South Korea Box Office

[pepsa]

2 hours ago, PKMLover said:

Monday drop 80% from sunday??

Panic mode

Don't worry if drops 80% on tuesday you can panic

[Legion Again]

From the first 4 days plus Mon PS I think it’s safe to say an 11-14 mil finish. Personally thinking toward the higher end, bon’t go narrower until more data. Of course that’s the difference between HW #5 and HW #1, so either way — spectacular. Sat-Sun in particular are the most impressive Sat-Sun I know of, and being 2.5x OD+Fri is a clear indication that this is a weekend heavy film and data from at least next Sat will be needed before we know how it’s holding.

Edited November 24, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[pepsa]

3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

From the first 4 days plus Mon PS I think it’s safe to say an 11-14 mil finish. Personally thinking toward the higher end, bon’t go narrower until more data. Of course that’s the difference between HW #5 and HW #1, so either way — spectacular. Sat-Sun in particular are the most impressive Sat-Sun I know of, and being 2.5x OD+Fri is a clear indication that this is a weekend heavy film and data from at least next Sat will be needed before we know how it’s holding.

Yep weekends will be so important for this movie. If it can get good holds in it's 3 and 4th weekend it could go 14m.

Second weekend should be good (almost all large movies have a good second weekend), the third weekend is where you can see the real legs I think.

[imbruglia]

CGV Want To See 

 

2019.11.27
Bring Me Home - 3,359 (+1,560) *local
Crawl - 1,060 (+474)
Hustlers - 2,370 (+1,113) 

 

2019.12.04
A Little Princess - 943 (+408) *local
KNIVES OUT - 2,919 (+1.411)
Ford v. Ferrari - 3,229 (+1,479)

 

2019.12.05
Last Christmas - 2,645 (+1,632)

 

2019.12.11
Jumanji- The Next Level - 2,195 (+836) *December

 

2019.12.24
Cats - 3,375 (+431)

 

December
Baek Doo San - 1,290 (+751) *local 
Si Dong - 988(+582) *local 
Forbidden Dream - 616(+324) *local 

 

2020
Dolittle -1,422 (+268) *Jan
Star Wars- The Rise of Skywalker - 1.224 (+268) *Jan
Top Gun- Maverick - 1,666 (+132) *June
THE KING’S MAN - 3,153 (+373) *September

[imbruglia]

btw, this week's Wednesday is culture day.

[Feanor]

15 minutes ago, imbruglia said:

CGV Want To See 

 

2019.11.27
Bring Me Home - 3,359 (+1,560) *local
Crawl - 1,060 (+474)
Hustlers - 2,370 (+1,113) 

 

2019.12.04
A Little Princess - 943 (+408) *local
KNIVES OUT - 2,919 (+1.411)
Ford v. Ferrari - 3,229 (+1,479)

 

2019.12.05
Last Christmas - 2,645 (+1,632)

 

2019.12.11
Jumanji- The Next Level - 2,195 (+836) *December

 

2019.12.24
Cats - 3,375 (+431)

 

December
Baek Doo San - 1,290 (+751) *local 
Si Dong - 988(+582) *local 
Forbidden Dream - 616(+324) *local 

 

2020
Dolittle -1,422 (+268) *Jan
Star Wars- The Rise of Skywalker - 1.224 (+268) *Jan
Top Gun- Maverick - 1,666 (+132) *June
THE KING’S MAN - 3,153 (+373) *September

Maybe Cats will break out here lol

[Legion Again]

1		Frozen 2 U.S.	Nov 21, 2019	$2,426,044 ($34,747,514)	348,784 (4,786,667)	2,187	75.63%
2		BLACK MONEY South Korea	Nov 13, 2019	$395,055 ($13,607,723)	58,039 (1,875,454)	836	12.31%
3		The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea	Nov 07, 2019	$111,049 ($15,342,599)	16,538 (2,101,732)	618	3.46%
4		KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982  South Korea	Oct 23, 2019	$69,771 ($25,437,871)	10,526 (3,629,902)	460	2.17%
5		Terminator: Dark Fate U.S.	Oct 30, 2019	$34,079 ($16,988,114)	5,022 (2,388,160)	214	1.06%

 

So maybe 355 or so in the end, a nice -77%. PSm slightly more than doubled and CGV ratio was also a bit better than my morning projection.     
 

Tuesday the PSm normally drops slightly, maybe 3.3. Tues CGV PS are 50k, so that would give 165k or so final CGV for a nearly flat 340k or so final day. Good sign for legs if it hits that.

 

 That also leaves about 200 of the 315 overall presales unaccounted for. Thinking a lot are on Culture Day and the Wed CGV PS might come in 120+   
 

Incidentally I notice that this means F2’s 5-day just slightly edges out IW’s 5-day open. Will fall behind soon as IW’s first week has Labor Dah, but may regain the lead by Sun if things drop nicely.

Edited November 25, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[PKMLover]

4 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

1		Frozen 2 U.S.	Nov 21, 2019	$2,426,044 ($34,747,514)	348,784 (4,786,667)	2,187	75.63%
2		BLACK MONEY South Korea	Nov 13, 2019	$395,055 ($13,607,723)	58,039 (1,875,454)	836	12.31%
3		The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea	Nov 07, 2019	$111,049 ($15,342,599)	16,538 (2,101,732)	618	3.46%
4		KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982  South Korea	Oct 23, 2019	$69,771 ($25,437,871)	10,526 (3,629,902)	460	2.17%
5		Terminator: Dark Fate U.S.	Oct 30, 2019	$34,079 ($16,988,114)	5,022 (2,388,160)	214	1.06%

 

So maybe 355 or so in the end, a nice -77%. PSm slightly more than doubled and CGV ratio was also a bit better than my morning projection.     
 

Tuesday the PSm normally drops slightly, maybe 3.3. Tues CGV PS are 50k, so that would give 165k or so final CGV for a nearly flat 340k or so final day. Good sign for legs if it hits that.

 

 That also leaves about 200 of the 315 overall presales unaccounted for. Thinking a lot are on Culture Day and the Wed CGV PS might come in 120+

Can we know this film has good or bad legs yet?

[Legion Again]

Just now, PKMLover said:

Can we know this film has good or bad legs yet?

No

[ZeeSoh]

Frozen 2 has the 4th highest OW for a Foreign movie and 6th highest overall (I think)

 

Endgame - 6.308m (5 days)

Infinity War - 4.764m (5 days)

Spider-man FFH - 4.520m (6 days)

Frozen - 4.437m (4 days)

 

Note that Frozen 2 had a 4 day OW whereas others had 5-6 days OW. If Frozen 2 had a 5 day OW it woud have easily overtaken Infinity War, Spiderman FFH and Roaring Current for top 3-4 OW of all time. 

[keysersoze123]

Monday number is excellent. Question is where it is on thursday. Can it stay sub 50%?

[pepsa]

7 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

1		Frozen 2 U.S.	Nov 21, 2019	$2,426,044 ($34,747,514)	348,784 (4,786,667)	2,187	75.63%
2		BLACK MONEY South Korea	Nov 13, 2019	$395,055 ($13,607,723)	58,039 (1,875,454)	836	12.31%
3		The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea	Nov 07, 2019	$111,049 ($15,342,599)	16,538 (2,101,732)	618	3.46%
4		KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982  South Korea	Oct 23, 2019	$69,771 ($25,437,871)	10,526 (3,629,902)	460	2.17%
5		Terminator: Dark Fate U.S.	Oct 30, 2019	$34,079 ($16,988,114)	5,022 (2,388,160)	214	1.06%

 

So maybe 355 or so in the end, a nice -77%. PSm slightly more than doubled and CGV ratio was also a bit better than my morning projection.     
 

Tuesday the PSm normally drops slightly, maybe 3.3. Tues CGV PS are 50k, so that would give 165k or so final CGV for a nearly flat 340k or so final day. Good sign for legs if it hits that.

 

 That also leaves about 200 of the 315 overall presales unaccounted for. Thinking a lot are on Culture Day and the Wed CGV PS might come in 120+   
 

Incidentally I notice that this means F2’s 5-day just slightly edges out IW’s 5-day open. Will fall behind soon as IW’s first week has Labor Dah, but may regain the lead by Sun if things drop nicely.

Culture day should do over 500k admission easily. Also we should see big ps gain in the next few days. Before the weekend it should try to hit 600k in ps's. It's could also be that it isn't as ps driven as TS4 was, daily walk ups have been good so far.

Edited November 25, 2019 by pepsa

[UserHN]

3 hours ago, pepsa said:

Culture day should do over 500k admission easily. Also we should see big ps gain in the next few days. Before the weekend it should try to hit 600k in ps's. It's could also be that it isn't as ps driven as TS4 was, daily walk ups have been good so far.

It also helps that Into the Unknown is ranking high in digital charts.

[Legion Again]

It’s after 1, so this will be closer to final: 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Frozen 2 U.S.	Nov 21, 2019	$2,202,509 ($36,955,893)	319,368 (5,110,944)	2,226	71.37%
2		BLACK MONEY South Korea	Nov 13, 2019	$385,088 ($13,991,834)	56,983 (1,933,909)	856	12.48%
3		The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea	Nov 07, 2019	$109,483 ($15,443,705)	16,391 (2,118,763)	647	3.54%
4		KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982  South Korea	Oct 23, 2019	$78,314 ($25,495,097)	11,897 (3,641,869)	490	2.53%
5		A Little Princess South Korea	Dec 04, 2019	$53,130 ($164,485)	10,465 (29,663)	62	1.72%
6		Terminator: Dark Fate U.S.	Oct 30, 2019	$35,146 ($17,009,567)	5,480 (2,393,734)	220	1.13%

 

CGV PSm dropped to about 3.1, so around a 9% drop. Totally fine.    
 

CGV PS for culture day are a massive 152k. At minimum it should do 2x and 50% ratio for low 600s, but I think 700 or even 700+ are pretty possible. I wonder what the current non-OD culture day record is.

Edited November 26, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[titanic2187]

Only if Frozen 2 have at least one public holiday in its first 2 week run..........

[druv10]

Frozen 2 598,796 (5,709,798)

[danhtruong5]

Just now, druv10 said:

Frozen 2 598,796 (5,709,798)

Final number yet? 

[Legion Again]

27 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

Final number yet? 

Nope, will go a bit over 600k. I underestimated how presale heavy culture day would be, but still a spectacular schoolday for it.    
 

CGV PS for Thursday is 50k again, should get the 8-day cume  just U/O 6M.   
 

Also KOBIS PS are already at 450k, so about 350k of that should be banked up for FSS. @pepsa when you said we should try to bank up 600 before the weekend did you mean before Fri or before Sat?

 

[danhtruong5]

Just now, Arendelle Legion said:

Nope, will go a bit over 600k. I underestimated how presale heavy culture day would be, but still a spectacular schoolday for it.    
 

CGV PS for Thursday is 50k again, should get the 8-day cume  just U/O 6M.   
 

Also KOBIS PS are already at 450k, so about 350k of that should be banked up for FSS. @pepsa when you said we should try to bank up 600 before the weekend did you mean before Fri or before Sat?

 

And we hope that this will double in the final for the total of 12M ad

[pepsa]

1 hour ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Nope, will go a bit over 600k. I underestimated how presale heavy culture day would be, but still a spectacular schoolday for it.    
 

CGV PS for Thursday is 50k again, should get the 8-day cume  just U/O 6M.   
 

Also KOBIS PS are already at 450k, so about 350k of that should be banked up for FSS. @pepsa when you said we should try to bank up 600 before the weekend did you mean before Fri or before Sat?

 

Before Sat so it's going to fly past

That said F2 will need not just good but great weekends if it want's to push 12m +