danhtruong5 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 (edited) If F2 OW is around $30M here, it needs to pull around x3-3.2 legs to finish in the $90M range. IW opened with $39M OW, had x2.25 legs. Endgame opened with $47.6M, had x2.2 legs. What are the egg score for these two? Hope F2 wont be as much frontload as these two. Edited November 21, 2019 by danhtruong5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 33 minutes ago, UserHN said: Any predictions for F2 OW in Korea? It’s very early, but I’d take maybe 600+650+1.4+1.2= just under 4M? In USD I guess that gets you ~29M 17 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said: If F2 OW is around $30M here, it needs to pull around x3-3.2 legs to finish in the $90M range. IW opened with $39M OW, had x2.25 legs. Endgame opened with $47.6M, had x2.2 legs. What are the egg score for these two? Hope F2 wont be as much frontload as these two. Being 4 day instead of 5 knocks maybe 11% off the OW, should increase legs commensurately. Thinking at least 2.7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said: twice as much negative will toward the 96 as the 98 never really thought that way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 23 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: It’s very early, but I’d take maybe 600+650+1.4+1.2= just under 4M? In USD I guess that gets you ~29M Being 4 day instead of 5 knocks maybe 11% off the OW, should increase legs commensurately. Thinking at least 2.7 Where can I check the egg score? I don't see it on Naver website. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 CGV roughly heading for 286k admits, that shall roughly amount to 575k opening day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said: CGV roughly heading for 286k admits, that shall roughly amount to 575k opening day. What about the opening weekend? $29M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 (edited) CGV 284k final. Opening day estimated at 579k Approx or $4.1mn Edited November 21, 2019 by Jedi Jat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 PS up to 1.174M. Lots of PS lurking in FSS, hopefully CGV shows how much for F in an hour. Today trajectory seems reasonable enough for a toon, and PSm reasonable enough for a super hyped mega preseller. Wish we had IW hourlies, but alas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $4,153,672 ($4,163,101) 599,384 (600,549) 2,343 82.39% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $465,940 ($10,488,508) 67,525 (1,452,823) 842 9.24% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $141,202 ($14,528,488) 20,295 (1,989,798) 633 2.8% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $78,599 ($25,028,619) 11,990 (3,571,181) 447 1.55% 5 The Faceless Boss South Korea Nov 21, 2019 $30,141 ($33,560) 4,514 (5,037) 279 0.59% 6 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $27,884 ($16,794,058) 4,061 (2,359,920) 196 0.55% 7 Moonlit Winter South Korea Nov 14, 2019 $13,929 ($354,148) 2,217 (52,780) 71 0.27% 8 The Good Liar U.S. Dec 05, 2019 $15,807 ($15,807) 2,125 (2,125) 10 0.31% 9 The Irishman U.S. Nov 20, 2019 $13,336 ($36,547) 1,909 (5,106) 59 0.26% 10 Angel Has Fallen U.S. Nov 13, 2019 $10,454 ($1,155,561) 1,607 (165,949) 152 0.2% Should increase to 610+/4.25+ if I’m remembering correctly. That’s more the CGV ratio I was hoping for. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 10 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $4,153,672 ($4,163,101) 599,384 (600,549) 2,343 82.39% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $465,940 ($10,488,508) 67,525 (1,452,823) 842 9.24% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $141,202 ($14,528,488) 20,295 (1,989,798) 633 2.8% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $78,599 ($25,028,619) 11,990 (3,571,181) 447 1.55% 5 The Faceless Boss South Korea Nov 21, 2019 $30,141 ($33,560) 4,514 (5,037) 279 0.59% 6 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $27,884 ($16,794,058) 4,061 (2,359,920) 196 0.55% 7 Moonlit Winter South Korea Nov 14, 2019 $13,929 ($354,148) 2,217 (52,780) 71 0.27% 8 The Good Liar U.S. Dec 05, 2019 $15,807 ($15,807) 2,125 (2,125) 10 0.31% 9 The Irishman U.S. Nov 20, 2019 $13,336 ($36,547) 1,909 (5,106) 59 0.26% 10 Angel Has Fallen U.S. Nov 13, 2019 $10,454 ($1,155,561) 1,607 (165,949) 152 0.2% Should increase to 610+/4.25+ if I’m remembering correctly. That’s more the CGV ratio I was hoping for. What did you mean by this? In the table, it is 600/4.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 (edited) 2 minutes ago, PKMLover said: What did you mean by this? In the table, it is 600/4.1 Not final numbers. Initial estimates for daily gross inch up a bit as final data and counting rolls in. Edited November 21, 2019 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 From a Wed OD to a Thurs D2, would expect PSm up be 20-30%, for 2.4x-2.6. With Fri D2, maybe higher PS and less PSm bump, will call for 2.2-2.5. 00:20 CGV is 129k, gives about 300k final CGV. Say .47 CGV ratio, roughly 650k total, 4.8 USD? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 So Egg is down to 95 and naver at 9.22/8.89. Definitely this wont pull in a Aladdin kind of run. Though that was never expected. Question is can it beat the admits of 1st movie. Should happen with huge OW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Opening day of select movies:- Spiderman FFH - 674.574 Black Panther - 630,468 Age of Ultron - 622,165 Frozen 2 - 606,018 The Lion King - 304,793 Kung Fu Panda 3 - 222,044 Frozen 1 - 160,592 Incredibles 2 - 122,594 Aladdin - 72,736 This shows that Frozen 2 is in a league of its own if compared to other animated movie. It’s more in line with a SH movie. In fact only 6 SH movie ever have had a bigger OD than Frozen 2. If it has typical SH movie multiplier then its 4 day OW should be around 3.5m. But Animated movies typically have better multipliers, so OW is likely gonna be much higher than that. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 25 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: roughly 650k total, 4.8 USD 650k shall give 5mn. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Already over 900k presales lurking in Sat+Sun. Those should do huge business, perhaps 2nd only Endgame among HW. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: So Egg is down to 95 and naver at 9.22/8.89. Definitely this wont pull in a Aladdin kind of run. Though that was never expected. Question is can it beat the admits of 1st movie. Should happen with huge OW. Can it manage x3 legs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 CGV at 129k, shall do 660-670k, which shall take 2 days total to $9.25mn. Now what's more impressive is that there is already 900k tickets sold post Friday, with Mostly Saturday around 550k easily I guess. By Tomorrow midnight, CGV shall be 350-375k range for Saturday, that gives it chance to go over 1.5mn, may be more. I think, it will easily 4mn admissions for 4 days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 (edited) Yep it should go around 650k, sat and sunday are looking at 1.45m and 1.25m I guess (this could explode on the weekend but I don't know for sure with this much hype). That would be good for an OW of almost 4m. Walk ups could be stronger friday and might make a push for 700k. and about $28.6m for the weekend. If it wasn't a super hyped movie it could be looking at 1.8m sat but it won't 😛 Edited November 21, 2019 by pepsa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: So Egg is down to 95 and naver at 9.22/8.89. Definitely this wont pull in a Aladdin kind of run. Though that was never expected. Question is can it beat the admits of 1st movie. Should happen with huge OW. What does 9.22/8.89 mean? And why is bad 95? also do you have the link to see how is rating in South korea whenever i want? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...