JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[SchumacherFTW]

51 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Need to check UK.

 

Checked. TFA did $100mn on 2nd Monday i.e. 12th day.

We massively over indexed on Force Awakens. Gonna be a long time before any movie comes close to that here now. 

[charlie Jatinder]

37 minutes ago, setna said:

How many weeks was Baahubali n. 1 in India?

And how fast did 100 m.?

100mn on 7th day. #1 for a month.

[PKMLover]

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker

10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥670,000,000 ($6.4 million) / 510,000 *est.*
10/20 - Tues.: ¥490,000,000 ($4.6 million) / 370,000 *est.*
10/21 - Wed.: ¥570,000,000 ($5.4 million) / 470,000 *est.*
10/22 - Thur.: ¥420,000,000 ($4.0 million) / 315,000 *est.*
10/23 - Fri.: ¥625,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 470,000 *est.*
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,475,000,000 ($14.1 million) / 1,110,000 *est.*
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,525,000,000 ($14.6 million) / 1,145,000 *est.*

10-Day Cumulative Total: ¥10,398,117,450 ($99.0 million) / 7,810,493 *est.*

[PKMLover]

Biggest Second Weekends/Two Week Totals (2000-):

¥3.00 billion ($28.7 million), -11%, ¥10.39 billion ($99.0 million) - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (2020) *Est.*
____________________
¥1.57 billion ($12.2 million), +02%, ¥4.66 billion ($36.9 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.44 billion ($13.2 million), -11%, ¥4.31 billion ($39.4 million) - Frozen II (2019)
¥1.39 billion ($11.3 million), -31%, ¥4.56 billion ($37.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.26 billion ($11.6 million), -35%, ¥4.19 billion ($38.5 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥1.25 billion ($11.7 million), -16%, ¥4.75 billion ($44.5 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥1.17 billion ($9.6 million), -21%, ¥4.39 billion ($36.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥1.16 billion ($11.2 million), +25%, ¥3.87 billion ($37.6 million) - Your Name. (2016)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million), +05%, ¥3.65 billion ($32.7 million) - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥1.11 billion ($13.8 million), -08%, ¥3.61 billion ($44.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥1.10 billion ($10.1 million), -02%, ¥3.58 billion ($33.0 million) - Aladdin (2019)
¥1.09 billion ($9.3 million), -50%, ¥4.68 billion ($39.7 million) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥1.08 billion ($9.0 million), -19%, ¥3.62 billion ($30.1 million) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥1.04 billion ($10.8 million), -14%, ¥3.33 billion ($33.8 million) - Rookies (2009)
¥1.02 billion ($10.9 million), -22%, ¥3.54 billion ($37.7 million) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.02 billion ($9.1 million), -20%, ¥3.60 billion ($31.7 million) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥1.01 billion ($9.3 million), -15%, ¥3.99 billion ($36.8 million) - Weathering With You (2019)
_________________
¥975 million ($8.7 million), -02%, ¥4.24 billion ($34.6 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥941 million ($7.6 million), +11%, ¥4.36 billion ($35.0 million) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥936 million ($7.9 million), -25%, ¥3.18 billion ($26.9 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥886 million ($8.0 million), -39%, ¥3.59 billion ($32.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (2019)
¥872 million ($8.6 million), +13%, ¥3.01 billion ($29.6 million) - Frozen (2014)
¥860 million ($8.0 million), -04%, ¥2.49 billion ($23.1 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥855 million ($7.9 million), -38%, ¥3.99 billion ($36.9 million) - Toy Story 4 (2019)
¥820 million ($7.6 million), -37%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.0 million) - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
¥820 million ($7.1 million), -19%, ¥2.98 billion ($25.8 million) - Hero (2007)
¥814 million ($7.3 million), -62%, ¥4.07 billion ($36.1 million) - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
¥811 million ($8.3 million), -16%, ¥2.85 billion ($29.2 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥810 million ($7.5 million), -48%, ¥3.43 billion ($30.8 million) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥806 million ($7.6 million), -22%, ¥3.23 billion ($30.5 million) - Ponyo (2008)
¥757 million ($6.8 million), -38%, ¥3.56 billion ($31.6 million) - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
¥756 million ($7.1 million), -25%, ¥2.62 billion ($25.0 million) - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥748 million ($6.8 million), -42%, ¥2.76 billion ($25.1 million) - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
¥744 million ($6.6 million), -13%, ¥2.89 billion ($25.6 million) - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (2018)
¥740 million ($6.5 million), -29%, ¥2.62 billion ($23.2 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)
¥728 million ($8.2 million), -26%, ¥2.37 billion ($27.3 million) - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥726 million ($6.0 million), -42%, ¥3.84 billion ($31.8 million) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥708 million ($6.3 million), -27%, ¥2.35 billion ($21.8 million) - Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥705 million ($6.1 million), -63%, ¥3.75 billion ($32.4 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥704 million ($8.6 million), -48%, ¥2.86 billion ($34.7 million) - One Piece Film Z (2012)
¥704 million ($6.6 million), -17%, ¥1.71 billion ($16.0 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (2018)
¥703 million ($7.2 million), -17%, ¥2.49 billion ($25.4 million) - Monsters University (2013)
¥701 million ($6.9 million), -09%, ¥3.27 billion ($32.1 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)

[XXR vs XXR]

3 hours ago, PKMLover said:

¥3.00 billion ($28.7 million), -11%, ¥10.39 billion ($99.0 million) - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (2020) *Est.*
____________________
¥1.57 billion ($12.2 million), +02%, ¥4.66 billion ($36.9 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.44 billion ($13.2 million), -11%, ¥4.31 billion ($39.4 million) - Frozen II (2019)

 

Couldn't even top the next 2 in combined yen. Weak. 

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, VenomXXR said:

Couldn't even top the next 2 in combined yen. Weak. 

Just need a .3% bounce from actuals.  

 

[PKMLover]

Also, it's been announced that this upcoming Saturday will have another round of stage greetings broadcast nationwide during a specific showtime (likely 8/9am). It's normal for a big film to have a day of stage greetings occur during their opening weekend (like Demon Slayer had when it opened), but definitely not on its THIRD weekend.

[CoolK]

$135-140mn by next sunday?

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, CoolK said:

$135-140mn by next sunday?

150 or FLOP

[charlie Jatinder]

Can we use Fri-Sun here for weekend and Fri-Thu for week as almost everything release on Friday now. Of course official reporting will soon join us.

 

Mon-Thu added 2.15Bn in first week, may be 1.6-1.7Bn this week, which will take to 12-12.1Bn, giving it 5.3Bn approx second week after 7.8Bn First Week. 20% weekly drops will see 33Bn full run and Spirited Away go down. 25% will be 28Bn.

 

 

Spirited Away after all these re-releases is 32-33Bn.

[Legion Again]

Quote

How does ¥40 billion (~$380 million+) / 30 million+ admissions sound to you guys?

The general agreement is that its chances of beating Spirited Away (¥30.8 billion / 23.5 million admissions) are greater than 50% now. It's over a third of the way there after 10-days, and it's currently earning 3x what Spirited Away grossed.

 

[charlie Jatinder]

19 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

150 or FLOP

Yeah pretty much but I will put my expectations on lc15Bn instead of $150mn

[Legion Again]

Not sure how big this will be in China and ROW, but may be able to take down all HW 2020 WW.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, WandaLegion said:

 

In any market, crossing gross of 20 years old film will mean you are pretty down the admissions, but not in Japan. you might have lower ATP than film 20 years old. JAPAN.

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yeah pretty much but I will put my expectations on lc15Bn instead of $150mn

Yeah, was hyperbole for humor. Running actual numbers I get more like 147ish in USD. Missing ¥15B would be a bummer.
 

¥20B can perhaps be done in 25 days if it holds well, matching previous speed record for ¥10B. That is a tad optimistic though I’d say.

Edited October 26, 2020 by WandaLegion

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

Not sure how big this will be in China and ROW, but may be able to take down all HW 2020 WW.

Assuming it does 30Bn in Japan, that will be $283mn. 

Not sure if its comparable, but a Dragon Ball film did $90mn plus outside Japan last year with just $5mn in China. I saw a post that Demon Slayer is very popular in China, so may be it do better. But Corona means this ain't doing that well in Americas, where that film was massive.

[charlie Jatinder]

19 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

That is a tad optimistic though I’d say.

more than tad 😛

 

unless we are over 16Bn next Sunday, then its very pessimistic.

Edited October 26, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

more than tad 😛

 

unless we are over 16Bn next Sunday, then its very pessimistic.

Call it 5B for this week, 20% drop next week, then just ¥600M short on day 24. Then Monday can’t quite get there but it would happen on 26. That would be a strong scenario but not too outlandish imo.

[Gavin Feng]

what about shooting down Eight Hundred?

[charlie Jatinder]

Seems like 25% Monday to Monday drop. Nice, but SA will need more towards 20%.