)

 

Total - ¥13.168Bn or $125.4mn 

 

Spoiler

Day	Date	Daily	To Date	% +/- YD / LW*		Daily in $	To Date in $	Day
Fri	16 Oct 20	¥1,268,725,000	¥1,268,725,000			$12,037,200	$12,037,200	1
Sat	17 Oct 20	¥1,701,723,000	¥2,970,448,000			$16,145,400	$28,182,600	2
Sun	18 Oct 20	¥1,652,670,000	¥4,623,118,000	-2.88%		$15,680,000	$43,862,600	3
Mon	19 Oct 20	¥765,350,000	¥5,388,468,000	-53.69%		$7,254,500	$51,117,100	4
Tue	20 Oct 20	¥548,475,000	¥5,936,943,000	-28.34%		$5,193,900	$56,311,000	5
Wed	21 Oct 20	¥620,000,000	¥6,556,943,000	13.04%		$5,938,700	$62,249,700	6
Thu	22 Oct 20	¥464,840,000	¥7,021,783,000	-25.03%		$4,435,500	$66,685,200	7
Fri	23 Oct 20	¥691,000,000	¥7,712,783,000	48.65%	-45.54%	$6,599,800	$73,285,000	8
Sat	24 Oct 20	¥1,500,945,000	¥9,213,728,000	117.21%	-11.80%	$14,335,700	$87,620,700	9
Sun	25 Oct 20	¥1,540,504,000	¥10,754,232,000	2.64%	-6.79%	$14,713,500	$102,334,200	10
Mon	26 Oct 20	¥609,000,000	¥11,363,232,000	-60.47%	-20.43%	$5,800,000	$108,134,200	11
Tue	27 Oct 20	¥393,000,000	¥11,756,232,000	-35.47%	-28.35%	$3,753,600	$111,887,800	12
Wed	28 Oct 20	¥503,000,000	¥12,259,232,000	27.99%	-18.87%	$4,822,600	$116,710,400	13
Thu	29 Oct 20	¥378,000,000	¥12,637,232,000	-24.85%	-18.68%	$3,617,200	$120,327,600	14
Fri	30 Oct 20	¥530,000,000	¥13,167,232,000	40.21%	-23.30%	$5,076,600	$125,404,200	15

 

Edited October 30, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

WTF. That much wrong. 268k outta nowhere.

Week 0 - ¥1.269Bn

Week 1 - ¥6.444Bn

Week 2 - ¥5.455Bn (-15.4%)

 

Total - ¥13.168Bn or $125.4mn 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Day	Date	Daily	To Date	% +/- YD / LW*		Daily in $	To Date in $	Day
Fri	16 Oct 20	¥1,268,725,000	¥1,268,725,000			$12,037,200	$12,037,200	1
Sat	17 Oct 20	¥1,701,723,000	¥2,970,448,000			$16,145,400	$28,182,600	2
Sun	18 Oct 20	¥1,652,670,000	¥4,623,118,000	-2.88%		$15,680,000	$43,862,600	3
Mon	19 Oct 20	¥765,350,000	¥5,388,468,000	-53.69%		$7,254,500	$51,117,100	4
Tue	20 Oct 20	¥548,475,000	¥5,936,943,000	-28.34%		$5,193,900	$56,311,000	5
Wed	21 Oct 20	¥620,000,000	¥6,556,943,000	13.04%		$5,938,700	$62,249,700	6
Thu	22 Oct 20	¥464,840,000	¥7,021,783,000	-25.03%		$4,435,500	$66,685,200	7
Fri	23 Oct 20	¥691,000,000	¥7,712,783,000	48.65%	-45.54%	$6,599,800	$73,285,000	8
Sat	24 Oct 20	¥1,500,945,000	¥9,213,728,000	117.21%	-11.80%	$14,335,700	$87,620,700	9
Sun	25 Oct 20	¥1,540,504,000	¥10,754,232,000	2.64%	-6.79%	$14,713,500	$102,334,200	10
Mon	26 Oct 20	¥609,000,000	¥11,363,232,000	-60.47%	-20.43%	$5,800,000	$108,134,200	11
Tue	27 Oct 20	¥393,000,000	¥11,756,232,000	-35.47%	-28.35%	$3,753,600	$111,887,800	12
Wed	28 Oct 20	¥503,000,000	¥12,259,232,000	27.99%	-18.87%	$4,822,600	$116,710,400	13
Thu	29 Oct 20	¥378,000,000	¥12,637,232,000	-24.85%	-18.68%	$3,617,200	$120,327,600	14
Fri	30 Oct 20	¥530,000,000	¥13,167,232,000	40.21%	-23.30%	$5,076,600	$125,404,200	15

 

 

I get the feeling that we have to be cautious with early Japanese numbers. Not the first time there was an error with the seating numbers i believe.

[PKMLover]

Demon Slayer VS Spirited Away (#1 All-Time Showdown)

¥3.353 billion ($31.9 million)..................................................................¥1.010 billion ($8.9 million)
¥3.041 billion ($29.1 million), -09%, ¥10.75 billion ($102.4 million).....VS.....¥975 million ($8.7 million), -03%, ¥4.240 billion ($34.6 million)

TBD.....VS.....¥890 million ($7.9 million), -09%, ¥7.220 billion ($59.0 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥940 million ($8.4 million), +06%, ¥10.75 billion ($87.8 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥890 million ($7.9 million), -06%, ¥13.26 billion ($109.3 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥900 million ($8.0 million), +02%, ¥14.90 billion ($123.3 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥685 million ($6.2 million), -24%, ¥17.13 billion ($148.5 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥695 million ($6.3 million), +02%, ¥18.65 billion ($160.8 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥650 million ($5.8 million), -07%, ¥19.98 billion ($171.7 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥510 million ($4.6 million), -21%, ¥22.40 billion ($183.7 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥435 million ($4.0 million), -15%, ¥23.60 billion ($193.6 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥395 million ($3.6 million), -09%, ¥24.40 billion ($200.2 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥265 million ($2.4 million), -32%, ¥24.89 billion ($204.2 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥270 million ($2.5 million), +02%, ¥25.37 billion ($208.1 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥330 million ($3.0 million), +22%, ¥25.97 billion ($213.0 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥305 million ($2.7 million), -08%, ¥26.56 billion ($218.8 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥195 million ($1.7 million), -36%, ¥27.04 billion ($222.7 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥185 million ($1.6 million), -04%, ¥27.40 billion ($225.6 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥255 million ($2.2 million), +31%, ¥27.84 billion ($229.1 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥150 million ($1.3 million), -40%, ¥28.18 billion ($231.8 million)
TBD.....VS.....¥115 million ($1.0 million), -26%, ¥28.40 billion ($233.5 million)
FINAL: TBD.....VS.....¥30.80 billion ($249.0 million)

[PKMLover]

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker

10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥735,000,000 ($7.0 million) / 545,000
10/20 - Tues.: ¥545,000,000 ($5.1 million) / 395,000
10/21 - Wed.: ¥635,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 505,000
10/22 - Thur.: ¥465,000,000 ($4.5 million) / 340,000
10/23 - Fri.: ¥700,000,000 ($6.7 million) / 510,000
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,500,944,600 ($14.3 million) / 1,115,182
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,540,504,150 ($14.7 million) / 1,157,654
10/26 - Mon.: ¥580,000,000 ($5.5 million) / 435,000 *est.*
10/27 - Tues.: ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million) / 285,000 *est.*
10/28 - Wed.: ¥505,000,000 ($4.8 million) / 405,000 *est.*
10/29 - Thur.: ¥380,000,000 ($3.6 million) / 275,000 *est.*
10/30 - Fri.: ¥515,000,000 ($4.9 million) / 385,000 *est.*

15-Day Cumulative Total: ¥13,124,232,550 ($124.9 million) / 9,768,442 *est.*

The last set of weekdays (10/26-30) were down around 21/22% in admissions versus last week.

This is incredible, because it "only" needs to stay around 25% on a weekly basis (Sat.-Fri.) to beat Spirited Away, and the last week ended up down just 15/16% so! That's a big, big number with numbers this high. It allows a lot more leeway later in its run, that's for sure.

If it has another week, maybe two, of only dropping 15% or so weekly, I don't think it's possible for it to miss Spirited Away at that point, since even 30/40% drops would likely get it there.

[PKMLover]

Biggest Third Weekends/Three Week Totals (2000-):

¥2.300 billion ($22.0 million), -24%, ¥15.43 billion ($146.9 million) - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (2020) *Prediction*
¥1.205 billion ($9.4 million), -23%, ¥6.73 billion ($53.4 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.196 billion ($9.6 million), -15%, ¥6.67 billion ($54.0 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.134 billion ($11.1 million), -02%, ¥6.29 billion ($61.2 million) - Your Name. (2016)
¥1.078 billion ($11.5 million), +05%, ¥5.89 billion ($62.8 million) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.033 billion ($9.4 million), -29%, ¥6.01 billion ($55.0 million) - Frozen II (2019)
¥1.012 billion ($9.9 million), -16%, ¥6.78 billion ($65.9 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥998.9 million ($9.2 million), -21%, ¥5.86 billion ($54.3 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥995.9 million ($9.3 million), -09%, ¥5.52 billion ($50.9 million) - Aladdin (2019)
¥935.7 million ($7.8 million), -20%, ¥6.13 billion ($50.8 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥893.1 million ($7.9 million), -20%, ¥6.69 billion ($59.5 million) - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥890.0 million ($7.9 million), -09%, ¥7.22 billion ($59.0 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥881.2 million ($8.6 million), +01%, ¥5.28 billion ($51.6 million) - Frozen (2014)
¥848.1 million ($7.0 million), -22%, ¥4.98 billion ($41.2 million) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥826.7 million ($6.9 million), +14%, ¥6.40 billion ($53.0 million) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥799.6 million ($8.3 million), -24%, ¥4.86 billion ($50.3 million) - Rookies (2009)
¥776.5 million ($7.3 million), -05%, ¥5.26 billion ($48.9 million) - Ponyo (2008)
¥772.9 million ($6.5 million), -30%, ¥6.37 billion ($53.8 million) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥719.7 million ($6.0 million), -23%, ¥5.95 billion ($49.5 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥718.1 million ($6.8 million), -29%, ¥5.91 billion ($54.8 million) - Weathering With You (2019)
¥710.3 million ($6.5 million), -13%, ¥4.91 billion ($45.1 million) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥692.4 million ($8.6 million), -37%, ¥5.03 billion ($62.1 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥683.5 million ($6.1 million), -34%, ¥5.18 billion ($45.9 million) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥665.4 million ($5.6 million), +30%, ¥4.14 billion ($35.2 million) - Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥636.9 million ($6.9 million), -06%, ¥4.67 billion ($50.5 million) - Avatar (2009)
¥628.2 million ($5.8 million), -27%, ¥5.51 billion ($50.9 million) - Toy Story 4 (2019)
¥624.6 million ($5.8 million), -27%, ¥4.59 billion ($33.4 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥618.0 million ($8.0 million), -30%, ¥4.73 billion ($42.8 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (2019)
¥614.2 million ($5.5 million), -19%, ¥4.92 billion ($43.8 million) - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
¥613.3 million ($5.6 million), -12%, ¥5.22 billion ($46.9 million) - Code Blue (2018)
¥605.9 million ($5.6 million), -26%, ¥4.36 billion ($40.1 million) - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
¥597.5 million ($4.9 million), -37%, ¥5.95 billion ($48.1 million) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥585.6 million ($5.2 million), -22%, ¥3.79 billion ($33.9 million) - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
¥584.5 million ($6.6 million), -15%, ¥4.68 billion ($56.3 million) - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥580.4 million ($5.5 million), -23%, ¥3.79 billion ($35.7 million) - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥574.1 million ($5.0 million), -19%, ¥3.55 billion ($31.3 million) - Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥562.2 million ($5.3 million), -17%, ¥3.70 billion ($33.9 million) - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (2016)
¥559.1 million ($4.5 million), -54%, ¥3.68 billion ($29.5 million) - Spider-Man (2002)
¥555.6 million ($5.7 million), -31%, ¥4.36 billion ($44.0 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥548.8 million ($6.3 million), -09%, ¥3.98 billion ($46.0 million) - Arrietty (2010)
¥547.1 million ($5.7 million), -13%, ¥3.44 billion ($34.5 million) - Monsters University (2013)
¥540.6 million ($4.5 million), -22%, ¥4.42 billion ($37.2 million) - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002)
¥538.4 million ($4.2 million), -09%, ¥2.84 billion ($22.0 million) - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥536.5 million ($6.2 million), -20%, ¥3.66 billion ($42.3 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)
¥536.2 million ($6.1 million), -26%, ¥3.88 billion ($44.4 million) - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥533.8 million ($5.6 million), -14%, ¥4.75 billion ($49.8 million) - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (2009)
¥531.7 million ($5.2 million), +46%, ¥3.20 billion ($30.9 million) - The Eternal Zero (2013)
¥525.2 million ($6.6 million), -22%, ¥5.31 billion ($65.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (2011)
¥522.0 million ($4.6 million), -09%, ¥2.79 billion ($24.7 million) - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥515.5 million ($4.5 million), -12%, ¥3.77 billion ($32.8 million) - Tales from Earthsea (2006)
¥511.1 million ($4.4 million), -28%, ¥5.22 billion ($45.3 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥506.2 million ($4.3 million), -18%, ¥5.42 billion ($46.1 million) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
¥506.1 million ($4.8 million), -39%, ¥4.48 billion ($42.0 million) - Hero (2007)
¥504.8 million ($4.7 million), -01%, ¥3.18 billion ($29.4 million) - The Last Samurai (2003)

[The Gotham Bank]

Its third weekend is on pace to beating the pre-DS OW record 

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, The Gotham Bank said:

Its third weekend is on pace to beating the pre-DS OW record 

I don't think something of that sorts has happened in any market across world in modern times. Baahubali 2 did beat the previous record in 2nd weekend in India, but not 3rd.

 

Similarly Return of the Jedi in USA/Canada had 2 weekend above weekend record, 3rd was 82% of record.

Avengers: Endgame in Netherlands had 2 weekend above previous record of Infinity War but the 3rd was just 43% of record. If there was no Endgame, The Lion King would have achieved in Netherlands. It had 4 weekends above the previous record of Infinity War but only opening weekend over Endgame.

Edited October 31, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[PKMLover]

Sat 31/10

5pm:  -22%

[Parasite]

5 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I don't think something of that sorts has happened in any market across world in modern times. Baahubali 2 did beat the previous record in 2nd weekend in India, but not 3rd.

Big asterisk on this one, but Bienvenue chez les Ch'tis (2008) did technically beat Les Bronzés 3's previous record (3.906 million admissions) in week 2 (4,4 million) (27/02-04/03) and 3 (3,94 million) although week 1 (20/02-27/02) was a pre-release in parts of the country (550k admissions). Week 4 wasn't that far off with 3.7 million admissions.

Edited October 31, 2020 by Parasite

[charlie Jatinder]

51 minutes ago, Parasite said:

Big asterisk on this one, but Bienvenue chez les Ch'tis (2008) did technically beat Les Bronzés 3's previous record (3.906 million admissions) in week 2 (4,4 million) (27/02-04/03) and 3 (3,94 million) although week 1 (20/02-27/02) was a pre-release in parts of the country (550k admissions). Week 4 wasn't that far off with 3.7 million admissions.

So another film to do for two weeks. Though discussion was for Weekend record but don't think Week will change things much, though there are weeks with all days holiday in Japan, if that change anything for Demon Slayer there.

[charlie Jatinder]

Another film to do twice is 3 Idiots in India. 2nd weekend was ₹487mn, over the previous weekend record of ₹415mn. The 3rd weekend was 60% of previous record.

[charlie Jatinder]

Found another Indian film, which actually might be close for 3rd weekend too but reporting at that time is very vague.

 

Kabhi Khushi Kabhie Gham in 2001 had first weekend of ₹120mn Approx, previous record was ₹87mn Approx. The 2nd weekend would be around ₹100mn while 3rd around ₹75mn Approx.

[charlie Jatinder]

This will have 4th weekend over the previous record of Yo Kai easily.

[PKMLover]

It'll probably finish at 666,000 admissions today, quite fitting since it's Halloween! That's good for over 850,000 overall today, and likely closer to 875,000.

That's only a 21/22% drop versus last Saturday, too, and means today became the sixth biggest single day ever, with the film already claiming the top 5 biggest single days.

I'll have an estimate posted when the day officially ends, but it should be enough to allow Sunday to get the weekend above 2 million admissions again for a THIRD weekend over the mark. Remember, before Demon Slayer, no film had even achieved 1.5 million admissions over the weekend.

_________________

[PKMLover]

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker

10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥735,000,000 ($7.0 million) / 545,000
10/20 - Tues.: ¥545,000,000 ($5.1 million) / 395,000
10/21 - Wed.: ¥635,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 505,000
10/22 - Thur.: ¥465,000,000 ($4.5 million) / 340,000
10/23 - Fri.: ¥700,000,000 ($6.7 million) / 510,000
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,500,944,600 ($14.3 million) / 1,115,182
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,540,504,150 ($14.7 million) / 1,157,654
10/26 - Mon.: ¥580,000,000 ($5.5 million) / 435,000 *est.*
10/27 - Tues.: ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million) / 285,000 *est.*
10/28 - Wed.: ¥505,000,000 ($4.8 million) / 405,000 *est.*
10/29 - Thur.: ¥380,000,000 ($3.6 million) / 275,000 *est.*
10/30 - Fri.: ¥515,000,000 ($4.9 million) / 385,000 *est.*
10/31 - Sat.: ¥1,165,000,000 ($11.1 million) / 870,000 *est.*

16-Day Cumulative Total: ¥14,289,232,550 ($136.0 million) / 10,638,442 *est.*
 

[Brainbug]

Record Slayer: Money Train.