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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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14 minutes ago, Foul01 said:

Frozen was released 1 month before the Golden Week started in Japan while Zootopia just 1 week before

 

It kind of makes me wonder how different the numbers would have been if Zootopia had been released in Japan a few weeks earlier.

 

We are seeing a clear pattern of Zootopia holds and increases due to good word-of-mouth spreading.

 

Had we had that spread of word-of-mouth before Golden Week started, maybe we wouldn't even need to talk about if Zootopia can still hit 1 Billion now. 

Sure, but Zootopia's later release also makes it possible for it to stick around for the Obon season.

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50 minutes ago, Foul01 said:

Frozen was released 1 month before the Golden Week started in Japan while Zootopia just 1 week before

 

It kind of makes me wonder how different the numbers would have been if Zootopia had been released in Japan a few weeks earlier.

 

We are seeing a clear pattern of Zootopia holds and increases due to good word-of-mouth spreading.

 

Had we had that spread of word-of-mouth before Golden Week started, maybe we wouldn't even need to talk about if Zootopia can still hit 1 Billion now. 

$1 bil ww is a done deal.

34 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Sure, but Zootopia's later release also makes it possible for it to stick around for the Obon season.

Disney released Frozen dvd  4 months after it opened in Japan just at the start of summer season

Obon is about 4 months after Theater release. They screwed the BO pooch once, they'll do it again

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6 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

$1 bil ww is a done deal.

Disney released Frozen dvd  4 months after it opened in Japan just at the start of summer season

Obon is about 4 months after Theater release. They screwed the BO pooch once, they'll do it again

July is still pretty busy for movies. Zootopia will see some of that.

Edited by cannastop
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Zootopia clears 100000 admissions at 16:00 local time. How much might it end the day with?

 

AEON 2016/5/22 3:55 PM JST 

 *1 *99655 ズートピア
 *2 *24333 殿、利息でござる!
 *3 *23403 世界から猫が消えたなら
 *4 *21447 名探偵コナン2016 純黒の…
Edited by Arlo245
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31 minutes ago, Arlo245 said:

Zootopia clears 100000 admissions at 16:00 local time. How much might it end the day with?

 

It's currently 12.3% over Sunday's rate. I see it ending between 10%-12%, so 125,000-127,000.

 

da7tazR.png

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6 hours ago, cannastop said:

Funny you should make that tasteless remark when Zootopia satirizes attitudes like that nearly word for word.

 

5 minutes ago, fastclock said:

It was a pure compliment to the Japanese people

Funny how people are so PC that they are offended by a compliment of a people. I said difficult as Chinese math and got a reprimand for it. People are different throughout the world. Nothing wrong with complimenting their positive attributes of complexity and morals that stand out.

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7 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

 

Funny how people are so PC that they are offended by a compliment of a people. I said difficult as Chinese math and got a reprimand for it. People are different throughout the world. Nothing wrong with complimenting their positive attributes of complexity and morals that stand out.

 

I agree with you on this.

 

And there is almost no piracy in Japan for one because it is reprimanded very severely and for two because Japanese people tend to obey authorities.

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Sunday (5/22)

*1 126482 327660 1067 226 111.4% ズートピア
*2 *31632 203089 1041 209 *85.0% 世界から猫が消えたなら
*3 *28577 214855 1043 216 *70.5% 殿、利息でござる!
*4 *27247 149741 *822 220 *69.8% 名探偵コナン2016 純黒の悪夢(ナイトメア)
*5 *22187 156049 *951 218 *68.2% 64-ロクヨン-前編
*6 *21550 239888 *901 174 ****** 海よりもまだ深く

 

Weekend (5/21-5/22)

*1 219892 656660 2145 226 103.7% ズートピア
*2 *58093 409134 2100 209 *70.4% 世界から猫が消えたなら
*3 *55931 431959 2101 216 *64.7% 殿、利息でござる!
*4 *49107 302206 1654 220 *64.9% 名探偵コナン2016 純黒の悪夢(ナイトメア)
*5 *46053 485914 1822 174 ****** 海よりもまだ深く
*6 *44348 315142 1920 218 *60.5% 64-ロクヨン-前編

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and BoxOfficeMojo's estimate for the past week's numbers are in.

 

Domestic side,

Current gross is $334.4M... The debut of Angry Birds did not seem to have affected Zootopia very much.

The week-over-week drop for weekends is estimated to be 40%, which is not much more than the average 25%~30% weekly drop.

Considering the reviews of Angry Birds (43% on rotten tomatoes now), this is likely the most that Angry Birds can make Zootopia drop from now on.

A final number of between $338M~$340M is likely.

 

OS-Japan side,

The gross last week is only around $1.4M... There is probably only around $1.5M more left in the current markets.

Turkey may well help contribute $2M~$3M, but that's it.

Final gross should be around $609.5M~$611M

 

Japan side,

Another weekly increase in revenue. 

The weekend gross should be around $4.6M, making the weekly gross $7M and the total gross so far around $41.3M.

$60M is the minimum that Japan can do now. Anywhere between $65M~$75M is possible... with good chances of increasing.

 
  Current Final Estimate
Domestic  $            334,400,000  $               339,000,000
OS-Japan  $            606,400,000  $               610,500,000
Japan  $              41,000,000  $                 70,000,000
   $            981,800,000  $          1,019,500,000

 

 

Even without the Domestic and OS-Japan markets, Japan could still push Zootopia pass 1 Billion now.

 

Can someone please pop the confettis?

Edited by Foul01
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With one billion dollars assured, I'm looking at two further milestones.

 

Reasonable: Pass at least two billion-dollar movies. The next one after Dark Knight is the first Hobbit movie, at 1021.1 million. That's only 1.6 million above Foul01's estimate, so it's probably a coin-flip right now.

 

Challenging: Pass Big Hero 6 in Japan. That earned $76.8 million, so it will be difficult, especially with the yen depreciating again.

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