JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Quigley]

Before 2012, hollywood movies were still making money in Japan, but now, they all bomb except one or two surprises. Not expected at all.Thus Japanese market became weird.

 

Most Hollywood films get what they deserve in Japan, unlike the huge amounts of money they unworthily earn elsewhere.

[Fullbuster]

Most Hollywood films get what they deserve in Japan, unlike the huge amounts of money they unworthily earn elsewhere.

 

No, there is nothing better than Hollywood movies, without them I wouldn't watch movies in the first place

Hollywood is fantastic and I want even more movies like they do :wub:

[CelestialFairyIX]

I'll have to go back on my earlier prediction.  After some sparse research here and there, I believe Yokai Watch will top $85 million and reach a cumulative gross of around $100 million.  Having said that, one can always think of ways in which the movie would stagger and fall down from grace, WOM being one of them.  If WOM is not that great, I'm sure Baymax will find a way to defeat this monster of a movie.  However, with so much going in for the latter, I don't think anything can stop it from at least matching Doraemon's gross.

 

Yokai Watch: $95 million

Big Hero 6: $55 - 60 million

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

Weekend Admissions (12/20-21)
Usual Locations (~1/3 of the Market)

513,688 - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (NEW)
169,973 - Big Hero 6 (NEW)
44,733 (-23%) - Ao Haru Ride (Week 2)
42,651 - The Vancouver Asahi (NEW)
34,926 (-43%) - The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Week 2)
33,056 (-48%) - The Last: Naruto the Movie (Week 3)
27,776 (-34%) - Gone Girl (Week 2)
23,552 (-42%) - Parasyte Part 1 (Week 4)
21,345 (-62%) - Aikatsu! The Movie (Week 2)
15,590 (-65%) - Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Gaim & Drive: Full Throttle (Week 2)

>Yo-Kai Watch ended up selling 82% of its available weekend admissions at the usual locations.

Most of the data is suggesting its weekend admissions are between 1.4-1.7 million. It's guaranteed to have opened higher than any local film before, with the record being 1.140 million admissions held by One Piece Film Z which beat Howl's Moving Castle's 8-year standing record of 1.104 million admissions two years ago.

Yo-Kai Watch needs 1.487 million to break the All-Time Opening Weekend Record in Admissions. It's going to come down to how well it played at Aeon Cinemas over the weekend. They have more screens and theaters than Toho Cinema's operates now, and family/children films generally play better at Aeon than at Toho, so I'd say chances are pretty good that it's over 1.5 million admissions for the weekend, but it's not locked. *Suspense*

Projecting a gross for its opening becomes more difficult. Using Pokemon's ticket prices as a comparison, it would have earned around ¥1.4-1.6 billion over the weekend. But if we use Doraemon, then it's more like ¥1.6-1.8 billion. The difference in the avg. ticket price of Pokemon and Doraemon isn't very much, but with the amount of admissions we're talking here, it greatly changes the estimated gross for Yo-Kai Watch.

We'll know in the morning unless it's reported otherwise.

>Big Hero 6 did very well in the face of Yo-Kai Watch. However it may or may not have benefited from sellouts, it's only about 20/25% less than Frozen's opening weekend based on the admissions from the usual locations.

It's easier to project weekend figures for it with the smaller (though very impressive) numbers. Its weekend admissions should be between 425,000-475,000, for a weekend gross of about ¥550-625 million ($4.7-5.4 million). And during this time of year, that should easily net it close to ¥5 billion or more ($45 million+).

I'll post some Weekend Estimates in a little bit.

Just Toho Cinemas (more examples this way):

Toho Cinemas Saturday/Weekend Admissions (Overall Weekend Admissions) [2013-]

Opening Day/Weekend (Overall), OD/OW multiplier (OW/Overall Weekend multiplier)
133,455/270,558 (?,???,???), x2.03 (x?.??) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (12/20/14)
85,115/167,188 (747,451), x1.96 (x4.47) - The Wind Rises (07/20/13)
68,575/159,180 (717,948), x2.32 (x4.51) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (09/13/14)
64,398/133,273 (649,865), x2.07 (x4.88) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (04/19/14)
62,250/120,489 (500,837), x1.94 (x4.16) - Maleficent (07/05/14)
59,492/121,802 (614,969), x2.05 (x5.05) - Monsters University (07/06/13)
59,192/123,606 (602,347), x2.09 (x4.87) - Frozen (03/15/14)
51,800/108,724 (539,132), x2.10 (x4.96) - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (12/07/13)
51,181/114,523 (554,991), x2.24 (x4.84) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (08/09/14)
50,274/88,560 (396,280), x1.76 (x4.47) - The Last: Naruto the Movie (12/06/14)
46,570/94,181 (???,???), x2.02 (x?.??) - Big Hero 6 (12/20/14)
43,669*/75,635 (322,162), x1.73 (x4.26) - The After-Dinner Mysteries (08/03/13)
42,541/94,650 (530,544), x2.22 (x5.60) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (03/08/14)
42,537/91,182 (429,918), x2.14 (x4.71) - The Eternal Zero (12/21/13)
40,635/79,373 (339,048), x1.95 (x4.27) - Godzilla (07/26/14)
40,414*/74,131 (363,451), x1.83 (x4.90) - Midsummer Formula (06/29/13)
39,836/84,982 (365,356), x2.13 (x4.30) - Thermae Romae II (04/26/14)
38,885/85,462* (464,839), x2.20 (x5.44) - Pokemon Best Wishes: ExtremeSpeed Genesect - Mewtwo Awakens (07/13/13)
37,960/88,488* (393,522), x2.33 (x4.45) - SPEC: Close - Incarnation Part 2 (11/30/13)
37,829/78,485 (433,346), x2.08 (x5.52) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (08/02/14)
36,995/79,454 (386,994), x2.15 (x4.87) - The Kiyosu Conference (11/09/13)
35,447/68,592 (330,385), x1.94 (x4.91) - Fast and Furious 6 (07/06/13)
33,778/67,625 (360,190), x2.00 (x5.33) - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (07/19/14)
33,358/76,023 (345,921), x2.28 (x4.55) - SPEC: Close - Incarnation Part 1 (11/02/13)
32,618/64,093 (302,992), x1.96 (x4.73) - Transformers: Age of Extinction (08/09/14)
30,000+/60,000+
*Stage Greeting/Discount Day boost.

[Mojoguy]

Corpse

 

Weekend Estimates (12/20-21)



01 (--) ¥1.65 billion ($14.1 million), 0, ¥1.65 billion ($14.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) NEW
02 (--) ¥610 million ($5.2 million), 0, ¥610 million ($5.2 million), Big Hero 6 (Disney) NEW
03 (02) ¥175 million ($1.5 million), -28%, ¥745 million ($6.4 million), Ao Haru Ride (Toho) Week 2
04 (--) ¥150 million ($1.3 million), 0, ¥150 million ($1.3 million), The Vancouver Asashi (Toho) NEW
05 (01) ¥146 million ($1.2 million), -49%, ¥720 million ($6.1 million), The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Warner Bros.) Week 2
06 (03) ¥114 million ($1.0 million), -53%, ¥1.32 billion ($11.5 million), The Last: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 3
07 (07) ¥92 million ($0.79 million), -40%, ¥450 million ($3.8 million), Gone Girl (Fox) Week 2
08 (06) ¥80 million ($0.69 million), -47%, ¥1.34 billion ($11.7 million), Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) Week 4
09 (04) ¥61 million ($0.52 million), -70%, ¥370 million ($3.1 million), Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Drive & Gaim: Movie Wars Full Throttle (Toei) Week 2
10 (05) ¥55 million ($0.47 million), -68%, ¥310 million ($2.6 million), Aikatsu! The Movie (Toei) Week 2

>Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan doesn't look like it will set the All-Time Opening Weekend Record in Revenue thanks to its very low avg. ticket prices (overwhelming child audience), but it has the admissions to have still broken the All-Time Opening Weekend Record in Admissions based on estimates (very borderline).

And it seems very likely to have broken the All-Time Opening Weekend Record for a domestic film in revenue, and doing so in admissions is nearly a 100% lock.

I'll update the All-Time Opening Records after this post to show where the rough estimates have it ranking.

>Big Hero 6 delivered a very impressive opening. Based on estimates, it only trails Frozen (~21%) as Walt Disney Animation's biggest opening in Japan, and is higher than most of Pixar's opening in the market as well (behind Toy Story 3, Finding Nemo, Monsters University and The Incredibles).

Many films this time of year can approach multipliers of 8, 9, and 10+, and Big Hero 6 should be no different. Expect a total between ¥5-6 billion ($45-55 million) right now, which will be enough to make it Want Disney Animation's 2nd biggest film ever by edging out Dinosaur, and of course, behind Frozen.

>The Vancouver Asahi got off to a slow start, but legs will surely be strong. It'll probably earn around ¥1.5 billion ($12/13 million), but a ¥2 billion hit would have been nice here.

Edited December 21, 2014 by Mojoguy

[Mojoguy]

Corpse
 

Walt Disney Studio's Top Grossing Films (1980-)


01. ¥25.46 billion ($249.5 million)  - Frozen (2014) #3 All-Time
02. ¥4.90 billion ($40.2 million) - Dinosaur (2000)
03. ¥4.25 billion ($37.2 million) - Aladdin (1993)
04. ¥3.20 billion ($31.7 million) - The Lion King (1994)
05. ¥3.00 billion ($32.3 million) - Wreck-It Ralph (2013)
06. ¥2.91 billion ($24.5 million) - Lilo & Stitch (2003)
07. ¥2.80 billion ($26.2 million) - Tarzan (2000)
08. ¥2.68 billion ($23.1 million) - Chicken Little (2006)
09. ¥2.60 billion ($20.2 million) - Beauty and the Beast (1992)
10. ¥2.56 billion ($32.1 million) - Tangled (2011)
11. ¥2.30 billion ($19.3 million) - Peter Pan 2: Return to Neverland (2003)
12. ¥1.95 billion ($18.4 million) - The Hunchback of Notre Dame (1996)
13. ¥1.65 billion ($17.4 million) - Bolt (2009)
14. ¥1.60 billion ($14.7 million) - Brother Bear (2004)
15. ¥1.28 billion ($10.6 million) - Atlantis: The Lost Empire (2002)
16. ¥1.20 billion ($8.9 million) - The Little Mermaid (1991)
17. ¥1.10 billion ($9.3 million) - Hercules (1997)
¥1 billion+

[Mojoguy]

Corpse

 

Top All-Time Opening Weekends [REVENUE]
Revenue [screen Count] - Film (Distributor)
01 :: ¥2,222,854,550 [631] - The Matrix Reloaded (Warner Bros.)
02 :: ¥2,068,252,580 [919] - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.)
03 :: ¥2,050,745,255 [858] - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (Warner Bros.)
04 :: ¥1,944,562,960 [760] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (Disney)
05 :: ¥1,879,423,202 [758] - Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith (Fox)
06 :: ¥1,871,164,334 [796] - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (Warner Bros.)
07 :: ¥1,694,140,004 [826] - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (Warner Bros.)
08 :: ¥1,650,000,000 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) *Est.*
09 :: ¥1,644,716,870 [841] - War of the Worlds (Paramount)
10 :: ¥1,617,608,800 [638] - The Matrix Revolutions (Warner Bros.)
11 :: ¥1,604,609,245 [639] - Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones (Fox)
12 :: ¥1,550,280,200 [578] - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Warner Bros.)
13 :: ¥1,542,985,506 [729] - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Herald/Shochiku)
14 :: ¥1,483,804,112 [448] - Howl's Moving Castle (Toho)
15 :: ¥1,471,311,021 [881] - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (Disney)
16 :: ¥1,456,401,175 [550] - Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines (Toho-Towa)
17 :: ¥1,372,054,050 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Toei)
18 :: ¥1,316,539,200 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Disney)
19 :: ¥1,301,851,375 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (Warner Bros.)
20 :: ¥1,263,735,608 [408] - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (Toho)
21 :: ¥1,258,095,403 [863] - The Da Vinci Code (Sony)
22 :: ¥1,225,913,932 [428] - Rookies (Toho)
23 :: ¥1,208,276,812 [807] - Spider-Man 3 (Sony)
24 :: ¥1,133,513,323 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (T-Joy)
25 :: ¥1,113,116,126 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Disney)
26 :: ¥1,038,295,232 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Toei)
27 :: ¥1,034,459,534 [481] - Ponyo (Toho)
28 :: ¥1,013,719,284 [475] - Hero (Toho)
29 :: ¥1,010,000,000 [318] - Spirited Away (Toho)
30 :: ¥1,005,428,333 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (Toho)

Top All-Time Opening Weekends [ADMISSIONS]
Admissions [screen Count] - Film (Distributor)
01 :: 1,486,743 [631] - The Matrix Reloaded (Warner Bros.)
02 :: 1,475,000 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) *Est*
03 :: 1,469,755 [796] - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (Warner Bros.)
04 :: 1,467,945 [919] - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.)
05 :: 1,421,738 [760] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (Disney)
06 :: 1,390,446 [858] - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (Warner Bros.)
07 :: 1,359,454 [826] - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (Warner Bros.)
08 :: 1,357,977 [758] - Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith (Fox)
09 :: 1,279,120 [578] - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Warner Bros.)
10 :: 1,198,210 [729] - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Herald/Shochiku)
11 :: 1,190,009 [841] - War of the Worlds (Paramount)
12 :: 1,186,413 [881] - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (Disney)
13 :: 1,140,081 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Toei)
14 :: 1,138,689 [639] - Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones (Fox)
15 :: 1,110,913 [638] - The Matrix Revolutions (Warner Bros.)
16 :: 1,104,980 [448] - Howl's Moving Castle (Toho)
17 :: 1,043,267 [550] - Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines (Toho-Towa)
18 :: 987,387 [428] - Rookies (Toho)
19 :: 930,586 [408] - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (Toho)
20 :: 923,711 [863] - The Da Vinci Code (Sony)
21 :: 921,341 [807] - Spider-Man 3 (Sony)
22 :: 880,697 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (Warner Bros.)
23 :: 828,149 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Disney)
24 :: 819,738 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Toei)
25 :: 812,557 [481] - Ponyo (Toho)
26 :: 810,000 [318] - Spirited Away (Toho)
27 :: 805,350 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (Toho)

[Ezen Baklattan]

Because one Yokai antagonizing the Big Hero 6 wasn't enough. 

[Mojoguy]

Corpse

 

Top 25 Opening Weekends [ANIMATED FEATURES]
Weekend Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [screen Count] - Film (Release Date)

01. ¥1.650 billion ($14.2 million) / 1,475,000 [408] :: Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec '14) *Est*
02. ¥1.484 billion ($14.0 million) / 1,104,980 [448] :: Howl's Moving Castle (Nov '04)
03. ¥1.372 billion ($16.7 million) / 1,140,081 [300] :: One Piece Film Z (Dec '12)
04. ¥1.133 billion ($14.1 million) / 771,764 [223] :: Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov '12)
05. ¥1.038 billion ($11.9 million) / 819,738 [190] :: One Piece Film Strong World (Dec '09)
06. ¥1.034 billion ($9.8 million) / 812,557 [481] :: Ponyo (July '08)
07. ¥1.010 billion ($8.9 million) / 810,000 [318] :: Spirited Away (July '01)
08. ¥977.3 million ($11.1 million) / 649,190 [530] :: Toy Story 3 (July '10)
09. ¥960.9 million ($9.8 million) / 747,451 [454] :: The Wind Rises (July '13)
10. ¥907.4 million ($7.9 million) / 672,696 [435] :: Tales from Earthsea (July '06)
11. ¥898.0 million ($8.4 million) / 724,000 [654] :: Finding Nemo (Dec '03)
12. ¥895.6 million ($10.4 million) / 680,190 [447] :: Arrietty (July '10)
13. ¥847.5 million ($8.4 million) / 614,969 [661] :: Monsters University (July '13)
14. ¥789.3 million ($7.8 million) / 649,865 [341] :: Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Apr '14)
15. ¥780.9 million ($6.5 million) / 742,978 [351] :: Pokemon D&P: The Rise of Darkrai (July '07)
16. ¥767.2 million ($7.6 million) / 554,991 [319] :: Stand By Me, Doraemon (Aug '14)
17. ¥763.4 million ($7.5 million) / 602,347 [598] :: Frozen (Mar '14)
18. ¥751.8 million ($7.3 million) / 604,355 [689] :: The Incredibles (Dec '04)
19. ¥715.0 million ($6.1 million) / 540,000 [260] :: Princess Mononoke (July '97)
20. ¥703.8 million ($6.7 million) / 670,285 [359] :: Pokemon D&P: Giratina and the Sky Warrior (July '08)
21. ¥683.9 million ($7.3 million) / 561,098 [312] :: Dragon Ball Z: Battle of Gods (Mar '13)
22. ¥672.6 million ($7.1 million) / 641,700 [366] :: Pokemon D&P: Arceus and the Jewel of Life (July '09)
22. ¥671.5 million ($6.9 million) / 565,914 [344] :: Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (Apr '13)
24. ¥667.3 million ($7.2 million) / 597,899 [353] :: Doraemon: Nobita's Secret Gadget Museum (Mar '13)
25. ¥649.8 million ($6.4 million) / 539,132 [329] :: Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (Dec '13)

Recently Bumped Off:
26. ¥629.7 million ($7.7 million) / 540,975 [351] :: Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker (Apr '12)
27. ¥629.5 million ($7.2 million) / 600,602 [369] :: Pokemon D&P: Zoroark - Master of Illusion (July '10)

Big Hero 6 has a very slight chance at making the Top 25 if estimates are low, but it's probably just going to miss. Not that that's bad! Its debut is very, very strong. Only one other Disney Animation film is in the Top 25 (Frozen), along with 4 Pixar films.

[emelec]

Will the Naruto movie reach 2 billion?

Edited December 21, 2014 by emelec

[Dingdong123]

Great opening for Big Hero 6. How's the WOM there in Japan? And crap exchange rate, $60M could easily be in play if not for that.

[Olive]

BH6 OW actulas - 600.4M yen, 464k admissions.
Frozen OW - 763M YEN, 602K admissions
Ralph OW - 340M yen, 268k admissions

Edited December 22, 2014 by Sorcerer Supreme

[Olive]

Yokai Watch OW actuals: 1,628,893,000 yen,  1,484,916 admissions!

 

Top All-Time Opening Weekends [ADMISSIONS]
Admissions [screen Count] - Film (Distributor)
01 :: 1,486,743 [631] - The Matrix Reloaded (Warner Bros.)
02 :: 1,475,000 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) *Est*
03 :: 1,469,755 [796] - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (Warner Bros.)
04 :: 1,467,945 [919] - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.)
05 :: 1,421,738 [760] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (Disney)
06 :: 1,390,446 [858] - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (Warner Bros.)
07 :: 1,359,454 [826] - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (Warner Bros.)
08 :: 1,357,977 [758] - Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith (Fox)
09 :: 1,279,120 [578] - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Warner Bros.)
10 :: 1,198,210 [729] - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Herald/Shochiku)

[lab276]

Yokai Watch OW actuals: 1,628,893,000 yen,  1,484,916 admissions!

1,486,743 [631] - The Matrix Reloaded (Warner Bros.)

So close to beating Matrix Reloaded.

[edroger3]

Toho admissions

 

Day  Frozen    BH6       YoHW

0    49.224  
1    58.491    46.753   133.455
2    64.414    47.611   137.103
3    19.967    16.834    45.005
Tot 192.096   111.198   315.563

[SchumacherFTW]

Is that a good Monday number for both?

Edited December 22, 2014 by Schumacher FTW

[Fullbuster]

$5.2m OW for BH6 is fine, and second biggest Disney movie behind Frozen is nothing to be ashamed of

I still hope the WOM will be so good it will beat the expectations and will reach $100m

[Dingdong123]

$5.2m OW for BH6 is fine, and second biggest Disney movie behind Frozen is nothing to be ashamed of

I still hope the WOM will be so good it will beat the expectations and will reach $100m

Lol. I'm fine with the 50-55M total, just in line with the predictions. But it won't help Baymax's chances of hitting 400M OS.

[catlover]

BH6's OW is not just fine. It's actually pretty impressive. I didn't expect it would be over 600m yen, especially against a monster hit. The crappy exchange rate makes it look less impressive. Now I'm hoping it gets at least 10x multiplier for a 6b+ total . But I will still be happy with 5b yen.

[CelestialFairyIX]

Pretty impressive debut by Big Hero 6 there!  Now, let us pray that this movie possesses good legs and WOM so that it can get past $60 million USD!