Parasite Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 La Belle Epoque should open to at least 60-70k OD. 1 million admissions total is likely. 30-30k OD for Midway, not great. Hors Normes started outgrossing Joker on Tuesday. Hopefully that means WOM is spreading and a great hold next week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Cine-directors is predicting 35% drop for Joker and 60% drop for Mal 2!!!! Were there any school breaks until last week that helped Mal 2 and now suddenly it will have a huge drop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJ 95 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 (edited) 15 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Cine-directors is predicting 35% drop for Joker and 60% drop for Mal 2!!!! Were there any school breaks until last week that helped Mal 2 and now suddenly it will have a huge drop. Yup, there is also next week Monday holiday to help actually. Let's see they always underestimate but I think this week they will be close to actual. Edited November 6, 2019 by RJ 95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted November 7, 2019 Share Posted November 7, 2019 62 169 admissions OD (inc. 15k previews) for La Belle Epoque. With Nov. 11, OWeek should be in the 450k area. 1M total is locked, and it can probably shoot for 1,5M admissions now. WOM seems pretty good. 19 318 for Midway and 10 137 (inc. 5k previews) for I lost my body. Awful for both. La Belle Epoque led all movies on Wednesday, followed by Joker. Hors Normes was third. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 (edited) Top 20 Weekend https://www.boxofficepro.fr/box-office-week-end-la-belle-epoque-a-la-fete/ Rank Title Distributor Admissions Prints Average Total Week 1 LA BELLE ÉPOQUE PATHÉ 392 757 (NEW) 548 717 392 757 1 2 JOKER WARNER 341 000 (-51%) 754 452 4 951 618 5 3 HORS NORMES GAUMONT 269 631 (-39%) 719 375 1 416 116 3 4 MALEFIQUE : LE POUVOIR DU MAL DISNEY 205 391 (-61%) 575 357 2 312 581 4 5 ABOMINABLE UNIVERSAL 174 083 (-69%) 742 235 1 549 202 3 6 MIDWAY METROPOLITAN 172 925 (NEW) 403 429 172 925 1 7 RETOUR À ZOMBIELAND SONY 122 604 (-52%) 328 374 419 576 2 8 TERMINATOR: DARK FATE FOX 92 000 (-63%) 455 202 815 397 3 9 MON CHIEN STUPIDE STUDIOCANAL 86 233 (-63%) 425 203 376 489 2 10 DONNE-MOI DES AILES SND 69 649 (-64%) 579 120 1 135 766 4 12. Doctor Sleep : 54 000 (-59%) 13. Adults in the room : 49 506 NEW Harsh drops for everything because of the end of the school break. Hors Normes is showing its incredible WOM with the best hold of the top 20 (tied with Le Traître ). Joker's hold isn't glowing, but it's still far better that some other films. Very good OW for La Belle Epoque. Should go well above 1M admissions. It isn't in the chart, but the Mylène Farmer Concert broke records and should be ranked 7th. All the other openers bombed. Midway's score is better than its OD suggested, but it's stil very poor. Terminator : Dark Fate has had awful holds and will be crawling to 1M. All films will be boosted by 11/11, which isn't included here. Edited November 12, 2019 by Parasite 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jason1230 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Does TROS has midnight premieres? or it starts off from 10 or 10:30am. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 The only showings listed now are 3D, full ps will start on 18/11, so they will be adding many shows, but for now it looks like normal 9-10am start, without midnights. Ford v Ferrari is looking at about 100k OD if it follows Ad Astra or Gemini Man in pre-sales. That would be a lot higher than what was expected, but even a likelier 80k OD would be a big overperformance. Presales are also indicating J'accuse to open at around 50-60k OD. 1M will be in play. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 13 hours ago, Parasite said: The only showings listed now are 3D, full ps will start on 18/11, so they will be adding many shows, but for now it looks like normal 9-10am start, without midnights. Ford v Ferrari is looking at about 100k OD if it follows Ad Astra or Gemini Man in pre-sales. That would be a lot higher than what was expected, but even a likelier 80k OD would be a big overperformance. Presales are also indicating J'accuse to open at around 50-60k OD. 1M will be in play. Paris 14h suggests that Ford v Ferrari is doing nowhere near 80k OD. It's playing more like Anna and John Wick 3 than Ad Astra or Gemini Man in terms of pre-sales frontloading. Maybe 40k OD if evenings are really good. Not great. J'accuse is breaking out, at least in Paris. Probably 60k + previews OD at least. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Linkinitouille Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 (edited) Top 10 Week November 6-12 Rank Title Distributor Admissions Prints Average Total Week 1 LA BELLE ÉPOQUE PATHÉ 565 429 (NEW) 549 1 030 565 429 1 2 JOKER WARNER 463 547 (-40%) 754 615 5 074 165 5 3 HORS NORMES (THE SPECIALS) GAUMONT 382 646 (-28%) 719 532 1 529 131 3 4 MALEFICENT: MISTRESS OF EVIL DISNEY 295 221 (-47%) 575 513 2 402 411 4 5 ABOMINABLE UNIVERSAL 262 442 (-55%) 742 354 1 637 561 3 6 MIDWAY METROPOLITAN 238 069 (NEW) 403 591 238 069 1 7 ZOMBIELAND: DOUBLE TAP SONY 161 784 (-46%) 328 493 458 756 2 8 TERMINATOR: DARK FATE FOX 126 753 (-54%) 455 279 850 150 3 9 MON CHIEN STUPIDE STUDIOCANAL 122 483 (-58%) 425 288 412 739 2 10 AU NOM DE LA TERRE DIAPHANA 107 892 (-33%) 450 240 1 845 632 4 La belle époque finishes the week strongly with a great November 11 holiday and will be another movie that will cross 1M. It dethrones Joker which shifts to second place and crosses the 5M admissions mark which is absolutely incredible. Hors Normes will go well above 2M, Maleficent will try to reach 3M at the end of the year, Abominable will aim for 2M, Midway bombs and won't go above 500k. Zombieland 2 will aim for 700k while TDF probably won't reach 1M. Opening Day - November 13 releases Rank Title Distributor Admissions Prints Average Previews True OD 1 J'ACCUSE (AN OFFICER AND A SPY) GAUMONT 56 680 545 104 10 268 46 412 2 LE MANS 66 (FORD V. FERRARI) FOX 52 326 378 138 15 810 36 516 3 COUNTDOWN METROPOLITAN 21 363 238 90 3 296 18 067 4 LITTLE JOE BAC 3 570 82 44 2 148 1 422 5 NOURA REVE PANAME 3 441 53 65 2 158 1 283 J'accuse takes 1st place despite the turmoil surrounding the rape accusations towards Roman Polanski. Many previews have been cancelled, but the movie is still successful nonetheless. It can reach 1M.Le Mans 66 is a bit of a disappointment knowing the potential of Damon and Bale, but french people tend to reject movies about racing that are not animated. Rush was a huge failure here, and so were movies like Speed Racer, Need for Speed, Death Race... So the score is less disappointing than expected. With good WOM it can still be on track for 1M. Countdown does fairly well with a not-so-wide release but other horror movies like Escape Room performed better on a similar range of prints. Edited November 15, 2019 by Linkinitouille 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Linkinitouille Posted November 18, 2019 Share Posted November 18, 2019 (edited) Top 20 Weekend November 13-17 https://www.boxofficepro.fr/box-office-week-end-jaccuse-prend-les-commandes/ Rank Title Distributor Admissions Prints Average Total Week 1 J'ACCUSE (AN OFFICER AND A SPY) GAUMONT 386 720 (NEW) 545 710 386 720 1 2 LE MANS 66 (FORD V. FERRARI) FOX 336 657 (NEW) 378 891 336 657 1 3 LA BELLE ÉPOQUE PATHÉ 237 722 (-37%) 667 356 803 151 2 4 HORS NORMES (THE SPECIALS) GAUMONT 186 180 (-31%) 814 229 1 715 311 4 5 JOKER WARNER 179 498 (-47%) 610 294 5 253 663 6 6 COUNTDOWN METROPOLITAN 130 636 (NEW) 238 535 130 636 1 7 ABOMINABLE UNIVERSAL 116 785 (-33%) 634 184 1 754 346 4 8 MALEFICENT: MISTRESS OF EVIL DISNEY 116 521 (-43%) 567 206 2 519 036 5 9 MIDWAY METROPOLITAN 85 798 (-50%) 408 210 323 867 2 10 ZOMBIELAND: DOUBLE TAP SONY 60 081 (-51%) 355 169 518 837 3 J'accuse confirms its strong start and ranks at #1. The road to 1M is open for Polanski's latest film. However Le Mans 66 gets a better average per theater and can still pretend for 1M which is rare for racing movies in France. La belle époque will in the coming weeks cross the 1M mark for real, while Hors Normes will go for 2M before November ends. Joker will try to reach 6M before the end of the year. Countdown debuts at #6 with a decent average but does a lower score than mid-range horror movies like Ready or Not. It will reach 300k, which is higher than Doctor Sleep. Abominable, Maleficent 2, Midway and Zombieland 2 complete the top 10. Edited November 18, 2019 by Linkinitouille 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 WOW. Frozen II sold 77830 tickets in pre-sales at Pathé-Gaumont. It's 10x higher than Aladdin and 460% of Toy Story 4. Aladdin, Maleficent and Toy Story 4 indicate an OD around 700k admissions, while the TLK comp is giving it 470k OD. 500k would be absolutely phenomenal. Reviews and early ratings aren't so hot right now, so we'll see if it hurts it. Les Misérables is also off to a great start ! Pre-sales are indicating that it could open around 50-60k OD. 7 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 8470 admissions Paris 14h for Frozen. 2nd best of the year, only behind Endgame. 10 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Max Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 361,818 admissions on day 1 in France for Frozen II 4th Biggest start of the year after AEG , TLK & FFH 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Roughly $2.65mn OD. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Les Misérables is breaking out with 73 068 admissions (including 15k previews) ond its way to 550k OWeek. Distributor Le Pacte has been pushing this one hard. Early WOM seems really good, with 4.1/5 on Allociné and a phenomenal 8.0 on Senscritique with already over 1k ratings. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Is there any website in France presenting the audience score for movie (to indicate the WOM)?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parasite Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 50 minutes ago, PKMLover said: Is there any website in France presenting the audience score for movie (to indicate the WOM)?? http://www.allocine.fr/film/fichefilm_gen_cfilm=233713.html https://www.senscritique.com/film/La_Reine_des_Neiges_II/12847392 Average on both sites, but it's still very early (only 200 ratings on each) and it could fluctuate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 2 hours ago, Parasite said: http://www.allocine.fr/film/fichefilm_gen_cfilm=233713.html https://www.senscritique.com/film/La_Reine_des_Neiges_II/12847392 Average on both sites, but it's still very early (only 200 ratings on each) and it could fluctuate. Yikes that is not good. Normally movies start higher and then go down. Let us see how things go after a day or two. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Frozen2 opens with 1,98M, more than the double the first including previews. Now it's all about the legs WE Frozen 1 Frozen 2 1st 776 --- 954 1.980 --- 1.980 2nd 656 -15% 1.697 3rd 619 -6% 2.434 4th 752 21% 3.471 5th 646 -14% 4.384 6th 151 -77% 4.565 7th 124 -18% 4.698 8th 95 -23% 4.802 5,152M 6,000M F1 had a multi of 6,6x - F2 shouln't have a problem getting to 3x+ and 6M+. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJ 95 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, Aristis said: Frozen2 opens with 1,98M, more than the double the first including previews. Now it's all about the legs WE Frozen 1 Frozen 2 1st 776 --- 954 1.980 --- 1.980 2nd 656 -15% 1.697 3rd 619 -6% 2.434 4th 752 21% 3.471 5th 646 -14% 4.384 6th 151 -77% 4.565 7th 124 -18% 4.698 8th 95 -23% 4.802 5,152M 6,000M F1 had a multi of 6,6x - F2 shouln't have a problem getting to 3x+ and 6M+. Cine director massively underestimated this last week with 1.8m weekly, when it already 1.98m weekend lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
