JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[TheseDays]

I truly expect a really frontloaded result for Youkai Watch. It has a built-in fanbase and it's been promoted for months now so obviously everyone is going to see it asap. It'll do lots of money but I think huge legs are veeeeeery unlikely, especially cause there'll be virtually no word of mouth for this movie since it's just basically a longer episode of the TV show everyone in Japan already knows.

 

 

They're just interested in animes and animated movies so live movies got it hard, it's not against Hollywood it's just a change of tastes, mangas became really popular in the 2000s and the trend still goes on nowadays, it's not like Japanese live movies are successdul after all...

 

What? Mangas have been popular for like a century and there are several Japanese live-action movies that were huge hits in the last few years: Eien no Zero; Thermae Romae; Hot Road; the Umizaru franchise; Like Father, Like Son; the Rurouni Kenshin movies..... I mean, several of those were based in mangas but they were still live-action movies.
 

[Cynosure]

It will do huge numbers until the New Year holidays end and then fall off the radar.

[rhfqkddl45]

*Frozen Monday at Toho* 

 

 Wk      Adm     Seats     Saturation

2nd -  19,967 / 166,952       12% 

3rd -  28,363 / 154,539       18%

4th -  40,807 / 156,184       26%

5th -  22,202 / 156,712       14%

6th -  20,665 / 152,882       13%

7th -  14,202 / 139,132       10% 

8th -  26,927 / 111,392       24%      

9th - 117,472 / 156,433       75% (Holiday)   

10th-  12,512 / 141,292        9%     

11th-  14,315 / 142,838       10%

12th-  22,227 / 139.120       16%

 

 

*BH6 Monday at Toho* 

 

 Wk     Adm      Seats     Saturation

2nd -  16,834 / 110,375       15% 

 

 

 

*Yo-kai Watch Monday at Toho*

 

 Wk     Adm      Seats     Saturation  

2nd -  45,005 / 166,617       27% 

[Ezen Baklattan]

BH6 actually did pretty well against Yokai-Watch. Plus, it has the benefit of holidays/better legs so that it can probably hold on longer.

[Olive]

Yep, Tuesday is Emperor's day, a national holiday.

And followed by Christmas eve and Christmas day.

[Fullbuster]

Toho admissions

 

Day  Frozen    BH6       YoHW

0    49.224  

1    58.491    46.753   133.455

2    64.414    47.611   137.103

3    19.967    16.834    45.005

Tot 192.096   111.198   315.563

 

Sunday - Monday :

Yokai = -67.2%

BH6 = -64.4%

 

BH6 has a slightly better hold, I'm pretty sure the gap will decrease soon enough.

[Cynosure]

Christmas isn't a holiday in Japan.

[Mojoguy]

Corpse

Weekend Ranking (12/20/21)

 

01 (--) Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) DEBUT
02 (--) Big Hero 6 (Disney) DEBUT
03 (02) Ao Haru Ride (Toho) Week 2
04 (--) The Vancouver Arsashi (Toho) DEBUT
05 (01) The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Warner Bros.) Week 2
06 (03) The Last: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 3
07 (07) Gone Girl (Fox) Week 2
08 (06) Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) Week 4
09 (04) Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Gaim & Drive: Full Throttle (Toei) Week 2
10 (05) Aikatsu! The Movie (Toei) Week 2

>Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! delivered one of the biggest weekends of all-time. The first film in the insanely popular multimedia series that began just last year earned ¥1,628,893,000 ($14.0 million) with 1,484,916 admissions on 408 screens.

Most notably, it achieved:

>The 2nd biggest opening weekend in admissions in history (1,827 shy of #1); 9th in gross.
>The biggest opening weekend for any domestic film.
>The biggest opening weekend for any original/first entry film.
>The biggest opening weekend for any animated film.
>The biggest opening weekend for any film released in December.
>83% of its available seats across the country were sold out over the weekend.

It's difficult to predict where it goes from here, however, it performed well on Monday, especially for a film with an overwhelming child audience (most schools weren't on Winter break yesterday). And Tuesday (today), while a national holiday (Emperor's Birthday), looks very, very strong. Perhaps strong enough to break ¥500 million ($4.5/5.0 million+). So far, it isn't showing any signs of outright collapsing.

At worst, it should earn around ¥7.5 billion (~$60/65 million) / 6.6 million admissions with very poor legs. Most likely, it'll earn about ¥9.0 billion (~$75/80 million) / 8.1 million admissions with expected or average legs. And at best, it can reach over ¥10 billion ($100 million+) and 10 million admissions. It has a very wide without any film to compare it against, so we'll have to wait and see what happens next.

>Big Hero 6 was completely overshadowed over the weekend, but managed to hold its own very well and grossed ¥600,410,500 ($5.2 million) with 463,556 admissions on 540 screens. It achieved Disney Animation's 2nd biggest opening weekend ever, behind Frozen, and is on par or greater than most of Pixar's films.

As for a projected total...it has a good chance of reaching ¥5 billion (~$45/50 million) / 3.5 million admissions, but could go a bit higher still. Achieving a multiplier near 10 (or higher) isn't uncommon this time of year, so a total closer to ¥6 billion (~$50/55 million) / 4.5 million admissions is doable.

>The Vancouver Asashi struggled out of the dugout in its first weekend. Playing on 342 screens, the film earned just ¥157,739,300 ($1.4 million) with 124,191 admissions. The avg. ticket price is in-between a film that skews very young (children/teens) and very old (seniors), which is rare in Japan. This suggests its audience is primarily adult males with some older folks thrown into the mix. And to support this claim, its Monday result was very good.

Films that skew strongly towards adults/seniors have strong weekdays, so I wouldn't count the film as a disappointment just yet. It'll have no problem exceeding ¥1.0 billion ($8-10 million), and I wouldn't be surprised if it made closer to ¥1.5 billion or more ($13-15 million).

[lab276]

Toho admissions

 

Day  Frozen    BH6       YoHW

0    49.224  

1    58.491    46.753   133.455

2    64.414    47.611   137.103

3    19.967    16.834    45.005

Tot 192.096   111.198   315.563

Where do these come from? You're not counting them on your own are you?

[Melvin Frohike]

Corpse

...

>Big Hero 6 was completely overshadowed over the weekend, but managed to hold its own very well and grossed ¥600,410,500 ($5.2 million) with 463,556 admissions on 540 screens. It achieved Disney Animation's 2nd biggest opening weekend ever, behind Frozen, and is on par or greater than most of Pixar's films.

As for a projected total...it has a good chance of reaching ¥5 billion (~$45/50 million) / 3.5 million admissions, but could go a bit higher still. Achieving a multiplier near 10 (or higher) isn't uncommon this time of year, so a total closer to ¥6 billion (~$50/55 million) / 4.5 million admissions is doable.

>The Vancouver Asashi struggled out of the dugout in its first weekend. Playing on 342 screens, the film earned just ¥157,739,300 ($1.4 million) with 124,191 admissions. The avg. ticket price is in-between a film that skews very young (children/teens) and very old (seniors), which is rare in Japan.

Wait, the average ticket price of The Vancouver Asashi is very close to that of Big Hero 6, which is similar to those of other animated features--both Japanese and western--that appeal to a wide range of ages. Does Corpse mean that it's rare for live-action movies?

[edroger3]

Where do these come from? You're not counting them on your own are you?

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/

[edroger3]

Toho admissions

 

Day  Frozen    BH6       YoHW

0    49.224 
1    58.491    46.753   133.455
2    64.414    47.611   137.103
3    19.967    16.834    45.005

4    21.651    47.073   107.265 holiday
Tot 213.747   158.271   422.828

[Fullbuster]

Toho admissions

 

Day  Frozen    BH6       YoHW

0    49.224 

1    58.491    46.753   133.455

2    64.414    47.611   137.103

3    19.967    16.834    45.005

4    21.651    47.073   107.265 holiday

Tot 213.747   158.271   422.828

 

x2.80 for BH6

x2.38 for Yokai

 

BH6 is slowly gaining ground

[catlover]

Very nice for BH6. Bigger than its OD at Toho. Maybe it's a good sign for its legs?

[Dingdong123]

Very nice for BH6. Bigger than its OD at Toho. Maybe it's a good sign for its legs?

It goddamn better be!

[cremino]

Corpse

 

Biggest December Opening Weekends [1998-]

Weekend Gross / Admissions [screen Count] - Film (Release Date)
01. ¥1.629 billion / 1,484,916 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho)
02. ¥1.550 billion / 1,279,120 [578] - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Warner Bros.)
03. ¥1.372 billion / 1,140,081 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Toei)
04. ¥1.038 billion / 819,738 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Toei)
05. ¥902.3 million / 622,000 [530] - The Last Samurai (Warner Bros.)
06. ¥898.0 million / 724,000 [654] - Finding Nemo (Disney)
07. ¥751.8 million / 604,355 [698] - The Incredibles (Disney)
08. ¥649.8 million / 539,132 [329] - Lupin III Vs. Detective Conan (Toho)
09. ¥600.4 million / 463,556 [540] - Big Hero 6 (Disney)
10. ¥597.3 million / 398,795 [839] - Avatar (Fox)
11. ¥578.3 million / 438,771 [422] - I Am Legend (Warner Bros.)
12. ¥572.8 million / 437,750 [636] - Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount)
13. ¥542.3 million / 429,918 [430] - The Eternal Zero (Toho)
14. ¥528.2 million / 412,129 [440] - Space Battleship Yamato (Toho)
15. ¥515.3 million / 396,280 [266] - The Last: Naruto the Movie (Toho)

[Fullbuster]

It's really a nice number for BH6

[BadAtGender]

I wonder what the record for aggregate opening weekends is.

[cremino]

Corpse

 

Tuesday (Emperor's Birthday) Mid-Day Report (02:30PM)
Usual Locations (~1/3 of the Market)

139,475 (-14%) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (NEW)
50,312 (+01%) - Big Hero 6 (NEW)
19,170 (-19%) - Ao Haru Ride (Week 2)
11,481 (+01%) - The Vancouver Asahi (NEW)
8,108 (-25%) - The Last: Naruto the Movie (Week 3)
7,492 (-10%) - The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Week 2)
7,065 (-33%) - Aikatsu! The Movie (Week 2)
6,157 (-08%) - Parasyte Part 1 (Week 4)
5,957 (-03%) - Gone Girl (Week 2)
4,989 (-35%) - Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Gaim & Drive: Full Throttle (Week 2)

*% increases/decreases compared to Sunday*

>Yo-Kai Watch is selling through ~71% of its available tickets at the usual locations today so far, which is incredible even if it's a holiday considering its record opening weekend.

If it maintains this pace, it'll probably set a Emperor's Day Record (I think this is a 100% lock) or simply the all-time weekday record. I can't think of anything that would have done more than 500,000 admissions on a weekday, which it's very likely to do, in the past even if it was an opening day... It would have required a holiday otherwise, and I don't see any film that could have done it.

>Big Hero 6 is very impressive, too. Weekday holidays are typically ~80% as strong as Sunday, so it keeping pace with Sunday so far today is very good. It's going to have a long run.

Early Tuesday predictions:

 

¥620 million ($5.4 million) / 560,000 - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan!
¥295 million ($2.5 million) / 235,000 - Big Hero 6

[seduh]

great numbers! BH6 is having great legs, i think it will make +$60 in Japan