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hasanahmad

Tuesday box office estimates 5/23/2012 Avengers 4.8 BS 2.2 Dictator 2.1

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TA will be losing a lot of 3D showings and all of its IMAX. Friday increase could be less than 100%.

Dude, move on. At this point Disney could pull the movie and it wouldn't matter.
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Tues 4.8 - 468.15mWed 3.84 (-20%) - 471.99mThurs 4.18 (+9%) - 476.17mFri 9.4(+125%) - 485.57mSat 13.16(40%) - 498.73mSun 12.37 (-6%) - 511.1mSo it will be close.... I hope it passes on Sunday.

Friday increase is quite a bit lower than IM2. TA has been neck and neck with IM2 on increases for Friday.
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Friday increase is quite a bit lower than IM2. TA has been neck and neck with IM2 on increases for Friday.

True, but this is facing its stiffest competition this Friday and on top of that, loss of many 3D screens. TA is losing Imax as well, right?
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Tues 4.8 - 468.15mWed 3.84 (-20%) - 471.99mThurs 4.18 (+9%) - 476.17mFri 9.4(+125%) - 485.57mSat 13.16(40%) - 498.73mSun 12.37 (-6%) - 511.1mSo it will be close.... I hope it passes on Sunday.

why is there a 9% increase on thursday
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True, but this is facing its stiffest competition this Friday and on top of that, loss of many 3D screens. TA is losing Imax as well, right?

I am not worried about losing 3D screens plus it was sharing IMAX with DS. Most movies can coexist because multiple 3d screens. IM2 didn't have something like MIB3 opening but it had 3 movies that will make similar money or more than MIB3. Jump should be similar.
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Rest of your numbers are good. Is there a reason you chose 125% jump for Friday rather than 140%.

Slight smaller jump due to MIB3. Honestly 125% increase is the lowest I see it increasing so I used that to show it hitting 500m on Sunday rather than Saturday. 140% is entirely possible but I think 130-135% is where it lands.
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